United States Senate election in Wisconsin, 2022
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U.S. Senate, Wisconsin |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: June 1, 2022 |
Primary: August 9, 2022 General: November 8, 2022 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Wisconsin |
Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Tilt Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th Wisconsin elections, 2022 U.S. Congress elections, 2022 U.S. Senate elections, 2022 U.S. House elections, 2022 |
Incumbent U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson (R) defeated Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes (D) and write-in candidate Scott Aubart (American Independent Party) in the general election on November 8, 2022, to represent Wisconsin in the U.S. Senate.
Johnson was first elected in 2010, defeating then-incumbent Sen. Russ Feingold (D), 52% to 47%. Johnson won re-election in 2016 in a rematch with Feingold, 50% to 47%. In 2018, incumbent Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D) defeated Leah Vukmir (R), 55% to 45%. Before his election to the Senate, Johnson worked as the chief executive officer for a specialty plastics company and as an accountant at Jostens.[1] Johnson said that his campaign was "focused on growing our economy and creating good jobs and economic opportunity for all."[2]
Barnes served in the Wisconsin State Assembly from 2013 to 2017 and was elected lieutenant governor in 2018. Before his time in the legislature, Barnes worked for the city of Milwaukee and as a community organizer for the Milwaukee Inner-City Congregations Allied for Hope.[3][4] Barnes said he would "fight to create opportunity in every corner of Wisconsin, bring manufacturing back, create jobs by tackling climate change, and stand up for Wisconsin’s family farmers."[3]
Wisconsin was one of two states that held a U.S. Senate election in 2022 with a Republican incumbent that President Joe Biden carried in the 2020 presidential election. Wisconsin was also one of six states with one Democratic and one Republican U.S. senator as of the 2022 U.S. Senate elections.[5]
The 2020 and 2016 presidential elections in Wisconsin were both decided by less than one percentage point. In the 2020 election, President Joe Biden (D) won the state over then-incumbent President Donald Trump (R), 49.5% to 48.8%. In the 2016 election, Trump carried Wisconsin with 47.2% of the vote to Hillary Clinton's (D) 46.5%. At the start of the 2022 election cycle, Inside Elections rated this state Battleground Republican.[6]
The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. Senate in 2022. Democrats retained their majority and gained one net seat, with the Senate's post-election partisan balance at 51 Democrats and 49 Republicans.
Thirty-five of 100 seats were up for election, including one special election.[7] At the time of the election, Democrats had an effective majority, with the chamber split 50-50 and Vice President Kamala Harris (D) having the tie-breaking vote.[8] Of the seats up for election in 2022, Democrats held 14 and Republicans held 21.
Mandela Barnes (D) and Scott Aubart (American Independent Party) completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. To read those survey responses, click here.
For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
For more information about the Republican primary, click here.
Election news
Click below to view a timeline leading up to the election, including polling, debates, and other noteworthy events.
- November 9, 2022: U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson (R) was projected as the winner over Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes (D) and write-in candidate Scott Aubart (American Independent Party) in the November 8, 2022, general election for the United States Senate from Wisconsin.
