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Margin of victory analysis for the 2018 congressional elections

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2020



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2018 Federal Election Analysis
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U.S. Senate elections
BattlegroundsControl of the U.S. SenateStates with U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections

U.S. House elections
BattlegroundsControl of the U.S. HouseDistricts won by the opposite party presidential candidateElections without major party competition

State election analysis
Local election analysis
All election results

Congressional races in 2018, on average, were decided by a smaller margin-of-victory (MOV) than in any even-year elections since 2012. Relative to 2016, the average Senate margin of victory decreased from 22.1% to 16.8% and the average House margin of victory decreased from 36.6% to 30.2%.

An electoral margin of victory (MOV) is the difference between the share of votes cast for the winning candidate and the second-place candidate in an election. For example, if Candidate A wins an election with 55 percent of the vote and Candidate B, the second-place finisher, wins 45 percent of the vote, the winner's margin of victory is 10 percent. Margins of victory can be used to measure electoral competitiveness, political party or candidate strength, and, indirectly, the popularity of a particular policy or set of policies.

The closest election in each chamber was decided by a margin smaller than 0.2 percentage points. The closest U.S. Senate election was Gov. Rick Scott's (R-Fla.) defeat of incumbent Bill Nelson (D) by a margin of 0.12 percentage points. In Georgia's 7th congressional district, incumbent Rob Woodall (R) defeated Carolyn Bourdeaux (D) by a margin of 0.15 percentage points.

HIGHLIGHTS
  • The average MOV in 33 regularly-scheduled U.S. Senate races was 16.8 percentage points.
  • The average MOV in U.S. House elections was 30.2 percentage points.
  • Democrats recorded larger average margins of victory than Republicans, particularly in House races, where a 13.8 percentage point margin separated the parties' averages.
  • The U.S. House race in North Carolina's 9th congressional district, which was not certified, was excluded from this analysis.

    On this page, you will find margins of victory for all regularly scheduled Congressional elections held in 2018, as well as summaries of the 15 races decided by the smallest margins. For a list of all Congressional races decided by 10 percent or less, click here.

    Overview

    The table below shows the average margins of victory for House and Senate races since 2012. Click on an average margin in a previous year for detailed analysis of margins of victory for that year.

    Average MOV for Congressional elections, 2012-2018
    Chamber 2012 2014 2016 2018
    U.S. Senate 20% 22.6% 22.1% 16.8%
    U.S. House 31.9% 35.8% 36.6% 30.2%



    The following table shows the number of elections which each party won by margins of under 5%, between 5% and 15%, and over 15% across all Congressional elections and in each chamber.

    Elections by margin of victory, 2018
    Chamber and winning party
    Under 5%
    5% to 15%
    Over 15%
    Democratic Party U.S. Senate 3 7 13
    Democratic Party U.S. House 20 35 179
    Democratic Party Democrats (total) 23 42 192
    Republican Party U.S. Senate 2 4 4
    Republican Party U.S. House 24 49 127
    Republican Party Republicans (total) 26 53 131

    U.S. Senate



    The average MOV for U.S. Senate races was 16.8 percentage points in 2018, the smallest average margin since 2012 when it was 20 percentage points. In 2016, the average MOV was 22.1 percentage points. The average MOV for Republicans was 14.3 percentage points, compared to 16.8 percentage points for Democrats.

    The closest Senate race in 2018 was in Florida, where Rick Scott (R) defeated incumbent Bill Nelson (D) by a margin of 0.15 percentage points. Scott won by 10,033 votes out of just over 8 million cast. The largest MOV was in Hawaii, where incumbent Mazie Hirono (D) defeated Ron Curtis (R) by a margin of 42.3 percentage points.

    List of all U.S. Senate elections

    For a complete list of U.S. Senate margins of victory in 2018, see the table below.

    U.S. Senate margins of victory, 2018
    District Winner Winner votes (%) Runner-up Runner-up votes (%) Total votes Margin of victory
    U.S. Senate, Florida Republican Party Rick Scott 50.05% Democratic Party Bill Nelson 49.93% 8,190,005 0.12%
    U.S. Senate, Arizona Democratic Party Kyrsten Sinema 49.96% Republican Party Martha McSally 47.61% 2,384,308 2.34%
    U.S. Senate, Texas Republican Party Ted Cruz 50.89% Democratic Party Beto O'Rourke 48.33% 8,371,655 2.57%
    U.S. Senate, West Virginia Democratic Party Joe Manchin III 49.57% Republican Party Patrick Morrisey 46.26% 586,034 3.31%
    U.S. Senate, Montana Democratic Party Jon Tester 50.33% Republican Party Matt Rosendale 46.78% 504,384 3.55%
    U.S. Senate, Nevada Democratic Party Jacky Rosen 50.41% Republican Party Dean Heller 45.38% 972,132 5.03%
    U.S. Senate, Missouri Republican Party Josh Hawley 51.38% Democratic Party Claire McCaskill 45.57% 2,442,289 5.81%
    U.S. Senate, Indiana Republican Party Mike Braun 50.73% Democratic Party Joe Donnelly 44.84% 2,282,565 5.89%
    U.S. Senate, Michigan Democratic Party Debbie Stabenow 52.26% Republican Party John James 45.76% 4,237,271 6.51%
    U.S. Senate, Ohio Democratic Party Sherrod Brown 53.41% Republican Party Jim Renacci 46.57% 4,410,898 6.85%
    U.S. Senate, California Democratic Party Dianne Feinstein 54.16% Democratic Party Kevin de León 45.84% 11,113,364 8.33%
    U.S. Senate, Tennessee Republican Party Marsha Blackburn 54.71% Democratic Party Phil Bredesen 43.92% 2,243,740 10.79%
    U.S. Senate, Wisconsin Democratic Party Tammy Baldwin 55.42% Republican Party Leah Vukmir 44.58% 2,657,841 10.84%
    U.S. Senate, North Dakota Republican Party Kevin Cramer 55.11% Democratic Party Heidi Heitkamp 44.27% 326,138 10.84%
    U.S. Senate, New Jersey Democratic Party Bob Menendez 54.01% Republican Party Bob Hugin 42.83% 3,169,310 11.18%
    U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania Democratic Party Bob Casey, Jr. 55.74% Republican Party Lou Barletta 42.62% 5,009,400 13.13%
    U.S. Senate, Virginia Democratic Party Tim Kaine 57.00% Republican Party Corey Stewart 41.01% 3,351,373 16.00%
    U.S. Senate, Washington Democratic Party Maria Cantwell 58.43% Republican Party Susan Hutchinson 41.57% 3,086,168 16.87%
    U.S. Senate, Mississippi Republican Party Roger Wicker 58.49% Democratic Party David Baria 39.47% 936,215 19.02%
    U.S. Senate, Nebraska Republican Party Deb Fischer 57.69% Democratic Party Jane Raybould 38.62% 698,883 19.06%
    U.S. Senate, Maine Grey.png Angus King 54.31% Republican Party Eric Brakey 35.23% 634,409 19.08%
    U.S. Senate, Connecticut Democratic Party Chris Murphy 59.53% Republican Party Matthew Corey 39.35% 1,386,840 20.18%
    U.S. Senate, Delaware Democratic Party Tom Carper 59.95% Republican Party Robert Arlett 37.82% 362,592 22.13%
    U.S. Senate, Rhode Island Democratic Party Sheldon Whitehouse 61.44% Republican Party Robert Flanders Jr. 38.33% 376,738 23.11%
    U.S. Senate, New Mexico Democratic Party Martin Heinrich 54.09% Republican Party Mick Rich 30.53% 697,012 23.56%
    U.S. Senate, Minnesota Democratic Party Amy Klobuchar 60.31% Republican Party Jim Newberger 36.21% 2,596,879 24.10%
    U.S. Senate, Massachusetts Democratic Party Elizabeth Warren 60.34% Republican Party Geoff Diehl 36.17% 2,707,090 24.16%
    U.S. Senate, Utah Republican Party Mitt Romney 62.59% Democratic Party Jenny Wilson 30.91% 1,062,897 31.68%
    U.S. Senate, New York Democratic Party Kirsten Gillibrand 67.00% Republican Party Chele Farley 33.00% 6,055,151 34.00%
    U.S. Senate, Maryland Democratic Party Ben Cardin 64.86% Republican Party Tony Campbell 30.31% 2,299,889 34.55%
    U.S. Senate, Wyoming Republican Party John Barrasso 66.96% Democratic Party Gary Trauner 30.10% 203,420 36.86%
    U.S. Senate, Vermont Independent Bernie Sanders 67.32% Republican Party Lawrence Zupan 27.39% 272,624 39.93%
    U.S. Senate, Hawaii Democratic Party Mazie Hirono 71.15% Republican Party Ron Curtis 28.85% 388,351 42.30%



    The five most competitive U.S. Senate races from 2018 are listed below. Three of the five featured a Democratic incumbent seeking re-election, one featured a Republican seeking re-election, and one was for an open seat.

    Florida

    See also: United States Senate election in Florida, 2018

    Arizona

    See also: United States Senate election in Arizona, 2018

    Texas

    See also: United States Senate election in Texas, 2018

    West Virginia

    See also: United States Senate election in West Virginia, 2018

    Montana

    See also: United States Senate election in Montana, 2018

    U.S. House

    In keeping with trends from previous election cycles, U.S. House races were decided by larger margins of victory than U.S. Senate races, with an average of 30.2 percentage points. As with Senate elections, this was the smallest average MOV since 2012, when the average race was decided by 31.8 percentage points. The average MOV was 36.6 percentage points in 2016. Republicans won by smaller margins than Democrats, with an average margin of 22.8 percentage points to Democrats' 36.6 percentage points.

