Date of Louisiana presidential primary: July 11
Louisiana held an election for the 2nd Congressional District on November 3, 2020, for all candidates.
Louisiana elections use the Louisiana majority-vote system. All candidates compete in the same primary, and a candidate can win the election outright by receiving more than 50% of the vote. If no candidate does, the top two vote recipients from the primary advance to the general election, regardless of their partisan affiliation.
For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article. If necessary, the general election was held on December 5, 2020.
Incumbent Cedric Richmond (D) won re-election in the primary for U.S. House Louisiana District 2.
| Candidate filing deadline
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Primary election
|
General election
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| July 24, 2020 |
November 3, 2020 |
December 5, 2020
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Heading into the election the incumbent was Democrat Cedric Richmond, who was first elected in 2010.
Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District includes all of St. James Parish and portions of Ascension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, Iberville, Jefferson, Orleans, St. Charles, St. John the Baptist and West Baton Rouge parishes in southern Louisiana.[1]
Post-election analysis
The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
| Presidential and congressional election results, Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, 2020
|
| Race
|
Presidential
|
U.S. House
|
Democratic candidate  |
75.3 |
74.2
|
Republican candidate  |
23 |
19.9
|
| Difference
|
52.3
|
54.3
|
Election procedure changes in 2020
- See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020
Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.
Louisiana modified its absentee/mail-in voting and candidate filing procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:
- Absentee/mail-in voting: The absentee ballot application used in the general election included COVID-19 specific reasons for requesting an absentee ballot.
- Candidate filing procedures: The candidate qualifying deadline was extended to July 24, 2020. The deadline by which a ballot-qualified party must notify the state of its presidential nominee was extended from August 18, 2020, to August 25, 2020.
For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.
Candidates and election results
Louisiana elections use the majority-vote system. All candidates compete in the same primary, and a candidate can win the election outright by receiving more than 50 percent of the vote. If no candidate does, the top two vote recipients from the primary advance to the general election, regardless of their partisan affiliation.
Nonpartisan primary election
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
There are no Pivot Counties in Louisiana. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+25, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 25 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District the 42nd most Democratic nationally.[2]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.98. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.98 points toward that party.[3]
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[4] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[5]
The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
| Name |
Party |
Receipts* |
Disbursements** |
Cash on hand |
Date |
| Cedric Richmond |
Democratic Party |
$1,630,814 |
$1,304,605 |
$795,949 |
As of December 31, 2020 |
| Glenn Harris |
Democratic Party |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
Data not available*** |
| David Schilling |
Republican Party |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
Data not available*** |
| Sheldon Vincent Sr. |
Republican Party |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
Data not available*** |
| Belden Batiste |
Independent |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
Data not available*** |
| Colby James |
Independent |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
Data not available*** |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.
|
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[6]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[7][8][9]
| Race ratings: Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020 |
|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings |
| November 3, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | October 20, 2020 | October 13, 2020 |
| The Cook Political Report | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic |
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic |
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic |
| Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season. |
|---|
District election history
2018
- See also: Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District election, 2018
Louisiana elections use the majority-vote system. All candidates compete in the same primary, and a candidate can win the election outright by receiving more than 50 percent of the vote. If no candidate does, the top two vote recipients from the primary advance to the general election, regardless of their partisan affiliation.
Nonpartisan primary election
2016
- See also: Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District election, 2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Cedric Richmond (D) defeated Kip Holden (D), Kenneth Cutno (D), and Samuel Davenport (L) in the primary election on November 8, 2016. [10]
U.S. House, Louisiana District 2 Primary Election, 2016
| Party |
Candidate |
Vote % |
Votes |
| |
Democratic |
 Cedric Richmond Incumbent |
69.8% |
198,289 |
| |
Democratic |
Kip Holden |
20.1% |
57,125 |
| |
Democratic |
Kenneth Cutno |
10.2% |
28,855 |
| Total Votes |
284,269 |
| Source: Louisiana Secretary of State |
2014
- See also: Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District elections, 2014
The 2nd Congressional District of Louisiana held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Cedric Richmond (D) defeated a host of candidates in the election.
U.S. House, Louisiana District 2 Primary Election, 2014
| Party |
Candidate |
Vote % |
Votes |
| |
Democratic |
Cedric Richmond Incumbent |
68.7% |
152,201 |
| |
Democratic |
Gary Landrieu |
17.1% |
37,805 |
| |
Libertarian |
Samuel Davenport |
6.9% |
15,237 |
| |
Independent |
David Brooks |
7.4% |
16,327 |
| Total Votes |
221,570 |
| Source: Louisiana Secretary of State |
See also
External links
- ↑ United States Census Bureau, "Counties by Congressional Districts," accessed June 8, 2016
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Louisiana Secretary of State, "Candidate Inquiry," accessed July 25, 2016
Senators
Representatives
Republican Party (6)
Democratic Party (2)
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