- November 2, 2022
- The Marquette Law School released a poll of 606 likely voters showing Sen. Ron Johnson with 50%, Mandela Barnes with 48%, and 2% undecided. The margin of error was ± 4.8 percentage points.[9]
- Emerson College Polling released a poll sponsored by WFRV-TV & The Hill of 1,000 likely voters showing Sen. Ron Johnson with 50%, Mandela Barnes with 46%, and 5% undecided or supporting another candidate. The margin of error was ± 3 percentage points.[10]
- November 1, 2022: Fox News released a poll of 1,000 registered voters showing Sen. Ron Johnson with 48%, Mandela Barnes with 45%, and 8% undecided. The margin of error was ± 3 percentage points.[11]
- October 31, 2022: Clarity Campaign Labs released a poll of 888 likely voters conducted for Mandela Barnes' campaign showing Mandela Barnes with 48%, Sen. Ron Johnson with 46%, and 6% undecided. The margin of error was ± 3.3 percentage points.[12]
- October 30, 2022: Wick Insights released a poll of 1,089 likely voters showing Sen. Ron Johnson with 50%, Mandela Barnes with 46%, and 4% undecided. The margin of error was ± 3.2 percentage points.[13]
- October 27, 2022: Pre-General election campaign finance filings were due. Johnson reported raising $31.9 million and spending $28.5 million and Barnes reported raising $35.0 million and spending $32.5 million over the course of this election cycle.[14][15]
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. Senate Wisconsin
Incumbent Ronald Harold Johnson defeated Mandela Barnes, Adam Nicholas Paul, and Scott Aubart in the general election for U.S. Senate Wisconsin on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Ronald Harold Johnson (R) | 50.4 | 1,337,185 | |
Mandela Barnes (D) | 49.4 | 1,310,467 | ||
Adam Nicholas Paul (Logic Party) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 67 | ||
Scott Aubart (American Independent Party) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 0 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 0.2 | 4,758 |
Total votes: 2,652,477 | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Bradford Spencer (Independent)
- Aaron Frank (Independent)
- Neal Long (L)
- Deliala Gaustad (Patriot Party)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Wisconsin
The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Wisconsin on August 9, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Mandela Barnes | 77.8 | 390,279 | |
Alex Lasry (Unofficially withdrew) | 8.9 | 44,609 | ||
Sarah Godlewski (Unofficially withdrew) | 8.1 | 40,555 | ||
Tom Nelson (Unofficially withdrew) | 2.2 | 10,995 | ||
Steven Olikara | 1.1 | 5,619 | ||
Darrell Williams | 0.7 | 3,646 | ||
Kou Lee | 0.7 | 3,434 | ||
Peter Peckarsky | 0.5 | 2,446 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 0.0 | 177 |
Total votes: 501,760 | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Gillian Battino (D)
- Chris Larson (D)
- Adam Murphy (D)
- Chantia Lewis (D)
- Jeff Rumbaugh (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. Senate Wisconsin
Incumbent Ronald Harold Johnson defeated David Schroeder in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Wisconsin on August 9, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Ronald Harold Johnson | 83.6 | 563,871 | |
David Schroeder | 16.3 | 109,917 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 0.1 | 693 |
Total votes: 674,481 | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- John Berman (R)
- Mike Mangan (R)
- Brad Beyer (R)
- Justin Doty (R)
- Adam Benedetto (R)
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Wisconsin
Candidate comparison
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: Yes
Political Office:
- U.S. Senate - Wisconsin (Assumed office: 2011)
Biography: Johnson received a bachelor's degree in business and accounting from the University of Minnesota. His professional experience includes serving as the Chief Executive Officer for a specialty plastics company and as an accountant at Jostens.
Show sources
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Wisconsin in 2022.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
- Lieutenant Governor of Wisconsin (Assumed office: 2019)
- Wisconsin State Assembly, District 11 (2013-2017)
Submitted Biography: "My path here is far different than most. I was born in Milwaukee, in one of the most impoverished and incarcerated zip codes in the country, 53206. But I was fortunate…my parents both had good union jobs. My dad worked 3rd shift at the General Motors factory. My mom was a public-school teacher. Those jobs were their ticket into the middle class and opened doors of opportunity for me to work hard and achieve success. It was their hard work and example that paved the way for me to become an organizer, a State Representative, and ultimately Wisconsin’s first Black Lt. Governor. Yet for so many people across Wisconsin and across the country today - those same opportunities no longer exist. Those pathways into the middle class are closed off - whether by the cost of health care, the lack of good paying jobs, or an education system that doesn’t prepare them for the futures they deserve. I’m running for the U.S. Senate to expand opportunities for the middle class and to give every Wisconsinite a fair shot at the American Dream."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Wisconsin in 2022.