    The closest U.S. House race in 2018 was in Georgia's 7th Congressional District, where incumbent Rob Woodall (R) defeated professor Carolyn Bourdeaux (D) by a margin of 0.15 percentage points. A margin of 433 votes separated the two.


    List of all U.S. House elections

    For a complete list of U.S. House margins of victory in 2018, see the table below.[12]

    U.S. House margins of victory, 2018
    District Winner Winner votes (%) Runner-up Runner-up votes (%) Total votes Margin of victory
    Georgia's 7th Congressional District Republican Party Rob Woodall 50.08% Democratic Party Carolyn Bourdeaux 49.92% 280,453 0.15%
    Utah's 4th Congressional District Democratic Party Ben McAdams 50.12% Republican Party Mia Love 49.86% 269,271 0.26%
    New York's 27th Congressional District Republican Party Chris Collins 49.14% Democratic Party Nate McMurray 48.76% 285,178 0.38%
    Texas' 23rd Congressional District Republican Party Will Hurd 49.17% Democratic Party Gina Ortiz Jones 48.73% 210,069 0.44%
    Minnesota's 1st Congressional District Republican Party Jim Hagedorn 50.13% Democratic Party Dan Feehan 49.68% 291,661 0.45%
    California's 21st Congressional District Democratic Party TJ Cox 50.38% Republican Party David Valadao 49.62% 113,616 0.76%
    Illinois' 13th Congressional District Republican Party Rodney Davis 50.38% Democratic Party Betsy Londrigan 49.62% 270,981 0.76%
    Kansas' 2nd Congressional District Republican Party Steve Watkins 47.64% Democratic Party Paul Davis 46.79% 264,688 0.85%
    Georgia's 6th Congressional District Democratic Party Lucy McBath 50.51% Republican Party Karen Handel 49.48% 317,032 1.03%
    Maine's 2nd Congressional District Democratic Party Jared Golden 50.62% Republican Party Bruce Poliquin 49.38% 281,371 1.25%
    New Jersey's 3rd Congressional District Democratic Party Andrew Kim 50.01% Republican Party Tom MacArthur 48.72% 306,875 1.29%
    South Carolina's 1st Congressional District Democratic Party Joe Cunningham 50.60% Republican Party Katie Arrington 49.22% 287,433 1.39%
    Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District Democratic Party Kendra Horn 50.70% Republican Party Steve Russell 49.30% 238,960 1.40%
    Florida's 26th Congressional District Democratic Party Debbie Mucarsel-Powell 50.87% Republican Party Carlos Curbelo 49.13% 235,475 1.75%
    New York's 22nd Congressional District Democratic Party Anthony Brindisi 50.89% Republican Party Claudia Tenney 49.11% 250,957 1.78%
    New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District Democratic Party Xochitl Torres Small 50.93% Republican Party Yvette Herrell 49.07% 199,256 1.87%
    Virginia's 7th Congressional District Democratic Party Abigail Spanberger 50.34% Republican Party David Brat 48.40% 349,803 1.94%
    Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District Republican Party Don Bacon 51.00% Democratic Party Kara Eastman 49.00% 248,485 1.99%
    Iowa's 3rd Congressional District Democratic Party Cindy Axne 49.30% Republican Party David Young 47.14% 356,241 2.16%
    Virginia's 2nd Congressional District Democratic Party Elaine Luria 51.05% Republican Party Scott Taylor 48.81% 273,400 2.24%
    Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District Republican Party Brian Fitzpatrick 51.26% Democratic Party Scott Wallace 48.74% 329,798 2.52%
    Texas' 21st Congressional District Republican Party Chip Roy 50.24% Democratic Party Joseph Kopser 47.63% 353,617 2.61%
    Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District Republican Party Scott Perry 51.32% Democratic Party George Scott 48.68% 291,033 2.64%
    Texas' 31st Congressional District Republican Party John Carter 50.59% Democratic Party M.J. Hegar 47.68% 286,007 2.91%
    Texas' 24th Congressional District Republican Party Kenny Marchant 50.61% Democratic Party Jan McDowell 47.54% 263,418 3.07%
    California's 39th Congressional District Democratic Party Gil Cisneros 51.56% Republican Party Young Kim 48.44% 244,393 3.11%
    Kentucky's 6th Congressional District Republican Party Andy Barr 51.00% Democratic Party Amy McGrath 47.79% 302,888 3.21%
    Iowa's 4th Congressional District Republican Party Steve King 50.34% Democratic Party J.D. Scholten 47.01% 313,251 3.33%
    California's 50th Congressional District Republican Party Duncan Hunter 51.72% Democratic Party Ammar Campa-Najjar 48.28% 259,810 3.43%
    Michigan's 8th Congressional District Democratic Party Elissa Slotkin 50.61% Republican Party Michael Bishop 46.78% 341,593 3.83%
    Missouri's 2nd Congressional District Republican Party Ann Wagner 51.18% Democratic Party Cort VanOstran 47.23% 376,066 3.95%
    New York's 1st Congressional District Republican Party Lee Zeldin 51.49% Democratic Party Perry Gershon 47.40% 270,006 4.09%
    California's 45th Congressional District Democratic Party Katie Porter 52.05% Republican Party Mimi Walters 47.95% 305,289 4.10%
    Ohio's 12th Congressional District Republican Party Troy Balderson 51.42% Democratic Party Danny O'Connor 47.20% 341,647 4.22%
    Minnesota's 7th Congressional District Democratic Party Collin Peterson 52.10% Republican Party Dave Hughes 47.84% 281,509 4.26%
    Texas' 10th Congressional District Republican Party Michael McCaul 51.06% Democratic Party Mike Siegel 46.79% 307,827 4.27%
    Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District Republican Party Mike Kelly 51.58% Democratic Party Ronald DiNicola 47.30% 262,396 4.28%
    Ohio's 1st Congressional District Republican Party Steve Chabot 51.32% Democratic Party Aftab Pureval 46.90% 300,871 4.42%
    California's 10th Congressional District Democratic Party Josh Harder 52.25% Republican Party Jeff Denham 47.75% 221,900 4.50%
    Michigan's 6th Congressional District Republican Party Fred Upton 50.24% Democratic Party Matt Longjohn 45.69% 293,438 4.55%
    Montana at-large Republican Party Greg Gianforte 50.88% Democratic Party Kathleen Williams 46.25% 504,421 4.63%
    Washington's 8th Congressional District Democratic Party Kim Schrier 52.42% Republican Party Dino Rossi 47.58% 313,057 4.83%
    Texas' 22nd Congressional District Republican Party Pete Olson 51.36% Democratic Party Sri Preston Kulkarni 46.45% 297,405 4.91%
    Illinois' 14th Congressional District Democratic Party Lauren Underwood 52.50% Republican Party Randy Hultgren 47.50% 297,199 5.00%
    New Jersey's 7th Congressional District Democratic Party Tom Malinowski 51.74% Republican Party Leonard Lance 46.72% 322,742 5.02%
    Iowa's 1st Congressional District Democratic Party Abby Finkenauer 50.96% Republican Party Rod Blum 45.91% 334,243 5.06%
    Texas' 7th Congressional District Democratic Party Lizzie Pannill Fletcher 52.53% Republican Party John Culberson 47.47% 243,601 5.06%
    New York's 19th Congressional District Democratic Party Antonio Delgado 51.36% Republican Party John Faso 46.15% 287,894 5.21%
    New York's 24th Congressional District Republican Party John Katko 52.63% Democratic Party Dana Balter 47.37% 260,146 5.26%
    Washington's 3rd Congressional District Republican Party Jaime Herrera Beutler 52.67% Democratic Party Carolyn Long 47.33% 307,226 5.34%
    California's 22nd Congressional District Republican Party Devin Nunes 52.72% Democratic Party Andrew Janz 47.28% 222,379 5.44%
    Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District Democratic Party Angie Craig 52.66% Republican Party Jason Lewis 47.15% 337,968 5.51%
    Minnesota's 8th Congressional District Republican Party Pete Stauber 50.72% Democratic Party Joe Radinovich 45.18% 314,211 5.54%
    North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District Republican Party George Holding 51.36% Democratic Party Linda Coleman 45.74% 327,229 5.62%
    Florida's 27th Congressional District Democratic Party Donna Shalala 51.76% Republican Party Maria Elvira Salazar 45.76% 252,586 6.00%
    Florida's 15th Congressional District Republican Party Ross Spano 53.02% Democratic Party Kristen Carlson 46.98% 285,532 6.04%
    North Carolina's 13th Congressional District Republican Party Ted Budd 51.58% Democratic Party Kathy Manning 45.51% 282,957 6.08%
    Illinois' 12th Congressional District Republican Party Mike Bost 51.57% Democratic Party Brendan Kelly 45.39% 261,543 6.18%
    New York's 2nd Congressional District Republican Party Peter King 53.11% Democratic Party Liuba Grechen Shirley 46.89% 241,152 6.22%
    Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District Republican Party French Hill 52.13% Democratic Party Clarke Tucker 45.82% 253,453 6.31%
    New York's 11th Congressional District Democratic Party Max Rose 53.02% Republican Party Daniel Donovan 46.57% 192,038 6.45%
    Texas' 32nd Congressional District Democratic Party Colin Allred 52.27% Republican Party Pete Sessions 45.75% 275,620 6.52%
    Virginia's 5th Congressional District Republican Party Denver Riggleman 53.18% Democratic Party Leslie Cockburn 46.65% 310,926 6.53%
    Alaska at-large Republican Party Don Young 53.31% Democratic Party Alyse Galvin 46.69% 280,978 6.61%
    Michigan's 11th Congressional District Democratic Party Haley Stevens 51.84% Republican Party Lena Epstein 45.16% 350,901 6.68%
    California's 48th Congressional District Democratic Party Harley Rouda 53.55% Republican Party Dana Rohrabacher 46.45% 294,736 7.10%
    Illinois' 6th Congressional District Democratic Party Sean Casten 53.58% Republican Party Peter Roskam 46.42% 315,446 7.15%
    Texas' 2nd Congressional District Republican Party Daniel Crenshaw 52.84% Democratic Party Todd Litton 45.56% 263,392 7.29%
    Michigan's 7th Congressional District Republican Party Tim Walberg 53.80% Democratic Party Gretchen Driskell 46.20% 295,060 7.59%
