Rhode Island's 1st Congressional District election, 2018
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 7
- Early voting: N/A
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: No
- Voter ID: Photo ID required
- Poll times: 7:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m.
2020 →
← 2016
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Rhode Island's 1st Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: June 27, 2018 |
Primary: September 12, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: David Cicilline (Democrat) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Rhode Island |
Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd Rhode Island elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
All U.S. congressional districts, including the 1st Congressional District of Rhode Island, held elections in 2018.
Heading into the election the incumbent was David Cicilline (D), who was first elected in 2010.
Rhode Island's 1st Congressional District is located in the northern and eastern portions of the state. The district includes all of Bristol and Newport counties and a portion of Providence County.[1]
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Rhode Island District 1
Incumbent David N. Cicilline defeated Patrick Donovan in the general election for U.S. House Rhode Island District 1 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | David N. Cicilline (D) | 66.7 | 116,099 | |
Patrick Donovan (R) | 33.1 | 57,567 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 0.2 | 417 |
Total votes: 174,083 | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Daniel Guilmette (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Rhode Island District 1
Incumbent David N. Cicilline defeated Christopher Young in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Rhode Island District 1 on September 12, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | David N. Cicilline | 78.0 | 47,762 | |
Christopher Young | 22.0 | 13,474 |
Total votes: 61,236 | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Hamlet Lopez (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Rhode Island District 1
Patrick Donovan defeated Frederick Wysocki in the Republican primary for U.S. House Rhode Island District 1 on September 12, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Patrick Donovan | 78.3 | 7,574 | |
Frederick Wysocki | 21.7 | 2,093 |
Total votes: 9,667 | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+14, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 14 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Rhode Island's 1st Congressional District the 98th most Democratic nationally.[2]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.17. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.17 points toward that party.[3]
Campaign finance
The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
David N. Cicilline | Democratic Party | $1,595,161 | $1,630,964 | $697,367 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Patrick Donovan | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
District history
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent David Cicilline (D) defeated Russell Taub (R), Rufus Bailey Jr. (I), and Jeff Lemire (I) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Cicilline defeated Christopher Young in the Democratic primary on September 13, 2016.[4][5][6]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | 64.5% | 130,534 | ||
Republican | Russell Taub | 35.1% | 71,023 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0.4% | 814 | |
Total Votes | 202,371 | |||
Source: Rhode Island Board of Elections |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
|
67.6% | 24,136 | ||
Christopher Young | 32.4% | 11,594 | ||
Total Votes | 35,730 | |||
Source: Rhode Island Board of Elections |
2014
David N. Cicilline won re-election to the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. He defeated Cormick Lynch in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | 59.5% | 87,060 | ||
Republican | Cormick Lynch | 40.2% | 58,877 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0.3% | 416 | |
Total Votes | 146,353 | |||
Source: Rhode Island Board of Elections |
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
One of five Rhode Island counties—20 percent—is a Pivot County. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
Kent County, Rhode Island | 0.67% | 17.74% | 17.40% |
In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won Rhode Island with 54.4 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 38.9 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Rhode Island cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 73.3 percent of the time. In that same time frame, Rhode Island supported Democratic candidates for president more often than Republican candidates, 66.7 to 33.3 percent. The state favored Democrats in every election between between 2000 and 2016.