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Party: American Independent Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I’m Scott Aubart Father of 4 ,3 boys 1 girl. I lost my oldest son in a car accident in 2005 and my Daughter to complications with type 1 diabetes in 2017. I work as a Maintenance Manager and I’m a jack of all trades… My run for office is about honesty and integrity, I believe we should have real people that understand the issues. Not lifetime politicians. The country right now is extremely divided and that comes from our current leaders. We can’t fix it by putting the same people back in office ..Both parties are guilty of causing the divide we have right now.."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Wisconsin in 2022.
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
Collapse all
|Scott Aubart (American Independent)
Start making changes in Washington. What we have isn’t working.. It’s time to put people above Politics..
Holding trump accountable for his crimes . Especially the attack on our country by his followers and his ignoring the pandemic. trump is responsible for the deaths of many people
Mandela Barnes (D)
In the Senate, I’ll go to the mat to fight for our hard-won rights, including the right to make decisions about our own bodies and make our voices heard at the ballot box. I will fight to abolish the filibuster to codify Roe v. Wade and pass the For The People and the John Lewis Voting Rights Act. I’ll never let an archaic Senate procedure stand in the way of our basic human rights.
As I’ve traveled across Wisconsin as Lt. Governor, I’ve heard from countless small business owners, family farmers, and workers about the tough challenges we’re facing, and how difficult it’s been for families and communities. In the Senate, I’ll crack down on corporate handouts and level the playing field for small businesses to compete. I’ll also fight back against Big Ag monopolies and their anti-competitive practices that have put Wisconsin farmers and local meat processors on the back foot and raised prices for consumers. I’ll fight to increase access to quality affordable health care and child care, and expand access to capital for small businesses and family farmers.
Scott Aubart (American Independent)
Mandela Barnes (D)
In the U.S. Senate, I’ll support bold climate legislation that prioritizes curbing greenhouse gas emissions by transitioning to 100% renewable energy as soon as possible, creating jobs with investments in clean energy, and manufacturing solar panels and windmills right here in Wisconsin.
Scott Aubart (American Independent)
Scott Aubart (American Independent)
Scott Aubart (American Independent)
Scott Aubart (American Independent)
Scott Aubart (American Independent)
Scott Aubart (American Independent)
Scott Aubart (American Independent)
Scott Aubart (American Independent)
Scott Aubart (American Independent)
Scott Aubart (American Independent)
Scott Aubart (American Independent)
Scott Aubart (American Independent)
Scott Aubart (American Independent)
Scott Aubart (American Independent)
Scott Aubart (American Independent)
Scott Aubart (American Independent)
Scott Aubart (American Independent)
Scott Aubart (American Independent)
Scott Aubart (American Independent)
Scott Aubart (American Independent)
Scott Aubart (American Independent)
Scott Aubart (American Independent)
Scott Aubart (American Independent)
Scott Aubart (American Independent)
Campaign advertisements
This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.
Mandela Barnes
September 15, 2022 |
September 6, 2022 |
August 30, 2022 |
View more ads here:
Ron Johnson
September 20, 2022 |
September 8, 2022 |
September 6, 2022 |
View more ads here:
Debates and forums
This section includes links to debates, forums, and other similar events where multiple candidates in this race participated. If you are aware of any debates or forums that should be included, please email us.
October 13 debate
On October 13, 2022, Barnes and Johnson participated in a debate at Marquette University.[31]
Click on the link below for a summary of the event:
October 7 debate
On October 7, 2022, Barnes and Johnson participated in a debate in Milwaukee.[32]
Click on the link below for a summary of the event:
Election competitiveness
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.[33] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."[34] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.
Below we provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, when available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation. We only report polls for which we can find a margin of error or credibility interval.