    Texas' 6th Congressional District Republican Party Ronald Wright 53.10% Democratic Party Jana Lynne Sanchez 45.44% 256,042 7.66%
    New Jersey's 2nd Congressional District Democratic Party Jeff Van Drew 52.90% Republican Party Seth Grossman 45.23% 258,363 7.67%
    Arizona's 1st Congressional District Democratic Party Tom O'Halleran 53.83% Republican Party Wendy Rogers 46.14% 266,089 7.69%
    Colorado's 3rd Congressional District Republican Party Scott Tipton 51.52% Democratic Party Diane Mitsch Bush 43.55% 336,201 7.97%
    Nevada's 4th Congressional District Democratic Party Steven Horsford 51.93% Republican Party Cresent Hardy 43.75% 234,868 8.18%
    California's 4th Congressional District Republican Party Tom McClintock 54.13% Democratic Party Jessica Morse 45.87% 340,654 8.26%
    New York's 23rd Congressional District Republican Party Tom Reed 54.24% Democratic Party Tracy Mitrano 45.76% 240,255 8.49%
    New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District Democratic Party Chris Pappas 53.58% Republican Party Eddie Edwards 45.03% 290,928 8.55%
    Florida's 18th Congressional District Republican Party Brian Mast 54.30% Democratic Party Lauren Baer 45.70% 342,359 8.60%
    California's 25th Congressional District Democratic Party Katie Hill 54.37% Republican Party Stephen Knight 45.63% 245,022 8.73%
    Texas' 25th Congressional District Republican Party Roger Williams 53.53% Democratic Party Julie Oliver 44.78% 304,553 8.75%
    Nevada's 3rd Congressional District Democratic Party Susie Lee 51.89% Republican Party Danny Tarkanian 42.83% 286,168 9.06%
    Florida's 16th Congressional District Republican Party Vern Buchanan 54.56% Democratic Party David Shapiro 45.44% 361,946 9.12%
    Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District Democratic Party Matt Cartwright 54.64% Republican Party John Chrin 45.36% 248,166 9.28%
    Arizona's 2nd Congressional District Democratic Party Ann Kirkpatrick 54.73% Republican Party Lea Marquez Peterson 45.24% 294,152 9.49%
    Washington's 5th Congressional District Republican Party Cathy McMorris Rodgers 54.76% Democratic Party Lisa Brown 45.24% 320,347 9.52%
    Kansas' 3rd Congressional District Democratic Party Sharice Davids 53.57% Republican Party Kevin Yoder 43.91% 318,301 9.66%
    Indiana's 2nd Congressional District Republican Party Jackie Walorski 54.83% Democratic Party Mel Hall 45.16% 228,889 9.67%
    California's 1st Congressional District Republican Party Doug LaMalfa 54.89% Democratic Party Audrey Denney 45.11% 291,594 9.77%
    Texas' 3rd Congressional District Republican Party Van Taylor 54.24% Democratic Party Lorie Burch 44.23% 312,511 10.01%
    Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District Democratic Party Susan Wild 53.49% Republican Party Marty Nothstein 43.47% 263,261 10.02%
    California's 7th Congressional District Democratic Party Ami Bera 55.04% Republican Party Andrew Grant 44.96% 281,617 10.09%
    Arizona's 6th Congressional District Republican Party David Schweikert 55.19% Democratic Party Anita Malik 44.81% 313,699 10.39%
    Virginia's 1st Congressional District Republican Party Rob Wittman 55.18% Democratic Party Vangie Williams 44.70% 332,101 10.47%
    Ohio's 14th Congressional District Republican Party David Joyce 55.25% Democratic Party Betsy Rader 44.75% 307,358 10.50%
    North Carolina's 8th Congressional District Republican Party Richard Hudson 55.40% Democratic Party Frank McNeill 44.60% 253,318 10.81%
    Arizona's 8th Congressional District Republican Party Debbie Lesko 55.46% Democratic Party Hiral Tipirneni 44.53% 304,417 10.93%
    New York's 18th Congressional District Democratic Party Sean Maloney 55.47% Republican Party James O'Donnell 44.53% 251,599 10.94%
    West Virginia's 2nd Congressional District Republican Party Alexander Mooney 53.96% Democratic Party Talley Sergent 42.98% 204,792 10.98%
    Wisconsin's 6th Congressional District Republican Party Glenn Grothman 55.51% Democratic Party Dan Kohl 44.49% 324,847 11.01%
    Colorado's 6th Congressional District Democratic Party Jason Crow 54.10% Republican Party Mike Coffman 42.87% 346,822 11.23%
    Michigan's 3rd Congressional District Republican Party Justin Amash 54.42% Democratic Party Cathy Albro 43.18% 310,740 11.24%
    Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District Democratic Party Dean Phillips 55.61% Republican Party Erik Paulsen 44.19% 363,949 11.42%
    Connecticut's 5th Congressional District Democratic Party Jahana Hayes 55.87% Republican Party Manny Santos 44.12% 270,664 11.75%
    Iowa's 2nd Congressional District Democratic Party Dave Loebsack 54.79% Republican Party Chris Peters 42.60% 312,913 12.19%
    Wisconsin's 1st Congressional District Republican Party Bryan Steil 54.61% Democratic Party Randy Bryce 42.31% 325,013 12.30%
    New Jersey's 4th Congressional District Republican Party Chris Smith 55.40% Democratic Party Josh Welle 43.07% 294,348 12.33%
    Michigan's 2nd Congressional District Republican Party Bill Huizenga 55.32% Democratic Party Rob Davidson 42.97% 305,463 12.35%
    Virginia's 10th Congressional District Democratic Party Jennifer Wexton 56.11% Republican Party Barbara Comstock 43.73% 367,795 12.38%
    Pennsylvania's 17th Congressional District Democratic Party Conor Lamb 56.26% Republican Party Keith Rothfus 43.74% 325,579 12.51%
    Florida's 6th Congressional District Republican Party Michael Waltz 56.31% Democratic Party Nancy Soderberg 43.69% 333,649 12.63%
    Michigan's 1st Congressional District Republican Party Jack Bergman 56.32% Democratic Party Matthew Morgan 43.68% 332,497 12.63%
    West Virginia's 3rd Congressional District Republican Party Carol Miller 56.37% Democratic Party Richard Ojeda 43.63% 174,985 12.75%
    California's 49th Congressional District Democratic Party Mike Levin 56.42% Republican Party Diane Harkey 43.58% 295,030 12.84%
    North Carolina's 7th Congressional District Republican Party David Rouzer 55.63% Democratic Party Kyle Horton 42.73% 279,910 12.90%
    Indiana's 9th Congressional District Republican Party Trey Hollingsworth 56.48% Democratic Party Liz Watson 43.52% 271,361 12.96%
    California's 9th Congressional District Democratic Party Jerry McNerney 56.49% Republican Party Marla Livengood 43.51% 200,763 12.98%
    California's 42nd Congressional District Republican Party Ken Calvert 56.50% Democratic Party Julia Peacock 43.50% 231,932 13.00%
    Oregon's 5th Congressional District Democratic Party Kurt Schrader 55.01% Republican Party Mark Callahan 41.81% 358,469 13.20%
    North Carolina's 6th Congressional District Republican Party Mark Walker 56.62% Democratic Party Ryan Watts 43.38% 281,974 13.24%
    New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District Democratic Party Annie Kuster 55.54% Republican Party Steve Negron 42.18% 279,705 13.36%
    Ohio's 16th Congressional District Republican Party Anthony Gonzalez 56.73% Democratic Party Susan Moran Palmer 43.27% 299,710 13.46%
    Indiana's 5th Congressional District Republican Party Susan Brooks 56.76% Democratic Party Dee Thornton 43.24% 317,177 13.52%
    New Jersey's 5th Congressional District Democratic Party Josh Gottheimer 56.17% Republican Party John McCann 42.49% 301,823 13.68%
    New York's 21st Congressional District Republican Party Elise Stefanik 56.11% Democratic Party Tedra Cobb 42.43% 235,209 13.69%
    Ohio's 10th Congressional District Republican Party Michael Turner 55.92% Democratic Party Theresa Gasper 42.16% 281,726 13.76%
    South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District Republican Party Joe Wilson 56.25% Democratic Party Sean Carrigan 42.47% 257,139 13.78%
    North Carolina's 5th Congressional District Republican Party Virginia Foxx 57.20% Democratic Party Denise Adams 42.80% 277,002 14.40%
    New Jersey's 11th Congressional District Democratic Party Mikie Sherrill 56.77% Republican Party Jay Webber 42.13% 323,574 14.64%
    California's 16th Congressional District Democratic Party Jim Costa 57.55% Republican Party Elizabeth Heng 42.45% 142,959 15.09%
    Oregon's 4th Congressional District Democratic Party Peter DeFazio 55.97% Republican Party Art Robinson 40.87% 372,893 15.10%
    Florida's 3rd Congressional District Republican Party Ted Yoho 57.62% Democratic Party Yvonne Hayes Hinson 42.38% 306,496 15.25%
    Florida's 13th Congressional District Democratic Party Charlie Crist 57.64% Republican Party George Buck 42.36% 316,971 15.29%
    Florida's 7th Congressional District Democratic Party Stephanie Murphy 57.69% Republican Party Mike Miller 42.31% 317,398 15.38%
    Georgia's 1st Congressional District Republican Party Earl "Buddy" Carter 57.74% Democratic Party Lisa Ring 42.26% 250,683 15.48%
    Texas' 17th Congressional District Republican Party Bill Flores 56.81% Democratic Party Rick Kennedy 41.32% 237,351 15.49%
    South Carolina's 5th Congressional District Republican Party Ralph Norman 57.03% Democratic Party Archie Parnell 41.49% 248,579 15.54%
    Pennsylvania's 14th Congressional District Republican Party Guy Reschenthaler 57.91% Democratic Party Bibiana Boerio 42.09% 261,437 15.81%
    Florida's 9th Congressional District Democratic Party Darren Soto 58.02% Republican Party Wayne Liebnitzky 41.98% 296,737 16.04%
    California's 3rd Congressional District Democratic Party John Garamendi 58.07% Republican Party Charlie Schaupp 41.93% 232,251 16.15%
    Ohio's 2nd Congressional District Republican Party Brad Wenstrup 57.55% Democratic Party Jill Schiller 41.20% 289,661 16.36%
    Nevada's 2nd Congressional District Republican Party Mark Amodei 58.23% Democratic Party Clint Koble 41.77% 287,537 16.46%
