Pivot Counties in Texas
| 2020 Election Analysis: Pivot Counties |
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Retained • Boomerang Margins of victory Voter turnout Demographics |
Pivot Counties are the 206 counties nationwide Ballotpedia identified as having voted for Barack Obama (D) in the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections and Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Media and political observers sometimes refer to these counties as swing counties.
Following the 2016 presidential election, Texas had one Pivot County.
Ballotpedia defines Pivot Counties Trump won in 2020 as Retained Pivot Counties and those Joe Biden (D) won as Boomerang Pivot Counties.
After the 2020 presidential election, that one county was a Retained Pivot County.
List of Pivot Counties
The table below displays information on the Pivot County in Texas. This county accounted for 0.39 percent of the total counties in Texas, and 0.97 percent of the state population.
| Analysis of Texas counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 following the 2020 presidential election[1] | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | State | Winner, 2020 | Margin of Victory, 2020 | Trump Margin of Victory, 2016 | Obama Margin of Victory, 2012 | Obama Margin of Victory, 2008 | |
| Jefferson County | Texas | Retained | +1.58 | +0.48 | +1.61 | +2.25 | |
The map below shows the Retained Pivot County in Texas shaded bright red.
2020 analysis
Voter turnout
Texas has one Retained Pivot County, 0.4% of the state's 254 total counties. Turnout in this county accounted for 0.84% of the statewide total turnout.
| Voter turnout in Texas and its Pivot County | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes cast | Voting age population | Turnout | Contribution to statewide turnout | |||
| Overview | ||||||
| Texas | 11,315,056 | 17,859,500 | 63.36% | - | ||
| Retained Pivot County | 94,759 | 176,025 | 53.83% | 0.84% | ||
| County-specific | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes cast | Voting age population | Turnout | Contribution to statewide turnout | |||
| Jefferson | 94,759 | 176,025 | 53.83% | 0.84% | ||
Demographics
This table displays demographic data, on average, by county compared to nationwide and statewide averages with a focus on Pivot Counties. Use the arrows at the top of the table to view 2016 data and changes from 2016 to 2020. Full demographic data can be found here.
2016 analysis
Voting trends
The table below details the voting trends of the Pivot County in Texas since 1960.
| Presidential Elections in Texas Pivot Counties since 1960 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Elections won by Republican Presidential candidate | Elections won by Democratic Presidential candidate | Elections matching national result | |||
| Elections | Percentage of elections | Elections | Percentage of elections | Elections | Percentage of elections | |
| Jefferson County, Texas | 2 | 13.33% | 13 | 86.67% | 9 | 60.00% |
2016 election results
- See also: Presidential election in Texas, 2016
In 2016, Texas had 38 electoral votes, which was 7 percent of the 538 electoral votes up for grabs and 14 percent of the 270 electoral votes needed to win the general election. Presidential primary elections in Texas took place on March 1, 2016. Hillary Clinton won the Democratic primary with 65.2 percent of the vote. Ted Cruz won the Republican primary with 43.8 percent.
General election
| U.S. presidential election, Texas, 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | Electoral votes | |
| Democratic | Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine | 43.2% | 3,877,868 | 0 | |
| Republican |  Donald Trump/Mike Pence |
52.2% | 4,685,047 | 38 | |
| Libertarian | Gary Johnson/Bill Weld | 3.2% | 283,492 | 0 | |
| Green | Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka | 0.8% | 71,558 | 0 | |
| - | Write-in votes | 0.6% | 51,261 | 0 | |
| Total Votes | 8,969,226 | 38 | |||
| Election results via: Texas Secretary of State | |||||
Primaries
| Texas Democratic Primary, 2016 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes | Delegates | |
|
Hillary Clinton |
65.2% | 936,004 | 147 | |
| Bernie Sanders | 33.2% | 476,547 | 75 | |
| Roque De La Fuente | 0.6% | 8,429 | 0 | |
| Calvin Hawes | 0.1% | 2,017 | 0 | |
| Keith Judd | 0.2% | 2,569 | 0 | |
| Star Locke | 0.1% | 1,711 | 0 | |
| Martin O'Malley | 0.4% | 5,364 | 0 | |
| Willie Wilson | 0.2% | 3,254 | 0 | |
| Totals | 1,435,895 | 222 | ||
| Source: Texas Secretary of State and CNN | ||||
| Texas Republican Primary, 2016 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes | Delegates | |
| Jeb Bush | 1.2% | 35,420 | 0 | |
| Ben Carson | 4.2% | 117,969 | 0 | |
| Chris Christie | 0.1% | 3,448 | 0 | |
| Ted Cruz |
43.8% | 1,241,118 | 104 | |
| Carly Fiorina | 0.1% | 3,247 | 0 | |
| Lindsey Graham | 0.1% | 1,706 | 0 | |
| Elizabeth Gray | 0.2% | 5,449 | 0 | |
| Mike Huckabee | 0.2% | 6,226 | 0 | |
| John Kasich | 4.2% | 120,473 | 0 | |
| Rand Paul | 0.3% | 8,000 | 0 | |
| Marco Rubio | 17.7% | 503,055 | 3 | |
| Rick Santorum | 0.1% | 2,006 | 0 | |
| Donald Trump | 26.8% | 758,762 | 48 | |
| Other | 1% | 29,609 | 0 | |
| Totals | 2,836,488 | 155 | ||
| Source: Texas Secretary of State and CNN | ||||
See also
- List of Pivot Counties - the 206 counties that voted Obama-Obama-Trump
- Pivot Counties by state
- Presidential election, 2016
Footnotes
- ↑ This analysis does not include counties in Alaska and certain independent cities due to variations in vote total reporting.
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