Pivot Counties in Ohio

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search

206 Pivot Counties Banner.png

2020 Election Analysis:
Pivot Counties
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Presidential election
Pivot Counties in the 2020 presidential election
Retained • Boomerang
Margins of victory
Voter turnout
Demographics
Congressional elections
Pivot Counties by congressional district
State legislative elections
Pivot Counties by state legislative district
Other
Reverse-Pivot Counties
Other year reports
2016 • 2018 • 2022
Pivot Counties by state
2020 Election Analysis Hub

Pivot Counties are the 206 counties nationwide Ballotpedia identified as having voted for Barack Obama (D) in the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections and Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Media and political observers sometimes refer to these counties as swing counties.

Following the 2016 presidential election, Ohio had nine Pivot Counties.

Ballotpedia defines Pivot Counties Trump won in 2020 as Retained Pivot Counties and those Joe Biden (D) won as Boomerang Pivot Counties.

After the 2020 presidential election, the state had eight Retained Pivot Counties and one Boomerang Pivot County.

List of Pivot Counties

See also: Election results, 2020: Pivot Counties in the 2020 presidential election, Presidential election in Ohio, 2020

The table below lists the Pivot Counties in Ohio. These counties accounted for 10.23 percent of the total counties in Ohio, and 13.95 percent of the state population.

Analysis of Ohio counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 following the 2020 presidential election[1]
County State Winner, 2020 Margin of Victory, 2020 Trump Margin of Victory, 2016 Obama Margin of Victory, 2012 Obama Margin of Victory, 2008
Ashtabula County Ohio Retained +23.49 +18.8 +12.78 +13.54
Erie County Ohio Retained +11.55 +9.48 +12.29 +13.86
Montgomery County Ohio Boomerang +2.24 +0.73 +4.62 +6.22
Ottawa County Ohio Retained +23.37 +19.51 +4.3 +6.24
Portage County Ohio Retained +12.44 +9.87 +5.52 +8.99
Sandusky County Ohio Retained +27.55 +22.58 +2.71 +4.64
Stark County Ohio Retained +18.51 +17.17 +0.47 +5.46
Trumbull County Ohio Retained +10.55 +6.22 +23 +22.43
Wood County Ohio Retained +7.6 +7.99 +4.84 +7.13


The map below shows Retained and Boomerang Pivot Counties in Ohio shaded bright red and blue, respectively.

2020 analysis

Voter turnout

See also: Election results, 2020: Voter turnout in Pivot Counties

Ohio has nine Pivot Counties, 10.2% of the state's 88 total counties. Of those nine Pivot Counties, the state has eight Retained Pivot Counties and one Boomerang Pivot County, responsible for 9.79% and 4.54% of the statewide turnout, respectively.

Voter turnout in Ohio and its Pivot Counties
Votes cast Voting age population Turnout Contribution to statewide turnout
Overview
Ohio 5,932,398 8,797,920 67.43% -
Retained Pivot Counties 580,694 890,135 65.24% 9.79%
Boomerang Pivot County 269,164 402,255 66.91% 4.54%


Demographics

See also: Election results, 2020: Demographics of the 206 Pivot Counties

This table displays demographic data, on average, by county compared to nationwide and statewide averages with a focus on Pivot Counties. Use the arrows at the top of the table to view 2016 data and changes from 2016 to 2020. Full demographic data can be found here.

2016 analysis

HIGHLIGHTS
  • There were nine counties in Ohio that voted for Donald Trump in 2016, and Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012.
  • 13.95 percent of the population of Ohio resided in these nine counties.
  • Since 1960, Pivot Counties in Ohio have matched the national election result in 76.30% of presidential elections.

    • Voting trends

    The table below details the voting trends of the Pivot Counties in Ohio since 1960.

