Louisiana's 5th Congressional District election, 2018
- Primary election: Nov. 6
- General election: Dec. 8
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 9
- Early voting: Oct. 23 - Oct. 30
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 5
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: No
- Voter ID: Photo ID required
- Poll times: 6:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m.
2020 →
← 2016
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| Louisiana's 5th Congressional District |
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| General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: July 20, 2018 |
| Primary: November 6, 2018 General: December 8, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Ralph Abraham (Republican) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 6 a.m. to 8 p.m. (Tuesday elections) 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. (Saturday elections) |
| Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
| See also |
1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th Louisiana elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
All U.S. congressional districts, including the 5th Congressional District of Louisiana, held elections in 2018.
Louisiana elections use the Louisiana majority-vote system. All candidates compete in the same primary, and a candidate can win the election outright by receiving more than 50% of the vote. If no candidate does, the top two vote recipients from the primary advance to the general election, regardless of their partisan affiliation.
For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.
| Candidate Filing Deadline | Primary Election | General Election |
|---|---|---|
Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Ralph Abraham (R), who was first elected in 2014.
Louisiana's 5th Congressional District includes the northeastern portion of the state. The parishes of Avoyelles, Caldwell, Catahoula, Concordia, East Carroll, Franklin, Grant, Jackson, La Salle, Lincoln, Madison, Morehouse, Ouachita, Rapides, Richland, Tensas, Washington, West Carroll, West Feliciana, and Winn are included in the district. Portions of East Feliciana, St. Helena, St. Landry and Tangipahoa parishes are also part of the district.[1]
Candidates and election results
Louisiana elections use the majority-vote system. All candidates compete in the same primary, and a candidate can win the election outright by receiving more than 50 percent of the vote. If no candidate does, the top two vote recipients from the primary advance to the general election, regardless of their partisan affiliation.
Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House Louisiana District 5
Incumbent Ralph Abraham won election outright against Jessee Carlton Fleenor, Billy Burkette, and Kyle Randol in the primary for U.S. House Louisiana District 5 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Ralph Abraham (R) | 66.5 | 149,018 | |
| Jessee Carlton Fleenor (D) | 30.0 | 67,118 | ||
| Billy Burkette (Independent) | 2.1 | 4,799 | ||
| Kyle Randol (L) | 1.3 | 3,011 | ||
| Total votes: 223,946 | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+15, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 15 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Louisiana's 5th Congressional District the 82nd most Republican nationally.[2]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.91. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.91 points toward that party.[3]
Campaign finance
The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
There are currently no declared candidates in this race. Know of one we missed? Click here to let us know.
District history
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Ralph Abraham (R) defeated Billy Burkette (R) in the primary election on November 8, 2016. [4]
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican |  Ralph Abraham Incumbent |
81.6% | 208,545 | |
| Republican | Billy Burkette | 18.4% | 47,117 | |
| Total Votes | 255,662 | |||
| Source: Louisiana Secretary of State | ||||
2014
The 5th Congressional District of Louisiana held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Ralph Abraham (R) defeated Jamie Mayo (D) gained enough votes to participate in a general election. Abraham defeated Mayo in the general election on December 6, 2014.
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ralph Abraham |
64.2% | 134,616 | |
| Democratic | Jamie Mayo | 35.8% | 75,004 | |
| Total Votes | 209,620 | |||
| Source: Louisiana Secretary of State | ||||
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Vance McAllister Incumbent | 11.11% | 26,606 | |
| Republican | Ralph Abraham |
23.16% | 55,489 | |
| Republican | Harris Brown | 4.13% | 9,890 | |
| Republican | Zach Dasher | 22.39% | 53,628 | |
| Republican | Clyde Holloway | 7.46% | 17,877 | |
| Republican | Ed Tarpley Jr. | 1.92% | 4,594 | |
| Democratic | Jamie Mayo |
28.22% | 67,611 | |
| Libertarian | Charles Saucier | 0.92% | 2,201 | |
| Green | Eliot Barron | 0.69% | 1,655 | |
| Total Votes | 239,551 | |||
| Source: Louisiana Secretary of State | ||||
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
There are no Pivot Counties in Louisiana. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Louisiana heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Republicans held both U.S. Senate seats in Louisiana.