U.S. Senate election in Wisconsin, 2022: general election polls | |||||||||
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Poll | Date | Undecided/ Other |
Margin of error | Sample size[35] | Sponsor[36] | ||||
Marquette Law School | October 24-November 1, 2022 | 48 % | 50 % | 2 %[37] | +/- 4.8 | 679 LV | --- | ||
Clarity Campaign Labs (D) | October 27-31, 2022 | 48 % | 46 % | 6 %[38] | +/- 3.3 | 888 LV | Mandela Barnes campaign | ||
Emerson College Polling | October 27-29, 2022 | 46 % | 50 % | 5 %[39] | +/- 3 | 1,000 LV | WFRV-TV/The Hill | ||
Fox News | October 26-30, 2022 | 45 % | 48 % | 8 %[40] | +/- 3 | 1,000 RV | --- | ||
Wick Insights | October 26-30, 2022 | 46 % | 50 % | 4 %[41] | +/- 3.2 | 1,089 LV | --- |
Click [show] to see older poll results | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Date | Undecided/ Other |
Margin of error | Sample size[42] | Sponsor[43] | ||||
Data for Progress (D) | October 14-22, 2022 | 46 % | 51 % | 2 %[44] | +/- 3 | 1,376 LV | --- | ||
Fox News | September 22-26, 2022 | 44 % | 48 % | 8 %[45] | +/- 3 | 1,012 RV | --- | ||
Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research | September 18-25, 2022 | 46 % | 51 % | 3 %[46] | +/- 4.4 | 1,399 LV | AARP | ||
Data for Progress (D) | September 20-23, 2022 | 48 % | 50 % | 3 %[47] | +/- 3 | 999 LV | --- | ||
Trafalgar Group | September 15-19, 2022 | 47 % | 49 % | 5 %[48] | +/- 2.9 | 1,087 LV | --- | ||
Emerson College Polling | September 16-18, 2022 | 44 % | 48 % | 9 %[49] | +/- 3.27 | 860 LV | --- | ||
Siena College Research Institute | September 14-15, 2022 | 48 % | 47 % | 6 %[50] | +/- 4.5 | 651 LV | Spectrum News | ||
Marquette Law School | September 6-11, 2022 | 48 % | 49 % | 2 %[51] | +/- 4.9 | 606 LV | --- | ||
Trafalgar Group | August 22-25, 2022 | 49 % | 47 % | 4 %[52] | +/- 2.9 | 1,091 LV | --- | ||
Fox News | August 12-16, 2022 | 50 % | 46 % | 6 %[53] | +/- 3 | 1,006 RV | --- | ||
Marquette Law School | August 10-15, 2022 | 51 % | 44 % | 5 %[54] | +/- 4.2 | 811 RV | --- |
The chart below shows RealClearPolitics polling averages in this race over time.
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[55]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[56][57][58]
Race ratings: U.S. Senate election in Wisconsin, 2022 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Lean Republican | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Tilt Republican | Tilt Republican | Tilt Republican | Tilt Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Noteworthy endorsements
This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please email us.
Noteworthy endorsements | ||
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Endorser | ||
Government officials | ||
U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders source | ✔ | |
Gov. Tony Evers (D) source | ✔ | |
Individuals | ||
Frmr. Pres. Barack Obama source | ✔ | |
Frmr. U.S. President Donald Trump source | ✔ | |
Newspapers and editorials | ||
USA Today Network-Wisconsin source | ✔ | |
Wisconsin State Journal source | ✔ |
Election spending
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[59] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[60] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.
U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022 | ||
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Report | Close of books | Filing deadline |
Year-end 2021 | 12/31/2021 | 1/31/2022 |
April quarterly | 3/31/2022 | 4/15/2022 |
July quarterly | 6/30/2022 | 7/15/2022 |
October quarterly | 9/30/2022 | 10/15/2022 |
Pre-general | 10/19/2022 | 10/27/2022 |
Post-general | 11/28/2022 | 12/08/2022 |
Year-end 2022 | 12/31/2022 | 1/31/2023 |
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ronald Harold Johnson | Republican Party | $36,479,852 | $35,762,010 | $762,105 | As of December 31, 2022 |
Mandela Barnes | Democratic Party | $42,336,081 | $41,770,869 | $565,212 | As of December 31, 2022 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Satellite spending
- See also: Satellite spending
Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[61][62][63]
If available, links to satellite spending reports by the Federal Election Commission and OpenSecrets.org are linked below. Any satellite spending reported in other resources is displayed in a table. This table may not represent the actual total amount spent by satellite groups in the election. Satellite spending for which specific amounts, dates, or purposes are not reported are marked "N/A." To help us complete this information, or to notify us of additional satellite spending, email us.
