Kentucky's 5th Congressional District

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Kentucky's 5th Congressional District
Incumbent
Assumed office: January 3, 1981

Kentucky's 5th Congressional District in the United States House of Representatives is represented by Hal Rogers (R).

As of the 2020 Census, Kentucky representatives represented an average of 751,557 residents. After the 2010 Census, each member represented 725,101 residents.

Elections

2024

See also: Kentucky's 5th Congressional District election, 2024

Kentucky's 5th Congressional District election, 2024 (May 21 Republican primary)

General election

General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 5

Incumbent Hal Rogers won election in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 5 on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Hal Rogers
Hal Rogers (R)
 
100.0
 
261,407

Total votes: 261,407
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 5

Incumbent Hal Rogers defeated Dana Edwards, Brandon Monhollen, and David Kraftchak in the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 5 on May 21, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Hal Rogers
Hal Rogers
 
81.8
 
39,423
Image of Dana Edwards
Dana Edwards Candidate Connection
 
10.6
 
5,112
Image of Brandon Monhollen
Brandon Monhollen
 
5.5
 
2,673
Image of David Kraftchak
David Kraftchak Candidate Connection
 
2.1
 
997

Total votes: 48,205
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2022

See also: Kentucky's 5th Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 5

Incumbent Hal Rogers defeated Conor Halbleib and Stephan Mazur in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 5 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Hal Rogers
Hal Rogers (R)
 
82.2
 
177,712
Image of Conor Halbleib
Conor Halbleib (D) Candidate Connection
 
17.8
 
38,549
Image of Stephan Mazur
Stephan Mazur (Independent) (Write-in) Candidate Connection
 
0.0
 
9

Total votes: 216,270
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Conor Halbleib advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 5.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 5

Incumbent Hal Rogers defeated Gerardo Serrano, Jeannette Andrews, Brandon Monhollen, and Richard Van Dam in the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 5 on May 17, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Hal Rogers
Hal Rogers
 
82.6
 
77,050
Image of Gerardo Serrano
Gerardo Serrano
 
5.9
 
5,460
Jeannette Andrews
 
4.5
 
4,160
Image of Brandon Monhollen
Brandon Monhollen Candidate Connection
 
4.1
 
3,831
Image of Richard Van Dam
Richard Van Dam Candidate Connection
 
3.0
 
2,784

Total votes: 93,285
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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2020

See also: Kentucky's 5th Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 5

Incumbent Hal Rogers defeated Matthew Ryan Best in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 5 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Hal Rogers
Hal Rogers (R)
 
84.2
 
250,914
Matthew Ryan Best (D)
 
15.8
 
47,056

Total votes: 297,970
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Matthew Ryan Best advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 5.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 5

Incumbent Hal Rogers defeated Gerardo Serrano in the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 5 on June 23, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Hal Rogers
Hal Rogers
 
91.1
 
76,575
Image of Gerardo Serrano
Gerardo Serrano
 
8.9
 
7,436

Total votes: 84,011
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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2018

See also: Kentucky's 5th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 5

Incumbent Hal Rogers defeated Kenneth Stepp in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 5 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Hal Rogers
Hal Rogers (R)
 
78.9
 
172,093
Image of Kenneth Stepp
Kenneth Stepp (D)
 
21.0
 
45,890
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.0
 
34

Total votes: 218,017
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 5

Kenneth Stepp defeated Scott Sykes in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 5 on May 22, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Kenneth Stepp
Kenneth Stepp
 
58.7
 
33,602
Image of Scott Sykes
Scott Sykes
 
41.3
 
23,644

Total votes: 57,246
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 5

Incumbent Hal Rogers defeated Gerardo Serrano in the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 5 on May 22, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Hal Rogers
Hal Rogers
 
84.2
 
75,601
Image of Gerardo Serrano
Gerardo Serrano
 
15.8
 
14,216

Total votes: 89,817
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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2016

See also: Kentucky's 5th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Hal Rogers (R) faced no Democratic opposition in the general election on November 8, 2016. Rogers, who has served in Congress since 1981, defeated challenger John Burk Jr. in the Republican primary on May 17, 2016.[1][2]

U.S. House, Kentucky District 5 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngHal Rogers Incumbent 100% 221,242
Total Votes 221,242
Source: Kentucky Secretary of State


U.S. House, Kentucky District 5 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngHal Rogers Incumbent 82.4% 35,984
John Burk 17.6% 7,669
Total Votes 43,653
Source: Kentucky State Board of Elections

2014

See also: Kentucky's 5th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 5th Congressional District of Kentucky held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Hal Rogers (R) defeated challenger Kenneth Stepp (D) in the general election.

