United States Senate election in Wisconsin, 2022

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2024
2018
U.S. Senate, Wisconsin
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: June 1, 2022
Primary: August 9, 2022
General: November 8, 2022
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Wisconsin
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Lean Republican
Inside Elections: Tilt Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
See also
U.S. Senate, Wisconsin
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th
Wisconsin elections, 2022
U.S. Congress elections, 2022
U.S. Senate elections, 2022
U.S. House elections, 2022

Incumbent U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson (R) defeated Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes (D) and write-in candidate Scott Aubart (American Independent Party) in the general election on November 8, 2022, to represent Wisconsin in the U.S. Senate.

Johnson was first elected in 2010, defeating then-incumbent Sen. Russ Feingold (D), 52% to 47%. Johnson won re-election in 2016 in a rematch with Feingold, 50% to 47%. In 2018, incumbent Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D) defeated Leah Vukmir (R), 55% to 45%. Before his election to the Senate, Johnson worked as the chief executive officer for a specialty plastics company and as an accountant at Jostens.[1] Johnson said that his campaign was "focused on growing our economy and creating good jobs and economic opportunity for all."[2]

Barnes served in the Wisconsin State Assembly from 2013 to 2017 and was elected lieutenant governor in 2018. Before his time in the legislature, Barnes worked for the city of Milwaukee and as a community organizer for the Milwaukee Inner-City Congregations Allied for Hope.[3][4] Barnes said he would "fight to create opportunity in every corner of Wisconsin, bring manufacturing back, create jobs by tackling climate change, and stand up for Wisconsin’s family farmers."[3]

Wisconsin was one of two states that held a U.S. Senate election in 2022 with a Republican incumbent that President Joe Biden carried in the 2020 presidential election. Wisconsin was also one of six states with one Democratic and one Republican U.S. senator as of the 2022 U.S. Senate elections.[5]

The 2020 and 2016 presidential elections in Wisconsin were both decided by less than one percentage point. In the 2020 election, President Joe Biden (D) won the state over then-incumbent President Donald Trump (R), 49.5% to 48.8%. In the 2016 election, Trump carried Wisconsin with 47.2% of the vote to Hillary Clinton's (D) 46.5%. At the start of the 2022 election cycle, Inside Elections rated this state Battleground Republican.[6]

The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. Senate in 2022. Democrats retained their majority and gained one net seat, with the Senate's post-election partisan balance at 51 Democrats and 49 Republicans.

Thirty-five of 100 seats were up for election, including one special election.[7] At the time of the election, Democrats had an effective majority, with the chamber split 50-50 and Vice President Kamala Harris (D) having the tie-breaking vote.[8] Of the seats up for election in 2022, Democrats held 14 and Republicans held 21.

Mandela Barnes (D) and Scott Aubart (American Independent Party) completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. To read those survey responses, click here.

Democratic Party For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
Republican Party For more information about the Republican primary, click here.

Election news

Click below to view a timeline leading up to the election, including polling, debates, and other noteworthy events.

  • November 2, 2022
    • The Marquette Law School released a poll of 606 likely voters showing Sen. Ron Johnson with 50%, Mandela Barnes with 48%, and 2% undecided. The margin of error was ± 4.8 percentage points.[9]
    • Emerson College Polling released a poll sponsored by WFRV-TV & The Hill of 1,000 likely voters showing Sen. Ron Johnson with 50%, Mandela Barnes with 46%, and 5% undecided or supporting another candidate. The margin of error was ± 3 percentage points.[10]
  • November 1, 2022: Fox News released a poll of 1,000 registered voters showing Sen. Ron Johnson with 48%, Mandela Barnes with 45%, and 8% undecided. The margin of error was ± 3 percentage points.[11]
  • October 31, 2022: Clarity Campaign Labs released a poll of 888 likely voters conducted for Mandela Barnes' campaign showing Mandela Barnes with 48%, Sen. Ron Johnson with 46%, and 6% undecided. The margin of error was ± 3.3 percentage points.[12]
  • October 30, 2022: Wick Insights released a poll of 1,089 likely voters showing Sen. Ron Johnson with 50%, Mandela Barnes with 46%, and 4% undecided. The margin of error was ± 3.2 percentage points.[13]
  • October 27, 2022: Pre-General election campaign finance filings were due. Johnson reported raising $31.9 million and spending $28.5 million and Barnes reported raising $35.0 million and spending $32.5 million over the course of this election cycle.[14][15]