By candidate | By election |
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Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates in Wisconsin in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Wisconsin, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates, 2022 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Wisconsin | U.S. Senate | All candidates | 2,000 | N/A | 6/1/2022 | Source |
Republican-held Senate seat in state Biden won
- See also: States won by Joe Biden in 2020 with Republican-held U.S. Senate seats up for election in 2022
This was one of two Senate seats Republicans were defending in states Joe Biden (D) won in the 2020 presidential election:
- Pennsylvania: Biden defeated Donald Trump (R) 50.0%-48.8%. Incumbent Pat Toomey did not seek re-election.
- Wisconsin: Biden defeated Trump 49.5%-48.8%. Incumbent Ron Johnson sought re-election.
Democrats were not defending any Senate seats in states Trump won in 2020.
The following table shows the 2020 presidential election margin of victory in percentage points for each state with a Senate election in 2022. Click [show] on the right to expand the table.
Election history
2018
General election
General election for U.S. Senate Wisconsin
Incumbent Tammy Baldwin defeated Leah Vukmir in the general election for U.S. Senate Wisconsin on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Tammy Baldwin (D) | 55.4 | 1,472,914 | |
Leah Vukmir (R) | 44.6 | 1,184,885 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 0.0 | 42 |
Total votes: 2,657,841 | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Wisconsin
Incumbent Tammy Baldwin advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Wisconsin on August 14, 2018.
Candidate | ||
✔ | Tammy Baldwin |
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. Senate Wisconsin
Leah Vukmir defeated Kevin Nicholson, George Lucia, Griffin Jones, and Charles Barman in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Wisconsin on August 14, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Leah Vukmir | 48.9 | 217,230 | |
Kevin Nicholson | 43.1 | 191,276 | ||
George Lucia | 4.2 | 18,786 | ||
Griffin Jones | 2.0 | 8,699 | ||
Charles Barman | 1.8 | 7,959 |
Total votes: 443,950 | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- John Schiess (R)
Independent primary election
No Independent candidates ran in the primary.
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Joseph Schnering (Independent)
2016
The race for Wisconsin's U.S. Senate seat was one of nine competitive battleground races in 2016 that helped Republicans maintain control of the Senate. Incumbent Ron Johnson (R) defeated former Senator Russ Feingold (D) and Phil Anderson (L) in the general election on November 8, 2016.[65][66][67]
In a rematch of the 2010 election, Johnson defeated Feingold for a second time to retain his Senate seat. Johnson trailed in the polls for most of the election.[68][69] In the final weeks of the election, Johnson received funding from national Republicans. Johnson said, "I wish I would have had the cavalry show up in June, July, August when Feingold was using his little moneymaking machine to out resource me. I guess, better late than never."[69][68]
Feingold reacted to his loss by saying to supporters, “I didn’t expect this outcome, to be honest with you.” Commenting on his loss and Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton’s, Feingold said, “I would urge you to be as restrained as you can be as the next steps occur...this could be one the most challenging times in the history of our country.”[70]
Johnson, who defeated Feingold by three percentage points, said in his victory speech, "I believe America has given us a chance, an opportunity to put this nation on the right path. It's exactly what I intend to do."[69]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | 50.2% | 1,479,471 | ||
Democratic | Russ Feingold | 46.8% | 1,380,335 | |
Libertarian | Phil Anderson | 3% | 87,531 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0% | 8 | |
Total Votes | 2,947,345 | |||
Source: Wisconsin Elections Commission |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
|
90.2% | 303,791 | ||
Scott Harbach | 9.8% | 33,096 | ||
Total Votes | 336,887 | |||
Source: Wisconsin Elections and Ethics Commission |
2012
Tammy Baldwin won election to the U.S. Senate in 2012.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | 51.5% | 1,547,104 | ||
Republican | Tommy Thompson | 45.9% | 1,380,126 | |
