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Has work from home shifted the US electoral map?

Author

Listed:
  • Peter Lambert
  • Chris Larkin
Abstract
Since 2020, the dramatic rise in remote work has coincided with increased geographic mobility in the United States. We examine the relationship between these trends and their effects on the electoral landscape. Using IRS microdata, online job postings, and Census surveys, we find that remote work opportunities concentrate in Democratic-leaning areas, with interstate migration strongly linked to individuals who mostly work from home. Our analysis reveals significant population shifts from Democratic to Republican and swing regions, potentially impacting electoral outcomes in key battleground states.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter Lambert & Chris Larkin, 2024. "Has work from home shifted the US electoral map?," CEP Occasional Papers 67, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    • Handle: RePEc:cep:cepops:67
    as

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    File URL: https://cep.lse.ac.uk/pubs/download/occasional/op067.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    6. Bick, Alexander & Blandin, Adam & Mertens, Karel & Rubinton, Hannah, 2024. "Work from Home and Interstate Migration," CEPR Discussion Papers 19101, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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    8. Elder, Elizabeth Mitchell & Enos, Ryan D. & Mendelberg, Tali, 2024. "The Long-Term Effects of Neighborhood Disadvantage on Voting Behavior: The “Moving to Opportunity” Experiment," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 118(2), pages 988-1004, May.
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