Arizona's 7th Congressional District election, 2022
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Arizona's 7th Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: April 4, 2022 |
Primary: August 2, 2022 General: November 8, 2022 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Arizona |
Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th Arizona elections, 2022 U.S. Congress elections, 2022 U.S. Senate elections, 2022 U.S. House elections, 2022 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 7th Congressional District of Arizona, held elections in 2022. The general election was on November 8, 2022. The primary was scheduled for August 2, 2022. The filing deadline was April 4, 2022.
The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 118th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.
Republicans won a 222-213 majority in the U.S. House in 2022.
Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 65.6% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 32.9%.[1]
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Arizona's 7th Congressional District election, 2022 (August 2 Democratic primary)
- Arizona's 7th Congressional District election, 2022 (August 2 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Arizona District 7
Incumbent Raúl Grijalva defeated Luis Pozzolo in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 7 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Raúl Grijalva (D) | 64.5 | 126,418 | |
Luis Pozzolo (R) | 35.5 | 69,444 |
Total votes: 195,862 | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Jeannette Garcia (R)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 7
Incumbent Raúl Grijalva advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 7 on August 2, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Raúl Grijalva | 100.0 | 62,547 |
Total votes: 62,547 | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 7
Luis Pozzolo defeated Nina Becker and David Reetz in the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 7 on August 2, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Luis Pozzolo | 69.0 | 20,413 | |
Nina Becker | 30.6 | 9,064 | ||
David Reetz (Write-in) | 0.3 | 103 |
Total votes: 29,580 | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Alex Stovall (R)
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Arizona
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
Collapse all
|Luis Pozzolo (R)
EDUCATION The first 7 years of a child's life are the most important. This is when they will learn to become a human being. Radical activists are forcing curriculums about sex and race into K-5 classrooms. We must stop the teaching of hate and division in our schools. It is time to end the sexual grooming of our children. Parents should have the choice of which school their children attend. So those who want their children to learn trades can do so, and ensure they're prepared for adult life.
TRADITIONAL FAMILY VALUES Our traditional family values are under attack. Grijalva is pushing to indoctrinate your children through the school boards. He believes it's the school's right to teach children how they should view themselves. He does not believe in parents' rights. He is a radical who supports abortions, welfare, and dependence on government. As your congressman, I want to provide our people with every opportunity to succeed. This means a strong foundation is very important. This can only exist in a community that focuses on the strength of the nuclear family unit. Our traditional values are the foundation we all build our world perspective on. We cannot allow radical activists in government to attack our strong family values.
Luis Pozzolo (R)
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[2] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[3] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.
U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022 | ||
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Report | Close of books | Filing deadline |
Year-end 2021 | 12/31/2021 | 1/31/2022 |
April quarterly | 3/31/2022 | 4/15/2022 |
July quarterly | 6/30/2022 | 7/15/2022 |
October quarterly | 9/30/2022 | 10/15/2022 |
Pre-general | 10/19/2022 | 10/27/2022 |
Post-general | 11/28/2022 | 12/08/2022 |
Year-end 2022 | 12/31/2022 | 1/31/2023 |
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Raúl Grijalva | Democratic Party | $660,514 | $680,217 | $206,506 | As of December 31, 2022 |
Nina Becker | Republican Party | $-1,309,816 | $900 | $1,731,271 | As of July 20, 2022 |
Luis Pozzolo | Republican Party | $268,102 | $268,102 | $0 | As of December 31, 2022 |
David Reetz | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]
Race ratings: Arizona's 7th Congressional District election, 2022 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Arizona in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Arizona, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022 | ||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Arizona | U.S. House | Democratic | 1,563[8] | N/A | 4/4/2022 | Source |
Arizona | U.S. House | Republican | 1,639[9] | N/A | 4/4/2022 | Source |
Arizona | U.S. House | Libertarian | 826[10] | N/A | 4/4/2022 | Source |
Arizona | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 4,832[11] | N/A | 4/4/2022 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
- Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
District map
Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.