Libertarian | Joseph Kexel | 2.1% | 62,240 | |
Independent | Nimrod Allen III | 0.5% | 16,455 | |
N/A | Write-ins | 0% | 113 | |
Total Votes | 3,006,038 | |||
Source: U.S. House Clerk "2012 Election Statistics" |
August 14, 2012, primary results
|
Election analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
- Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
- State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
Presidential elections
Cook PVI by congressional district
Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Wisconsin, 2022 | |||
---|---|---|---|
District | Incumbent | Party | PVI |
Wisconsin's 1st | Bryan Steil | R+3 | |
Wisconsin's 2nd | Mark Pocan | D+19 | |
Wisconsin's 3rd | Open | R+4 | |
Wisconsin's 4th | Gwen Moore | D+25 | |
Wisconsin's 5th | Scott Fitzgerald | R+14 | |
Wisconsin's 6th | Glenn Grothman | R+10 | |
Wisconsin's 7th | Tom Tiffany | R+12 | |
Wisconsin's 8th | Mike Gallagher | R+10 |
2020 presidential results by 2022 congressional district lines
2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2022 district lines, Wisconsin[75] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
District | Joe Biden |
Donald Trump | ||
Wisconsin's 1st | 48.3% | 50.3% | ||
Wisconsin's 2nd | 70.2% | 28.4% | ||
Wisconsin's 3rd | 46.8% | 51.5% | ||
Wisconsin's 4th | 75.9% | 22.8% | ||
Wisconsin's 5th | 37.9% | 60.8% | ||
Wisconsin's 6th | 41.4% | 57.0% | ||
Wisconsin's 7th | 39.3% | 59.2% | ||
Wisconsin's 8th | 41.5% | 57.0% |
2012-2020
How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:
County-level voting pattern categories | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | |||||||
Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
Solid Democratic | D | D | D | ||||
Trending Democratic | R | D | D | ||||
Battleground Democratic | D | R | D | ||||
New Democratic | R | R | D | ||||
Republican | |||||||
Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
Solid Republican | R | R | R | ||||
Trending Republican | D | R | R | ||||
Battleground Republican | R | D | R | ||||
New Republican | D | D | R |
Following the 2020 presidential election, 46.1% of Wisconsinites lived in one of the state's 37 Solid Republican counties, which voted for the Republican presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020, and 35.7% lived in one of 12 Solid Democratic counties. Overall, Wisconsin was Battleground Democratic, having voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2012, Donald Trump (R) in 2016, and Joe Biden (D) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Wisconsin following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.
Wisconsin county-level statistics, 2020 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Solid Republican | 37 | 46.1% | |||||
Solid Democratic | 12 | 35.7% | |||||
Trending Republican | 21 | 16.6% | |||||
Battleground Democratic | 2 | 1.6% | |||||
Total voted Democratic | 14 | 37.3% | |||||
Total voted Republican | 58 | 62.7% |
Historical voting trends
Wisconsin presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 15 Democratic wins
- 15 Republican wins
- 1 other win
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | R | R | R | D | R | R | P[76] | R | D | D | D | R | D | R | R | R | D | R | R | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | D |
Statewide elections
This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.
U.S. Senate elections
The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Wisconsin.
U.S. Senate election results in Wisconsin | ||
---|---|---|
Race | Winner | Runner up |
2018 | 55.4% |
44.6% |
2016 | 50.2% |
46.8% |
2012 | 51.4% |
45.9% |
2010 | 51.9% |
47.0% |
2006 | 67.3% |
29.5% |
Average | 55.2 | 42.8 |
Gubernatorial elections
- See also: Governor of Wisconsin
The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Wisconsin.
Gubernatorial election results in Wisconsin | ||
---|---|---|
Race | Winner | Runner up |
2018 | 49.5% |
48.4% |
2014 | 52.3% |
46.6% |
2010 | 52.3% |
46.5% |
2006 | 52.8% |
45.4% |
2002 | 45.1% |
41.4% |
Average | 50.4 | 45.7 |
State partisanship
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Wisconsin's congressional delegation as of November 2022.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Wisconsin, November 2022 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Republican | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 8 | 10 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Wisconsin's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.