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. Senate Wisconsin

Incumbent Ronald Harold Johnson defeated Mandela Barnes, Adam Nicholas Paul, and Scott Aubart in the general election for U.S. Senate Wisconsin on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Ronald Harold Johnson
Ronald Harold Johnson (R)
 
50.4
 
1,337,185
Image of Mandela Barnes
Mandela Barnes (D) Candidate Connection
 
49.4
 
1,310,467
Adam Nicholas Paul (Logic Party) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
67
Scott Aubart (American Independent Party) (Write-in) Candidate Connection
 
0.0
 
0
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.2
 
4,758

Total votes: 2,652,477
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Wisconsin

The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Wisconsin on August 9, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Mandela Barnes
Mandela Barnes Candidate Connection
 
77.8
 
390,279
Image of Alex Lasry
Alex Lasry (Unofficially withdrew) Candidate Connection
 
8.9
 
44,609
Image of Sarah Godlewski
Sarah Godlewski (Unofficially withdrew) Candidate Connection
 
8.1
 
40,555
Image of Tom Nelson
Tom Nelson (Unofficially withdrew) Candidate Connection
 
2.2
 
10,995
Image of Steven Olikara
Steven Olikara Candidate Connection
 
1.1
 
5,619
Image of Darrell Williams
Darrell Williams
 
0.7
 
3,646
Image of Kou Lee
Kou Lee Candidate Connection
 
0.7
 
3,434
Image of Peter Peckarsky
Peter Peckarsky
 
0.5
 
2,446
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.0
 
177

Total votes: 501,760
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. Senate Wisconsin

Incumbent Ronald Harold Johnson defeated David Schroeder in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Wisconsin on August 9, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Ronald Harold Johnson
Ronald Harold Johnson
 
83.6
 
563,871
Image of David Schroeder
David Schroeder
 
16.3
 
109,917
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
693

Total votes: 674,481
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Voting information

See also: Voting in Wisconsin

Election information in Wisconsin: Nov. 8, 2022, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 4, 2022
  • By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 19, 2022
  • Online: Oct. 19, 2022

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 6, 2022
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 3, 2022
  • Online: Nov. 3, 2022

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 8, 2022
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 8, 2022

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 25, 2022 to Nov. 6, 2022

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

N/A


Candidate comparison

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Image of Ronald Harold Johnson

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: Yes

Political Office: 

Biography:  Johnson received a bachelor's degree in business and accounting from the University of Minnesota. His professional experience includes serving as the Chief Executive Officer for a specialty plastics company and as an accountant at Jostens.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


Johnson's campaign website said that he "is focused on growing our economy and creating good jobs and economic opportunity for all, which is why he supports pro-growth tax reform and reducing burdensome regulations."


Johnson said on his campaign website that he was "against the EPA’s water rule to regulate small ponds, ditches, and creeks on private property, affecting 92 percent of the land in Wisconsin."


Johnson's campaign website said he "is pushing for Right to Try legislation to get Washington out of the way of terminally ill patients who want to try life-saving drugs, and has been a major backer of legislation to help address our drug epidemic, in addition to his work to secure the border to stop the flow of drugs into the U.S."


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Wisconsin in 2022.

Image of Mandela Barnes

WebsiteFacebookTwitter

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: 

Submitted Biography "My path here is far different than most. I was born in Milwaukee, in one of the most impoverished and incarcerated zip codes in the country, 53206. But I was fortunate…my parents both had good union jobs. My dad worked 3rd shift at the General Motors factory. My mom was a public-school teacher. Those jobs were their ticket into the middle class and opened doors of opportunity for me to work hard and achieve success. It was their hard work and example that paved the way for me to become an organizer, a State Representative, and ultimately Wisconsin’s first Black Lt. Governor. Yet for so many people across Wisconsin and across the country today - those same opportunities no longer exist. Those pathways into the middle class are closed off - whether by the cost of health care, the lack of good paying jobs, or an education system that doesn’t prepare them for the futures they deserve. I’m running for the U.S. Senate to expand opportunities for the middle class and to give every Wisconsinite a fair shot at the American Dream."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


In the Senate, I will fight to expand opportunities for the middle class. That starts with lowering costs for working families by bringing manufacturing back to Wisconsin to create thousands of good-paying jobs and address our supply chain issues. I know firsthand the economic opportunities that come when we prioritize innovative, bold solutions to tackle the threat of climate change. In the 1960s when the Clean Air Act passed, manufacturers needed people to build catalytic converters. My dad, his brother, and thousands of people across Wisconsin got good-paying jobs because of the opportunity created by addressing climate change. My father’s union job was our ticket to the middle class, and it’s the reason I am where I am today.


