Connecticut gubernatorial election, 2018 (August 14 Republican primary)

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2022
2014
Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Connecticut
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: June 12, 2018
Primary: August 14, 2018
General: November 6, 2018

Pre-election incumbent(s):
Gov. Dan Malloy (Democrat)
Lt. Gov. Nancy Wyman (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Connecticut
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Democratic
Inside Elections: Lean Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
Federal and state primary competitiveness
State executive elections in 2018
Impact of term limits in 2018
State government trifectas
State government triplexes
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
Connecticut
executive elections
Governor

Lieutenant governor
Attorney general
Secretary of state
Treasurer
Comptroller

Businessman Bob Stefanowski (R) won the Republican gubernatorial primary. Stefanowski received 29.4 percent of the vote to Danbury Mayor Mark Boughton's (R) 21.3 percent.

The two were among five candidates seeking the nomination in the August 14 primary.

Stefanowski touted his outsider status and business experience. His central policy objective was an economic recovery plan which included a policy of zero-based budgeting as well as privatization of the Department of Motor Vehicles. The plan, which was endorsed by Ronald Reagan economic adviser Dr. Arthur Laffer, also included investments in infrastructure as well as policies intended to encourage senior citizens and recent university graduates to remain in the state.[1][2]

As the winner of the Republican Party of Connecticut's official endorsement, Boughton received top billing on the primary ballot. He ran on a promise of a new direction for the state, emphasizing the theme of Connecticut's comeback. He pointed to his nine terms as mayor of Danbury as a model for his statewide policy objectives, calling for increased investment in education and an emphasis on economic growth. Among Boughton's policy proposals was a plan to phase out the state income tax.[3][4]

Trumbull First Selectman Tim Herbst (R) also referred to his record in municipal government, arguing that in his eight years as first selectman Trumbull changed "from a town on the brink of financial ruin to one of the most prosperous, well-managed municipalities in the state."[5] Herbst's platform included the repeal of the state's income tax for those making $75,000 or less annually, support for the state's defense industry, and public safety initiatives.[6]

Businessman Steve Obsitnik (R) emphasized his status as a political outsider and a veteran of the U.S. Navy, promising "bold ideas, an entrepreneurial mentality and true leadership."[7] Obsitnik's campaign website highlighted his jobs plan, which promised to add 300,000 jobs in eight years.[8] Obsitnik's other policy proposals included a nearly $100 billion infrastructure spending plan which would store funds in a lockbox as well as increased funding for opioid recovery.[9]

Like Obsitnik and Stefanowski, David Stemerman (R) argued that a political outsider with a business background was needed to manage the state. Stemerman's platform pointed to policies which he argued other states have adopted successfully in the past, referencing Michigan's tax and regulatory structures, Washington's use of priority-based budgeting, and Massachusetts' education policies.[10] Stemerman also called for changes to the state's pension structure and increased investment in infrastructure.[11]

The state had an all-Democratic congressional delegation and was carried by the Democratic candidate in every presidential election since 1992, including by a 13.5 percent margin in 2016. However, political strategists identified the governorship as one of the Republican Party's most promising pickup opportunities nationwide, pointing to incumbent Dannel Malloy's (D) 21 percent approval rating and the results of the 2016 state legislative elections, which saw Democrats lose their majority in the state senate.[12][13]

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State overview

Partisan control

This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Connecticut heading into the 2018 elections.

Congressional delegation

State executives

State legislature

  • Democrats controlled both chambers of the Connecticut General Assembly. They had a 80-71 majority in the state House and a 18-18 majority in the state Senate.

Trifecta status

  • Connecticut was one of eight Democratic trifectas, meaning that Democrats controlled the office of the governor, the state House, and the state Senate.

2018 elections

See also: Connecticut elections, 2018

Connecticut held elections for the following positions in 2018:

Demographics

Demographic data for Connecticut
 ConnecticutU.S.
Total population:3,584,730316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):4,8423,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:77.3%73.6%
Black/African American:10.3%12.6%
Asian:4.2%5.1%
Native American:0.2%0.8%
Pacific Islander:0%0.2%
Two or more:2.8%3%
Hispanic/Latino:14.7%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:89.9%86.7%
College graduation rate:37.6%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$70,331$53,889
Persons below poverty level:12.2%11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Connecticut.
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

As of July 2016, Connecticut's three largest cities were Bridgeport (pop. est. 146,579), New Haven (pop. est. 131,014), and Stamford (pop. est. 130,824).[14][15]

State election history

This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Connecticut from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Connecticut Secretary of State.

Historical elections

Presidential elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Connecticut every year from 2000 to 2016.

Election results (President of the United States), Connecticut 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Democratic Party Hillary Clinton 54.6% Republican Party Donald Trump 40.9% 13.7%
2012 Democratic Party Barack Obama 58.1% Republican Party Mitt Romney 40.8% 17.3%
2008 Democratic Party Barack Obama 60.6% Republican Party John McCain 38.2% 22.4%
2004 Democratic Party John Kerry 54.3% Republican Party George W. Bush 43.9% 10.4%
2000 Democratic Party Al Gore 55.9% Republican Party George W. Bush 38.4% 17.5%

U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Connecticut from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

Election results (U.S. Senator), Connecticut 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Democratic Party Richard Blumenthal 63.2% Republican Party Dan Carter 34.6% 28.6%
2012 Democratic Party Christopher Murphy 54.8% Republican Party Linda McMahon 43.1% 11.7%
2010 Democratic Party Richard Blumenthal 55.2% Republican Party Linda McMahon 43.2% 12%
2006 Grey.png Joe Lieberman (I) 49.7% Democratic Party Ned Lamont 39.7% 12.2%
2004 Democratic Party Chris Dodd 66.4% Republican Party Jack Orchulli 32.1% 34.3%
2002 Democratic Party Joe Lieberman 63.2% Republican Party Philip Giordano 34.2% 29%

Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Connecticut.

Election results (Governor), Connecticut 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2014 Democratic Party Dan Malloy 50.7% Republican Party Tom Foley 48.2% 2.5%
2010 Democratic Party Dan Malloy 49.5% Republican Party Tom Foley 49% .5%
2006 Republican Party Jodi Rell 63.2% Democratic Party John DeStefano, Jr. 35.5% 27.7%
2002 Republican Party John G. Rowland 56.1% Democratic Party Bill Curry 43.9% 12.2%

Congressional delegation, 2000-2016

This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Connecticut in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

Congressional delegation, Connecticut 2000-2016
Year Republicans Republicans (%) Democrats Democrats (%) Balance of power
2016 Republican Party 0 0% Democratic Party 5 100% D+5
2014 Republican Party 0 0% Democratic Party 5 100% D+5
2012 Republican Party 0 0% Democratic Party 5 100% D+5
2010 Republican Party 0 0% Democratic Party 5 100% D+5
2008 Republican Party 0 36.8% Democratic Party 5 100% D+5
2006 Republican Party 1 20% Democratic Party 4 80% D+4
2004 Republican Party 3 60% Democratic Party 2 40% R+1
2002 Republican Party 3 60% Democratic Party 2 40% R+1
2000 Republican Party 2 40% Democratic Party 3 60.0% D+1

Trifectas, 1992-2017

A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

Connecticut Party Control: 1992-2025
Fifteen years of Democratic trifectas  •  No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Governor I I I R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D
Senate D D D R R D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D
House D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D

See also

Democratic primariesRepublican primaries

Footnotes