United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi, 2022
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June 7, 2022 |
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November 8, 2022 |
2022 U.S. House Elections |
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The U.S. House of Representatives elections in Mississippi were on November 8, 2022. Voters elected four candidates to serve in the U.S. House, one from each of the state's four U.S. House districts. The primary was scheduled for June 7, 2022, and a primary runoff was scheduled for June 28, 2022. The filing deadline was March 1, 2022.
Partisan breakdown
| Members of the U.S. House from Mississippi -- Partisan Breakdown | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | As of November 2022 | After the 2022 Election | |
| Democratic Party | 1 | 1 | |
| Republican Party | 3 | 3 | |
| Total | 4 | 4 | |
Candidates
District 1
General election candidates
- Trent Kelly (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Dianne Black (Democratic Party)
Did not make the ballot:
- James McCay (Independent)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Democratic primary candidates
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Republican primary candidates
- Trent Kelly (Incumbent) ✔
- Mark Strauss
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
District 2
General election candidates
- Bennie Thompson (Incumbent) (Democratic Party) ✔
- Brian Flowers (Republican Party)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Republican primary runoff candidates
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Democratic primary candidates
- Bennie Thompson (Incumbent) ✔
- Jerry Kerner
Republican primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
District 3
General election candidates
- Michael Guest (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Shuwaski Young (Democratic Party)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Republican primary runoff candidates
- Michael Guest (Incumbent) ✔
- Michael Cassidy
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Republican primary candidates
- Michael Guest (Incumbent) ✔
- Michael Cassidy ✔
- Thomas Griffin
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
District 4
General election candidates
- Johnny DuPree (Democratic Party)
- Mike Ezell (Republican Party) ✔
- Alden Johnson (Libertarian Party)
Did not make the ballot:
- Graham Hudson (Independent)
- Aaron Lee (Independent)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Republican primary runoff candidates
- Steven Palazzo (Incumbent)
- Mike Ezell ✔
Democratic primary candidates
Republican primary candidates
- Steven Palazzo (Incumbent) ✔
- Carl Boyanton
- Raymond Brooks
- Mike Ezell ✔
- Kidron Peterson
- Clay Wagner
- Brice Wiggins
Did not make the ballot:
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Minor Party primary candidates
Libertarian Party
This primary was canceled and this candidate advanced:
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[1]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[2][3][4]
Click the following links to see the race ratings in each of the state's U.S. House districts:
- Mississippi's 1st Congressional District
- Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District
- Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District
- Mississippi's 4th Congressional District
Ballot access
For information on candidate ballot access requirements in Mississippi, click here.
Election analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District maps - A map of the state's districts before and after redistricting.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
District map
Below were the district maps in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the maps in place before the election.
Mississippi Congressional Districts
until January 2, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Mississippi Congressional Districts
starting January 3, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Competitiveness
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Mississippi.
| Mississippi U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2022 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
| 2022 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 87.5% | 4 | 100.0% | ||||
| 2020 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 62.5% | 3 | 75.0% | ||||
| 2018 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 37.5% | 1 | 33.3% | ||||
| 2016 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 37.5% | 2 | 50.0% | ||||
| 2014 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 75.0% | 3 | 75.0% | ||||
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Mississippi in 2022. Information below was calculated on April 8, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
As of the candidate filing deadline, 24 candidates—an average of six for each of Mississippi's four U.S. House districts—filed to run, including 16 Republicans, seven Democrats, and one Libertarian. The six candidates per district average was more than it was in both 2020—3.5 candidates per district—and 2018 (4.75).
All four incumbents filed for re-election, leaving no districts open. Mississippi had only one open-seat U.S. House race since 2012. Former Rep. Gregg Harper (R) did not run for re-election in 2018 in the state's 3rd Congressional District and Rep. Michael Guest (R) won the Republican nomination from a six-candidate field. Guest defeated Michael Evans (D) in the general election that year, 62% to 37%.
This was the first candidate filing deadline to take place under new district lines adopted following Mississippi's decennial redistricting process. Mississippi was apportioned four seats in the House of Representatives, the same number it received after the 2010 census. Gov. Tate Reeves (R) signed the state's congressional redistricting plan on January 24, 2022. After the state Senate approved the plan, Lee Sanderlin wrote in the Mississippi Clarion-Ledger, “The bill preserves the current balance of congressional power in Mississippi, keeping three seats for Republicans and one for lone Democrat Bennie Thompson."[5]
All four U.S. House incumbents drew primary challengers for the first time since 2012. Overall, the candidate filing deadline set seven contested primaries—four Republican and three Democratic. The only U.S. House district without a Democratic or Republican primary was Mississippi's 3rd District, where Shuwaski Young (D) was left unopposed for his party's nomination.
Presidential elections
As a result of redistricting following the 2020 census, many district boundaries changed. As a result, analysis of the presidential vote in each of these new districts is not yet available. Once that analysis is available, it will be published here.
Mississippi presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 16 Democratic wins
- 13 Republican wins
- 2 other wins
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960[6] | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | SR[7] | D | D | D | R | AI[8] | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
State party control
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Mississippi's congressional delegation as of November 2022.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Mississippi, November 2022 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Republican | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 4 | 6 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Mississippi's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.
| State executive officials in Mississippi, November 2022 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | |
| Lieutenant Governor | |
| Secretary of State | |
| Attorney General | |
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Mississippi State Legislature as of November 2022.
Mississippi State Senate
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 16 | |
| Republican Party | 36 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 52 | |
Mississippi House of Representatives
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 42 | |
| Republican Party | 75 | |
| Independent | 3 | |
| Vacancies | 2 | |
| Total | 122 | |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Mississippi was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Mississippi Party Control: 1992-2022
Four years of Democratic trifectas • Eleven years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Redistricting following the 2020 census
A legal challenge to the state legislative maps resulted in a three-judge panel ordering the state to add two new majority-black Senate districts and one new majority-black House district by the end of the 2025 legislative session.[9]
Mississippi enacted new state legislative district boundaries on March 31, 2022, when both legislative chambers approved district maps for the other chamber.[10] Legislative redistricting in Mississippi is done via a joint resolution and did not require Gov. Tate Reeves' (R) approval.[10] Emily Wagster Pettus of the Associated Press wrote that "Republican legislative leaders said the redistricting plans are likely to maintain their party's majority in each chamber."[11] Pettus also wrote that "Senate President Pro Tempore Dean Kirby of Pearl said the Senate redistricting plan keeps the same number of Republican-leaning and Democratic-leaning districts as now."[11]
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Mississippi Clarion-Ledger, "Mississippi redistricting: Senate follows House, approves expanded 2nd District," Jan. 12, 2022
- ↑ Although he was not on the ballot, Harry F. Byrd (D) won Mississippi's eight unpledged electoral votes in the 1960 election against Richard Nixon (R) and Democratic Party nominee John F. Kennedy.
- ↑ States' Rights Democratic Party
- ↑ American Independent Party
- ↑ Associated Press, "Mississippi can wait to reset legislative districts that dilute Black voting strength, judges say," July 18, 2024
- ↑ 10.0 10.1 Jackson Free Press, "Mississippi House and Senate OK Each Other's Redistricting," April 1, 2022
- ↑ 11.0 11.1 Jackson Free Press, "Mississippi House, Senate Pass Separate Redistricting Plans," March 30, 2022
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