Arizona District 7
until January 2, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Arizona District 7
starting January 3, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Effect of redistricting
The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[12] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[13]
2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Arizona | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
District | 2022 district | Political predecessor district | ||
Joe Biden |
Donald Trump |
Joe Biden |
Donald Trump | |
Arizona's 1st | 50.1% | 48.6% | 47.3% | 51.4% |
Arizona's 2nd | 45.3% | 53.2% | 50.1% | 48.4% |
Arizona's 3rd | 74.5% | 23.9% | 73.7% | 24.7% |
Arizona's 4th | 54.2% | 43.9% | 60.8% | 37.3% |
Arizona's 5th | 41.0% | 57.4% | 41.9% | 56.4% |
Arizona's 6th | 49.3% | 49.2% | 54.5% | 43.9% |
Arizona's 7th | 65.6% | 32.9% | 62.8% | 35.7% |
Arizona's 8th | 42.5% | 56.1% | 41.4% | 57.3% |
Arizona's 9th | 36.4% | 62.2% | 30.6% | 68.0% |
Competitiveness
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Arizona.
Arizona U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2022 | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
2022 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 2 | 7 | 50.0% | 2 | 25.0% | ||||
2020 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 38 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 66.7% | 4 | 44.4% | ||||
2018 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 37 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 55.6% | 3 | 42.9% | ||||
2016 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 61.1% | 4 | 57.1% | ||||
2014 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 25 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 27.8% | 1 | 12.5% |
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Arizona in 2022. Information below was calculated on June 23, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Thirty-nine candidates filed to run in Arizona's nine U.S. House districts, including 10 Democrats and 29 Republicans. That's 4.33 candidates per district, more than the 4.22 candidates per district in 2020 and the 4.11 in 2018.
This was the first election to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census. Arizona was apportioned nine districts, the same number it was apportioned after the 2010 census. The 39 candidates who filed to run this year were the most candidates running for Arizona's U.S. House seats since at least 2014, the earliest year for which we have data.
One district — the 6th — was open. That’s one more than in 2020, and one less than in 2018. Rep. David Schweikert (R), who represented the 6th district, filed to run in the 1st district. Rep. Tom O'Halleran (D), who represented the 1st district, filed to run in the 2nd district, where incumbent Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick (D) did not seek re-election.
The 2nd and 6th districts attracted the most candidates this year, with eight candidates running in each. There were eight contested primaries this year — two Democratic and six Republican. That's the fewest contested primaries since 2014, when there were five contested primaries.
Six incumbents — four Democrats and two Republicans — did not face any primary challengers. The 8th and 9th districts were guaranteed to Republicans because no Democrats filed to run. No districts were guaranteed to Democrats because no Republicans filed.
Presidential elections
Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+15. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 15 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Arizona's 7th the 91st most Democratic district nationally.[14]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in Arizona's 7th based on 2022 district lines | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden |
Donald Trump | |||
65.6% | 32.9% |
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Arizona, 2020
Arizona presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 9 Democratic wins
- 19 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | N/A | N/A | N/A | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | D |
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in Arizona and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.
Demographic Data for Arizona | ||
---|---|---|
Arizona | United States | |
Population | 7,151,502 | 331,449,281 |
Land area (sq mi) | 113,654 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White | 73.8% | 70.4% |
Black/African American | 4.5% | 12.6% |
Asian | 3.3% | 5.6% |
Native American | 4.3% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander | 0.2% | 0.2% |
Two or more | 7% | 5.2% |
Hispanic/Latino | 31.5% | 18.2% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate | 87.9% | 88.5% |
College graduation rate | 30.3% | 32.9% |
Income | ||
Median household income | $61,529 | $64,994 |
Persons below poverty level | 14.1% | 12.8% |
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020). | ||
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
State party control
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Arizona's congressional delegation as of November 2022.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Arizona, November 2022 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Republican | 0 | 4 | 4 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 9 | 11 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Arizona's top three state executive offices as of November 2022.
