Louisiana's 5th Congressional District election, 2020

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Louisiana's 5th Congressional District
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General election
Election details
Filing deadline: July 24, 2020
Primary: November 3, 2020
General: December 5, 2020
Pre-election incumbent:
Ralph Abraham (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 8 p.m. (Tuesday elections)

7 a.m. to 8 p.m. (Saturday elections)
Voting in Louisiana

Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Louisiana's 5th Congressional District
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th
Louisiana elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

Louisiana held an election for the 5th Congressional District on November 3, 2020, for all candidates.


Louisiana elections use the Louisiana majority-vote system. All candidates compete in the same primary, and a candidate can win the election outright by receiving more than 50% of the vote. If no candidate does, the top two vote recipients from the primary advance to the general election, regardless of their partisan affiliation.

For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article. If necessary, the general election was held on December 5, 2020.

Luke Letlow (R) won election in the general election for U.S. House Louisiana District 5.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
July 24, 2020
November 3, 2020
December 5, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Republican Ralph Abraham, who was first elected in 2014.

Louisiana's 5th Congressional District includes the northeastern portion of the state. The parishes of Avoyelles, Caldwell, Catahoula, Concordia, East Carroll, Franklin, Grant, Jackson, La Salle, Lincoln, Madison, Morehouse, Ouachita, Rapides, Richland, Tensas, Washington, West Carroll, West Feliciana, and Winn are included in the district. Portions of East Feliciana, St. Helena, St. Landry and Tangipahoa parishes are also part of the district.[1]

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, Louisiana's 5th Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 34.1 0
Republican candidate Republican Party 64.5 100
Difference 30.4 100

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

Louisiana modified its absentee/mail-in voting and candidate filing procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Absentee/mail-in voting: The absentee ballot application used in the general election included COVID-19 specific reasons for requesting an absentee ballot.
  • Candidate filing procedures: The candidate qualifying deadline was extended to July 24, 2020. The deadline by which a ballot-qualified party must notify the state of its presidential nominee was extended from August 18, 2020, to August 25, 2020.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

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Candidates and election results


Louisiana elections use the majority-vote system. All candidates compete in the same primary, and a candidate can win the election outright by receiving more than 50 percent of the vote. If no candidate does, the top two vote recipients from the primary advance to the general election, regardless of their partisan affiliation.

General election

General election for U.S. House Louisiana District 5

Luke Letlow defeated Lance Harris in the general election for U.S. House Louisiana District 5 on December 5, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Luke Letlow
Luke Letlow (R) Candidate Connection
 
62.0
 
49,183
Image of Lance Harris
Lance Harris (R)
 
38.0
 
30,124

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 79,307
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Nonpartisan primary election

Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House Louisiana District 5

The following candidates ran in the primary for U.S. House Louisiana District 5 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Luke Letlow
Luke Letlow (R) Candidate Connection
 
33.1
 
102,533
✔
Image of Lance Harris
Lance Harris (R)
 
16.6
 
51,240
Image of Candy Christophe
Candy Christophe (D) Candidate Connection
 
16.4
 
50,812
Image of Martin Lemelle
Martin Lemelle (D) Candidate Connection
 
10.4
 
32,186
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Randall Scott Robinson (R)
 
7.7
 
23,887
Image of Allen Guillory Sr.
Allen Guillory Sr. (R)
 
7.3
 
22,496
Image of Matt Hasty
Matt Hasty (R) Candidate Connection
 
3.2
 
9,834
Image of Phillip Snowden
Phillip Snowden (D)
 
3.0
 
9,432
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Jesse Lagarde (D) Candidate Connection
 
2.3
 
7,136

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 309,556
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

There are no Pivot Counties in Louisiana. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+15, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 15 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Louisiana's 5th Congressional District the 82nd most Republican nationally.[2]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.91. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.91 points toward that party.[3]

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[4] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[5] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Candy Christophe Democratic Party $99,230 $99,230 $0 As of December 31, 2020
Jesse Lagarde Democratic Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Martin Lemelle Democratic Party $174,982 $163,934 $11,048 As of December 31, 2020
Phillip Snowden Democratic Party $29,481 $28,077 $1 As of November 23, 2020
Allen Guillory Sr. Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Lance Harris Republican Party $711,205 $688,083 $23,122 As of December 31, 2020
Matt Hasty Republican Party $2,654 $2,615 $38 As of October 15, 2020
Luke Letlow Republican Party $1,395,022 $1,305,957 $89,065 As of December 31, 2020
Randall Scott Robinson Republican Party $179,903 $179,835 $68 As of December 31, 2020

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[6]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[7][8][9]

Race ratings: Louisiana's 5th Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

District election history

2018

See also: Louisiana's 5th Congressional District election, 2018


Louisiana elections use the majority-vote system. All candidates compete in the same primary, and a candidate can win the election outright by receiving more than 50 percent of the vote. If no candidate does, the top two vote recipients from the primary advance to the general election, regardless of their partisan affiliation.

Nonpartisan primary election

Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House Louisiana District 5

Incumbent Ralph Abraham won election outright against Jessee Carlton Fleenor, Billy Burkette, and Kyle Randol in the primary for U.S. House Louisiana District 5 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Ralph Abraham
Ralph Abraham (R)
 
66.5
 
149,018
Image of Jessee Carlton Fleenor
Jessee Carlton Fleenor (D)
 
30.0
 
67,118
Image of Billy Burkette
Billy Burkette (Independent)
 
2.1
 
4,799
Image of Kyle Randol
Kyle Randol (L)
 
1.3
 
3,011

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 223,946
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2016

See also: Louisiana's 5th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Ralph Abraham (R) defeated Billy Burkette (R) in the primary election on November 8, 2016. [10]

U.S. House, Louisiana District 5 Primary Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngRalph Abraham Incumbent 81.6% 208,545
     Republican Billy Burkette 18.4% 47,117
Total Votes 255,662
Source: Louisiana Secretary of State

2014

See also: Louisiana's 5th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 5th Congressional District of Louisiana held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Ralph Abraham (R) defeated Jamie Mayo (D) gained enough votes to participate in a general election. Abraham defeated Mayo in the general election on December 6, 2014.

U.S. House, Louisiana District 5 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngRalph Abraham 64.2% 134,616
     Democratic Jamie Mayo 35.8% 75,004
Total Votes 209,620
Source: Louisiana Secretary of State
U.S. House, Louisiana District 5 Primary Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Vance McAllister Incumbent 11.11% 26,606
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngRalph Abraham 23.16% 55,489
     Republican Harris Brown 4.13% 9,890
     Republican Zach Dasher 22.39% 53,628
     Republican Clyde Holloway 7.46% 17,877
     Republican Ed Tarpley Jr. 1.92% 4,594
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJamie Mayo 28.22% 67,611
     Libertarian Charles Saucier 0.92% 2,201
     Green Eliot Barron 0.69% 1,655
Total Votes 239,551
Source: Louisiana Secretary of State

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. ↑ United States Census Bureau, "Counties by Congressional Districts," accessed June 8, 2016
  2. ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  3. ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  4. ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  5. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  6. ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  7. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  8. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  9. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  10. ↑ Louisiana Secretary of State, "Candidate Inquiry," accessed July 25, 2016


Louisiana's current delegation to the United States Congress
Senators
Bill Cassidy (R)
John Kennedy (R)
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
Republican Party (6)
Democratic Party (2)


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