State executive officials in Wisconsin, November 2022 | |
---|---|
Office | Officeholder |
Governor | |
Lieutenant Governor | |
Secretary of State | |
Attorney General |
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Wisconsin State Legislature as of November 2022.
Wisconsin State Senate
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 12 | |
Republican Party | 21 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 33 |
Wisconsin State Assembly
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 38 | |
Republican Party | 57 | |
Vacancies | 4 | |
Total | 99 |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Wisconsin was a divided government, with Democrats controlling the governorship and Republican majorities in both chambers of the state legislature. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Wisconsin Party Control: 1992-2022
Two years of Democratic trifectas • Ten years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D |
Senate | D | R | R | R | D | D | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in Wisconsin and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.
Demographic Data for Wisconsin | ||
---|---|---|
Wisconsin | United States | |
Population | 5,686,986 | 308,745,538 |
Land area (sq mi) | 54,167 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White | 85.4% | 72.5% |
Black/African American | 6.4% | 12.7% |
Asian | 2.8% | 5.5% |
Native American | 0.9% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander | 0% | 0.2% |
Two or more | 2.4% | 3.3% |
Hispanic/Latino | 6.8% | 18% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate | 92.2% | 88% |
College graduation rate | 30.1% | 32.1% |
Income | ||
Median household income | $61,747 | $62,843 |
Persons below poverty level | 11.3% | 13.4% |
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019). | ||
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
2022 battleground elections
- See also: Battlegrounds
This election was a battleground race. Other 2022 battleground elections included:
- Minnesota gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2022
- Nebraska's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (May 10 Republican primary)
- Texas' 28th Congressional District election, 2022
- United States House of Representatives special election in Alaska, 2022 (June 11 top-four primary)
- United States Senate election in Alaska, 2022
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Ron Johnson-U.S. Senator for Wisconsin, "Biography," accessed August 12, 2022
- ↑ Ron Johnson for Wisconsin, "About Ron," accessed August 15, 2022
- ↑ 3.0 3.1 Mandela Barnes for Wisconsin, "Meet Mandela," accessed July 12, 2022
- ↑ Official Website for Wisconsin Governor Tony Evers, "About Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes," accessed July 12, 2022
- ↑ This included Sen. Angus King (Maine), an independent who caucused with Democrats.
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Senate Ratings," March 8, 2021
- ↑ The special Senate election in California was for the same seat up for regular election. There were, then, 36 total Senate elections for 35 total seats.
- ↑ Two independents who caucus with Democrats are included with Democrats in the 50-50 split count.
- ↑ Marquette Law School, "Final pre-election Marquette Law School Poll of Wisconsin voters finds both Senate and governor’s races are tossups," November 2, 2022
- ↑ Emerson College Polling, "Wisconsin 2022: Johnson Maintains Four Point Edge on Barnes; Evers and Michels in One-Point Race for Governor," November 2, 2022
- ↑ Fox News, "Fox News Poll: Johnson holds edge over Barnes in Wisconsin Senate race," November 1, 2022
- ↑ Mandela Barnes for Wisconsin, "Poll Results for the Wisconsin Senate Election," October 31, 2022
- ↑ Wick, "Wisconsin Poll Oct. 30th, 2022," October 30, 2022
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Ron Harold Johnson-Financial summary," accessed November 1, 2022
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Mandela Barnes-Financial summary," accessed November 1, 2022