    Oregon's 2nd Congressional District Republican Party Greg Walden 56.30% Democratic Party Jamie McLeod-Skinner 39.41% 368,709 16.90%
    California's 24th Congressional District Democratic Party Salud Carbajal 58.56% Republican Party Justin Fareed 41.44% 284,431 17.11%
    Utah's 2nd Congressional District Republican Party Chris Stewart 56.10% Democratic Party Shireen Ghorbani 38.90% 270,044 17.20%
    Ohio's 7th Congressional District Republican Party Bob Gibbs 58.74% Democratic Party Ken Harbaugh 41.26% 260,653 17.49%
    California's 31st Congressional District Democratic Party Pete Aguilar 58.74% Republican Party Sean Flynn 41.26% 187,495 17.49%
    Colorado's 5th Congressional District Republican Party Doug Lamborn 57.02% Democratic Party Stephany Rose Spaulding 39.31% 322,716 17.71%
    Pennsylvania's 6th Congressional District Democratic Party Chrissy Houlahan 58.88% Republican Party Greg McCauley 41.12% 301,828 17.75%
    Pennsylvania's 11th Congressional District Republican Party Lloyd Smucker 58.98% Democratic Party Jessica King 41.02% 277,584 17.95%
    New York's 3rd Congressional District Democratic Party Tom Suozzi 58.98% Republican Party Dan DeBono 41.02% 266,970 17.96%
    New York's 25th Congressional District Democratic Party Joseph Morelle 58.98% Republican Party James Maxwell 41.02% 269,980 17.97%
    California's 36th Congressional District Democratic Party Raul Ruiz 59.02% Republican Party Kimberlin Brown Pelzer 40.98% 207,008 18.03%
    Illinois' 16th Congressional District Republican Party Adam Kinzinger 59.12% Democratic Party Sara Dady 40.88% 255,825 18.25%
    Florida's 12th Congressional District Republican Party Gus Bilirakis 58.09% Democratic Party Chris Hunter 39.66% 334,918 18.43%
    Washington's 1st Congressional District Democratic Party Suzan DelBene 59.27% Republican Party Jeffrey Beeler 40.73% 332,743 18.54%
    Oklahoma's 1st Congressional District Republican Party Kevin Hern 59.30% Democratic Party Tim Gilpin 40.70% 253,171 18.60%
    Ohio's 15th Congressional District Republican Party Steve Stivers 58.33% Democratic Party Rick Neal 39.70% 292,443 18.63%
    North Carolina's 10th Congressional District Republican Party Patrick McHenry 59.35% Democratic Party David Wilson Brown 40.65% 276,446 18.69%
    Massachusetts' 9th Congressional District Democratic Party Bill Keating 59.38% Republican Party Peter Tedeschi 40.58% 323,928 18.80%
    Arizona's 5th Congressional District Republican Party Andy Biggs 59.42% Democratic Party Joan Greene 40.58% 313,064 18.85%
    Kansas' 4th Congressional District Republican Party Ron Estes 59.44% Democratic Party James Thompson 40.56% 242,693 18.87%
    Georgia's 12th Congressional District Republican Party Rick Allen 59.48% Democratic Party Francys Johnson 40.52% 250,492 18.96%
    South Carolina's 7th Congressional District Republican Party Tom Rice 59.56% Democratic Party Robert Williams 40.31% 239,554 19.25%
    Georgia's 2nd Congressional District Democratic Party Sanford Bishop Jr. 59.65% Republican Party Herman West Jr. 40.35% 229,171 19.30%
    Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District Democratic Party Ron Kind 59.67% Republican Party Steve Toft 40.33% 314,868 19.34%
    Virginia's 6th Congressional District Republican Party Ben Cline 59.69% Democratic Party Jennifer Lewis 40.21% 281,377 19.48%
    Pennsylvania's 9th Congressional District Republican Party Dan Meuser 59.75% Democratic Party Denny Wolff 40.25% 248,927 19.49%
    Texas' 14th Congressional District Republican Party Randy Weber 59.24% Democratic Party Adrienne Bell 39.32% 234,528 19.93%
    California's 8th Congressional District Republican Party Paul Cook 59.97% Republican Party Tim Donnelly 40.03% 170,785 19.93%
    Texas' 34th Congressional District Democratic Party Filemon Vela 59.99% Republican Party Rey Gonzalez 40.01% 143,068 19.98%
    Texas' 26th Congressional District Republican Party Michael Burgess 59.38% Democratic Party Linsey Fagan 39.02% 312,505 20.36%
    North Carolina's 11th Congressional District Republican Party Mark Meadows 59.24% Democratic Party Phillip Price 38.73% 299,009 20.52%
    Nebraska's 1st Congressional District Republican Party Jeffrey Fortenberry 60.36% Democratic Party Jessica McClure 39.64% 234,781 20.72%
    Florida's 25th Congressional District Republican Party Mario Diaz-Balart 60.45% Democratic Party Mary Barzee Flores 39.55% 212,845 20.91%
    Texas' 15th Congressional District Democratic Party Vicente González 59.67% Republican Party Tim Westley 38.75% 164,802 20.92%
    Maryland's 6th Congressional District Democratic Party David Trone 58.95% Republican Party Amie Hoeber 37.97% 277,084 20.98%
    Florida's 8th Congressional District Republican Party Bill Posey 60.50% Democratic Party Sanjay Patel 39.50% 360,527 21.00%
    Colorado's 4th Congressional District Republican Party Ken Buck 60.61% Democratic Party Karen McCormick 39.38% 369,621 21.24%
    Idaho's 2nd Congressional District Republican Party Michael Simpson 60.67% Democratic Party Aaron Swisher 39.33% 280,655 21.34%
    Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District Republican Party Sean Duffy 60.12% Democratic Party Margaret Engebretson 38.51% 322,787 21.61%
    Maryland's 1st Congressional District Republican Party Andrew Harris 59.98% Democratic Party Jesse Colvin 38.09% 306,186 21.89%
    Ohio's 13th Congressional District Democratic Party Tim Ryan 60.99% Republican Party Christopher DePizzo 39.01% 251,370 21.99%
    Alabama's 5th Congressional District Republican Party Mo Brooks 61.02% Democratic Party Peter Joffrion 38.89% 260,673 22.13%
    Arizona's 9th Congressional District Democratic Party Greg Stanton 61.09% Republican Party Steve Ferrara 38.91% 261,245 22.17%
    Minnesota's 6th Congressional District Republican Party Tom Emmer 61.11% Democratic Party Ian Todd 38.75% 315,726 22.36%
    Connecticut's 4th Congressional District Democratic Party Jim Himes 61.21% Republican Party Harry Arora 38.79% 275,651 22.42%
    Florida's 23rd Congressional District Democratic Party Debbie Wasserman Schultz 58.48% Republican Party Joe Kaufman 35.98% 276,366 22.49%
    New York's 4th Congressional District Democratic Party Kathleen Rice 61.33% Republican Party Ameer Benno 38.67% 260,106 22.67%
    New Mexico's 1st Congressional District Democratic Party Debra Haaland 59.13% Republican Party Janice Arnold-Jones 36.32% 249,162 22.81%
    Michigan's 9th Congressional District Democratic Party Andy Levin 59.67% Republican Party Candius Stearns 36.81% 304,563 22.86%
    Alabama's 2nd Congressional District Republican Party Martha Roby 61.39% Democratic Party Tabitha Isner 38.43% 226,230 22.96%
    South Carolina's 4th Congressional District Republican Party William Timmons 59.57% Democratic Party Brandon Brown 36.56% 243,950 23.01%
    Washington's 10th Congressional District Democratic Party Denny Heck 61.54% Republican Party Joseph Brumbles 38.46% 270,075 23.09%
    Georgia's 11th Congressional District Republican Party Barry Loudermilk 61.79% Democratic Party Flynn Broady Jr. 38.21% 310,540 23.58%
    Michigan's 5th Congressional District Democratic Party Dan Kildee 59.51% Republican Party Travis Wines 35.91% 276,413 23.60%
    Texas' 27th Congressional District Republican Party Michael Cloud 60.32% Democratic Party Eric Holguin 36.61% 207,421 23.71%
    California's 26th Congressional District Democratic Party Julia Brownley 61.94% Republican Party Antonio Sabato Jr. 38.06% 255,426 23.88%
    Wisconsin's 5th Congressional District Republican Party Jim Sensenbrenner 61.98% Democratic Party Tom Palzewicz 38.02% 364,005 23.97%
    Florida's 22nd Congressional District Democratic Party Ted Deutch 62.02% Republican Party Nicolas Kimaz 37.98% 297,683 24.05%
    Illinois' 17th Congressional District Democratic Party Cheri Bustos 62.09% Republican Party Bill Fawell 37.91% 229,749 24.19%
    South Dakota at-large Republican Party Dusty Johnson 60.33% Democratic Party Timothy Bjorkman 36.03% 335,965 24.31%
    Florida's 17th Congressional District Republican Party Greg Steube 62.26% Democratic Party Allen Ellison 37.74% 310,520 24.52%
    Florida's 19th Congressional District Republican Party Francis Rooney 62.27% Democratic Party David Holden 37.72% 339,607 24.55%
    North Dakota at-large Republican Party Kelly Armstrong 60.20% Democratic Party Mac Schneider 35.57% 321,532 24.63%
    Texas' 5th Congressional District Republican Party Lance Gooden 62.34% Democratic Party Dan Wood 37.55% 209,507 24.80%
    Colorado's 7th Congressional District Democratic Party Ed Perlmutter 60.42% Republican Party Mark Barrington 35.42% 338,067 25.00%
    Michigan's 4th Congressional District Republican Party John Moolenaar 62.62% Democratic Party Jerry Hilliard 37.38% 285,050 25.25%
    Michigan's 10th Congressional District Republican Party Paul Mitchell 60.32% Democratic Party Kimberly Bizon 35.00% 303,064 25.32%
    Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District Democratic Party John Yarmuth 62.07% Republican Party Vickie Yates Glisson 36.57% 278,720 25.50%
    Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District Republican Party Michael Guest 62.30% Democratic Party Michael Evans 36.72% 257,271 25.59%
    Washington's 4th Congressional District Republican Party Dan Newhouse 62.82% Democratic Party Christine Brown 37.18% 225,336 25.64%
    Georgia's 10th Congressional District Republican Party Jody Hice 62.89% Democratic Party Tabitha Johnson-Green 37.11% 302,735 25.78%
    Missouri's 5th Congressional District Democratic Party Emanuel Cleaver 61.67% Republican Party Jacob Turk 35.61% 283,785 26.06%