U.S. House, Kentucky District 5 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngHal Rogers Incumbent 78.3% 171,350
     Democratic Kenneth Stepp 21.7% 47,617
Total Votes 218,967
Source: Kentucky Secretary of State

General election candidates


May 20, 2014, primary results

Republican Party Republican Primary

Democratic Party Democratic Primary


2012

See also: Kentucky's 5th Congressional District elections, 2012

The 5th Congressional District of Kentucky held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Incumbent Hal Rogers won re-election in the district.[4]

U.S. House, Kentucky District 5 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngHal Rogers Incumbent 77.9% 195,406
     Democratic Kenneth Stepp 22.1% 55,447
Total Votes 250,853
Source: Kentucky Board of Elections "2012 General Election Official Vote Totals"

2010
On November 2, 2010, Hal Rogers won re-election to the United States House. He defeated James E. "Jim" Holbert (D) in the general election.[5]

U.S. House, Kentucky District 5 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngHal Rogers incumbent 77.4% 151,019
     Democratic Jim Holbert 22.6% 44,034
Total Votes 195,053


2008
On November 4, 2008, Hal Rogers won re-election to the United States House. He defeated James E. "Jim" Holbert (D) in the general election.[6]

U.S. House, Kentucky District 5 General Election, 2008
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngHal Rogers incumbent 84.1% 177,024
     Democratic Jim Holbert 15.9% 33,444
Total Votes 210,468


2006
On November 7, 2006, Hal Rogers won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Kenneth Stepp (D) in the general election.[7]

U.S. House, Kentucky District 5 General Election, 2006
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngHal Rogers incumbent 73.8% 147,201
     Democratic Kenneth Stepp 26.2% 52,367
Total Votes 199,568


2004
Rogers ran unopposed for re-election in 2004.

2002
On November 5, 2002, Hal Rogers won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Sidney Jane Bailey (D) in the general election.[8]

U.S. House, Kentucky District 5 General Election, 2002
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngHal Rogers incumbent 78.3% 137,986
     Democratic Sidney Jane Bailey 21.7% 38,254
Total Votes 176,240


2000
On November 7, 2000, Hal Rogers won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Sidney Jane Bailey (D) in the general election.[9]

U.S. House, Kentucky District 5 General Election, 2000
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngHal Rogers incumbent 73.6% 145,980
     Democratic Sidney Jane Bailey 26.4% 52,495
Total Votes 198,475


District map

Redistricting

2020-2021

See also: Redistricting in Kentucky after the 2020 census

Kentucky adopted new congressional district boundaries on January 20, 2022, after the general assembly overrode Gov. Andy Beshear’s (D) veto of legislation establishing the state’ new congressional map. Beshear vetoed Senate Bill 3 —the congressional redistricting legislation —on January 19, 2022. The vote to override the governor’s veto was 26-8 in the state Senate with 23 Republicans and three Democrats in favor and five Democrats and three Republicans opposed. The override vote was 64-24 in the state House, with all votes in favor by Republicans and 21 Democrats and three Republicans voting to sustain Beshear’s veto.[10][11][12]

Senate Bill 3 was introduced in the Kentucky State Senate on January 4, 2022. The Senate voted 28-4 in favor of the map on January 6 followed by the House voting 65-25 in favor on January 8.[13]

Greg Giroux of Bloomberg Government wrote that the "congressional map [is] designed to preserve a 5–1 Republican advantage in Kentucky’s U.S. House delegation." Giroux added, "The map most notably boosts Rep. Andy Barr (R), whose central 6th District in and around Lexington will become more Republican-friendly in part by transferring the state capital of Frankfort to the western 1st District of Rep. James Comer (R)."[14]

How does redistricting in Kentucky work? In Kentucky, both congressional and state legislative district boundaries are drawn by the state legislature. District maps may be vetoed by the governor.[15]

Guidelines adopted in 1991 stipulate that congressional districts ought to be contiguous. In addition, county lines and communities of interest should be maintained if possible. These guidelines are not statutory; consequently, they may be amended by the legislature at its discretion.[15]

The Kentucky Constitution requires that state legislative districts "be contiguous ... and preserve whole counties where possible."[15]

Kentucky District 5
until January 2, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Kentucky District 5
starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

2010-2011

This is the 5th Congressional District of Kentucky after the 2001 redistricting process.
See also: Redistricting in Kentucky after the 2010 census

In 2011, the Kentucky State Legislature re-drew the congressional districts based on updated population information from the 2010 census.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

2024

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+32. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 32 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Kentucky's 5th the 2nd most Republican district nationally.[16]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 79.1%-19.7%.[17]

2022

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+32. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 32 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Kentucky's 5th the 2nd most Republican district nationally.[18]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 19.7% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 79.1%.[19]

2018

Heading into the 2018 elections, based on results from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+31. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 31 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Kentucky's 5th Congressional District the fourth most Republican nationally.[20]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.07. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.07 points toward that party.[21]

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. Kentucky Secretary of State, "Candidate Filings with the Office of the Secretary of State," accessed January 27, 2016
  2. The New York Times, "Kentucky Results," May 17, 2016
  3. 3.0 3.1 Kentucky Secretary of State Election, "Candidate Filings," accessed January 28, 2014
  4. Politico, "2012 Election Map, Kentucky"
  5. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
  6. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
  7. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
  8. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
  9. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
  10. Louisville Courier Journal, "Kentucky Democratic Party suing over Republicans' state and Congress redistricting maps," January 21, 2022
  11. Kentucky General Assembly, "Senate Bill 3," accessed January 21, 2022
  12. Louisville Courier Journal, "Claiming 'unconstitutional gerrymandering,' Beshear vetoes Kentucky redistricting plans," January 20, 2022
  13. Kentucky General Assembly, "Senate Bill 3," accessed January 21, 2022
  14. Bloomberg Government, "Kentucky Congressional Map Enacted After GOP Overrides Governor," January 20, 2022
  15. 15.0 15.1 15.2 All About Redistricting, "Kentucky," accessed April 29, 2015
  16. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  17. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  18. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  19. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  20. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  21. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
Andy Barr (R)
Republican Party (7)
Democratic Party (1)