In the Senate, I’ll go to the mat to fight for our hard-won rights, including the right to make decisions about our own bodies and make our voices heard at the ballot box. I will fight to abolish the filibuster to codify Roe v. Wade and pass the For The People and the John Lewis Voting Rights Act. I’ll never let an archaic Senate procedure stand in the way of our basic human rights.


As I’ve traveled across Wisconsin as Lt. Governor, I’ve heard from countless small business owners, family farmers, and workers about the tough challenges we’re facing, and how difficult it’s been for families and communities. In the Senate, I’ll crack down on corporate handouts and level the playing field for small businesses to compete. I’ll also fight back against Big Ag monopolies and their anti-competitive practices that have put Wisconsin farmers and local meat processors on the back foot and raised prices for consumers. I’ll fight to increase access to quality affordable health care and child care, and expand access to capital for small businesses and family farmers.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Wisconsin in 2022.

Silhouette Placeholder Image.png Do you have a photo that could go here? Click here to submit it for this profile!

WebsiteFacebook

Party: American Independent Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "I’m Scott Aubart Father of 4 ,3 boys 1 girl. I lost my oldest son in a car accident in 2005 and my Daughter to complications with type 1 diabetes in 2017. I work as a Maintenance Manager and I’m a jack of all trades… My run for office is about honesty and integrity, I believe we should have real people that understand the issues. Not lifetime politicians. The country right now is extremely divided and that comes from our current leaders. We can’t fix it by putting the same people back in office ..Both parties are guilty of causing the divide we have right now.."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


Unite the Country


Start making changes in Washington. What we have isn’t working.. It’s time to put people above Politics..


Holding trump accountable for his crimes . Especially the attack on our country by his followers and his ignoring the pandemic. trump is responsible for the deaths of many people

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Wisconsin in 2022.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race

Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.

Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.

Expand all | Collapse all

Silhouette Placeholder Image.png

Scott Aubart (American Independent)

Unite the Country

Start making changes in Washington. What we have isn’t working.. It’s time to put people above Politics..

Holding trump accountable for his crimes . Especially the attack on our country by his followers and his ignoring the pandemic. trump is responsible for the deaths of many people
In the Senate, I will fight to expand opportunities for the middle class. That starts with lowering costs for working families by bringing manufacturing back to Wisconsin to create thousands of good-paying jobs and address our supply chain issues. I know firsthand the economic opportunities that come when we prioritize innovative, bold solutions to tackle the threat of climate change. In the 1960s when the Clean Air Act passed, manufacturers needed people to build catalytic converters. My dad, his brother, and thousands of people across Wisconsin got good-paying jobs because of the opportunity created by addressing climate change. My father’s union job was our ticket to the middle class, and it’s the reason I am where I am today.

In the Senate, I’ll go to the mat to fight for our hard-won rights, including the right to make decisions about our own bodies and make our voices heard at the ballot box. I will fight to abolish the filibuster to codify Roe v. Wade and pass the For The People and the John Lewis Voting Rights Act. I’ll never let an archaic Senate procedure stand in the way of our basic human rights.

As I’ve traveled across Wisconsin as Lt. Governor, I’ve heard from countless small business owners, family farmers, and workers about the tough challenges we’re facing, and how difficult it’s been for families and communities. In the Senate, I’ll crack down on corporate handouts and level the playing field for small businesses to compete. I’ll also fight back against Big Ag monopolies and their anti-competitive practices that have put Wisconsin farmers and local meat processors on the back foot and raised prices for consumers. I’ll fight to increase access to quality affordable health care and child care, and expand access to capital for small businesses and family farmers.
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png

Scott Aubart (American Independent)

Health and Health care. I don’t believe people should have to pay for or only untitled to the best health care because of the amount of money they have.. We should have a National health care program…
I know firsthand the economic opportunities that come when we prioritize innovative, bold solutions to tackle the threat of climate change. In the 1960s when the Clean Air Act passed, manufacturers needed people to build catalytic converters. My dad, his brother, and thousands of people across Wisconsin got good-paying jobs because of the opportunity created by addressing climate change. My father’s union job was our ticket to the middle class, and it’s the reason I am where I am today.

