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California's 27th Congressional District election, 2024
George Whitesides (D) defeated incumbent Mike Garcia (R) in the general election in California's 27th Congressional District on November 5, 2024. Garcia was one of 15 incumbents who lost their re-election campaigns to the U.S. House of Representatives in 2024. Additionally, this was one of 19 seats that changed partisan control due to the 2024 U.S. House of Representatives elections.
The 27th district was, as of the 2024 election, one of 19 nationwide—including five in California—in which a Republican represented a district Joe Biden (D) won in 2020. Biden won the 27th over Donald Trump 54.0% to 43.9% in 2020. In the 2022 election, Garcia won re-election 53.2%–46.8% over Christy Smith (D). In that year's gubernatorial election, Brian Dahle (R) won the district 50.9% to 49.1% over Gavin Newsom (D).[1] The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee listed the district as a target for 2024. Before the election, three major race rating outlets rated the general election Toss-up and one rated it Lean Democratic.
Garcia was first elected in a special election in 2020. A U.S. Navy veteran, Garcia worked at Raytheon and as a real estate developer before entering politics. Garcia ran on his record, saying he stood for "common-sense policies that preserve your freedoms, protect your communities, and restore America’s standing on the international stage."[2]
Whitesides was, as of the election, a businessman who served as NASA chief of staff under President Barack Obama (D) and as chief executive officer of Virgin Galactic. Whitesides said Garcia was too conservative for the district: "He’s on the wrong side...he’s been voting to co-sponsor the national abortion ban. He voted to cut law enforcement budgets and the VA budgets by 30%. He voted to decertify a free and fair presidential election."[3]
Based on post-general election reports filed with the Federal Election Commission, Garcia raised $6.54 million and spent $6.58 million and Whitesides raised $10.2 million and spent $10.0 million. To review all the campaign finance figures in full detail, click here.
The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 119th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.
At the time of the election, Republicans held a 220-212 majority with three vacancies.[4] As a result of the election, Republicans retained control of the U.S. House, winning 220 seats to Democrats' 215.[5] To read more about the 2024 U.S. House elections, click here.
In the 2022 election in this district, the Republican candidate won 53.2%-46.8%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have defeated Donald Trump (R) 55.1%-42.7%.[6]
California's 27th Congressional District was one of 34 congressional districts with a Republican incumbent or an open seat that the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) targeted in 2024. To read about DCCC targeting initiatives, click here. For a complete list of DCCC targeted districts, click here.
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 27
George Whitesides defeated incumbent Mike Garcia in the general election for U.S. House California District 27 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | George Whitesides (D) | 51.3 | 154,040 | |
Mike Garcia (R) | 48.7 | 146,050 |
Total votes: 300,090 | ||||
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Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 27
Incumbent Mike Garcia and George Whitesides defeated Steve Hill in the primary for U.S. House California District 27 on March 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Mike Garcia (R) | 54.9 | 74,245 | |
✔ | George Whitesides (D) | 32.8 | 44,391 | |
Steve Hill (D) | 12.2 | 16,525 |
Total votes: 135,161 | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
Voting information
- See also: Voting in California
Candidate comparison
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: Yes
Political Office:
- U.S. House (Assumed office: 2020)
Biography: Garcia obtained a bachelor's degree from the United States Naval Academy and a master's degree from Georgetown University. Garcia served ten years in the U.S. Navy and three in the U.S. Navy Reserve. Before entering elected politics, Garcia worked at Raytheon and as a real estate developer.
Show sources
Sources: Mike Garcia 2024 campaign website, "Home page," accessed July 3, 2024; Mike Garcia 2024 campaign website, "Meet Mike Garcia," accessed July 3, 2024; Mike Garcia 2024 campaign website, "Meet Mike Garcia," accessed July 3, 2024; Biographical Directory of the United States Congress, "GARCIA, Mike," accessed July 3, 2024
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House California District 27 in 2024.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Biography: Whitesides obtained a bachelor's degree in public and international affairs from Princeton University and a master's degree in remote sensing and GIS from the University of Cambridge. Whitesides worked on Barack Obama's (D) presidential transition team and served in the Obama Administration as NASA chief of staff. Whitesides later served as chief executive officer of Virgin Galactic and co-chairman of the Antelope Valley COVID-19 Task Force. Whitesides is the co-founder of Megafire Action, an organization aiming to prevent large wildfires.
Show sources
Sources: George Whitesides 2024 campaign website, "Home page," accessed July 3, 2024; The Santa Clarita Valley Signal, "Garcia leading Whitesides in early returns," March 5, 2024; George Whitesides 2024 campaign website, "Home page," accessed July 3, 2024; LinkedIn, "George Whitesides," accessed July 3, 2024
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House California District 27 in 2024.
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.
