Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search

Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District
Incumbent
Assumed office: January 3, 2019

Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District in the United States House of Representatives is represented by Michael Guest (R).

As of the 2020 Census, Mississippi representatives represented an average of 740,979 residents. After the 2010 Census, each member represented 744,560 residents.

Elections

2024

See also: Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024

Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024 (March 12 Republican primary)

General election

General election for U.S. House Mississippi District 3

Incumbent Michael Guest won election in the general election for U.S. House Mississippi District 3 on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Michael Guest
Michael Guest (R)
 
100.0
 
265,159

Total votes: 265,159
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 3

Incumbent Michael Guest advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 3 on March 12, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Michael Guest
Michael Guest
 
100.0
 
66,559

Total votes: 66,559
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2022

See also: Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House Mississippi District 3

Incumbent Michael Guest defeated Shuwaski Young in the general election for U.S. House Mississippi District 3 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Michael Guest
Michael Guest (R)
 
70.7
 
132,481
Image of Shuwaski Young
Shuwaski Young (D) Candidate Connection
 
29.3
 
54,803

Total votes: 187,284
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary runoff election

Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Mississippi District 3

Incumbent Michael Guest defeated Michael Cassidy in the Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Mississippi District 3 on June 28, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Michael Guest
Michael Guest
 
67.4
 
47,007
Image of Michael Cassidy
Michael Cassidy Candidate Connection
 
32.6
 
22,713

Total votes: 69,720
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 3

Shuwaski Young advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 3 on June 7, 2022.

Candidate
Image of Shuwaski Young
Shuwaski Young Candidate Connection

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 3

Incumbent Michael Guest and Michael Cassidy advanced to a runoff. They defeated Thomas Griffin in the Republican primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 3 on June 7, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Michael Guest
Michael Guest
 
47.5
 
23,675
Image of Michael Cassidy
Michael Cassidy Candidate Connection
 
46.9
 
23,407
Image of Thomas Griffin
Thomas Griffin Candidate Connection
 
5.6
 
2,785

Total votes: 49,867
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2020

See also: Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Mississippi District 3

Incumbent Michael Guest defeated Dorothy Benford in the general election for U.S. House Mississippi District 3 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Michael Guest
Michael Guest (R)
 
64.7
 
221,064
Dorothy Benford (D)
 
35.3
 
120,782

Total votes: 341,846
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 3

Dorothy Benford defeated Katelyn Lee in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 3 on March 10, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Dorothy Benford
 
64.0
 
38,967
Image of Katelyn Lee
Katelyn Lee Candidate Connection
 
36.0
 
21,951

Total votes: 60,918
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 3

Incumbent Michael Guest defeated James Tulp in the Republican primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 3 on March 10, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Michael Guest
Michael Guest
 
89.8
 
67,269
Image of James Tulp
James Tulp Candidate Connection
 
10.2
 
7,618

Total votes: 74,887
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2018

See also: Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Mississippi District 3

Michael Guest defeated Michael Evans and Matthew Holland in the general election for U.S. House Mississippi District 3 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Michael Guest
Michael Guest (R)
 
62.3
 
160,284
Image of Michael Evans
Michael Evans (D)
 
36.7
 
94,461
Matthew Holland (Reform Party)
 
1.0
 
2,526

Total votes: 257,271
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary runoff election

Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Mississippi District 3

Michael Guest defeated Whit Hughes in the Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Mississippi District 3 on June 26, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Michael Guest
Michael Guest
 
65.1
 
31,572
Image of Whit Hughes
Whit Hughes
 
34.9
 
16,950

Total votes: 48,522
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 3

Michael Evans defeated Michael Aycox in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 3 on June 5, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Michael Evans
Michael Evans
 
69.3
 
17,016
Image of Michael Aycox
Michael Aycox
 
30.7
 
7,525

Total votes: 24,541
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 3

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 3 on June 5, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Michael Guest
Michael Guest
 
44.8
 
29,157
Image of Whit Hughes
Whit Hughes
 
22.2
 
14,464
Image of Perry Parker
Perry Parker
 
16.2
 
10,562
Image of Sally Doty
Sally Doty
 
10.2
 
6,608
Morgan Dunn
 
5.9
 
3,820
Katherine Tate
 
0.6
 
416

Total votes: 65,027
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2016

See also: Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Gregg Harper (R) defeated Dennis Quinn (D), Roger Gerrard (Veterans Party of America), and Lajena Sheets (Reform) in the general election. Harper defeated Jimmy Giles in the Republican primary on March 8, 2016. Quinn defeated Nathan Stewart in the Democratic primary on March 8, 2016. Both Gerrard and Sheets were unopposed.[1][2]

