lynx   »   [go: up one dir, main page]
IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/risrel/v237y2023i6p1132-1149.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Failure prognosis of the components with unlike degradation trends: A data-driven approach

Author

Listed:
  • Balyogi Mohan Dash
  • Om Prakash
  • Arun Kumar Samantaray
Abstract
Precise remaining useful life (RUL) estimation of components is critical for the prognostic and health management (PHM) of the systems to improve reliability and reduce downtime and maintenance costs. One component may show multiple degradation patterns throughout its life cycle. The degradation trends’ occurrence and recurrence are highly unpredictable. This article suggests an RUL prediction model based on artificial neural network (ANN), for components that show different patterns of degradation while operating under similar working conditions. For the ANN learning, some key time-domain features based on the high correlation of the features with the target output, that is, Life ratio (LR) of the components, are extracted from the history of degradation profiles. Prediction intervals are also estimated to account for the various uncertainties in the degradation profile data. In an application involving accelerated aging of capacitors, when the results of the ANN model are compared to the results of conventional machine learning models for example, Linear Regression, Decision Tree, Support Vector Regression, and Bayesian Neural Network (BNN), it is found that the ANN model gives lowest Mean Square Error (MSE) with limited data, thereby demonstrating the effectiveness of the proposed methodology.

Suggested Citation

  • Balyogi Mohan Dash & Om Prakash & Arun Kumar Samantaray, 2023. "Failure prognosis of the components with unlike degradation trends: A data-driven approach," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 237(6), pages 1132-1149, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:risrel:v:237:y:2023:i:6:p:1132-1149
    DOI: 10.1177/1748006X221119301
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/1748006X221119301
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1177/1748006X221119301?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ma, Guijun & Zhang, Yong & Cheng, Cheng & Zhou, Beitong & Hu, Pengchao & Yuan, Ye, 2019. "Remaining useful life prediction of lithium-ion batteries based on false nearest neighbors and a hybrid neural network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 253(C), pages 1-1.
    2. Prakash, Om & Samantaray, Arun Kumar, 2021. "Prognosis of Dynamical System Components with Varying Degradation Patterns using model–data–fusion," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Feng, Zhanyu & Zhang, Jian & Jiang, Han & Yao, Xuejian & Qian, Yu & Zhang, Haiyan, 2024. "Energy consumption prediction strategy for electric vehicle based on LSTM-transformer framework," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 302(C).
    2. Jun Peng & Zhiyong Zheng & Xiaoyong Zhang & Kunyuan Deng & Kai Gao & Heng Li & Bin Chen & Yingze Yang & Zhiwu Huang, 2020. "A Data-Driven Method with Feature Enhancement and Adaptive Optimization for Lithium-Ion Battery Remaining Useful Life Prediction," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-20, February.
    3. Shu, Xing & Li, Guang & Shen, Jiangwei & Lei, Zhenzhen & Chen, Zheng & Liu, Yonggang, 2020. "A uniform estimation framework for state of health of lithium-ion batteries considering feature extraction and parameters optimization," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    4. Li, Penghua & Zhang, Zijian & Grosu, Radu & Deng, Zhongwei & Hou, Jie & Rong, Yujun & Wu, Rui, 2022. "An end-to-end neural network framework for state-of-health estimation and remaining useful life prediction of electric vehicle lithium batteries," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    5. Liu, Yunpeng & Hou, Bo & Ahmed, Moin & Mao, Zhiyu & Feng, Jiangtao & Chen, Zhongwei, 2024. "A hybrid deep learning approach for remaining useful life prediction of lithium-ion batteries based on discharging fragments," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 358(C).
    6. Shaheer Ansari & Afida Ayob & Molla Shahadat Hossain Lipu & Aini Hussain & Mohamad Hanif Md Saad, 2021. "Data-Driven Remaining Useful Life Prediction for Lithium-Ion Batteries Using Multi-Charging Profile Framework: A Recurrent Neural Network Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-25, December.
    7. Ethelbert Ezemobi & Mario Silvagni & Ahmad Mozaffari & Andrea Tonoli & Amir Khajepour, 2022. "State of Health Estimation of Lithium-Ion Batteries in Electric Vehicles under Dynamic Load Conditions," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-20, February.
    8. Wang, Zhe & Yang, Fangfang & Xu, Qiang & Wang, Yongjian & Yan, Hong & Xie, Min, 2023. "Capacity estimation of lithium-ion batteries based on data aggregation and feature fusion via graph neural network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 336(C).
    9. Yang, Yixin, 2021. "A machine-learning prediction method of lithium-ion battery life based on charge process for different applications," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
    10. Ouyang, Tiancheng & Xu, Peihang & Chen, Jingxian & Su, Zixiang & Huang, Guicong & Chen, Nan, 2021. "A novel state of charge estimation method for lithium-ion batteries based on bias compensation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    11. Yongsheng Shi & Tailin Li & Leicheng Wang & Hongzhou Lu & Yujun Hu & Beichen He & Xinran Zhai, 2023. "A Method for Predicting the Life of Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on Successive Variational Mode Decomposition and Optimized Long Short-Term Memory," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(16), pages 1-16, August.
    12. Sui, Xin & He, Shan & Vilsen, Søren B. & Meng, Jinhao & Teodorescu, Remus & Stroe, Daniel-Ioan, 2021. "A review of non-probabilistic machine learning-based state of health estimation techniques for Lithium-ion battery," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 300(C).
    13. Semeraro, Concetta & Caggiano, Mariateresa & Olabi, Abdul-Ghani & Dassisti, Michele, 2022. "Battery monitoring and prognostics optimization techniques: Challenges and opportunities," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 255(C).
    14. Wang, Yuan & Lei, Yaguo & Li, Naipeng & Yan, Tao & Si, Xiaosheng, 2023. "Deep multisource parallel bilinear-fusion network for remaining useful life prediction of machinery," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    15. Yan, Lisen & Peng, Jun & Gao, Dianzhu & Wu, Yue & Liu, Yongjie & Li, Heng & Liu, Weirong & Huang, Zhiwu, 2022. "A hybrid method with cascaded structure for early-stage remaining useful life prediction of lithium-ion battery," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    16. Hong, Joonki & Lee, Dongheon & Jeong, Eui-Rim & Yi, Yung, 2020. "Towards the swift prediction of the remaining useful life of lithium-ion batteries with end-to-end deep learning," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(C).
    17. Zhang, Ying & Li, Yan-Fu, 2022. "Prognostics and health management of Lithium-ion battery using deep learning methods: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    18. Zhu, Yunlong & Dong, Zhe & Cheng, Zhonghua & Huang, Xiaojin & Dong, Yujie & Zhang, Zuoyi, 2023. "Neural network extended state-observer for energy system monitoring," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PA).
    19. Qiao, Yajing & Wang, Shaoping & Shi, Jian & Liu, Di & Tao, Mo, 2024. "Reliability model based on fault energy dissipation for mechatronic system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 250(C).
    20. Haipeng Pan & Chengte Chen & Minming Gu, 2021. "A State of Health Estimation Method for Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on Improved Particle Filter Considering Capacity Regeneration," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-12, August.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:risrel:v:237:y:2023:i:6:p:1132-1149. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.
    Лучший частный хостинг