In the U.S. Senate, I’ll support bold climate legislation that prioritizes curbing greenhouse gas emissions by transitioning to 100% renewable energy as soon as possible, creating jobs with investments in clean energy, and manufacturing solar panels and windmills right here in Wisconsin.

Silhouette Placeholder Image.png

Scott Aubart (American Independent)

I follow my Grandfather , He was the hardest working man I know. I’m not bought in by money and fame. I like real people…
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png

Scott Aubart (American Independent)

Take the time to visit museums, graveyards of our soldiers places like Pearl Harbor.
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png

Scott Aubart (American Independent)

Honesty and integrity. It’s really that simple. If you misinform people or lie and are proved wrong by facts and still spread the lies. You should immediately loose your job. We owe it to America to always be honest…
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png

Scott Aubart (American Independent)

A natural leader . I have a natural ability get people working together and that’s what my run is all about. America won’t last divided and the people we keep voting in the politicians (salespeople) are the reason we are as divided. We don’t need millionaires,billionaires and movie stars. We need people that want to give the country back to the people…
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png

Scott Aubart (American Independent)

To work for the people, regardless of special interest or partisan divide
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png

Scott Aubart (American Independent)

My love for People and seeing people succeed. Whatever that means to you. Everyone should reach back and help everyone else along …
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png

Scott Aubart (American Independent)

Selling newspapers. I was 12 and delivered the Minneapolis star and tribune
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png

Scott Aubart (American Independent)

Black like me. I grew up in a very racist area and had to really try to learn about other races.
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png

Scott Aubart (American Independent)

I have been married twice both long marriages that ended in divorce. I have lost my oldest son in a car accident and my Daughter to complications with type 1 Diabetes. I always get up every time I’m knocked down. My life hasn’t been easy but I have never let myself down
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png

Scott Aubart (American Independent)

I believe the Greatest challenge will be to Unite the country. It’s become so divided because of politics it going to be a very large challenge. There’s so much misinformation and it’s spread so quickly we have to find a way to stop it without stomping on rights of free speech
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png

Scott Aubart (American Independent)

There should be term limits in every office including judges
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png

Scott Aubart (American Independent)

The Senates job is to find common ground. Unfortunately the Senate we have working for the country now put theirselves and big money above the people. Perfect case is both the trump impeachment’s where they weren’t allowed to bring witnesses. The American people wanted the truth. The politicians wanted their jobs and getting voted back in was more important… Same thing on the vote for the inquiry..
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png

Scott Aubart (American Independent)

Absolutely not. There’s to many lifetime politicians and they get to one sided. They need new people with new ideas and regular people not politicians…
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png

Scott Aubart (American Independent)

If the 2 sides weren’t so divided over party lines it wouldn’t matter. They can’t think outside of the box and need us independents that think down the middle…
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png

Scott Aubart (American Independent)

Facts only . It doesn’t matter to me what side of the isle your on. As long as your trustworthy and honest with integrity
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png

Scott Aubart (American Independent)

I like volunteering. And plan on volunteering even after I win
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png

Scott Aubart (American Independent)

I love to see people succeed and whatever they want to do
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png

Scott Aubart (American Independent)

Nope my run is about honesty and integrity
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png

Scott Aubart (American Independent)

I think most judges do their best to follow the law the way they understand it. I don’t believe any judge should be partisan.
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png

Scott Aubart (American Independent)

My Goal would be to help get the Senators working together. They don’t have to agree just find common ground..I’m very good at seeing both sides of the issues and finding the right answers based on facts
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png

Scott Aubart (American Independent)

Yes and I also believe there’s a solution for every problem. And we need people to work on that. Not special interest or worrying about getting voted back in



Campaign advertisements

This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.

Democratic Party Mandela Barnes

September 15, 2022
September 6, 2022
August 30, 2022

View more ads here:


Republican Party Ron Johnson

September 20, 2022
September 8, 2022
September 6, 2022

View more ads here:


Debates and forums

This section includes links to debates, forums, and other similar events where multiple candidates in this race participated. If you are aware of any debates or forums that should be included, please email us.

October 13 debate

On October 13, 2022, Barnes and Johnson participated in a debate at Marquette University.[31]

Click on the link below for a summary of the event:


October 7 debate

On October 7, 2022, Barnes and Johnson participated in a debate in Milwaukee.[32]

Click on the link below for a summary of the event:

Election competitiveness

Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls

Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.[33] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."[34] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.

Below we provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, when available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation. We only report polls for which we can find a margin of error or credibility interval.