    Maine's 1st Congressional District Democratic Party Chellie Pingree 58.82% Republican Party Mark Holbrook 32.51% 342,053 26.31%
    Alabama's 1st Congressional District Republican Party Bradley Byrne 63.16% Democratic Party Robert Kennedy Jr. 36.78% 242,617 26.38%
    Colorado's 2nd Congressional District Democratic Party Joe Neguse 60.27% Republican Party Peter Yu 33.64% 430,765 26.63%
    Virginia's 4th Congressional District Democratic Party Donald McEachin 62.58% Republican Party Ryan McAdams 35.92% 299,854 26.66%
    Connecticut's 2nd Congressional District Democratic Party Joe Courtney 62.17% Republican Party Dan Postemski 35.45% 289,114 26.72%
    Pennsylvania's 4th Congressional District Democratic Party Madeleine Dean 63.52% Republican Party Dan David 36.48% 332,991 27.04%
    Ohio's 5th Congressional District Republican Party Bob Latta 62.26% Democratic Party John Michael Galbraith 35.14% 283,617 27.12%
    Rhode Island's 2nd Congressional District Democratic Party Jim Langevin 63.49% Republican Party Salvatore Caiozzo 36.28% 199,197 27.21%
    New Jersey's 6th Congressional District Democratic Party Frank Pallone Jr. 63.63% Republican Party Rich Pezzullo 36.37% 221,195 27.27%
    Wisconsin's 8th Congressional District Republican Party Michael Gallagher 63.71% Democratic Party Beau Liegeois 36.29% 328,675 27.43%
    California's 23rd Congressional District Republican Party Kevin McCarthy 63.72% Democratic Party Tatiana Matta 36.28% 205,774 27.43%
    Alabama's 3rd Congressional District Republican Party Mike Rogers 63.72% Democratic Party Mallory Hagan 36.22% 231,915 27.50%
    Kentucky's 4th Congressional District Republican Party Thomas Massie 62.24% Democratic Party Seth Hall 34.58% 261,812 27.66%
    Illinois' 11th Congressional District Democratic Party Bill Foster 63.84% Republican Party Nick Stella 36.16% 227,765 27.68%
    California's 52nd Congressional District Democratic Party Scott Peters 63.85% Republican Party Omar Qudrat 36.15% 296,007 27.69%
    Arizona's 3rd Congressional District Democratic Party Raul Grijalva 63.87% Republican Party Nicolas Pierson 36.13% 179,518 27.73%
    Washington's 6th Congressional District Democratic Party Derek Kilmer 63.89% Republican Party Douglas Dightman 36.11% 323,086 27.77%
    Indiana's 4th Congressional District Republican Party James Baird 64.06% Democratic Party Tobi Beck 35.94% 244,363 28.12%
    Massachusetts' 3rd Congressional District Democratic Party Lori Trahan 62.00% Republican Party Rick Green 33.45% 279,327 28.54%
    Connecticut's 1st Congressional District Democratic Party John Larson 63.87% Republican Party Jennifer Nye 35.03% 274,140 28.84%
    Indiana's 8th Congressional District Republican Party Larry Bucshon 64.43% Democratic Party William Tanoos 35.57% 244,291 28.86%
    Delaware at-large Democratic Party Lisa Blunt Rochester 64.45% Republican Party Scott Walker 35.55% 352,737 28.91%
    West Virginia's 1st Congressional District Republican Party David McKinley 64.58% Democratic Party Kendra Fershee 35.42% 198,214 29.15%
    Tennessee's 3rd Congressional District Republican Party Charles Fleischmann 63.68% Democratic Party Danielle Mitchell 34.48% 245,765 29.21%
    Indiana's 3rd Congressional District Republican Party Jim Banks 64.73% Democratic Party Courtney Tritch 35.27% 245,537 29.45%
    California's 47th Congressional District Democratic Party Alan Lowenthal 64.86% Republican Party John Briscoe 35.14% 221,036 29.71%
    Indiana's 7th Congressional District Democratic Party André Carson 64.86% Republican Party Wayne Harmon 35.14% 217,596 29.73%
    Tennessee's 4th Congressional District Republican Party Scott DesJarlais 63.38% Democratic Party Mariah Phillips 33.58% 232,451 29.79%
    Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District Republican Party Tom Cole 63.06% Democratic Party Mary Brannon 33.00% 236,638 30.06%
    Indiana's 1st Congressional District Democratic Party Peter Visclosky 65.09% Republican Party Mark Leyva 34.91% 245,209 30.19%
    California's 41st Congressional District Democratic Party Mark Takano 65.10% Republican Party Aja Smith 34.90% 166,248 30.20%
    Florida's 11th Congressional District Republican Party Daniel Webster 65.14% Democratic Party Dana Cottrell 34.84% 367,506 30.30%
    Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District Democratic Party Mary Gay Scanlon 65.19% Republican Party Pearl Kim 34.81% 304,714 30.38%
    Texas' 12th Congressional District Republican Party Kay Granger 64.27% Democratic Party Vanessa Adia 33.89% 268,491 30.38%
    Virginia's 9th Congressional District Republican Party Morgan Griffith 65.16% Democratic Party Anthony Flaccavento 34.75% 246,980 30.41%
    Ohio's 4th Congressional District Republican Party Jim Jordan 65.26% Democratic Party Janet Garrett 34.74% 257,405 30.53%
    Louisiana's 4th Congressional District Republican Party Mike Johnson 64.24% Democratic Party Ryan Trundle 33.63% 216,872 30.61%
    Illinois' 10th Congressional District Democratic Party Brad Schneider 65.39% Republican Party Doug Bennett 34.61% 232,221 30.79%
    Indiana's 6th Congressional District Republican Party Greg Pence 63.82% Democratic Party Jeannine Lee Lake 32.86% 241,726 30.96%
    Georgia's 3rd Congressional District Republican Party Drew Ferguson 65.53% Democratic Party Chuck Enderlin 34.47% 293,006 31.05%
    New Jersey's 1st Congressional District Democratic Party Donald Norcross 64.39% Republican Party Paul Dilks 33.26% 263,418 31.13%
    Oregon's 1st Congressional District Democratic Party Suzanne Bonamici 63.65% Republican Party John Verbeek 32.06% 363,249 31.59%
    Illinois' 8th Congressional District Democratic Party Raja Krishnamoorthi 65.97% Republican Party Jitendra Diganvker 34.03% 197,127 31.95%
    Idaho's 1st Congressional District Republican Party Russ Fulcher 62.75% Democratic Party Cristina McNeil 30.76% 315,069 31.99%
    Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District Republican Party Tom Marino 66.04% Democratic Party Marc Friedenberg 33.96% 243,872 32.08%
    Missouri's 4th Congressional District Republican Party Vicky Hartzler 64.82% Democratic Party Renee Hoagenson 32.72% 293,316 32.11%
    Arkansas' 3rd Congressional District Republican Party Steve Womack 64.74% Democratic Party Joshua Mahony 32.63% 229,708 32.11%
    New Mexico's 3rd Congressional District Democratic Party Ben Ray Lujan 63.38% Republican Party Jerald Steve McFall 31.21% 244,893 32.17%
    Missouri's 3rd Congressional District Republican Party Blaine Luetkemeyer 65.08% Democratic Party Katy Geppert 32.84% 324,608 32.24%
    Florida's 4th Congressional District Republican Party John Rutherford 65.16% Democratic Party Ges Selmont 32.35% 381,249 32.81%
    Tennessee's 2nd Congressional District Republican Party Tim Burchett 65.94% Democratic Party Renee Hoyos 33.06% 262,134 32.88%
    New York's 20th Congressional District Democratic Party Paul Tonko 66.50% Republican Party Joe Vitollo 33.50% 265,869 33.01%
    Ohio's 8th Congressional District Republican Party Warren Davidson 66.58% Democratic Party Vanessa Enoch 33.42% 261,133 33.15%
    Missouri's 6th Congressional District Republican Party Sam Graves 65.42% Democratic Party Henry Martin 31.98% 305,409 33.44%
    Florida's 5th Congressional District Democratic Party Alfred Lawson 66.78% Republican Party Virginia Fuller 33.22% 270,326 33.56%
    Rhode Island's 1st Congressional District Democratic Party David Cicilline 66.69% Republican Party Patrick Donovan 33.07% 174,083 33.62%
    Massachusetts' 6th Congressional District Democratic Party Seth Moulton 65.19% Republican Party Joseph Schneider 31.38% 333,975 33.81%
    Wyoming at-large Republican Party Liz Cheney 63.59% Democratic Party Greg Hunter 29.77% 201,245 33.82%
    Florida's 1st Congressional District Republican Party Matt Gaetz 67.06% Democratic Party Jennifer Zimmerman 32.94% 322,388 34.12%
    Massachusetts' 2nd Congressional District Democratic Party Jim McGovern 67.16% Republican Party Tracy Lovvorn 32.78% 284,893 34.38%
    Illinois' 18th Congressional District Republican Party Darin LaHood 67.23% Democratic Party Junius Rodriguez 32.77% 291,413 34.47%
    Mississippi's 1st Congressional District Republican Party Trent Kelly 66.91% Democratic Party Randy Wadkins 32.39% 236,521 34.52%
    Tennessee's 7th Congressional District Republican Party Mark Green 66.86% Democratic Party Justin Kanew 32.10% 254,384 34.75%
    Florida's 2nd Congressional District Republican Party Neal Dunn 67.44% Democratic Party Bob Rackleff 32.56% 295,568 34.88%
    Oklahoma's 2nd Congressional District Republican Party Markwayne Mullin 65.02% Democratic Party Jason Nichols 30.10% 216,002 34.92%
    Maryland's 2nd Congressional District Democratic Party Dutch Ruppersberger 66.01% Republican Party Elizabeth Matory 30.71% 253,302 35.30%
    Nevada's 1st Congressional District Democratic Party Dina Titus 66.17% Republican Party Joyce Bentley 30.87% 152,201 35.30%
    Arkansas' 4th Congressional District Republican Party Bruce Westerman 66.74% Democratic Party Hayden Shamel 31.23% 204,892 35.51%
    Ohio's 9th Congressional District Democratic Party Marcy Kaptur 67.79% Republican Party Steven Kraus 32.19% 231,937 35.59%
    Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District Republican Party Brett Guthrie 66.72% Democratic Party Hank Linderman 31.07% 257,345 35.65%
    Pennsylvania's 15th Congressional District Republican Party Glenn Thompson 67.84% Democratic Party Susan Boser 32.16% 243,572 35.68%
    Tennessee's 5th Congressional District Democratic Party Jim Cooper 67.85% Republican Party Jody Ball 32.15% 262,248 35.69%
    Washington's 9th Congressional District Democratic Party Adam Smith 67.90% Democratic Party Sarah Smith 32.10% 240,567 35.80%