- ↑ Twitter, "Data for Progress," October 26, 2022
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Ron Harold Johnson-Financial summary," accessed October 20, 2022
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Mandela Barnes-Financial summary," accessed October 20, 2022
- ↑ NBC News, "Attacks and insults fly at final Wisconsin Senate debate," October 13, 2022
- ↑ NBC News, "Ron Johnson and Mandela Barnes duel over crime and abortion in Wisconsin Senate debate," October 7, 2022
- ↑ Twitter, "Data for Progress," September 30, 2022
- ↑ AARP, "AARP Poll: Wisconsin Governor, Senate Races Competitive," September 29, 2022
- ↑ Fox News, "Fox News Poll: Wisconsin Senate race shifts in Johnson’s favor," September 29, 2022
- ↑ The Trafalgar Group, "Wisconsin Statewide General Election Survey, September 2022," September 23, 2022
- ↑ Emerson College Polling, "Wisconsin 2022: Voters Splitting Tickets in US Senate and Gubernatorial Elections," September 20, 2022
- ↑ Specturm News 1, "Explained: Methodology behind Spectrum News/Siena College Poll," September 20, 2022
- ↑ Marquette Law School, "New Marquette Law School Poll of Wisconsin voters finds Johnson and Evers holding slim leads as races for senator and governor tighten," September 14, 2022
- ↑ The Trafalgar Group, "WI US Sen General – Aug 2022," August 27, 2022
- ↑ Fox News, "Fox News Poll: Barnes edges Johnson in Wisconsin Senate race," August 18, 2022
- ↑ Marquette Law School, "New Marquette Law School Wisconsin survey finds Barnes with 7-point lead over Johnson in U.S. Senate race, Evers ahead of Michels by 2 points in the race for governor, and Biden approval rating unchanged," August 17, 2022
- ↑ NBC News, "Attacks and insults fly at final Wisconsin Senate debate," October 13, 2022
- ↑ NBC News, "Ron Johnson and Mandela Barnes duel over crime and abortion in Wisconsin Senate debate," October 7, 2022
- ↑ For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from the American Association for Public Opinion Research and Ipsos.
- ↑ Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016
- ↑ RV=Registered Voters
LV=Likely Voters - ↑ The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.
- ↑ Neither/Don't Know
- ↑ Undeicded
- ↑ 3%Undecided
2% Someone else - ↑ Other/Don't Know
- ↑ 2.1% Undecided
1.6% Someone else - ↑ RV=Registered Voters
LV=Likely Voters - ↑ The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.
- ↑ Not Sure
- ↑ Other/Don't Know
- ↑ Undecided
- ↑ Not Sure
- ↑ Undecided
- ↑ 6%Undecided
3% Someone else - ↑ 4% Don't Know
1% Another candidate
1% Not going to vote - ↑ Neither/Don't Know
- ↑ Undecided
- ↑ Other/Don't Know
- ↑ Neither/Don't Know
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," December 12, 2021
- ↑ Padilla was appointed to the seat in January 2021 to succeed Kamala Harris (D).
- ↑ Ron Johnson for Senate, "News," accessed August 25, 2015
- ↑ NPR, "Taking Aim At Money In Politics, Feingold Announces Comeback Bid," May 14, 2015
- ↑ Wisconsin Government Accountability Board, "Candidate Tracking by Office," accessed June 2, 2016
- ↑ 68.0 68.1 CNN, "Ron Johnson earns surprise GOP win in Wisconsin Senate race," accessed November 10, 2016
- ↑ 69.0 69.1 69.2 Milwaukee Wisconsin Journal Sentinel, "Strategic change pays off for Johnson," accessed November 10, 2016
- ↑ Wisconsin Radio Network, "Senator Ron Johnson wins re-election in Wisconsin (AUDIO)," accessed November 10, 2016
- ↑ 71.0 71.1 Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel, "Tammy Baldwin enters race for open Senate seat," accessed January 6, 2012
- ↑ 72.0 72.1 Governing, "Ex-Wis. Gov. Thompson Launches GOP Bid for Senate" accessed April 25, 2012
- ↑ 73.0 73.1 Wisconsin Government Accountability Board, "Candidates Registered by Office," accessed June 9, 2012
- ↑ 74.0 74.1 Hudson, WI Patch, "Former Wisconsin Governor Tommy Thompson Files Senate Papers With Federal Election Commission," accessed January 6, 2012
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed September 9, 2022
- ↑ Progressive Party
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