U.S. Senate election in Wisconsin, 2022: general election polls
Poll Date Democratic Party Barnes Republican Party Johnson Undecided/
Other
Margin of error Sample size[35] Sponsor[36]
Marquette Law School October 24-November 1, 2022 48 % 50 % 2 %[37] +/- 4.8 679 LV ---
Clarity Campaign Labs (D) October 27-31, 2022 48 % 46 % 6 %[38] +/- 3.3 888 LV Mandela Barnes campaign
Emerson College Polling October 27-29, 2022 46 % 50 % 5 %[39] +/- 3 1,000 LV WFRV-TV/The Hill
Fox News October 26-30, 2022 45 % 48 % 8 %[40] +/- 3 1,000 RV ---
Wick Insights October 26-30, 2022 46 % 50 % 4 %[41] +/- 3.2 1,089 LV ---



The chart below shows RealClearPolitics polling averages in this race over time.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[55]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[56][57][58]

Race ratings: U.S. Senate election in Wisconsin, 2022
Race trackerRace ratings
November 8, 2022November 1, 2022October 25, 2022October 18, 2022
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterLean RepublicanToss-upToss-upToss-up
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesTilt RepublicanTilt RepublicanTilt RepublicanTilt Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLean RepublicanLean RepublicanLean RepublicanLean Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Noteworthy endorsements

This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please email us.


Noteworthy endorsements
Endorser Republican Party Ronald Harold Johnson Democratic Party Mandela Barnes
Government officials
U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders  source  
Gov. Tony Evers (D)  source  
Individuals
Frmr. Pres. Barack Obama  source  
Frmr. U.S. President Donald Trump  source  
Newspapers and editorials
USA Today Network-Wisconsin  source  
Wisconsin State Journal  source  

Election spending

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[59] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[60] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.

U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022
Report Close of books Filing deadline
Year-end 2021 12/31/2021 1/31/2022
April quarterly 3/31/2022 4/15/2022
July quarterly 6/30/2022 7/15/2022
October quarterly 9/30/2022 10/15/2022
Pre-general 10/19/2022 10/27/2022
Post-general 11/28/2022 12/08/2022
Year-end 2022 12/31/2022 1/31/2023


Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Ronald Harold Johnson Republican Party $36,479,852 $35,762,010 $762,105 As of December 31, 2022
Mandela Barnes Democratic Party $42,336,081 $41,770,869 $565,212 As of December 31, 2022

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.


Satellite spending

See also: Satellite spending

Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[61][62][63]

If available, links to satellite spending reports by the Federal Election Commission and OpenSecrets.org are linked below. Any satellite spending reported in other resources is displayed in a table. This table may not represent the actual total amount spent by satellite groups in the election. Satellite spending for which specific amounts, dates, or purposes are not reported are marked "N/A." To help us complete this information, or to notify us of additional satellite spending, email us.

By candidate By election


Ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates in Wisconsin in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Wisconsin, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Wisconsin U.S. Senate All candidates 2,000 N/A 6/1/2022 Source

Republican-held Senate seat in state Biden won

See also: States won by Joe Biden in 2020 with Republican-held U.S. Senate seats up for election in 2022

This was one of two Senate seats Republicans were defending in states Joe Biden (D) won in the 2020 presidential election:

Democrats were not defending any Senate seats in states Trump won in 2020.

The following table shows the 2020 presidential election margin of victory in percentage points for each state with a Senate election in 2022. Click [show] on the right to expand the table.


Election history

2018

General election

General election for U.S. Senate Wisconsin

Incumbent Tammy Baldwin defeated Leah Vukmir in the general election for U.S. Senate Wisconsin on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Tammy Baldwin
Tammy Baldwin (D)
 
55.4
 
1,472,914
Image of Leah Vukmir
Leah Vukmir (R)
 
44.6
 
1,184,885
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.0
 
42

Total votes: 2,657,841
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Wisconsin

Incumbent Tammy Baldwin advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Wisconsin on August 14, 2018.