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Rhode Island. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[7][8]
In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 73 out of 75 state House districts in Rhode Island with an average margin of victory of 33.4 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 57 out of 75 state House districts in Rhode Island with an average margin of victory of 30.4 points. Clinton won three districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won two out of 75 state House districts in Rhode Island with an average margin of victory of 5.5 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 18 out of 75 state House districts in Rhode Island with an average margin of victory of 11.1 points. Trump won 11 districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
1 | 77.88% | 19.55% | D+58.3 | 85.45% | 10.33% | D+75.1 | D |
2 | 82.10% | 14.94% | D+67.2 | 83.30% | 11.66% | D+71.6 | D |
3 | 88.85% | 10.11% | D+78.7 | 83.05% | 13.74% | D+69.3 | D |
4 | 81.90% | 15.78% | D+66.1 | 84.03% | 11.98% | D+72.1 | D |
5 | 75.85% | 22.86% | D+53 | 70.70% | 25.52% | D+45.2 | D |
6 | 70.83% | 27.63% | D+43.2 | 65.10% | 31.15% | D+33.9 | D |
7 | 78.56% | 19.57% | D+59 | 75.26% | 20.42% | D+54.8 | D |
8 | 85.36% | 11.66% | D+73.7 | 81.34% | 13.96% | D+67.4 | D |
9 | 91.76% | 6.92% | D+84.8 | 89.81% | 7.10% | D+82.7 | D |
10 | 90.59% | 8.59% | D+82 | 85.57% | 11.51% | D+74.1 | D |
11 | 93.26% | 5.08% | D+88.2 | 89.07% | 7.94% | D+81.1 | D |
12 | 95.96% | 3.50% | D+92.5 | 91.06% | 6.52% | D+84.5 | D |
13 | 76.98% | 21.84% | D+55.1 | 68.85% | 28.14% | D+40.7 | D |
14 | 72.42% | 26.13% | D+46.3 | 61.41% | 34.88% | D+26.5 | D |
15 | 50.98% | 47.87% | D+3.1 | 40.49% | 55.59% | R+15.1 | D |
16 | 58.59% | 40.13% | D+18.5 | 49.24% | 47.00% | D+2.2 | R |
17 | 63.08% | 35.32% | D+27.8 | 52.69% | 43.33% | D+9.4 | D |
18 | 74.50% | 23.72% | D+50.8 | 69.90% | 25.47% | D+44.4 | D |
19 | 64.13% | 33.94% | D+30.2 | 56.26% | 38.78% | D+17.5 | D |
20 | 62.11% | 35.83% | D+26.3 | 51.01% | 43.79% | D+7.2 | D |
21 | 62.97% | 35.04% | D+27.9 | 47.41% | 47.19% | D+0.2 | D |
22 | 60.04% | 38.07% | D+22 | 45.71% | 48.55% | R+2.8 | D |
23 | 61.87% | 35.86% | D+26 | 46.92% | 47.65% | R+0.7 | D |
24 | 54.45% | 43.97% | D+10.5 | 51.29% | 44.27% | D+7 | D |
25 | 60.30% | 36.95% | D+23.3 | 45.51% | 48.92% | R+3.4 | D |
26 | 58.69% | 39.60% | D+19.1 | 44.83% | 50.39% | R+5.6 | R |
27 | 60.66% | 37.57% | D+23.1 | 46.54% | 48.76% | R+2.2 | D |
28 | 55.96% | 42.02% | D+13.9 | 40.92% | 53.78% | R+12.9 | R |
29 | 53.11% | 44.78% | D+8.3 | 40.38% | 54.62% | R+14.2 | R |
30 | 48.09% | 50.48% | R+2.4 | 51.89% | 43.35% | D+8.5 | R |
31 | 53.25% | 44.58% | D+8.7 | 49.38% | 44.64% | D+4.7 | D |
32 | 54.65% | 42.99% | D+11.7 | 54.91% | 38.68% | D+16.2 | D |
33 | 59.11% | 38.66% | D+20.4 | 56.59% | 37.80% | D+18.8 | D |
34 | 62.59% | 35.06% | D+27.5 | 58.84% | 35.04% | D+23.8 | D |
35 | 60.99% | 36.81% | D+24.2 | 60.50% | 33.29% | D+27.2 | D |
36 | 59.64% | 38.12% | D+21.5 | 54.23% | 40.49% | D+13.7 | I |
37 | 56.42% | 42.19% | D+14.2 | 50.60% | 44.83% | D+5.8 | D |
38 | 57.83% | 39.99% | D+17.8 | 44.01% | 50.80% | R+6.8 | D |
39 | 52.67% | 44.46% | D+8.2 | 41.77% | 52.15% | R+10.4 | R |
40 | 50.44% | 47.48% | D+3 | 37.94% | 56.19% | R+18.2 | R |
41 | 44.89% | 53.59% | R+8.7 | 35.38% | 60.20% | R+24.8 | R |
