Kentucky's 5th Congressional District
Kentucky's 5th Congressional District in the United States House of Representatives is represented by Hal Rogers (R).
As of the 2020 Census, Kentucky representatives represented an average of 751,557 residents. After the 2010 Census, each member represented 725,101 residents.
Elections
2024
See also: Kentucky's 5th Congressional District election, 2024
Kentucky's 5th Congressional District election, 2024 (May 21 Republican primary)
General election
General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 5
Incumbent Hal Rogers won election in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 5 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Hal Rogers (R) | 100.0 | 261,407 |
Total votes: 261,407 | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 5
Incumbent Hal Rogers defeated Dana Edwards, Brandon Monhollen, and David Kraftchak in the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 5 on May 21, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Hal Rogers | 81.8 | 39,423 | |
Dana Edwards | 10.6 | 5,112 | ||
Brandon Monhollen | 5.5 | 2,673 | ||
David Kraftchak | 2.1 | 997 |
Total votes: 48,205 | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Stephan Mazur (R)
2022
General election
General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 5
Incumbent Hal Rogers defeated Conor Halbleib and Stephan Mazur in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 5 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Hal Rogers (R) | 82.2 | 177,712 | |
Conor Halbleib (D) | 17.8 | 38,549 | ||
Stephan Mazur (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 9 |
Total votes: 216,270 | ||||
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Democratic primary election
The Democratic primary election was canceled. Conor Halbleib advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 5.
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 5
Incumbent Hal Rogers defeated Gerardo Serrano, Jeannette Andrews, Brandon Monhollen, and Richard Van Dam in the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 5 on May 17, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Hal Rogers | 82.6 | 77,050 | |
Gerardo Serrano | 5.9 | 5,460 | ||
Jeannette Andrews | 4.5 | 4,160 | ||
Brandon Monhollen | 4.1 | 3,831 | ||
Richard Van Dam | 3.0 | 2,784 |
Total votes: 93,285 | ||||
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2020
General election
General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 5
Incumbent Hal Rogers defeated Matthew Ryan Best in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 5 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Hal Rogers (R) | 84.2 | 250,914 | |
Matthew Ryan Best (D) | 15.8 | 47,056 |
Total votes: 297,970 | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- William Hibbitts (Independent)
- John Wells (L)
Democratic primary election
The Democratic primary election was canceled. Matthew Ryan Best advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 5.
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 5
Incumbent Hal Rogers defeated Gerardo Serrano in the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 5 on June 23, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Hal Rogers | 91.1 | 76,575 | |
Gerardo Serrano | 8.9 | 7,436 |
Total votes: 84,011 | ||||
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2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 5
Incumbent Hal Rogers defeated Kenneth Stepp in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 5 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Hal Rogers (R) | 78.9 | 172,093 | |
Kenneth Stepp (D) | 21.0 | 45,890 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 0.0 | 34 |
Total votes: 218,017 | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 5
Kenneth Stepp defeated Scott Sykes in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 5 on May 22, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Kenneth Stepp | 58.7 | 33,602 | |
Scott Sykes | 41.3 | 23,644 |
Total votes: 57,246 | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 5
Incumbent Hal Rogers defeated Gerardo Serrano in the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 5 on May 22, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Hal Rogers | 84.2 | 75,601 | |
Gerardo Serrano | 15.8 | 14,216 |
Total votes: 89,817 | ||||
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2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Hal Rogers (R) faced no Democratic opposition in the general election on November 8, 2016. Rogers, who has served in Congress since 1981, defeated challenger John Burk Jr. in the Republican primary on May 17, 2016.[1][2]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | 100% | 221,242 | ||
Total Votes | 221,242 | |||
Source: Kentucky Secretary of State |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
|
82.4% | 35,984 | ||
John Burk | 17.6% | 7,669 | ||
Total Votes | 43,653 | |||
Source: Kentucky State Board of Elections |
2014
The 5th Congressional District of Kentucky held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Hal Rogers (R) defeated challenger Kenneth Stepp (D) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | 78.3% | 171,350 | ||
Democratic | Kenneth Stepp | 21.7% | 47,617 | |
Total Votes | 218,967 | |||
Source: Kentucky Secretary of State |
General election candidates
Hal Rogers - Incumbent
Kenneth Stepp
May 20, 2014, primary results
|
2012
The 5th Congressional District of Kentucky held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Incumbent Hal Rogers won re-election in the district.[4]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | 77.9% | 195,406 | ||
Democratic | Kenneth Stepp | 22.1% | 55,447 | |
Total Votes | 250,853 | |||
Source: Kentucky Board of Elections "2012 General Election Official Vote Totals" |
2010
On November 2, 2010, Hal Rogers won re-election to the United States House. He defeated James E. "Jim" Holbert (D) in the general election.[5]
U.S. House, Kentucky District 5 General Election, 2010 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Republican | 77.4% | 151,019 | ||
Democratic | Jim Holbert | 22.6% | 44,034 | |
Total Votes | 195,053 |
2008
On November 4, 2008, Hal Rogers won re-election to the United States House. He defeated James E. "Jim" Holbert (D) in the general election.[6]
U.S. House, Kentucky District 5 General Election, 2008 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Republican | 84.1% | 177,024 | ||
Democratic | Jim Holbert | 15.9% | 33,444 | |
Total Votes | 210,468 |
2006
On November 7, 2006, Hal Rogers won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Kenneth Stepp (D) in the general election.[7]
U.S. House, Kentucky District 5 General Election, 2006 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Republican | 73.8% | 147,201 | ||
Democratic | Kenneth Stepp | 26.2% | 52,367 | |
Total Votes | 199,568 |
2004
Rogers ran unopposed for re-election in 2004.