- Republicans held five of six U.S. House seats in Louisiana.
State executives
- As of September 2018, Republicans held seven of nine state executive positions, Democrats held one, and the remaining position was officially nonpartisan.
- The governor of Louisiana was Democrat John Edwards. The next gubernatorial election in the state was held in 2019.
State legislature
- Republicans controlled both chambers of the Louisiana State Legislature. They had a 39-60 majority in the state House and a 14-25 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
Louisiana was under divided government, meaning that the two parties shared control of the state government. John Edwards (D) served as governor, while Republicans controlled the state legislature.
2018 elections
- See also: Louisiana elections, 2018
Louisiana held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- 6 U.S. House seats
- Secretary of State
- Public service commissioner
- 1 state Senate seat
- 5 state House seats
- Louisiana Supreme Court
- Louisiana Circuit Courts of Appeal
- Local judges
- School boards
- 6 statewide ballot measures
Demographics
| Demographic data for Louisiana | ||
|---|---|---|
| Louisiana | U.S. | |
| Total population: | 4,668,960 | 316,515,021 |
| Land area (sq mi): | 43,204 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White: | 62.8% | 73.6% |
| Black/African American: | 32.1% | 12.6% |
| Asian: | 1.7% | 5.1% |
| Native American: | 0.6% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander: | 0% | 0.2% |
| Two or more: | 1.8% | 3% |
| Hispanic/Latino: | 4.7% | 17.1% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate: | 83.4% | 86.7% |
| College graduation rate: | 22.5% | 29.8% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income: | $45,047 | $53,889 |
| Persons below poverty level: | 23.3% | 11.3% |
| Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Louisiana. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
As of July 2016, Louisiana's three largest cities were New Orleans (pop. est. 393,292), Baton Rouge (pop. est. 225,374), and Shreveport (pop. est. 192,036).[5]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Louisiana from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Louisiana Secretary of State.[6]
Historical elections
Presidential elections
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Louisiana every year from 2000 to 2016.
| Election results (President of the United States), Louisiana 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 | 58% | 38% | 20% | ||
| 2012 | 58% | 41% | 17% | ||
| 2008 | 59% | 40% | 19% | ||
| 2004 | 57% | 42% | 15% | ||
| 2000 | 53% | 45% | 8% | ||
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Louisiana from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
| Election results (U.S. Senator), Louisiana 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 | 61% | 39% | 22% | ||
| 2014 | 56% | 44% | 12% | ||
| 2010 | 57% | 38% | 19% | ||
| 2008 | 52% | 46% | 8% | ||
| 2004 | 51% | 29% | 22% | ||
| 2002 | 52% | 48% | 4% | ||
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2015
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2015. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Louisiana.
| Election results (Governor), Louisiana 2000-2015 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2015 | 56% | 44% | 12% | ||
| 2011 | 66% | 18% | 48% | ||
| 2007 | 54% | 17% | 37% | ||
| 2003 | 52% | 48% | 4% | ||
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Louisiana in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
| Congressional delegation, Louisiana 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Republicans | Republicans (%) | Democrats | Democrats (%) | Balance of power |
| 2016 | 83.3% | 16.7% | R+4 | ||
| 2014 | 83.3% | 16.7% | R+4 | ||
| 2012 | 85.6% | 14.3% | R+5 | ||
| 2010 | 85.6% | 14.3% | R+5 | ||
| 2008 | 71.4% | 28.6% | R+3 | ||
| 2006 | 71.4% | 28.6% | R+3 | ||
| 2004 | 71.4% | 28.6% | R+3 | ||
| 2002 | 71.4% | 28.6% | R+3 | ||
| 2000 | 71.4% | 28.6% | R+3 | ||
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Louisiana Party Control: 1992-2025
Eight years of Democratic trifectas • Seven years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R |
| Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Louisiana, 2018
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ United States Census Bureau, "Counties by Congressional Districts," accessed June 8, 2016
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Louisiana Secretary of State, "Candidate Inquiry," accessed July 25, 2016
- ↑ Louisiana Demographics, "Louisiana Cities by Population," accessed September 5, 2018
- ↑ Louisiana Secretary of State, "Official Results," accessed September 5, 2018
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