Candidate
Image of Tammy Baldwin
Tammy Baldwin

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. Senate Wisconsin

Leah Vukmir defeated Kevin Nicholson, George Lucia, Griffin Jones, and Charles Barman in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Wisconsin on August 14, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Leah Vukmir
Leah Vukmir
 
48.9
 
217,230
Image of Kevin Nicholson
Kevin Nicholson
 
43.1
 
191,276
Image of George Lucia
George Lucia
 
4.2
 
18,786
Image of Griffin Jones
Griffin Jones
 
2.0
 
8,699
Image of Charles Barman
Charles Barman
 
1.8
 
7,959

Total votes: 443,950
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Independent primary election

No Independent candidates ran in the primary.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2016

See also: United States Senate election in Wisconsin, 2016

The race for Wisconsin's U.S. Senate seat was one of nine competitive battleground races in 2016 that helped Republicans maintain control of the Senate. Incumbent Ron Johnson (R) defeated former Senator Russ Feingold (D) and Phil Anderson (L) in the general election on November 8, 2016.[65][66][67]

In a rematch of the 2010 election, Johnson defeated Feingold for a second time to retain his Senate seat. Johnson trailed in the polls for most of the election.[68][69] In the final weeks of the election, Johnson received funding from national Republicans. Johnson said, "I wish I would have had the cavalry show up in June, July, August when Feingold was using his little moneymaking machine to out resource me. I guess, better late than never."[69][68]

Feingold reacted to his loss by saying to supporters, “I didn’t expect this outcome, to be honest with you.” Commenting on his loss and Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton’s, Feingold said, “I would urge you to be as restrained as you can be as the next steps occur...this could be one the most challenging times in the history of our country.”[70]

Johnson, who defeated Feingold by three percentage points, said in his victory speech, "I believe America has given us a chance, an opportunity to put this nation on the right path. It's exactly what I intend to do."[69]

U.S. Senate, Wisconsin General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngRon Johnson Incumbent 50.2% 1,479,471
     Democratic Russ Feingold 46.8% 1,380,335
     Libertarian Phil Anderson 3% 87,531
     N/A Write-in 0% 8
Total Votes 2,947,345
Source: Wisconsin Elections Commission

U.S. Senate, Wisconsin Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngRuss Feingold 90.2% 303,791
Scott Harbach 9.8% 33,096
Total Votes 336,887
Source: Wisconsin Elections and Ethics Commission

2012

See also: United States Senate elections in Wisconsin, 2012

Tammy Baldwin won election to the U.S. Senate in 2012.

U.S. Senate, Wisconsin, General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngTammy Baldwin 51.5% 1,547,104
     Republican Tommy Thompson 45.9% 1,380,126
     Libertarian Joseph Kexel 2.1% 62,240
     Independent Nimrod Allen III 0.5% 16,455
     N/A Write-ins 0% 113
Total Votes 3,006,038
Source: U.S. House Clerk "2012 Election Statistics"

August 14, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary
Republican Party Republican primary

Election analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.

  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
  • Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
  • State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.

Presidential elections

See also: Presidential voting trends in Wisconsin and The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Cook PVI by congressional district

Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Wisconsin, 2022
District Incumbent Party PVI
Wisconsin's 1st Bryan Steil Ends.png Republican R+3
Wisconsin's 2nd Mark Pocan Electiondot.png Democratic D+19
Wisconsin's 3rd Open Electiondot.png Democratic R+4
Wisconsin's 4th Gwen Moore Electiondot.png Democratic D+25
Wisconsin's 5th Scott Fitzgerald Ends.png Republican R+14
Wisconsin's 6th Glenn Grothman Ends.png Republican R+10
Wisconsin's 7th Tom Tiffany Ends.png Republican R+12
Wisconsin's 8th Mike Gallagher Ends.png Republican R+10


2020 presidential results by 2022 congressional district lines

2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2022 district lines, Wisconsin[75]
District Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
Wisconsin's 1st 48.3% 50.3%
Wisconsin's 2nd 70.2% 28.4%
Wisconsin's 3rd 46.8% 51.5%
Wisconsin's 4th 75.9% 22.8%
Wisconsin's 5th 37.9% 60.8%
Wisconsin's 6th 41.4% 57.0%
Wisconsin's 7th 39.3% 59.2%
Wisconsin's 8th 41.5% 57.0%


2012-2020

How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:


Following the 2020 presidential election, 46.1% of Wisconsinites lived in one of the state's 37 Solid Republican counties, which voted for the Republican presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020, and 35.7% lived in one of 12 Solid Democratic counties. Overall, Wisconsin was Battleground Democratic, having voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2012, Donald Trump (R) in 2016, and Joe Biden (D) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Wisconsin following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.

Historical voting trends

Wisconsin presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 15 Democratic wins
  • 15 Republican wins
  • 1 other win
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party R R R D R R P[76] R D D D R D R R R D R R D R R D D D D D D D R D

Statewide elections

This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.