    Missouri's 7th Congressional District Republican Party Billy Long 66.23% Democratic Party Jamie Schoolcraft 30.09% 296,455 36.14%
    Minnesota's 4th Congressional District Democratic Party Betty McCollum 65.99% Republican Party Greg Ryan 29.75% 328,614 36.25%
    Kansas' 1st Congressional District Republican Party Roger Marshall 68.15% Democratic Party Alan LaPolice 31.85% 224,640 36.29%
    Louisiana's 5th Congressional District Republican Party Ralph Abraham 66.54% Democratic Party Jessee Carlton Fleenor 29.97% 223,946 36.57%
    California's 44th Congressional District Democratic Party Nanette Barragán 68.34% Democratic Party Aja Brown 31.66% 143,322 36.68%
    Utah's 1st Congressional District Republican Party Rob Bishop 61.61% Democratic Party Lee Castillo 24.89% 254,333 36.72%
    South Carolina's 3rd Congressional District Republican Party Jeff Duncan 67.79% Democratic Party Mary Geren 30.97% 226,204 36.82%
    Kentucky's 1st Congressional District Republican Party James Comer Jr. 68.59% Democratic Party Paul Walker 31.41% 251,016 37.18%
    New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic Party Bonnie Watson Coleman 68.68% Republican Party Daryl Kipnis 31.32% 252,375 37.36%
    Mississippi's 4th Congressional District Republican Party Steven Palazzo 68.22% Democratic Party Jeramey Anderson 30.75% 223,732 37.48%
    California's 32nd Congressional District Democratic Party Grace Napolitano 68.78% Republican Party Joshua Scott 31.22% 177,031 37.56%
    Tennessee's 8th Congressional District Republican Party David Kustoff 67.66% Democratic Party Erika Stotts Pearson 30.10% 248,345 37.56%
    Arizona's 4th Congressional District Republican Party Paul Gosar 68.17% Democratic Party David Brill 30.51% 277,035 37.66%
    California's 38th Congressional District Democratic Party Linda Sánchez 68.85% Republican Party Ryan Downing 31.15% 202,156 37.70%
    Louisiana's 3rd Congressional District Republican Party Clay Higgins 55.65% Democratic Party Mildred Methvin 17.78% 245,943 37.87%
    Maryland's 8th Congressional District Democratic Party Jamie Raskin 68.17% Republican Party John Walsh 30.23% 319,330 37.94%
    California's 53rd Congressional District Democratic Party Susan Davis 69.07% Republican Party Morgan Murtaugh 30.93% 268,794 38.15%
    California's 46th Congressional District Democratic Party Lou Correa 69.15% Republican Party Russell Lambert 30.85% 147,916 38.29%
    Alabama's 6th Congressional District Republican Party Gary Palmer 69.18% Democratic Party Danner Kline 30.77% 278,328 38.41%
    Ohio's 6th Congressional District Republican Party Bill Johnson 69.25% Democratic Party Shawna Roberts 30.75% 249,490 38.50%
    California's 35th Congressional District Democratic Party Norma Torres 69.40% Republican Party Christian Valiente 30.60% 149,024 38.80%
    Michigan's 12th Congressional District Democratic Party Debbie Dingell 68.08% Republican Party Jeff Jones 28.89% 294,628 39.19%
    North Carolina's 1st Congressional District Democratic Party G.K. Butterfield 69.77% Republican Party Roger Allison 30.23% 269,534 39.54%
    California's 33rd Congressional District Democratic Party Ted Lieu 70.03% Republican Party Kenneth Wright 29.97% 312,860 40.06%
    Arkansas' 1st Congressional District Republican Party Rick Crawford 68.95% Democratic Party Chintan Desai 28.77% 201,245 40.17%
    Utah's 3rd Congressional District Republican Party John Curtis 67.55% Democratic Party James Singer 27.31% 258,858 40.24%
    Maryland's 3rd Congressional District Democratic Party John Sarbanes 69.11% Republican Party Charles Anthony 28.26% 292,880 40.85%
    Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District Republican Party John Joyce 70.49% Democratic Party Brent Ottaway 29.51% 253,266 40.98%
    Tennessee's 6th Congressional District Republican Party John Rose 69.47% Democratic Party Dawn Barlow 28.29% 248,740 41.18%
    New Jersey's 9th Congressional District Democratic Party Bill Pascrell 70.27% Republican Party Eric Fisher 28.87% 200,416 41.40%
    Texas' 16th Congressional District Democratic Party Veronica Escobar 68.46% Republican Party Rick Seeberger 27.03% 181,754 41.44%
    Illinois' 15th Congressional District Republican Party John Shimkus 70.93% Democratic Party Kevin Gaither 29.07% 255,608 41.86%
    South Carolina's 6th Congressional District Democratic Party James Clyburn 70.13% Republican Party Gerhard Gressmann 28.23% 206,433 41.89%
    California's 51st Congressional District Democratic Party Juan Vargas 71.20% Republican Party Juan Hidalgo Jr. 28.80% 153,828 42.40%
    Washington's 2nd Congressional District Democratic Party Rick Larsen 71.29% Libertarian Party Brian Luke 28.71% 294,833 42.58%
    Maryland's 5th Congressional District Democratic Party Steny Hoyer 70.28% Republican Party William Devine III 27.07% 304,209 43.21%
    Vermont at-large Democratic Party Peter Welch 69.20% Republican Party Anya Tynio 25.95% 272,451 43.25%
    Virginia's 11th Congressional District Democratic Party Gerald Connolly 71.11% Republican Party Jeff Dove 26.93% 308,250 44.17%
    California's 34th Congressional District Democratic Party Jimmy Gomez 72.54% Green Party Kenneth Mejia 27.46% 151,906 45.08%
    Texas' 36th Congressional District Republican Party Brian Babin 72.56% Democratic Party Dayna Steele 27.44% 221,956 45.12%
    Texas' 35th Congressional District Democratic Party Lloyd Doggett 71.25% Republican Party David Smalling 26.05% 194,067 45.20%
    California's 15th Congressional District Democratic Party Eric Swalwell 72.97% Republican Party Rudy Peters 27.03% 243,929 45.94%
    Texas' 1st Congressional District Republican Party Louie Gohmert 72.26% Democratic Party Shirley McKellar 26.32% 232,720 45.94%
    North Carolina's 12th Congressional District Democratic Party Alma Adams 73.04% Republican Party Paul Wright 26.96% 276,867 46.08%
    New York's 26th Congressional District Democratic Party Brian Higgins 73.34% Republican Party Renee Zeno 26.66% 230,654 46.68%
    California's 30th Congressional District Democratic Party Brad Sherman 73.40% Republican Party Mark Reed 26.60% 260,993 46.80%
    Illinois' 9th Congressional District Democratic Party Jan Schakowsky 73.49% Republican Party John Elleson 26.51% 290,351 46.97%
    Illinois' 3rd Congressional District Democratic Party Daniel Lipinski 73.01% Republican Party Arthur Jones 25.92% 223,334 47.09%
    Ohio's 3rd Congressional District Democratic Party Joyce Beatty 73.61% Republican Party Jim Burgess 26.37% 246,677 47.24%
    California's 19th Congressional District Democratic Party Zoe Lofgren 73.75% Republican Party Justin Aguilera 26.25% 220,319 47.51%
    Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District Republican Party Frank Lucas 73.87% Democratic Party Frankie Robbins 26.13% 234,065 47.75%
    California's 11th Congressional District Democratic Party Mark DeSaulnier 74.13% Republican Party John Fitzgerald 25.87% 275,681 48.26%
    North Carolina's 4th Congressional District Democratic Party David Price 72.35% Republican Party Steve Von Loor 24.08% 334,495 48.27%
    Missouri's 8th Congressional District Republican Party Jason Smith 73.39% Democratic Party Kathy Ellis 25.02% 264,399 48.37%
    Texas' 8th Congressional District Republican Party Kevin Brady 73.44% Democratic Party Steven David 24.87% 273,170 48.57%
    Louisiana's 6th Congressional District Republican Party Garret Graves 69.47% Democratic Party Justin DeWitt 20.52% 268,525 48.96%
    California's 18th Congressional District Democratic Party Anna Eshoo 74.49% Republican Party Christine Russell 25.51% 302,238 48.98%
    Hawaii's 1st Congressional District Democratic Party Ed Case 73.10% Republican Party Cam Cavasso 23.07% 184,211 50.03%
    Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District Democratic Party Bennie Thompson 71.79% Grey.png Troy Ray 21.73% 221,379 50.06%
    Texas' 19th Congressional District Republican Party Jodey Arrington 75.23% Democratic Party Miguel Levario 24.77% 201,985 50.45%
    California's 17th Congressional District Democratic Party Ro Khanna 75.35% Republican Party Ron Cohen 24.65% 211,162 50.69%
    Colorado's 1st Congressional District Democratic Party Diana DeGette 73.81% Republican Party Casper Stockham 23.05% 369,715 50.76%
    Texas' 29th Congressional District Democratic Party Sylvia Garcia 75.06% Republican Party Phillip Aronoff 23.91% 117,494 51.14%
    Massachusetts' 5th Congressional District Democratic Party Katherine Clark 75.88% Republican Party John Hugo 24.04% 311,324 51.84%
    Georgia's 13th Congressional District Democratic Party David Scott 76.16% Republican Party David Callahan 23.81% 293,010 52.35%
    Virginia's 8th Congressional District Democratic Party Don Beyer 76.10% Republican Party Thomas Oh 23.68% 324,748 52.42%
    Texas' 4th Congressional District Republican Party John Ratcliffe 75.70% Democratic Party Catherine Krantz 23.03% 249,245 52.67%
    Oregon's 3rd Congressional District Democratic Party Earl Blumenauer 72.60% Republican Party Tom Harrison 19.82% 384,326 52.78%
    Georgia's 14th Congressional District Republican Party Tom Graves 76.50% Democratic Party Steven Foster 23.50% 229,724 53.00%
    Illinois' 5th Congressional District Democratic Party Mike Quigley 76.66% Republican Party Tom Hanson 23.33% 279,131 53.33%
    Nebraska's 3rd Congressional District Republican Party Adrian Smith 76.72% Democratic Party Paul Theobald 23.28% 213,304 53.44%
    Illinois' 1st Congressional District Democratic Party Bobby Rush 73.51% Republican Party Jimmy Lee Tillman II 19.76% 257,885 53.74%
