United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota, 2022

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North Dakota's At-large Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: April 11, 2022
Primary: June 14, 2022
General: November 8, 2022
Pre-election incumbent:
Kelly Armstrong (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: Open between 7 a.m. to 9 a.m.; close between 7 p.m. to 9 p.m.
Voting in North Dakota
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2022): R+20
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
See also
North Dakota's At-large Congressional District
U.S. Senate • At-large
North Dakota elections, 2022
U.S. Congress elections, 2022
U.S. Senate elections, 2022
U.S. House elections, 2022

The U.S. House of Representatives election in North Dakota were on November 8, 2022. Voters elected one candidate to serve in the U.S. House from the state's one at-large U.S. House district. The primary was scheduled for June 14, 2022. The filing deadline was April 11, 2022.

The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 118th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.

Republicans won a 222-213 majority in the U.S. House in 2022.

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Partisan breakdown

Members of the U.S. House from North Dakota -- Partisan Breakdown
Party As of November 2022 After the 2022 Election
     Democratic Party 0 0
     Republican Party 1 1
Total 1 1

Candidates

General election

General election for U.S. House North Dakota At-large District

Incumbent Kelly Armstrong defeated Cara Mund in the general election for U.S. House North Dakota At-large District on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Kelly Armstrong
Kelly Armstrong (R)
 
62.2
 
148,399
Image of Cara Mund
Cara Mund (Independent)
 
37.6
 
89,644
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.2
 
543

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 238,586
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House North Dakota At-large District

Mark Haugen advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Dakota At-large District on June 14, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Mark Haugen
Mark Haugen Candidate Connection
 
99.7
 
21,897
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.3
 
57

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 21,954
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House North Dakota At-large District

Incumbent Kelly Armstrong advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House North Dakota At-large District on June 14, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Kelly Armstrong
Kelly Armstrong
 
99.0
 
70,424
 Other/Write-in votes
 
1.0
 
709

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 71,133
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.


Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[1] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[2] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.

U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022
Report Close of books Filing deadline
Year-end 2021 12/31/2021 1/31/2022
April quarterly 3/31/2022 4/15/2022
July quarterly 6/30/2022 7/15/2022
October quarterly 9/30/2022 10/15/2022
Pre-general 10/19/2022 10/27/2022
Post-general 11/28/2022 12/08/2022
Year-end 2022 12/31/2022 1/31/2023


Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Kelly Armstrong Republican Party $2,168,973 $2,197,417 $277,264 As of December 31, 2022
Cara Mund Independent $173,270 $157,732 $15,538 As of December 31, 2022

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[3]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[4][5][6]

Race ratings: North Dakota's At-large Congressional District election, 2022
Race trackerRace ratings
November 8, 2022November 1, 2022October 25, 2022October 18, 2022
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in North Dakota in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in North Dakota, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
North Dakota U.S. House Ballot-qualified party 3% of all cast for the candidate for the same office and carrying the same party affiliation at the last general election, or 300, whichever is less N/A 4/11/2022 Source
North Dakota U.S. House Unaffiliated 1,000 N/A 9/6/2022 Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - An interactive map of the district including cities and towns.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Because North Dakota only has one district, it did not change as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle.


Competitiveness

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in North Dakota.

North Dakota U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2022
Office Districts/
offices 		Seats Open seats Candidates Possible primaries Contested Democratic primaries Contested Republican primaries % of contested primaries Incumbents in contested primaries % of incumbents in contested primaries
2022 1 1 0 2 2 0 0 0.0% 0 0.0%
2020 1 1 0 3 2 1 0 50.0% 0 0.0%
2018 1 1 1 5 2 0 1 50.0% 0 N/A
2016 1 1 0 2 2 0 0 0.0% 0 0.0%
2014 1 1 0 2 2 0 0 0.0% 0 0.0%


Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in North Dakota in 2022. Information below was calculated on May 11, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.


Two candidates filed to run for North Dakota’s one U.S. House seat, the lowest number since 2016 (when there were also two candidates). Three candidates ran in 2020, and five candidates ran in 2018. Because it had only one U.S. House seat, North Dakota did not need to redistrict after the 2020 census.

Incumbent Kelly Armstrong (R) filed to run for re-election. He was first elected in 2018 after Kevin Cramer (R) retired to run for the U.S. Senate. Kelly was the only candidate who filed to run in the Republican primary, and Mark Haugen was the only candidate who filed to run in the Democratic primary, making this year the first election cycle since 2016 in which there were no contested primaries. Two candidates ran in the Democratic primary in 2020 and four candidates ran in the Republican primary in 2018.

Presidential elections

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+20. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 20 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made North Dakota's At-Large the 39th most Republican district nationally.[7]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in North Dakota's At-Large based on 2022 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
31.9% 65.5%

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in North Dakota, 2020

North Dakota presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 5 Democratic wins
  • 26 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party R R R D D R R R D D R R R R R R D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R


Demographics

The table below details demographic data in North Dakota and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for North Dakota
North Dakota United States
Population 672,591 308,745,538
Land area (sq mi) 68,995 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 86.6% 72.5%
Black/African American 2.9% 12.7%
Asian 1.5% 5.5%
Native American 5.3% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0.1% 0.2%
Two or more 2.6% 3.3%
Hispanic/Latino 3.7% 18%
Education
High school graduation rate 92.6% 88%
College graduation rate 30% 32.1%
Income
Median household income $64,894 $62,843
Persons below poverty level 10.7% 13.4%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


State party control

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of North Dakota's congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from North Dakota, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 0 0 0
Republican 2 1 3
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 1 3

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in North Dakota's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in North Dakota, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Republican Party Doug Burgum
Lieutenant Governor Republican Party Brent Sanford
Secretary of State Republican Party Al Jaeger
Attorney General Republican Party Drew Wrigley

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the North Dakota Legislative Assembly as of November 2022.

