Pivot Counties in Connecticut

2020 Election Analysis: Pivot Counties
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2020 Election Analysis Hub

Pivot Counties are the 206 counties nationwide Ballotpedia identified as having voted for Barack Obama (D) in the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections and Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Media and political observers sometimes refer to these counties as swing counties.

Following the 2016 presidential election, Connecticut had one Pivot County.

Ballotpedia defines Pivot Counties Trump won in 2020 as Retained Pivot Counties and those Joe Biden (D) won as Boomerang Pivot Counties.

After the 2020 presidential election, that one county was a Retained Pivot County.

List of Pivot Counties

See also: Election results, 2020: Pivot Counties in the 2020 presidential election, Presidential election in Connecticut, 2020

The table below displays information on the Pivot County in Connecticut. This county accounted for 12.5 percent of the total counties in Connecticut, and 3.28 percent of the state population.

Analysis of Connecticut counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 following the 2020 presidential election
County	State	Winner, 2020	Margin of Victory, 2020	Trump Margin of Victory, 2016	Obama Margin of Victory, 2012	Obama Margin of Victory, 2008
Windham County	Connecticut	Retained	+4.27	+7.78	+13.28	+14.68

The map below shows the Retained Pivot County in Connecticut shaded bright red.

2020 analysis

Voter turnout

See also: Election results, 2020: Voter turnout in Pivot Counties

Connecticut has one Retained Pivot County, 12.5% of the state's eight total counties. Turnout in this county accounted for 3.13% of the statewide total turnout.

Voter turnout in Connecticut and its Pivot County
	Votes cast	Voting age population	Turnout	Contribution to statewide turnout
Overview
Connecticut	1,824,280	2,600,980	70.14%	-
Retained Pivot County	57,077	90,255	63.24%	3.13%

County-specific
	Votes cast	Voting age population	Turnout	Contribution to statewide turnout
Windham	57,077	90,255	63.24%	3.13%

Demographics

See also: Election results, 2020: Demographics of the 206 Pivot Counties

This table displays demographic data, on average, by county compared to nationwide and statewide averages with a focus on Pivot Counties. Use the arrows at the top of the table to view 2016 data and changes from 2016 to 2020. Full demographic data can be found here.

2016 analysis

HIGHLIGHTS

There was one county in Connecticut that voted for Donald Trump in 2016, and Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012.

3.28 percent of the population of Connecticut resided in this one county.

Since 1960, the Pivot County in Connecticut matched the national election result in 80% of presidential elections.

Voting trends

The table below details the voting trends of the Pivot County in Connecticut since 1960.

Presidential Elections in Connecticut Pivot Counties since 1960
County	Elections won by Republican Presidential candidate		Elections won by Democratic Presidential candidate		Elections matching national result
	Elections	Percentage of elections	Elections	Percentage of elections	Elections	Percentage of elections
Windham County, Connecticut	5	33.33%	10	66.67%	12	80.00%

2016 election results

See also: Presidential election in Connecticut, 2016

In 2016, Connecticut had seven electoral votes, which was 1.3 percent of the 538 electoral votes up for grabs and 2.6 percent of the 270 electoral votes needed to win the general election. Presidential primary elections in Connecticut took place on April 26, 2016. Hillary Clinton won the Democratic primary with 51.8 percent of the vote. Donald Trump won the Republican primary with 57.9 percent.

General election

U.S. presidential election, Connecticut, 2016
Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes	Electoral votes
	Democratic	Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine	54.6%	897,572	7
	Republican	Donald Trump/Mike Pence	40.9%	673,215	0
	Libertarian	Gary Johnson/Bill Weld	3%	48,676	0
	Green	Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka	1.4%	22,841	0
	-	Write-in votes	0.2%	2,616	0
Total Votes				1,644,920	7
Election results via: Connecticut Secretary of State

Primaries

Connecticut Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate	Vote %	Votes	Delegates
Hillary Clinton	51.8%	170,048	28
Bernie Sanders	46.4%	152,395	27
Roque De La Fuente	0.3%	960	0
Other	1.5%	4,872	0
Totals		328,275	55
Source: The New York Times and Connecticut Secretary of State

Connecticut Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate	Vote %	Votes	Delegates
Donald Trump	57.9%	123,484	28
John Kasich	28.4%	60,503	0
Ted Cruz	11.7%	24,978	0
Ben Carson	0.8%	1,731	0
Other	1.3%	2,676	0
Totals		213,372	28
Source: The New York Times and Connecticut Secretary of State

See also

• List of Pivot Counties - the 206 counties that voted Obama-Obama-Trump
• Pivot Counties by state
• Presidential election, 2016