Massachusetts' 5th Congressional District election, 2018

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General election
General election for U.S. House Massachusetts District 5

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Katherine Clark
Katherine Clark (D)
 
75.9
 
236,243
Image of John Hugo
John Hugo (R) Candidate Connection
 
24.0
 
74,856
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
225

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 311,324
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Massachusetts' 5th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: June 5, 2018
Primary: September 4, 2018
General: November 6, 2018
Pre-election incumbent:
Katherine Clark (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Massachusetts
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2018): D+18
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
See also
Massachusetts' 5th Congressional District
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th
Massachusetts elections, 2018
U.S. Congress elections, 2018
U.S. Senate elections, 2018
U.S. House elections, 2018

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 5th Congressional District of Massachusetts, held elections in 2018.

Heading into the election the incumbent was Katherine Clark (D), who was first elected in 2013.

Massachusetts' 5th Congressional District is located in the eastern portion of the state and includes parts of Middlesex, Suffolk, and Worcester counties.[1]



Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Massachusetts District 5

Incumbent Katherine Clark defeated John Hugo in the general election for U.S. House Massachusetts District 5 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Katherine Clark
Katherine Clark (D)
 
75.9
 
236,243
Image of John Hugo
John Hugo (R) Candidate Connection
 
24.0
 
74,856
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
225

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 311,324
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Massachusetts District 5

Incumbent Katherine Clark advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Massachusetts District 5 on September 4, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Katherine Clark
Katherine Clark
 
100.0
 
78,156

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 78,156
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Massachusetts District 5

John Hugo defeated Louis Kuchnir in the Republican primary for U.S. House Massachusetts District 5 on September 4, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of John Hugo
John Hugo Candidate Connection
 
63.7
 
11,859
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Louis Kuchnir
 
36.3
 
6,763

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 18,622
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+18, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 18 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Massachusetts' 5th Congressional District the 74th most Democratic nationally.[2]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.98. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.98 points toward that party.[3]

Campaign finance

The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Katherine Clark Democratic Party $1,492,081 $1,425,351 $1,018,946 As of December 31, 2018
John Hugo Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.


District history

2016

See also: Massachusetts' 5th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Katherine Clark (D) was the only candidate to file in the district. Because of this, Clark won re-election by default in the November 8, 2016 general election.[4][5]

U.S. House, Massachusetts District 5 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngKatherine Clark Incumbent 98.6% 285,606
     N/A Write-in 1.4% 4,201
Total Votes 289,807
Source: Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth

2014

See also: Massachusetts' 5th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 5th Congressional District of Massachusetts held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Katherine Clark (D) won an uncontested general election.

U.S. House, Massachusetts District 5 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngKatherine Clark Incumbent 71% 182,100
     Write-in Other 1.2% 3,160
     Blank None 27.8% 71,226
Total Votes 256,486
Source: Massachusetts Secretary of State Official Results

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

There are no Pivot Counties in Massachusetts. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won Massachusetts with 60 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 32.8 percent. In presidential elections between 1789 and 2016, Massachusetts voted Republican 36.2 percent of the time and Democratic 34.4 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Massachusetts voted Democratic all five times.[6]

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Massachusetts. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[7][8]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 135 out of 160 state House districts in Massachusetts with an average margin of victory of 31.6 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 141 out of 160 state House districts in Massachusetts with an average margin of victory of 34.1 points. Clinton won 21 districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 25 out of 160 state House districts in Massachusetts with an average margin of victory of 4.1 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 19 out of 160 state House districts in Massachusetts with an average margin of victory of 5.5 points. Trump won five districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.

State overview

Partisan control

This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Massachusetts heading into the 2018 elections.

Congressional delegation

State executives

State legislature

  • Democrats controlled both chambers of the Massachusetts General Court. They had a 117-34 majority in the state House and a 31-7 majority in the state Senate.

Trifecta status

  • Massachusetts was under divided government, meaning that the two parties shared control of the state government. Charlie Baker (R) served as governor, while Democrats controlled the state legislature.