2002
On November 5, 2002, Hal Rogers won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Sidney Jane Bailey (D) in the general election.[8]
U.S. House, Kentucky District 5 General Election, 2002 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Republican | 78.3% | 137,986 | ||
Democratic | Sidney Jane Bailey | 21.7% | 38,254 | |
Total Votes | 176,240 |
2000
On November 7, 2000, Hal Rogers won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Sidney Jane Bailey (D) in the general election.[9]
U.S. House, Kentucky District 5 General Election, 2000 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Republican | 73.6% | 145,980 | ||
Democratic | Sidney Jane Bailey | 26.4% | 52,495 | |
Total Votes | 198,475 |
District map
Redistricting
2020-2021
Kentucky adopted new congressional district boundaries on January 20, 2022, after the general assembly overrode Gov. Andy Beshear’s (D) veto of legislation establishing the state’ new congressional map. Beshear vetoed Senate Bill 3 —the congressional redistricting legislation —on January 19, 2022. The vote to override the governor’s veto was 26-8 in the state Senate with 23 Republicans and three Democrats in favor and five Democrats and three Republicans opposed. The override vote was 64-24 in the state House, with all votes in favor by Republicans and 21 Democrats and three Republicans voting to sustain Beshear’s veto.[10][11][12]
Senate Bill 3 was introduced in the Kentucky State Senate on January 4, 2022. The Senate voted 28-4 in favor of the map on January 6 followed by the House voting 65-25 in favor on January 8.[13]
Greg Giroux of Bloomberg Government wrote that the "congressional map [is] designed to preserve a 5–1 Republican advantage in Kentucky’s U.S. House delegation." Giroux added, "The map most notably boosts Rep. Andy Barr (R), whose central 6th District in and around Lexington will become more Republican-friendly in part by transferring the state capital of Frankfort to the western 1st District of Rep. James Comer (R)."[14]
How does redistricting in Kentucky work? In Kentucky, both congressional and state legislative district boundaries are drawn by the state legislature. District maps may be vetoed by the governor.[15]
Guidelines adopted in 1991 stipulate that congressional districts ought to be contiguous. In addition, county lines and communities of interest should be maintained if possible. These guidelines are not statutory; consequently, they may be amended by the legislature at its discretion.[15]
The Kentucky Constitution requires that state legislative districts "be contiguous ... and preserve whole counties where possible."[15]
Kentucky District 5
until January 2, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Kentucky District 5
starting January 3, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
2010-2011
In 2011, the Kentucky State Legislature re-drew the congressional districts based on updated population information from the 2010 census.
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
2024
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+32. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 32 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Kentucky's 5th the 2nd most Republican district nationally.[16]
Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 79.1%-19.7%.[17]
2022
Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+32. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 32 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Kentucky's 5th the 2nd most Republican district nationally.[18]
Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 19.7% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 79.1%.[19]
2018
Heading into the 2018 elections, based on results from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+31. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 31 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Kentucky's 5th Congressional District the fourth most Republican nationally.[20]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.07. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.07 points toward that party.[21]
See also
- Redistricting in Kentucky
- Kentucky's 5th Congressional District election, 2024
- Kentucky's 5th Congressional District election, 2022
- Kentucky's 5th Congressional District election, 2020
- Kentucky's 5th Congressional District election, 2018
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Kentucky Secretary of State, "Candidate Filings with the Office of the Secretary of State," accessed January 27, 2016
- ↑ The New York Times, "Kentucky Results," May 17, 2016
- ↑ 3.0 3.1 Kentucky Secretary of State Election, "Candidate Filings," accessed January 28, 2014
- ↑ Politico, "2012 Election Map, Kentucky"
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ Louisville Courier Journal, "Kentucky Democratic Party suing over Republicans' state and Congress redistricting maps," January 21, 2022
- ↑ Kentucky General Assembly, "Senate Bill 3," accessed January 21, 2022
- ↑ Louisville Courier Journal, "Claiming 'unconstitutional gerrymandering,' Beshear vetoes Kentucky redistricting plans," January 20, 2022
- ↑ Kentucky General Assembly, "Senate Bill 3," accessed January 21, 2022
- ↑ Bloomberg Government, "Kentucky Congressional Map Enacted After GOP Overrides Governor," January 20, 2022
- ↑ 15.0 15.1 15.2 All About Redistricting, "Kentucky," accessed April 29, 2015
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018