U.S. House, Mississippi District 3 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngGregg Harper Incumbent 66.2% 209,490
     Democratic Dennis Quinn 30.4% 96,101
     Veterans Party of America Roger Gerrard 2.7% 8,696
     Reform Lajena Sheets 0.7% 2,158
Total Votes 316,445
Source: Mississippi Secretary of State


U.S. House, Mississippi District 3 Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngDennis Quinn 65.5% 29,149
Nathan Stewart 34.5% 15,384
Total Votes 44,533
Source: Mississippi Secretary of State
U.S. House, Mississippi District 3 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngGregg Harper Incumbent 89.1% 87,997
Jimmy Giles 10.9% 10,760
Total Votes 98,757
Source: Mississippi Republican Party

2014

See also: Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District elections, 2014

The 3rd Congressional District of Mississippi held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Gregg Harper (R) defeated challengers Doug Magee (D), Barbara Dale Washer (RP) and Roger Gerrard (I) in the general election.

U.S. House, Mississippi District 3 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngGregg Harper Incumbent 68.9% 117,771
     Democratic Doug Magee 27.9% 47,744
     Reform Barbara Washer 0.9% 1,541
     Independent Roger Gerrard 2.3% 3,890
Total Votes 170,946
Source: Mississippi Secretary of State Official Results

General election candidates


June 24 Democratic runoff primary

Note: No candidate secured more than 50 percent of the vote in the June 3, 2014, primary election. A runoff primary election was held between the top two candidates.[3][4]

June 3, 2014, primary results

Republican Party Republican Primary

Democratic Party Democratic Primary


2012

See also: Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District elections, 2012

The 3rd Congressional District of Mississippi held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Incumbent Gregg Harper won re-election in the district.[5]

U.S. House, Mississippi District 3 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngGregg Harper Incumbent 80% 234,717
     Reform John Luke Pannell 20% 58,605
Total Votes 293,322
Source: Mississippi Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Primary results

Republican Primary

U.S. House of Representatives-Mississippi District 3 Republican Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngGregg Harper Incumbent 91.8% 78,667
Robert Allen 8.2% 7,025
Total Votes 85,692

2010
On November 2, 2010, Gregg Harper (R) won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Joel Gill (D) and Tracella Lou O'Hara Hill (Reform) in the general election.[6]

U.S. House, Mississippi Distric 3 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngGregg Harper incumbent 68% 132,393
     Democratic Joel L. Gill 31.2% 60,737
     Reform Tracella Lou O’Hara Hill 0.8% 1,586
Total Votes 194,716


2008
On November 4, 2008, Gregg Harper won election to the United States House. He defeated Joel Gill (D) in the general election.[7]

U.S. House of Representatives, Mississippi District 3, General Election, 2008
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngGregg Harper 62.5% 213,171
     Democratic Joel Gill 37.5% 127,698
Total Votes 340,869


2006
On November 7, 2006, Charles W. Pickering won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Jim Giles (I) and Lamonica L. Magee (Reform) in the general election.[8]

U.S. House, Mississippi District 3 General Election, 2006
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngCharles W. Pickering incumbent 77.7% 125,421
     Independent Jim Giles 16.1% 25,999
     Reform Lamonica L. Magee 6.2% 10,060
Total Votes 161,480


2004
On November 2, 2004, Charles W. Pickering won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Jim Giles (I) and Lamonica L. Magee (Reform) in the general election.[9]

U.S. House, Mississippi District 3 General Election, 2004
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngCharles W. Pickering incumbent 80.1% 234,874
     Independent Jim Giles 13.8% 40,426
     Reform Lamonica L. Magee 6.2% 18,068
Total Votes 293,368


2002
On November 5, 2002, Charles W. Pickering won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Ronnie Shows (D), Jim Giles (I), Harvey L. Darden (I), Carroll Grantham (Reform) and Brad A. McDonald (L) in the general election.[10]

U.S. House, Mississippi District 3 General Election, 2002
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngCharles W. Pickering incumbent 63.6% 139,329
     Democratic Ronnie Show 34.8% 76,184
     Independent Jim Giles 0.7% 1,431
     Independent Harvey L. Darden 0.4% 949
     Reform Carroll Grantham 0.2% 498
     Libertarian Brad A. McDonald 0.3% 760
Total Votes 219,151