Campaign advertisements
This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.
Mike Garcia
Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Mike Garcia while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.
George Whitesides
Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for George Whitesides while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.
Election competitiveness
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
We provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, when available. No polls were available for this election. To notify us of polls published in this election, please email us.
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[7]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[8][9][10]
Race ratings: California's 27th Congressional District election, 2024 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 5, 2024 | October 29, 2024 | October 22, 2024 | October 15, 2024 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Democratic | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Endorsements
Click the links below to see official endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites for any candidates that make that information available. If you are aware of a website that should be included, please email us.
Election spending
Campaign finance
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mike Garcia | Republican Party | $6,539,108 | $6,605,923 | $49,856 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Steve Hill | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
George Whitesides | Democratic Party | $10,614,138 | $10,287,404 | $326,733 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Satellite spending
- See also: Satellite spending
Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[11][12][13]
If available, this section includes links to online resources tracking satellite spending in this election. To notify us of a resource to add, email us.
By candidate | By election |
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District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in California.
California U.S. House primary competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Office | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested top-two primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | |||||
2024 | 52 | 52 | 7 | 241 | 52 | 42 | 80.8% | 36 | 80.0% | |||||
2022 | 52 | 52 | 5 | 272 | 52 | 52 | 100.0% | 47 | 100.0% | |||||
2020 | 53 | 53 | 4 | 262 | 53 | 47 | 88.7% | 32 | 64.0% | |||||
2018 | 53 | 53 | 2 | 244 | 53 | 41 | 77.4% | 39 | 76.5% | |||||
2016 | 53 | 53 | 4 | 202 | 53 | 40 | 75.5% | 36 | 73.5% | |||||
2014 | 53 | 53 | 6 | 209 | 53 | 38 | 71.7% | 32 | 68.1% |
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in California in 2024. Information below was calculated on 1/16/2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Two-hundred forty-one candidates filed to run for California's 52 U.S. House districts in 2024, including 125 Democrats, 88 Republicans, and 28 independent or minor party candidates. That’s 4.63 candidates per district. In 2022, the first election after the number of congressional districts in California decreased from 53 to 52 following the 2020 census, 5.2 candidates filed per district. In 2020, when the state still had 53 Congressional districts, 4.94 candidates filed per district. In 2018, 4.6 candidates filed.
The 241 candidates who ran in California in 2024 were the fewest total number of candidates since 2016, when 202 candidates ran. Forty-five incumbents—34 Democrats and 11 Republicans—ran for re-election. That was fewer than in 2022, when 47 incumbents ran. Six districts were open, one more than in 2022, and the most since 2014, when six districts were also open.
2020
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 27
Incumbent Judy Chu defeated Johnny Nalbandian in the general election for U.S. House California District 27 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Judy Chu (D) | 69.8 | 221,411 | |
Johnny Nalbandian (R) | 30.2 | 95,907 |
Total votes: 317,318 | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 27
Incumbent Judy Chu and Johnny Nalbandian defeated Beatrice Cardenas and Christian Daly in the primary for U.S. House California District 27 on March 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Judy Chu (D) | 70.9 | 117,724 | |
✔ | Johnny Nalbandian (R) | 13.4 | 22,300 | |
Beatrice Cardenas (R) | 11.7 | 19,449 | ||
Christian Daly (Independent) | 3.9 | 6,504 |
Total votes: 165,977 | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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2018
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 27
Incumbent Judy Chu defeated Bryan Witt in the general election for U.S. House California District 27 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Judy Chu (D) | 79.2 | 160,504 | |
Bryan Witt (D) | 20.8 | 42,132 |
Total votes: 202,636 | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 27
Incumbent Judy Chu and Bryan Witt advanced from the primary for U.S. House California District 27 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Judy Chu (D) | 83.5 | 86,932 | |
✔ | Bryan Witt (D) | 16.5 | 17,186 |
Total votes: 104,118 | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Brian Espinoza (L)
Republican-held U.S. House district that Biden won
This is one of 19 U.S. House districts Republicans were defending that President Joe Biden (D) won in 2020. The map below highlights those districts. Hover over or click a district to see information such as the incumbent and the presidential vote counts.
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ California Secretary of State, "Congressional Districts for Governor - 2022," accessed July 5, 2024
- ↑ Mike Garcia 2024 campaign website, "Congressman Garcia’s Statement on Tonight’s Primary Results," accessed July 5, 2024
- ↑ The Santa Clarita Valley Signal, "Garcia leading Whitesides in early returns," March 5, 2024
- ↑ A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
- ↑ These figures include the seat of Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.), who resigned on Nov. 13, 2024, after winning re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," December 12, 2021
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023
- ↑ Progressive Party
- ↑ 2,000 signatures can be provided in lieu of the filing fee