United States House of Representatives elections in Idaho, 2022
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May 17, 2022 |
November 8, 2022 |
2022 U.S. House Elections |
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The U.S. House of Representatives elections in Idaho were on November 8, 2022. Voters elected two candidates to serve in the U.S. House, one from each of the state's two U.S. House districts. The primary was scheduled for May 17, 2022. The filing deadline was March 11, 2022.
Partisan breakdown
| Members of the U.S. House from Idaho -- Partisan Breakdown | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | As of November 2022 | After the 2022 Election | |
| Democratic Party | 0 | 0 | |
| Republican Party | 2 | 2 | |
| Total | 2 | 2 | |
Candidates
District 1
General election candidates
- Russ Fulcher (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Kaylee Peterson (Democratic Party)
- Darian Drake (Libertarian Party)
Did not make the ballot:
- Joe Evans (Libertarian Party)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
- Russ Fulcher (Incumbent) ✔
Did not make the ballot:
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Minor Party primary candidates
Libertarian Party
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
District 2
General election candidates
- Michael K. Simpson (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Wendy Norman (Democratic Party)
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[1]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[2][3][4]
Click the following links to see the race ratings in each of the state's U.S. House districts:
Ballot access
For information on candidate ballot access requirements in Idaho, click here.
Election analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District maps - A map of the state's districts before and after redistricting.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
District map
Below were the district maps in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the maps in place before the election.
Idaho Congressional Districts
until January 2, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Idaho Congressional Districts
starting January 3, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Competitiveness
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Idaho.
| Idaho U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2022 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
| 2022 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 50.0% | ||||
| 2020 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 75.0% | 2 | 100.0% | ||||
| 2018 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 75.0% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
| 2016 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 75.0% | 2 | 100.0% | ||||
| 2014 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 75.0% | 2 | 100.0% | ||||
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Idaho in 2022. Information below was calculated on March 28, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
In 2022, nine candidates—two Democrats, six Republicans, and one Libertarian—filed to run for Idaho's two U.S. House districts. That's 4.5 candidates per district, less than the 5.0 candidates per district in 2020 and 9.0 in 2018.
Both incumbents filed for re-election: Reps. Russ Fulcher (R) in District 1 and Michael Simpson (R) in District 2. The only primary that drew more than one candidate was in District 2, where Simpson was set to face four challengers as of the candidate filing deadline. Of those four challengers, one was Bryan Smith, who Simpson defeated 62-38% in the 2014 Republican primary. According to Roll Call's Nathan Gonzales, Republicans won 27 of the 28 U.S. House elections between 1994 and 2022.[5] Walt Minnick (D) won election to District 1 in 2008 and lost to Raul Labrador (R) after serving one term.
Presidential elections
As a result of redistricting following the 2020 census, many district boundaries changed. As a result, analysis of the presidential vote in each of these new districts is not yet available. Once that analysis is available, it will be published here.
Idaho presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 9 Democratic wins
- 22 Republican wins
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | D | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
State party control
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Idaho's congressional delegation as of November 2022.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Idaho, November 2022 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 2 | 4 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Idaho's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.
| State executive officials in Idaho, November 2022 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | |
| Lieutenant Governor | |
| Secretary of State | |
| Attorney General | |
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Idaho State Legislature as of November 2022.
Idaho State Senate
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 7 | |
| Republican Party | 28 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 35 | |
Idaho House of Representatives
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 12 | |
| Republican Party | 58 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 70 | |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Idaho was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Idaho Party Control: 1992-2022
No Democratic trifectas • Twenty-eight years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| Senate | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Redistricting following the 2020 census
On November 12, 2021, the Idaho Independent Redistricting Commission formally submitted its final legislative map to the secretary of state. On November 10, 2021, the commission voted 6-0 in favor of the final legislative map.[6] The commission had earlier voted in favor of the map on November 5, 2021, but chose to recast their votes on November 10, 2021, due to concerns regarding Idaho's open meetings laws.[6][7][8] Idaho has 35 legislative districts, each of which elects one senator and two representatives.
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Roll Call, "Bleak streak for Idaho Democrats likely to continue," Feb. 28, 2022
- ↑ 6.0 6.1 Boise State Public Radio, "Commission for reappointment recasts votes on Idaho’s new political district maps," Nov. 11, 2021
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "The partisan breakdown of Idaho’s new map," accessed Nov. 16, 2021
- ↑ Boise State Public Radio, "Final iterations of Idaho's districting maps are proposed," Nov. 7, 2021
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