2018 elections

See also: Massachusetts elections, 2018

Massachusetts held elections for the following positions in 2018:

Demographics

Demographic data for Massachusetts
 MassachusettsU.S.
Total population:6,784,240316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):7,8003,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:79.6%73.6%
Black/African American:7.1%12.6%
Asian:6%5.1%
Native American:0.2%0.8%
Pacific Islander:0%0.2%
Two or more:2.9%3%
Hispanic/Latino:10.6%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:89.8%86.7%
College graduation rate:40.5%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$68,563$53,889
Persons below poverty level:13.1%11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Massachusetts.
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

As of July 2016, Massachusetts' three largest cities were Boston (pop. est. 685,000), Worcester (pop. est. 186,000), and Springfield (pop. est. 155,000).[9]

State election history

This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Massachusetts from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Massachusetts Secretary of State.

Historical elections

Presidential elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Massachusetts every year from 2000 to 2016.

Election results (President of the United States), Massachusetts 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Democratic Party Hillary Clinton 60.0% Republican Party Donald Trump 32.8% 27.2%
2012 Democratic Party Barack Obama 60.7% Republican Party Mitt Romney 37.5% 23.2%
2008 Democratic Party Barack Obama 61.8% Republican Party John McCain 36.0% 25.8%
2004 Democratic Party John Kerry 61.9% Republican Party George W. Bush 36.8% 25.1%
2000 Democratic Party Al Gore 59.8% Republican Party George W. Bush 32.5% 27.3%

U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Massachusetts from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

Election results (U.S. Senator), Massachusetts 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2014 Democratic Party Ed Markey 61.9% Republican Party Brian Herr 38.0% 23.9%
2013[10] Democratic Party Ed Markey 57.3% Republican Party Gabriel Gomez 44.6% 12.7%
2012 Democratic Party Elizabeth Warren 53.7% Republican Party Scott Brown 46.2% 7.5%
2010[10] Republican Party Scott Brown 51.9% Democratic Party Martha Coakley 47.1% 4.8%
2008 Democratic Party John Kerry 65.9% Republican Party Jeffrey Beatty 30.9% 35.0%
2006 Democratic Party Ted Kennedy 69.3% Republican Party Kenneth Chase 30.5% 38.8%
2002 Democratic Party John Kerry Unopposed -- -- Unopposed
2000 Democratic Party Ted Kennedy 72.7% Republican Party Jack E. Robinson III 12.9% 59.8%

Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Massachusetts.

Election results (Governor), Massachusetts 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2014 Republican Party Charlie Baker 48.4% Democratic Party Martha Coakley 46.5% 1.9%
2010 Democratic Party Deval Patrick 48.4% Republican Party Charlie Baker 42.0% 6.4%
2006 Democratic Party Deval Patrick 55.6% Republican Party Kerry Healey 35.3% 20.3%
2002 Republican Party Mitt Romney 49.8% Democratic Party Shannon P. O'Brien 44.9% 4.9%

Congressional delegation, 2000-2016

This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Massachusetts in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

Congressional delegation, Massachusetts 2000-2016
Year Republicans Republicans (%) Democrats Democrats (%) Balance of power
2016 Republican Party 0 0% Democratic Party 9 100% D+9
2014 Republican Party 0 0% Democratic Party 9 100% D+9
2012 Republican Party 0 0% Democratic Party 9 100% D+9
2010 Republican Party 0 0% Democratic Party 10 100% D+10
2008 Republican Party 0 0% Democratic Party 10 100% D+10
2006 Republican Party 0 0% Democratic Party 10 100% D+10
2004 Republican Party 0 0% Democratic Party 10 100% D+10
2002 Republican Party 0 0% Democratic Party 10 100% D+10
2000 Republican Party 0 0% Democratic Party 10 100% D+10

Trifectas, 1992-2017

A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

Massachusetts Party Control: 1992-2024
Ten years of Democratic trifectas  •  No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R D D
Senate D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D
House D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D


See also

Footnotes

  1. ↑ United States Census Bureau, "Counties by Congressional Districts," accessed June 8, 2016
  2. ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  3. ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  4. ↑ Massachusetts Secretary of State, "DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATES FOR NOMINATION," accessed June 15, 2016
  5. ↑ Massachusetts Secretary of State, "REPUBLICAN CANDIDATES FOR NOMINATION," accessed June 15, 2016
  6. ↑ 270towin.com, "Massachusetts," accessed June 29, 2017
  7. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  8. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  9. ↑ Massachusetts Demographics, "Massachusetts Cities by Population," accessed September 5, 2018
  10. ↑ 10.0 10.1 Special election
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Massachusetts' current delegation to the United States Congress
Senators
Edward Markey (D)
Elizabeth Warren (D)
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
Democratic Party (11)

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