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Florida's 14th Congressional District elections, 2012
2014 →
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November 6, 2012 |
August 14, 2012 |
Kathy Castor |
Connie Mack |
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The 14th Congressional District of Florida held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
Kathy Castor was re-elected on November 6, 2012.[1]
| Candidate Filing Deadline | Primary Election | General Election |
|---|---|---|
Primary: Florida is one of 21 states to use a closed primary system.
Voter registration: Voters were required to register to vote in the primary by July 16, 2012, which was 29 days before the primary took place.[2] (Information about registering to vote)
- See also: Florida elections, 2012
Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Connie Mack (R), who was first elected in 2004. Mack ran for the U.S. Senate rather than for re-election in 2012.[3]
This was the first election which used new district maps based on 2010 Census data. Florida's 14th Congressional District is located in the Gulf Coast region in southwestern Florida and includes Hillsborough County and a small portion of Pinellas County.[4]
On March 30, 2012, the National Journal released a list of the top ten most contorted congressional districts, as a result of redistricting.[5] The 14th District was included in the list.[5]
Candidates
General election candidates
August 14, 2012, primary results
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- Note: Mark Sharpe suspended his bid for the 14th District in February 2012.[6][9]
Election results
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic |  Kathy Castor Incumbent |
70.2% | 197,121 | |
| Republican | Evelio Otero Jr. | 29.8% | 83,480 | |
| Total Votes | 280,601 | |||
| Source: Florida Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election" | ||||
Race background
Blue vs. Red
Possible race ratings are:
Solid Democratic
Likely Democratic
Lean DemocraticTossup
Lean Republican
Likely Republican
Solid Republican
Florida's 14th District is a solidly Democratic district.
In June 2012, Sabato's Crystal Ball rated Florida's 14th as a solidly Democratic district.[10]
Impact of redistricting
- See also: Redistricting in Florida
In redistricting the 11th District became the new 14th Congressional District.[6] On March 30, 2012, the National Journal released a list of the top ten most contorted congressional districts, as a result of redistricting.[5] The 14th District was included in the list.[5]
Prior to redistricting the 14th District was located in the Gulf Coast region in southwestern Florida and included all of Lee County and portions of Charlotte and Collier counties. Fort Myers, Naples, Cape Coral and part of Port Charlotte were also located in the district.
The 14th District was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district was composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[11][12]
- 1 percent from the 9th Congressional District
- 5 percent from the 10th Congressional District
- 86 percent from the 11th Congressional District
- 8 percent from the 12th Congressional District
District partisanship
FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study
- See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012
In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Florida's 14th District became more Republican because of redistricting.[13]
- 2012: 62D / 38R
- 2010: 63D / 37R
Cook Political Report's PVI
In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Florida's 14th Congressional District has a PVI of D+11, which is the 94th most Democratic district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by Barack Obama (D), 66-34 percent over John McCain (R). In 2004, John Kerry (D) won the district 59-41 percent over George W. Bush (R).[14]
District history
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2008
On November 4, 2008, Connie Mack won re-election to the United States House of Representatives. He defeated Robert Neeld (D), Burt Saunders (I), and Jeff George (I) in the general election.[15]
| U.S. House, Florida District 14 General Election, 2008 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Republican | Connie Mack Incumbent |
59.4% | 224,602 | |
| Democratic | Robert Neeld | 24.8% | 93,590 | |
| Independent | Burt Saunders | 14.5% | 54,750 | |
| Independent | Jeff George | 1.3% | 4,949 | |
| Total Votes | 377,891 | |||
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Florida, 2012
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2012
- United States Senate elections in Florida, 2012
External links
- Joe Davidow's Campaign Website
- Tammy Hall's Campaign Website
- James Roach's Campaign Website
- Gary Aubuchon's Campaign Website
- Timothy John Rossano for Congress Facebook Page
- Kathy Castor's Campaign Website
- Updated Florida Congressional Districts List
- Florida 2012 Redistricting Map
Footnotes
- ↑ ABC News, "2012 General Election Results," accessed November 6, 2012
- ↑ Florida Department of State, "Register to Vote," accessed April 25, 2012
- ↑ Politico, "Connie Mack to enter Fla. Senate race" accessed December 3, 2011
- ↑ Florida 2012 Redistricting Map, "Map" accessed July 5, 2012
- ↑ 5.0 5.1 5.2 5.3 National Journal, "Modern Gerrymanders: 10 Most Contorted Congressional Districts—MAPS," accessed March 31, 2012
- ↑ 6.0 6.1 6.2 Roll Call, "Race Ratings: Florida Offers Democrats Chances at Pickups," accessed February 28, 2012 Cite error: Invalid
<ref>tag; name "redistrict" defined multiple times with different content Cite error: Invalid<ref>tag; name "redistrict" defined multiple times with different content - ↑ 7.0 7.1 7.2 Florida Secretary of State Elections Division "Candidate List" accessed June 11, 2012
- ↑ Cite error: Invalid
<ref>tag; no text was provided for refs namedap - ↑ Roll Call, "County Commissioner Running Against Kathy Castor" accessed December 2, 2011
- ↑ Center for Politics, "2012 House Ratings," Updated June 27, 2012
- ↑ Moonshadow Mobile's CensusViewer, "Florida's congressional districts 2001-2011 comparison"
- ↑ Labels & Lists, "VoterMapping software voter counts"
- ↑ "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in Florida," September 2012
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" accessed October 2012
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008"