    California's 2nd Congressional District Democratic Party Jared Huffman 77.01% Republican Party Dale Mensing 22.99% 315,657 54.02%
    Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District Democratic Party Gwen Moore 75.71% Republican Party Tim Rogers 21.67% 272,748 54.04%
    Texas' 33rd Congressional District Democratic Party Marc Veasey 76.16% Republican Party Willie Billups 21.91% 119,224 54.26%
    Texas' 18th Congressional District Democratic Party Sheila Jackson Lee 75.25% Republican Party Ava Pate 20.81% 184,332 54.43%
    California's 40th Congressional District Democratic Party Lucille Roybal-Allard 77.35% Green Party Rodolfo Cortes Barragan 22.65% 121,449 54.70%
    Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District Democratic Party Tulsi Gabbard 77.36% Republican Party Brian Evans 22.64% 198,121 54.72%
    Louisiana's 1st Congressional District Republican Party Steve Scalise 71.50% Democratic Party Tammy Savoie 16.44% 269,325 55.06%
    Maryland's 7th Congressional District Democratic Party Elijah Cummings 76.44% Republican Party Richmond Davis 21.26% 264,710 55.18%
    California's 43rd Congressional District Democratic Party Maxine Waters 77.67% Republican Party Omar Navarro 22.33% 196,052 55.34%
    Tennessee's 1st Congressional District Republican Party Phil Roe 77.06% Democratic Party Marty Olsen 21.02% 224,282 56.04%
    Minnesota's 5th Congressional District Democratic Party Ilhan Omar 77.97% Republican Party Jennifer Zielinski 21.68% 343,358 56.29%
    California's 28th Congressional District Democratic Party Adam Schiff 78.37% Republican Party Johnny Nalbandian 21.63% 250,934 56.74%
    Georgia's 4th Congressional District Democratic Party Hank Johnson 78.85% Republican Party Joe Profit 21.15% 288,809 57.69%
    California's 5th Congressional District Democratic Party Mike Thompson 78.87% Grey.png Anthony Mills 21.13% 261,018 57.74%
    Kentucky's 5th Congressional District Republican Party Hal Rogers 78.94% Democratic Party Kenneth Stepp 21.05% 218,017 57.89%
    Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District Democratic Party Brendan Boyle 79.02% Republican Party David Torres 20.98% 201,982 58.03%
    Maryland's 4th Congressional District Democratic Party Anthony Brown 78.05% Republican Party George McDermott 19.85% 268,583 58.20%
    California's 27th Congressional District Democratic Party Judy Chu 79.21% Democratic Party Bryan Witt 20.79% 202,636 58.42%
    California's 14th Congressional District Democratic Party Jackie Speier 79.22% Republican Party Cristina Osmeña 20.78% 266,823 58.45%
    Georgia's 9th Congressional District Republican Party Doug Collins 79.50% Democratic Party Josh McCall 20.49% 282,582 59.01%
    New Jersey's 8th Congressional District Democratic Party Albio Sires 78.12% Republican Party John Muniz 18.72% 153,455 59.40%
    Alabama's 4th Congressional District Republican Party Robert Aderholt 79.77% Democratic Party Lee Auman 20.13% 230,969 59.65%
    Tennessee's 9th Congressional District Democratic Party Steve Cohen 79.98% Republican Party Charlotte Bergmann 19.23% 181,476 60.75%
    California's 6th Congressional District Democratic Party Doris Matsui 80.43% Democratic Party Jrmar Jefferson 19.57% 201,939 60.85%
    California's 29th Congressional District Democratic Party Tony Cardenas 80.61% Republican Party Benito Bernal 19.39% 154,692 61.22%
    Illinois' 2nd Congressional District Democratic Party Robin Kelly 80.73% Republican Party David Merkle 19.27% 227,691 61.46%
    Texas' 11th Congressional District Republican Party Mike Conaway 80.14% Democratic Party Jennie Lou Leeder 18.44% 220,377 61.70%
    Texas' 20th Congressional District Democratic Party Joaquin Castro 80.85% Libertarian Party Jeffrey Blunt 19.15% 171,963 61.71%
    California's 20th Congressional District Democratic Party Jimmy Panetta 81.37% Independent Ronald Paul Kabat 18.63% 225,721 62.75%
    Missouri's 1st Congressional District Democratic Party William Lacy Clay 80.10% Republican Party Robert Vroman 16.72% 274,375 63.39%
    Michigan's 14th Congressional District Democratic Party Brenda Lawrence 80.88% Republican Party Marc Herschfus 17.32% 264,994 63.56%
    New York's 10th Congressional District Democratic Party Jerrold Nadler 82.15% Republican Party Naomi Levin 17.85% 210,714 64.29%
    Ohio's 11th Congressional District Democratic Party Marcia Fudge 82.24% Republican Party Beverly Goldstein 17.75% 250,660 64.49%
    New York's 14th Congressional District Democratic Party Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 78.17% Republican Party Anthony Pappas 13.61% 141,122 64.57%
    Texas' 13th Congressional District Republican Party Mac Thornberry 81.54% Democratic Party Greg Sagan 16.93% 207,285 64.62%
    Washington's 7th Congressional District Democratic Party Pramila Jayapal 83.56% Republican Party Craig Keller 16.44% 394,681 67.12%
    Texas' 28th Congressional District Democratic Party Henry Cuellar 84.39% Libertarian Party Arthur Thomas IV 15.61% 139,226 68.78%
    Arizona's 7th Congressional District Democratic Party Ruben Gallego 85.61% Green Party Gary Swing 14.17% 132,051 71.44%
    Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District Democratic Party Cedric Richmond 80.59% Grey.png Jesse Schmidt 8.67% 235,982 71.92%
    Michigan's 13th Congressional District Democratic Party Rashida Tlaib 84.24% Independent Sam Johnson 11.30% 196,299 72.93%
    Illinois' 4th Congressional District Democratic Party Jesus Garcia 86.59% Republican Party Mark Wayne Lorch 13.41% 166,189 73.17%
    California's 12th Congressional District Democratic Party Nancy Pelosi 86.82% Republican Party Lisa Remmer 13.18% 317,072 73.65%
    New York's 12th Congressional District Democratic Party Carolyn Maloney 86.42% Republican Party Eliot Rabin 12.10% 251,604 74.32%
    Illinois' 7th Congressional District Democratic Party Danny K. Davis 87.62% Republican Party Craig Cameron 12.38% 246,243 75.23%
    New York's 17th Congressional District Democratic Party Nita Lowey 88.02% Reform Party Joseph Ciardullo 11.98% 193,318 76.05%
    California's 13th Congressional District Democratic Party Barbara Lee 88.38% Green Party Laura Wells 11.62% 294,837 76.76%
    New Jersey's 10th Congressional District Democratic Party Donald Payne Jr. 87.56% Republican Party Agha Khan 10.09% 200,159 77.47%
    California's 37th Congressional District Democratic Party Karen Bass 89.08% Republican Party Ron Bassilian 10.92% 236,378 78.15%
    New York's 9th Congressional District Democratic Party Yvette Clarke 89.33% Republican Party Lutchi Gayot 10.29% 203,135 79.04%
    New York's 6th Congressional District Democratic Party Grace Meng 90.88% Green Party Tom Hillgardner 9.12% 122,855 81.75%
    Texas' 30th Congressional District Democratic Party Eddie Bernice Johnson 91.05% Libertarian Party Shawn Jones 8.95% 183,174 82.10%
    Virginia's 3rd Congressional District Democratic Party Bobby Scott 91.22% Write-ins 8.78% 217,722 82.45%
    Texas' 9th Congressional District Democratic Party Al Green 89.06% Libertarian Party Phil Kurtz 3.88% 153,001 85.17%
    Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic Party Dwight Evans 93.38% Republican Party Bryan Leib 6.62% 307,997 86.76%
    Connecticut's 3rd Congressional District Democratic Party Rosa DeLauro 93.63% Republican Party Angel Cadena 6.37% 154,277 87.26%
    New York's 7th Congressional District Democratic Party Nydia Velazquez 93.37% Darkred.png Joseph Lieberman 5.52% 157,097 87.85%
    New York's 8th Congressional District Democratic Party Hakeem Jeffries 94.24% Darkred.png Ernest Johnson 5.22% 191,404 89.02%
    New York's 13th Congressional District Democratic Party Adriano Espaillat 94.60% Republican Party Jineea Butler 5.40% 190,303 89.21%
    New York's 15th Congressional District Democratic Party Jose Serrano 95.99% Republican Party Jason Gonzalez 4.01% 129,674 91.97%
    Massachusetts' 1st Congressional District Democratic Party Richard Neal 97.64% Write-ins 2.36% 216,900 95.29%
    Massachusetts' 4th Congressional District Democratic Party Joseph Kennedy III 97.72% Write-ins 2.28% 251,016 95.44%
    Alabama's 7th Congressional District Democratic Party Terri Sewell 97.80% Write-ins 2.20% 189,163 95.61%
    Massachusetts' 7th Congressional District Democratic Party Ayanna Pressley 98.25% Write-ins 1.75% 220,411 96.50%
    Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District Democratic Party Stephen Lynch 98.42% Write-ins 1.58% 263,307 96.85%
    Georgia's 8th Congressional District Republican Party Austin Scott 99.72% Write-ins 0.28% 198,716 99.43%
    Florida's 20th Congressional District Democratic Party Alcee Hastings 99.92% Write-ins 0.08% 202,824 99.84%
    Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District Democratic Party Mark Pocan 99.99% Write-ins 0.01% 309,154 99.98%
    Florida's 10th Congressional District Democratic Party Val Demings N/A N/A N/A -- 100.00%
    Florida's 14th Congressional District Democratic Party Kathy Castor N/A N/A N/A -- 100.00%
    Florida's 21st Congressional District Democratic Party Lois Frankel N/A N/A N/A -- 100.00%
    Florida's 24th Congressional District Democratic Party Frederica Wilson N/A N/A N/A -- 100.00%
    Georgia's 5th Congressional District Democratic Party John Lewis 100.00% N/A N/A 275,406 100.00%
    New York's 5th Congressional District Democratic Party Gregory Meeks N/A N/A N/A -- 100.00%
    New York's 16th Congressional District Democratic Party Eliot Engel N/A N/A N/A -- 100.00%
    North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District Republican Party Walter Jones 100.00% N/A N/A 173,483 100.00%
    Pennsylvania's 18th Congressional District Democratic Party Michael Doyle 100.00% N/A N/A 231,472 100.00%