U.S. Senate elections

See also: List of United States Senators from Wisconsin

The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Wisconsin.

U.S. Senate election results in Wisconsin
Race Winner Runner up
2018 55.4%Democratic Party 44.6%Republican Party
2016 50.2%Republican Party 46.8%Democratic Party
2012 51.4%Democratic Party 45.9%Republican Party
2010 51.9%Republican Party 47.0%Democratic Party
2006 67.3%Democratic Party 29.5%Republican Party
Average 55.2 42.8

Gubernatorial elections

See also: Governor of Wisconsin

The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Wisconsin.

Gubernatorial election results in Wisconsin
Race Winner Runner up
2018 49.5%Democratic Party 48.4%Republican Party
2014 52.3%Republican Party 46.6%Democratic Party
2010 52.3%Republican Party 46.5%Democratic Party
2006 52.8%Democratic Party 45.4%Republican Party
2002 45.1%Democratic Party 41.4%Republican Party
Average 50.4 45.7

State partisanship

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Wisconsin's congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Wisconsin, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 1 3 4
Republican 1 5 6
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 8 10

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Wisconsin's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Wisconsin, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party Tony Evers
Lieutenant Governor Democratic Party Mandela Barnes
Secretary of State Democratic Party Dogulas J. La Follette
Attorney General Democratic Party Josh Kaul

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Wisconsin State Legislature as of November 2022.

Wisconsin State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 12
     Republican Party 21
     Vacancies 0
Total 33

Wisconsin State Assembly

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 38
     Republican Party 57
     Vacancies 4
Total 99

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Wisconsin was a divided government, with Democrats controlling the governorship and Republican majorities in both chambers of the state legislature. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Wisconsin Party Control: 1992-2022
Two years of Democratic trifectas  •  Ten years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D
Senate D R R R D D R D D D D R R R R D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R D D R R R R R R R R R R R R

Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Wisconsin and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for Wisconsin
Wisconsin United States
Population 5,686,986 308,745,538
Land area (sq mi) 54,167 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 85.4% 72.5%
Black/African American 6.4% 12.7%
Asian 2.8% 5.5%
Native American 0.9% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0% 0.2%
Two or more 2.4% 3.3%
Hispanic/Latino 6.8% 18%
Education
High school graduation rate 92.2% 88%
College graduation rate 30.1% 32.1%
Income
Median household income $61,747 $62,843
Persons below poverty level 11.3% 13.4%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


2022 battleground elections

See also: Battlegrounds

This election was a battleground race. Other 2022 battleground elections included:

See also

Wisconsin 2022 primaries 2022 U.S. Congress elections
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Voting in Wisconsin
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U.S. Senate Democratic primaries
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Ballot access