    Presidential Elections in Ohio Pivot Counties since 1960
    County Elections won by Republican Presidential candidate Elections won by Democratic Presidential candidate Elections matching national result
    Elections Percentage of elections Elections Percentage of elections Elections Percentage of elections
    Ashtabula County, Ohio 6 40.00% 9 60.00% 11 73.33%
    Erie County, Ohio 8 53.33% 7 46.67% 11 73.33%
    Montgomery County, Ohio 5 33.33% 10 66.67% 10 66.67%
    Ottawa County, Ohio 9 60.00% 6 40.00% 14 93.33%
    Portage County, Ohio 6 40.00% 9 60.00% 11 73.33%
    Sandusky County, Ohio 11 73.33% 4 26.67% 12 80.00%
    Stark County, Ohio 9 60.00% 6 40.00% 12 80.00%
    Trumbull County, Ohio 2 13.33% 13 86.67% 9 60.00%
    Wood County, Ohio 10 66.67% 5 33.33% 13 86.67%
    Average 7 48.89% 8 51.11% 11 76.30%
    Median 8 53.33% 7 46.67% 11 73.33%

    2016 election results

    See also: Presidential election in Ohio, 2016

    In 2016, Ohio had 18 electoral votes, which was 3.3 percent of the 538 electoral votes up for grabs and 6.6 percent of the 270 electoral votes needed to win the general election. Presidential primary elections in Ohio took place on March 15, 2016. Hillary Clinton won the Democratic primary with 56.1 percent of the vote. Ohio Governor John Kasich won the Republican primary with 47 percent.

    General election

    U.S. presidential election, Ohio, 2016
    Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes
         Democratic Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine 43.6% 2,394,164 0
         Republican Green check mark transparent.pngDonald Trump/Mike Pence 51.7% 2,841,005 18
         Libertarian Gary Johnson/Bill Weld 3.2% 174,498 0
         Green Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka 0.8% 46,271 0
         Other Richard Duncan/Ricky Johnson 0.4% 24,235 0
         - Other/Write-in 0.3% 16,314 0
    Total Votes 5,496,487 18
    Election results via: Federal Election Commission

    Primaries

    Ohio Democratic Primary, 2016
    Candidate Vote % Votes Delegates
    Green check mark transparent.pngHillary Clinton 56.1% 696,681 81
    Bernie Sanders 43.1% 535,395 62
    Roque De La Fuente 0.8% 9,402 0
    Totals 1,241,478 143
    Source: The New York Times and Ohio Secretary of State
    Ohio Republican Primary, 2016
    Candidate Vote % Votes Delegates
    Jeb Bush 0.3% 5,398 0
    Ben Carson 0.7% 14,351 0
    Chris Christie 0.1% 2,430 0
    Ted Cruz 13.3% 264,640 0
    Carly Fiorina 0.1% 2,112 0
    Mike Huckabee 0.2% 4,941 0
    Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Kasich 47% 933,886 66
    Marco Rubio 2.3% 46,478 0
    Rick Santorum 0.1% 1,320 0
    Donald Trump 35.9% 713,404 0
    Totals 1,988,960 66
    Source: The New York Times and Ohio Secretary of State

    See also

    Footnotes

    1. ↑ This analysis does not include counties in Alaska and certain independent cities due to variations in vote total reporting.
    v • e
    Pivot Counties, 2020
    Presidential election206 Pivot Counties Logo.png
    Congressional elections
    State legislative elections
    Other
    By state
    2016 reports
    v • e
    Ballotpedia
    About
    Editorial Content
    Geoff Pallay, Director of Editorial Content and Editor-in-Chief • Ken Carbullido, Vice President of Election Product and Technology Strategy • Norm Leahy, Senior Editor • Daniel Anderson, Managing Editor • Ryan Byrne, Managing Editor • Cory Eucalitto, Managing Editor • Mandy Gillip, Managing Editor • Doug Kronaizl, Local Elections Project Manager • Jaclyn Beran • Marielle Bricker • Joseph Brusgard • Emma Burlingame • Kelly Coyle • Thomas Ellis • Frank Festa • Nicole Fisher • Brianna Hosea • Joseph Greaney • Thomas Grobben • Jaime Healy-Plotkin • Tyler King • Glorie Martinez • Nathan Maxwell • Ellie Mikus • Jackie Mitchell • Ellen Morrissey • Mackenzie Murphy • Kaley Platek • Samantha Post • Adam Powell • Ethan Rice • Spencer Richardson • Victoria Rose • Briana Ryan • Myj Saintyl • Maddy Salucka • Maddie Sinclair Johnson • Abbey Smith • Alexis Thacker • Janie Valentine • Joel Williams • Samuel Wonacott • Trenton Woodcox


    Retrieved from "https://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php?title=Pivot_Counties_in_Ohio&oldid=8285722"