2000
On November 7, 2000, Charles W. Pickering won re-election to the United States House. He defeated William Clay Thrash (D) and Johnathan Golden (L) in the general election.[11]

U.S. House, Mississippi District 3 General Election, 2000
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngCharles W. Pickering incumbent 73.2% 153,899
     Democratic William Clay Thrash 25.7% 54,151
     Libertarian Johnathan Golden 1.1% 2,313
Total Votes 210,363


District map

Redistricting

2020-2021

See also: Redistricting in Mississippi after the 2020 census

Gov. Tate Reeves (R) signed the state's congressional redistricting plan—House Bill 384—on January 24, 2022. The state House of Representatives approved the plan, 75-44, on January 6, 2022, with 73 Republicans, one Democrat, and one independent voting in favor and 41 Democrats, two Republicans, and one independent voting against. The state Senate approved the new congressional map, 33-18, on January 12, 2022, with all votes in favor by Republicans and 16 Democrats and two Republicans voting against.[12] The Mississippi Joint Legislative Committee on Redistricting approved the proposal on December 15, 2021.[13]

After the state Senate approved the plan, Lee Sanderlin wrote in the Mississippi Clarion Ledger, “The bill preserves the current balance of congressional power in Mississippi, keeping three seats for Republicans and one for lone Democrat Bennie Thompson, D-Bolton.”[14] Sanderlin also wrote, "This is the first time since the 1965 passage of the Voting Rights Act passed Mississippi's redistricting will go on without federal oversight after a 2013 Supreme Court decision ended the requirement certain states get federal approval for redistricting changes. A federal judge drew the congressional districts in 2002 because legislators could not agree on a map, and again in 2011 because legislators felt they didn't have enough time to do it during session."[14]

How does redistricting in Mississippi work? In Mississippi, both congressional and state legislative district boundaries are drawn by the state legislature. Congressional district lines are approved as regular legislation and are thus subject to veto by the governor. State legislative district boundaries are approved as a joint resolution; as such, they are not subject to gubernatorial veto.[15]

If the legislature cannot approve a state legislative redistricting plan, a five-member commission must draw the lines. This commission comprises the chief justice of the Mississippi Supreme Court, the attorney general, the secretary of state, and the majority leaders of the Mississippi State Senate and the Mississippi House of Representatives.[15]

The Mississippi Constitution requires that state legislative district boundaries be contiguous. State statutes further require that state legislative districts "be compact and cross political boundaries as little as possible."[15]

Mississippi District 3
until January 2, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Mississippi District 3
starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

2010-2011

This is the 3rd Congressional District of Mississippi after the 2001 redistricting process.
See also: Redistricting in Mississippi after the 2010 census

In 2011, the Mississippi State Legislature re-drew the congressional districts based on updated population information from the 2010 census.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

2024

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+15. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 15 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Mississippi's 3rd the 85th most Republican district nationally.[16]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 61.5%-37.2%.[17]

2022

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+15. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 15 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Mississippi's 3rd the 89th most Republican district nationally.[18]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 37.2% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 61.5%.[19]

2018

Heading into the 2018 elections, based on results from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+13. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 13 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District the 101st most Republican nationally.[20]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.80. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.80 points toward that party.[21]

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. Mississippi Secretary of State, "2016 Candidate Qualifying List," accessed January 12, 2016
  2. The Clarion-Ledger, "Primary Results: Statewide, county by county," March 8, 2016
  3. Associated Press, "Mississippi - Summary Vote Results," accessed June 3, 2014
  4. The Washington Times, "Magee, Quinn to Democratic runoff in 3rd District," accessed June 3, 2014
  5. Politico, "2012 Election Map, Mississippi," accessed November 6, 2012
  6. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
  7. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
  8. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
  9. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
  10. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
  11. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
  12. Mississippi Legislature, 2022 Regular Session, "House Bill 384," accessed January 24, 2022
  13. Clarion Ledger, "Redistricting committee finalizes Mississippi congressional map proposal, expanding 2nd District," December 15, 2021
  14. 14.0 14.1 Mississippi redistricting: Senate follows House, approves expanded 2nd District January 12, 2022
  15. 15.0 15.1 15.2 All About Redistricting, "Mississippi," accessed May 4, 2015
  16. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  17. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  18. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  19. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  20. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  21. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
Republican Party (5)
Democratic Party (1)