North Dakota State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 7
     Republican Party 40
     Vacancies 0
Total 47

North Dakota House of Representatives

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 14
     Republican Party 80
     Vacancies 0
Total 94

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, North Dakota was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

North Dakota Party Control: 1992-2022
No Democratic trifectas  •  Twenty-eight years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
Senate D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R

District history

2020

See also: United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota, 2020

United States House election in North Dakota, 2020 (June 9 Republican primary)

United States House election in North Dakota, 2020 (June 9 Democratic primary)

General election

General election for U.S. House North Dakota At-large District

Incumbent Kelly Armstrong defeated Zach Raknerud and Steven Peterson in the general election for U.S. House North Dakota At-large District on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Kelly Armstrong
Kelly Armstrong (R)
 
69.0
 
245,229
Image of Zach Raknerud
Zach Raknerud (D) Candidate Connection
 
27.6
 
97,970
Image of Steven Peterson
Steven Peterson (L)
 
3.4
 
12,024
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
375

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 355,598
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House North Dakota At-large District

Zach Raknerud defeated Roland Riemers in the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Dakota At-large District on June 9, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Zach Raknerud
Zach Raknerud Candidate Connection
 
62.0
 
21,394
Image of Roland Riemers
Roland Riemers
 
37.0
 
12,747
 Other/Write-in votes
 
1.0
 
346

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 34,487
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House North Dakota At-large District

Incumbent Kelly Armstrong advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House North Dakota At-large District on June 9, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Kelly Armstrong
Kelly Armstrong
 
99.5
 
99,582
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.5
 
461

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 100,043
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Libertarian primary election

Libertarian primary for U.S. House North Dakota At-large District

Steven Peterson advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House North Dakota At-large District on June 9, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Steven Peterson
Steven Peterson
 
78.5
 
729
 Other/Write-in votes
 
21.5
 
200

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 929
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2018

See also: North Dakota's At-Large Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House North Dakota At-large District

Kelly Armstrong defeated Mac Schneider and Charles Tuttle in the general election for U.S. House North Dakota At-large District on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Kelly Armstrong
Kelly Armstrong (R)
 
60.2
 
193,568
Image of Mac Schneider
Mac Schneider (D)
 
35.6
 
114,377
Image of Charles Tuttle
Charles Tuttle (Independent)
 
4.1
 
13,066
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.2
 
521

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 321,532
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House North Dakota At-large District

Mac Schneider advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Dakota At-large District on June 12, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Mac Schneider
Mac Schneider
 
100.0
 
33,727

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 33,727
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House North Dakota At-large District

Kelly Armstrong defeated Tom Campbell, Tiffany Abentroth, and Paul Schaffner in the Republican primary for U.S. House North Dakota At-large District on June 12, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Kelly Armstrong
Kelly Armstrong
 
56.3
 
37,364
Image of Tom Campbell
Tom Campbell
 
26.9
 
17,861
Image of Tiffany Abentroth
Tiffany Abentroth
 
8.9
 
5,921
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Paul Schaffner
 
7.9
 
5,243

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 66,389
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2016

See also: North Dakota's At-Large Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Kevin Cramer (R) defeated Chase Iron Eyes (D) and Jack Seaman (L) in the general election on November 8, 2016. No candidate faced a primary opponent in June.[8]

U.S. House, North Dakota's At-Large District General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngKevin Cramer Incumbent 69.1% 233,980
     Democratic Chase Iron Eyes 23.7% 80,377
     Libertarian Jack Seaman 7% 23,528
     N/A Write-in 0.2% 574
Total Votes 338,459
Source: North Dakota Secretary of State


Primary candidates:[9]

Democratic

Chase Iron Eyes[8] Approveda

Republican

Kevin Cramer - Incumbent[8] Approveda

Third Party/Other

Jack Seaman (Libertarian)[8] Approveda

2014

See also: North Dakota's At-Large Congressional District elections, 2014

The At-Large Congressional District of North Dakota held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Kevin Cramer (R) defeated George B. Sinner (D) and Jack Seaman (L) in the general election.

U.S. House, North Dakota's At-Large District General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngKevin Cramer Incumbent 55.5% 138,100
     Democratic George B. Sinner 38.5% 95,678
     Libertarian Jack Seaman 5.8% 14,531
     Write-in Write-in candidates 0.1% 361
Total Votes 248,670
Source: North Dakota Secretary of State

June 10, 2014, primary results

Republican Party Republican Primary

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

See also

North Dakota 2022 primaries 2022 U.S. Congress elections
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North Dakota congressional delegation
Voting in North Dakota
North Dakota elections:
2022 • 2021 • 2020 • 2019 • 2018
Democratic primary battlegrounds
Republican primary battlegrounds
U.S. Senate Democratic primaries
U.S. Senate Republican primaries
U.S. House Democratic primaries
U.S. House Republican primaries
U.S. Congress elections
U.S. Senate elections
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Special elections
Ballot access

External links

Footnotes

  1. ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  2. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  3. ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  4. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  5. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  6. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  7. ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  8. ↑ 8.0 8.1 8.2 8.3 North Dakota Secretary of State, "2016 Primary Election Contest/Candidate List," accessed April 12, 2016
  9. ↑ Candidates are listed by party and alphabetically within each party.
  10. ↑ Inforum, "George B. Sinner to seek Democratic nomination to challenge Cramer for ND congressional seat," accessed March 18, 2014 (dead link)


North Dakota's current delegation to the United States Congress
Senators
Kevin Cramer (R)
John Hoeven (R)
Representatives
Republican Party (3)


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