    The ten most competitive U.S. House races from 2018 are listed below. Eight of the ten featured a Republican incumbent seeking re-election and two were for an open seat.

    Georgia's 7th Congressional District

    See also: Georgia's 7th Congressional District election, 2018

    Utah's 4th Congressional District

    See also: Utah's 4th Congressional District election, 2018

    New York's 27th Congressional District

    See also: New York's 27th Congressional District election, 2018

    Texas' 23rd Congressional District

    See also: Texas' 23rd Congressional District election, 2018

    Minnesota's 1st Congressional District

    See also: Minnesota's 1st Congressional District election, 2018

    California's 21st Congressional District

    See also: California's 21st Congressional District election, 2018

    Illinois' 13th Congressional District

    See also: Illinois' 13th Congressional District election, 2018

    Kansas' 2nd Congressional District

    See also: Kansas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2018

    Georgia's 6th Congressional District

    See also: Georgia's 6th Congressional District election, 2018

    Maine's 2nd Congressional District

    See also: Maine's 2nd Congressional District election, 2018

    See also

    Footnotes

    1. Politico, "Invitation to a primary? Doubts among Democrats bedevil Sen. Nelson against Scott in 2018," December 15, 2017
    2. Politico, "Scott running for Senate in epic showdown with Nelson," April 9, 2018
    3. NPR, "Democrat Kyrsten Sinema Wins Arizona Senate Seat," November 12, 2018
    4. Arizona Secretary of State, "1980 Election Information - Official Canvass, General Election - November 4, 1980," accessed December 18, 2018
    5. Politico, "Flake retiring after 2018," October 24, 2017
    6. 12 News, "Sinema endorsed by Green Party Senate candidate," November 1, 2018
    7. The Hill, "Arizona race becomes Senate GOP’s ‘firewall,'" September 20, 2018
    8. CNN, "Arizona and Florida show how tough the Senate map is for Democrats," August 28, 2018
    9. Politico, "Is THIS the Year Arizona Finally Turns Blue?" July 16, 2018
    10. https://www.newsweek.com/ted-cruz-beto-orourke-texas-midterms-trump-1053173 Newsweek, "TEXAS ‘BLUE WAVE’ COULD TAKE DOWN TED CRUZ AND DEAL BIG BLOW TO DONALD TRUMP, POLLS INDICATE," August 1, 2018]
    11. CNN, "The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2018," January 3, 2018
    12. The U.S. House race in North Carolina's 9th congressional district, which was not certified, was excluded from this analysis.
    13. Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, "Majority Makers," accessed April 27, 2018
    14. DCCC, "DCCC Announces Latest Round of Exciting Red to Blue Candidates," September 14, 2018
    15. Atlanta Journal-Constitution, "It’s official: Gwinnett County turns purple," November 8, 2016
    16. Atlanta Journal-Constitution, "Hillary Clinton won Gwinnett. How did your neighbors vote?," November 10, 2016
    17. Southern Political Report, "Georgia’s Sixth and Seventh Districts host competitive races," April 16, 2018
    18. Politico, "Rep. Chris Collins, fighting prosecution, seeks to end reelection bid," August 11, 2018
    19. NPR, "Indicted Congressman Reverses Course, Says He Will Campaign For Re-Election," September 19, 2018
    20. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for the 2016 and 2012 elections," accessed November 20, 2017
    21. New York Redistricting Map, "Map," accessed September 25, 2012
    22. Post Bulletin, "Democrat Walz to run for governor," March 27, 2017
    23. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for the 2016 and 2012 elections," accessed November 19, 2017
    24. DCCC, "Red to Blue," accessed October 7, 2018
    25. GOP, "Young Guns 2018," accessed October 5, 2018
    26. United States Census Bureau, "Counties by Congressional Districts," accessed June 8, 2016
    27. DCCC, "Races," accessed October 24, 2018
    28. Roll Call, "DCCC Names First 11 Candidates in ‘Red to Blue’ Program," November 15, 2017
    29. Atlanta Journal-Constitution, "Spending in Georgia Sixth race pushes past $50 million," June 19, 2017
    30. The Nation, "Stacey Abrams and Lucy McBath Are Leading the Charge to Turn Georgia Blue," July 17, 2018
    31. WBUR, "Maine's 2nd Congressional District Will Be Decided By Ranked-Choice Voting," November 7, 2018
    32. Maine Secretary of State, "Resources for Ranked-choice Voting (RCV)," accessed September 10, 2018
    33. Maine Public, "Golden Wins Nation's First Ranked-Choice Voting Runoff For A Congressional Seat," November 15, 2018
    34. Roll Call, "Democrats Look for a Mainer to Take on Poliquin," June 11, 2018
    35. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for the 2016 and 2012 elections," accessed November 19, 2017