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Mixed-party election outcomes in presidential election years, 1916-2024

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On the Ballot Episode 204: Split ticket voting in pres. election years falls to lows not seen since the 1920s in '24 election

When there are multiple offices on the ballot, voters can choose candidates from different political parties for the various offices. This practice is known as split-ticket voting, and it can lead to a mixed-party election outcome, or a situation where a state elects a governor of one party and a U.S. senator of another party, or gives its electoral votes to the candidate of one political party while electing a state legislative majority of another party. Ballotpedia has previously published analysis of split-ticket voting in the 2024 elections at both the gubernatorial and statewide election levels.

For the purposes of this analysis, we defined a mixed-party election outcomes as one where the candidate of one party won the state’s presidential electoral votes while candidates of another party won a U.S. Senate seat, a majority of the state's U.S. House delegation, or a state legislative majority on the same ballot.[1] These outcomes have trended down since high-water marks in the 1980s. These outcomes nearly halved by the 1990s before falling into the single digits in the three presidential elections from 2016-2024. In their 2002 book Why Americans Split Their Tickets: Campaigns, Competition, and Divided Government, professors Barry Burden and David Kimball argued that two factors primarily drove split-ticket voting: lack of competition and well-funded incumbents in congressional elections and popular presidential candidates.[2]

From 1916 to 2024, 25.3% (1,179 of 4,651) of all possible mixed-party election outcomes occurred. The years with the most mixed-party election outcomes were 1984 (97 out of 166 possible, or 58.4%) and 1972 (86 out of 166, or 51.8%). Each of those years was one in which a presidential candidate won 49 states. The years with the mixed-party election outcomes was 1920, with seven out of a possible 163 (4.3%). Tied for second-fewest with nine were 2016 (nine out of 170 possible, or 5.3%) and 2024 (nine out of 168 possible, or 5.4%).

Oklahoma (43) led all states with the highest number of mixed-party election outcomes across this span, followed by Florida (42) and Tennessee (40). The states with the fewest number of mixed-party election outcomes were Nebraska and Hawaii, with six each. Nebraska, with only one legislative chamber, has fewer total opportunities for mixed-party election outcomes, while Hawaii became a state in 1959. The state with the fewest mixed-party election outcomes with two legislative chambers and statehood for the course of this analysis was Utah, with seven.

On this page, you will find:

By year and office type

The chart and table below detail the number of mixed-party election outcomes in each presidential election year from 1916 to 2024. A bigger shaded area indicates more mixed-party election outcomes of that particular office type.

Mixed-party election outcomes by year, 1916-2024
Year U.S. Senate U.S. House State Senate State House Total Possible % Total
2024 4 1 2 2 9 168 5.4%
2020 1 2 6 6 15 167 9.0%
2016 0 2 5 2 9 170 5.3%
2012 6 8 6 8 28 168 16.7%
2008 7 9 6 4 26 167 15.6%
2004 7 10 11 15 43 168 25.6%
2000 10 10 12 19 51 169 30.2%
1996 10 14 14 14 52 168 31.0%
1992 12 14 13 12 51 169 30.2%
1988 17 25 20 22 84 167 50.3%
1984 17 28 24 28 97 166 58.4%
1980 13 24 18 20 75 167 44.9%
1976 13 15 14 14 56 165 33.9%
1972 17 26 19 24 86 166 51.8%
1968 14 12 12 11 49 165 29.7%
1964 7 9 16 12 44 169 26.0%
1960 9 14 16 13 52 167 31.1%
1956 11 15 13 17 56 164 34.1%
1952 11 8 7 7 33 164 20.1%
1948 2 11 10 6 29 155 18.7%
1944 5 8 15 14 42 165 25.5%
1940 6 7 16 10 39 166 23.5%
1936 6 4 10 7 27 164 16.5%
1932 7 7 12 9 35 166 21.1%
1928 12 11 9 8 40 168 23.8%
1924 3 6 3 2 14 166 8.4%
1920 1 1 2 3 7 163 4.3%
1916 6 7 8 9 30 164 18.3%
Totals 234 308 319 318 1,179 4,651 25.3%

By state

The map and collapsed table below diplay the total number of mixed-party election outcomes in state from 1916 to 2024. Mouse over a state to see the total number of mixed-party election outcomes over that timeframe.