External links

Footnotes

  1. Ron Johnson-U.S. Senator for Wisconsin, "Biography," accessed August 12, 2022
  2. Ron Johnson for Wisconsin, "About Ron," accessed August 15, 2022
  3. 3.0 3.1 Mandela Barnes for Wisconsin, "Meet Mandela," accessed July 12, 2022
  4. Official Website for Wisconsin Governor Tony Evers, "About Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes," accessed July 12, 2022
  5. This included Sen. Angus King (Maine), an independent who caucused with Democrats.
  6. Inside Elections, "Senate Ratings," March 8, 2021
  7. The special Senate election in California was for the same seat up for regular election. There were, then, 36 total Senate elections for 35 total seats.
  8. Two independents who caucus with Democrats are included with Democrats in the 50-50 split count.
  9. Marquette Law School, "Final pre-election Marquette Law School Poll of Wisconsin voters finds both Senate and governor’s races are tossups," November 2, 2022
  10. Emerson College Polling, "Wisconsin 2022: Johnson Maintains Four Point Edge on Barnes; Evers and Michels in One-Point Race for Governor," November 2, 2022
  11. Fox News, "Fox News Poll: Johnson holds edge over Barnes in Wisconsin Senate race," November 1, 2022
  12. Mandela Barnes for Wisconsin, "Poll Results for the Wisconsin Senate Election," October 31, 2022
  13. Wick, "Wisconsin Poll Oct. 30th, 2022," October 30, 2022
  14. Federal Election Commission, "Ron Harold Johnson-Financial summary," accessed November 1, 2022
  15. Federal Election Commission, "Mandela Barnes-Financial summary," accessed November 1, 2022
  16. Twitter, "Data for Progress," October 26, 2022
  17. Federal Election Commission, "Ron Harold Johnson-Financial summary," accessed October 20, 2022
  18. Federal Election Commission, "Mandela Barnes-Financial summary," accessed October 20, 2022
  19. NBC News, "Attacks and insults fly at final Wisconsin Senate debate," October 13, 2022
  20. NBC News, "Ron Johnson and Mandela Barnes duel over crime and abortion in Wisconsin Senate debate," October 7, 2022
  21. Twitter, "Data for Progress," September 30, 2022
  22. AARP, "AARP Poll: Wisconsin Governor, Senate Races Competitive," September 29, 2022
  23. Fox News, "Fox News Poll: Wisconsin Senate race shifts in Johnson’s favor," September 29, 2022
  24. The Trafalgar Group, "Wisconsin Statewide General Election Survey, September 2022," September 23, 2022
  25. Emerson College Polling, "Wisconsin 2022: Voters Splitting Tickets in US Senate and Gubernatorial Elections," September 20, 2022
  26. Specturm News 1, "Explained: Methodology behind Spectrum News/Siena College Poll," September 20, 2022
  27. Marquette Law School, "New Marquette Law School Poll of Wisconsin voters finds Johnson and Evers holding slim leads as races for senator and governor tighten," September 14, 2022
  28. The Trafalgar Group, "WI US Sen General – Aug 2022," August 27, 2022
  29. Fox News, "Fox News Poll: Barnes edges Johnson in Wisconsin Senate race," August 18, 2022
  30. Marquette Law School, "New Marquette Law School Wisconsin survey finds Barnes with 7-point lead over Johnson in U.S. Senate race, Evers ahead of Michels by 2 points in the race for governor, and Biden approval rating unchanged," August 17, 2022
  31. NBC News, "Attacks and insults fly at final Wisconsin Senate debate," October 13, 2022
  32. NBC News, "Ron Johnson and Mandela Barnes duel over crime and abortion in Wisconsin Senate debate," October 7, 2022
  33. For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from the American Association for Public Opinion Research and Ipsos.
  34. Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016
  35. RV=Registered Voters
    LV=Likely Voters
  36. The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.
  37. Neither/Don't Know
  38. Undeicded
  39. 3%Undecided
    2% Someone else
  40. Other/Don't Know
  41. 2.1% Undecided
    1.6% Someone else
  42. RV=Registered Voters
    LV=Likely Voters
  43. The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.
  44. Not Sure
  45. Other/Don't Know
  46. Undecided
  47. Not Sure
  48. Undecided
  49. 6%Undecided
    3% Someone else
  50. 4% Don't Know
    1% Another candidate
    1% Not going to vote
  51. Neither/Don't Know
  52. Undecided
  53. Other/Don't Know
  54. Neither/Don't Know
  55. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  56. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  57. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  58. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  59. Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  60. Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  61. OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
  62. OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
  63. National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," December 12, 2021
  64. Padilla was appointed to the seat in January 2021 to succeed Kamala Harris (D).
  65. Ron Johnson for Senate, "News," accessed August 25, 2015
  66. NPR, "Taking Aim At Money In Politics, Feingold Announces Comeback Bid," May 14, 2015
  67. Wisconsin Government Accountability Board, "Candidate Tracking by Office," accessed June 2, 2016
  68. 68.0 68.1 CNN, "Ron Johnson earns surprise GOP win in Wisconsin Senate race," accessed November 10, 2016
  69. 69.0 69.1 69.2 Milwaukee Wisconsin Journal Sentinel, "Strategic change pays off for Johnson," accessed November 10, 2016
  70. Wisconsin Radio Network, "Senator Ron Johnson wins re-election in Wisconsin (AUDIO)," accessed November 10, 2016
  71. 71.0 71.1 Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel, "Tammy Baldwin enters race for open Senate seat," accessed January 6, 2012
  72. 72.0 72.1 Governing, "Ex-Wis. Gov. Thompson Launches GOP Bid for Senate" accessed April 25, 2012
  73. 73.0 73.1 Wisconsin Government Accountability Board, "Candidates Registered by Office," accessed June 9, 2012
  74. 74.0 74.1 Hudson, WI Patch, "Former Wisconsin Governor Tommy Thompson Files Senate Papers With Federal Election Commission," accessed January 6, 2012
  75. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed September 9, 2022
  76. Progressive Party


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Tony Wied (R)
Republican Party (7)
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