State executive officials in Arizona, November 2022 | |
---|---|
Office | Officeholder |
Governor | |
Secretary of State | |
Attorney General |
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Arizona State Legislature as of November 2022.
Arizona State Senate
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 14 | |
Republican Party | 16 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 30 |
Arizona House of Representatives
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 29 | |
Republican Party | 31 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 60 |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Arizona was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Arizona Party Control: 1992-2022
No Democratic trifectas • Twenty-two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
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Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Senate | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | S | S | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
District history
2020
See also: Arizona's 7th Congressional District election, 2020
Arizona's 7th Congressional District election, 2020 (August 4 Democratic primary)
Arizona's 7th Congressional District election, 2020 (August 4 Republican primary)
General election
General election for U.S. House Arizona District 7
Incumbent Ruben Gallego defeated Josh Barnett, Roxanne Rodriguez, and J.Travis Kirkham in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 7 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Ruben Gallego (D) | 76.7 | 165,452 | |
Josh Barnett (R) | 23.3 | 50,226 | ||
Roxanne Rodriguez (L) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 51 | ||
J.Travis Kirkham (R) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 3 |
Total votes: 215,732 | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 7
Incumbent Ruben Gallego advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 7 on August 4, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Ruben Gallego | 100.0 | 56,108 |
Total votes: 56,108 | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 7
Josh Barnett advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 7 on August 4, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Josh Barnett | 100.0 | 15,245 |
Total votes: 15,245 | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Chris Hindle (R)
- Nina Becker (R)
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Arizona District 7
Incumbent Ruben Gallego defeated Gary Swing in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 7 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Ruben Gallego (D) | 85.6 | 113,044 | |
Gary Swing (G) | 14.2 | 18,706 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 0.2 | 301 |
Total votes: 132,051 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 7
Incumbent Ruben Gallego defeated Catherine H. Miranda in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 7 on August 28, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Ruben Gallego | 74.8 | 32,231 | |
Catherine H. Miranda | 25.2 | 10,856 |
Total votes: 43,087 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Ruben Gallego (D) defeated Eve Nunez (R) and Joe Cobb (L) in the general election on November 8, 2016. No candidate faced a primary opponent in August.[15][16][17]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | 75.2% | 119,465 | ||
Republican | Eve Nunez | 24.7% | 39,286 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0% | 60 | |
Total Votes | 158,811 | |||
Source: Arizona Secretary of State |
2014
The 7th Congressional District of Arizona held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Ed Pastor (D) did not seek re-election in 2014.[18] Ruben Gallego (D) defeated Joe Cobb (L), Rebecca DeWitt (Americans Elect) and Jose Penalosa (I) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | 74.9% | 54,235 | ||
Libertarian | Joe Cobb | 14.8% | 10,715 | |
Americans Elect | Rebecca DeWitt | 5.3% | 3,858 | |
Independent | Jose Penalosa | 4.8% | 3,496 | |
Write-in | Gary Dunn | 0.2% | 129 | |
Write-in | Gustavo Ortega | 0% | 17 | |
Write-in | Samuel Esquivel | 0% | 4 | |
Total Votes | 72,454 | |||
Source: Arizona Secretary of State |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
|
48.9% | 14,936 | ||
Mary Rose Wilcox | 36.3% | 11,077 | ||
Randy Camacho | 7.6% | 2,330 | ||
Jarrett Maupin | 7.2% | 2,199 | ||
Total Votes | 30,542 | |||
Source: Arizona Secretary of State |
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ This is the average signature requirement of all congressional districts.
- ↑ This is the average signature requirement of all congressional districts.
- ↑ This is the average signature requirement of all congressional districts.
- ↑ This is the average signature requirement of all congressional districts.
- ↑ Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
- ↑ Arizona Secretary of State, "2016 Primary Candidates," accessed June 2, 2016
- ↑ Politico, " Arizona House Primaries Results," August 30, 2016
- ↑ CNN, "Election Results," accessed November 8, 2016
- ↑ Reuters, "Arizona Democratic Rep. Ed Pastor says will retire," February 27, 2014
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