State Split-ticket scenarios
Alabama 8
Alaska 14
Arizona 31
Arkansas 26
California 33
Colorado 24
Connecticut 18
Delaware 35
Florida 42
Georgia 25
Hawaii 6
Idaho 12
Illinois 27
Indiana 14
Iowa 22
Kansas 12
Kentucky 21
Louisiana 17
Maine 18
Maryland 9
Massachusetts 30
Michigan 27
Minnesota 23
Mississippi 10
Missouri 31
Montana 28
Nebraska 6
Nevada 38
New Hampshire 35
New Jersey 24
New Mexico 27
New York 27
North Carolina 27
North Dakota 29
Ohio 22
Oklahoma 43
Oregon 39
Pennsylvania 34
Rhode Island 26
South Carolina 22
South Dakota 17
Tennessee 40
Texas 31
Utah 7
Vermont 11
Virginia 13
Washington 30
West Virginia 26
Wisconsin 29
Wyoming 13

Most recent election (2024)

The table below displays the results of the 2024 presidential election in each state and whether or not there were mixed-party election outcomes in that state. Nine mixed-party election outcomes occurred across five states during the 2024 elections: Nevada (four), New Hampshire (two), Arizona (one), Michigan (one), and Wisconsin (one). The specific office with the most mixed-party election outcomes was the U.S. Senate, with four.

2024 mixed-party election outcomes
State Presidential vote U.S. Senate U.S. House State Senate State House Total Splits
Alabama Republican No No No No 0
Alaska Republican No No No No 0
Arizona Republican Yes No No No 1
Arkansas Republican No No No No 0
California Democratic No No No No 0
Colorado Democratic No No No No 0
Connecticut Democratic No No No No 0
Delaware Democratic No No No No 0
Florida Republican No No No No 0
Georgia Republican No No No No 0
Hawaii Democratic No No No No 0
Idaho Republican No No No No 0
Illinois Democratic No No No No 0
Indiana Republican No No No No 0
Iowa Republican No No No No 0
Kansas Republican No No No No 0
Kentucky Republican No No No No 0
Louisiana Republican No No No No 0
Maine Democratic No No No No 0
Maryland Democratic No No No No 0
Massachusetts Democratic No No No No 0
Michigan Republican Yes No No No 1
Minnesota Democratic No No No No 0
Mississippi Republican No No No No 0
Missouri Republican No No No No 0
Montana Republican No No No No 0
Nebraska Republican No No No No 0
Nevada Republican Yes Yes Yes Yes 4
New Hampshire Democratic No No Yes Yes 2
New Jersey Democratic No No No No 0
New Mexico Democratic No No No No 0
New York Democratic No No No No 0
North Carolina Republican No No No No 0
North Dakota Republican No No No No 0
Ohio Republican No No No No 0
Oklahoma Republican No No No No 0
Oregon Democratic No No No No 0
Pennsylvania Republican No No No No 0
Rhode Island Democratic No No No No 0
South Carolina Republican No No No No 0
South Dakota Republican No No No No 0
Tennessee Republican No No No No 0
Texas Republican No No No No 0
Utah Republican No No No No 0
Vermont Democratic No No No No 0
Virginia Democratic No No No No 0
Washington Democratic No No No No 0
West Virginia Republican No No No No 0
Wisconsin Republican Yes No No No 1
Wyoming Republican No No No No 0
Totals N/A 4 1 2 2 9

See also

Footnotes

  1. Gubernatorial elections were not considered in this analysis due to the limited number of states that hold those elections in presidential election years.
  2. James. Why Americans Split Their Tickets: Campaigns, Competition, and Divided Government . The Journal of Politics Volume 66, Number 4 (November 2004): 1308-1309.