Pivot Counties in Colorado

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Pivot Counties are the 206 counties nationwide Ballotpedia identified as having voted for Barack Obama (D) in the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections and Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Media and political observers sometimes refer to these counties as swing counties.

Following the 2016 presidential election, Colorado had four Pivot Counties.

Ballotpedia defines Pivot Counties Trump won in 2020 as Retained Pivot Counties and those Joe Biden (D) won as Boomerang Pivot Counties.

After the 2020 presidential election, the state had three Retained Pivot Counties and one Boomerang Pivot County.

List of Pivot Counties

See also: Election results, 2020: Pivot Counties in the 2020 presidential election. Presidential election in Colorado, 2020

The table below lists the Pivot Counties in Colorado. These counties accounted for 6.25 percent of the total counties in Colorado, and 0.57 percent of the state population.

Analysis of Colorado counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 following the 2020 presidential election[1]
County State Winner, 2020 Margin of Victory, 2020 Trump Margin of Victory, 2016 Obama Margin of Victory, 2012 Obama Margin of Victory, 2008
Conejos County Colorado Retained +7.55 +3.56 +9.22 +12.93
Huerfano County Colorado Retained +2.88 +6.61 +8.27 +11.23
Las Animas County Colorado Retained +9.89 +15.6 +2.65 +7.04
Pueblo County Colorado Boomerang +1.72 +0.5 +13.99 +14.97


The map below shows Retained and Boomerang Pivot Counties in Colorado shaded bright red and blue, respectively.

2020 analysis

Voter turnout

See also: Election results, 2020: Voter turnout in Pivot Counties

Colorado has four Pivot Counties, 6.3% of the state's 64 total counties. Of those four Pivot Counties, the state has three Retained Pivot Counties and one Boomerang Pivot County, responsible for 0.51% and 2.71% of the statewide turnout, respectively.

Voter turnout in Colorado and its Pivot Counties
Votes cast Voting age population Turnout Contribution to statewide turnout
Overview
Colorado 3,256,980 3,979,310 81.85% -
Retained Pivot Counties 16,700 22,350 74.72% 0.51%
Boomerang Pivot County 88,301 123,880 71.28% 2.71%


Demographics

See also: Election results, 2020: Demographics of the 206 Pivot Counties

This table displays demographic data, on average, by county compared to nationwide and statewide averages with a focus on Pivot Counties. Use the arrows at the top of the table to view 2016 data and changes from 2016 to 2020. Full demographic data can be found here.

2016 analysis

HIGHLIGHTS
  • There were four counties in Colorado that voted for Donald Trump in 2016, and Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012.
  • 0.57 percent of the population of Colorado resided in these four counties.
  • Since 1960, Pivot Counties in Colorado have matched the national election result in 66.67% of presidential elections.

    • Voting trends

    The table below details the voting trends of the Pivot Counties in Colorado since 1960.

    Presidential Elections in Colorado Pivot Counties since 1960
    County Elections won by Republican Presidential candidate Elections won by Democratic Presidential candidate Elections matching national result
    Elections Percentage of elections Elections Percentage of elections Elections Percentage of elections
    Conejos County, Colorado 5 33.33% 10 66.67% 12 80.00%
    Huerfano County, Colorado 3 20.00% 12 80.00% 10 66.67%
    Las Animas County, Colorado 2 13.33% 13 86.67% 9 60.00%
    Pueblo County, Colorado 2 13.33% 13 86.67% 9 60.00%
    Average 3 20.00% 12 80.00% 10 66.67%
    Median 3 16.67% 13 83.33% 10 63.33%

    2016 election results

    See also: Presidential election in Colorado, 2016

    In 2016, Colorado had nine electoral votes, which was 1.7 percent of the 538 electoral votes up for grabs and 3.3 percent of the 270 electoral votes needed to win the general election. Presidential caucuses in Colorado took place on March 1, 2016. Bernie Sanders won the Democratic caucuses with 59 percent of the vote. Republicans in Colorado did not hold a presidential preference poll in 2016, but, at the Colorado district and state GOP conventions in April, Ted Cruz won 30 delegates who pledged their support to him on their intent-to-run forms.

    General election

    U.S. presidential election, Colorado, 2016
    Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes
         Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngHillary Clinton/Tim Kaine 48.2% 1,338,870 9
         Republican Donald Trump/Mike Pence 43.3% 1,202,484 0
         American Constitution Darrell Lane Castle/Scott Bradley 0.4% 11,699 0
         Libertarian Gary Johnson/Bill Weld 5.2% 144,121 0
         Green Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka 1.4% 38,437 0
         Approval Voting Frank Atwood/Blake Huber 0% 337 0
         American Delta Roque De La Fuente/Michael Steinberg 0% 1,255 0
         Prohibition Jim Hedges/Bill Bayes 0% 185 0
         America's Tom Hoefling/Steve Schulin 0% 710 0
         Veterans Chris Keniston/Deacon Taylor 0.2% 5,028 0
         Socialist Workers Alyson Kennedy/Osborne Hart 0% 452 0
         Independent American Kyle Kenley Kopitke/Nathan R. Sorenson 0% 1,096 0
         Kotlikoff for President Laurence Kotlikoff/Edward Lea 0% 392 0
         Socialism and Liberation Gloria Estela La Riva/Dennis J. Banks 0% 531 0
         Nonviolent Resistance/Pacifist Bradford Lyttle/Hannah Walsh 0% 382 0
         Independent People of Colorado Joseph A. Maldonado/Douglass K. Terranova 0% 872 0
         American Solidarity Michael A. Maturen/Juan Munoz 0% 862 0
         Unaffiliated Evan McMullin/Nathan Johnson 1% 28,917 0
         Unaffiliated Ryan Alan Scott/Bruce Kendall Barnard 0% 749 0
         Nutrition Rod Silva/Richard C. Silva 0% 751 0
         Unaffiliated Mike Smith/Daniel White 0.1% 1,819 0
         Socialist Party USA Emidio Soltysik/Angela Nicole Walker 0% 271 0
         - Other/Write-in 0% 27 0
    Total Votes 2,780,247 9
    Election results via: Federal Election Commission

    Primaries

    Colorado Democratic Caucus, 2016
    Candidate Vote % Votes Delegates
    Green check mark transparent.pngBernie Sanders 59% 72,846 41
    Hillary Clinton 40.3% 49,789 25
    Other 0.7% 822 0
    Totals 123,457 66
    Source: Colorado Democratic Party and CNN


    The Colorado GOP did not hold a presidential preference poll in 2016. Delegates to the national convention were elected at district conventions and the state convention in April. Ted Cruz won 30 delegates who pledged their support for him on their intent-to-run forms. Four other delegates verbally pledged their support for Cruz. Precinct caucuses were held on March 1, 2016.[2]

    See also

    Footnotes

    1. ↑ This analysis does not include counties in Alaska and certain independent cities due to variations in vote total reporting.
    2. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named wsj
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