42 | 58.92% | 39.91% | D+19 | 42.15% | 54.30% | R+12.1 | D |
43 | 58.21% | 40.61% | D+17.6 | 41.73% | 54.89% | R+13.2 | D |
44 | 49.94% | 48.77% | D+1.2 | 40.47% | 55.06% | R+14.6 | D |
45 | 57.34% | 41.19% | D+16.1 | 50.08% | 44.59% | D+5.5 | D |
46 | 57.40% | 41.52% | D+15.9 | 49.80% | 45.64% | D+4.2 | D |
47 | 54.49% | 43.42% | D+11.1 | 36.29% | 57.69% | R+21.4 | D |
48 | 50.29% | 47.86% | D+2.4 | 40.74% | 54.21% | R+13.5 | R |
49 | 71.11% | 26.68% | D+44.4 | 59.21% | 35.90% | D+23.3 | D |
50 | 62.76% | 35.64% | D+27.1 | 47.15% | 47.01% | D+0.1 | D |
51 | 61.36% | 36.93% | D+24.4 | 47.71% | 46.96% | D+0.7 | D |
52 | 50.99% | 47.45% | D+3.5 | 49.28% | 45.78% | D+3.5 | D |
53 | 51.05% | 47.12% | D+3.9 | 43.76% | 51.38% | R+7.6 | D |
54 | 63.50% | 34.68% | D+28.8 | 50.82% | 45.03% | D+5.8 | D |
55 | 62.78% | 35.87% | D+26.9 | 50.30% | 46.45% | D+3.9 | D |
56 | 87.64% | 11.14% | D+76.5 | 83.70% | 13.17% | D+70.5 | D |
57 | 70.43% | 28.46% | D+42 | 61.34% | 34.62% | D+26.7 | D |
58 | 81.87% | 17.04% | D+64.8 | 75.91% | 21.45% | D+54.5 | D |
59 | 82.88% | 15.73% | D+67.2 | 81.01% | 16.02% | D+65 | D |
60 | 77.19% | 21.25% | D+55.9 | 68.84% | 26.69% | D+42.2 | D |
61 | 69.97% | 28.19% | D+41.8 | 58.87% | 36.65% | D+22.2 | D |
62 | 73.17% | 25.52% | D+47.7 | 62.35% | 33.88% | D+28.5 | D |
63 | 68.71% | 29.70% | D+39 | 61.42% | 34.15% | D+27.3 | D |
64 | 78.23% | 20.42% | D+57.8 | 64.45% | 30.74% | D+33.7 | D |
65 | 67.21% | 31.00% | D+36.2 | 57.16% | 38.34% | D+18.8 | D |
66 | 60.33% | 38.05% | D+22.3 | 60.76% | 34.39% | D+26.4 | D |
67 | 59.60% | 38.43% | D+21.2 | 59.62% | 35.22% | D+24.4 | D |
68 | 61.03% | 37.23% | D+23.8 | 56.44% | 38.30% | D+18.1 | D |
69 | 63.40% | 34.93% | D+28.5 | 54.73% | 39.34% | D+15.4 | D |
70 | 61.15% | 37.13% | D+24 | 50.97% | 44.04% | D+6.9 | D |
71 | 55.50% | 42.77% | D+12.7 | 51.15% | 42.78% | D+8.4 | D |
72 | 52.92% | 45.87% | D+7 | 54.31% | 40.56% | D+13.7 | R |
73 | 69.84% | 28.60% | D+41.2 | 68.08% | 26.94% | D+41.1 | D |
74 | 60.47% | 37.39% | D+23.1 | 58.87% | 35.46% | D+23.4 | D |
75 | 63.12% | 35.12% | D+28 | 64.40% | 30.27% | D+34.1 | D |
Total | 62.90% | 35.35% | D+27.5 | 55.54% | 39.71% | D+15.8 | - |
Source: Daily Kos |
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Rhode Island heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Democrats held both U.S. Senate seats in Rhode Island.
- Democrats held two of two U.S. House seats in Rhode Island.
State executives
- As of September 2018, Democrats held five of 12 state executive positions and the remaining seven positions were officially nonpartisan.
- The governor of Rhode Island was Democrat Gina Raimondo. The state held elections for governor on November 6, 2018.
State legislature
- Democrats controlled both chambers of the Rhode Island General Assembly. They had a 64-11 majority in the state House and a 33-4 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- Rhode Island was under a Democratic state government trifecta, meaning Democrats held the governorship, a majority in the state senate, and a majority in the state house.
2018 elections
- See also: Rhode Island elections, 2018
Rhode Island held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- U.S. Senate
- U.S. House
- Governor
- Other state executive
- State Senate
- State House
- Special state legislative
Demographics
Demographic data for Rhode Island | ||
---|---|---|
Rhode Island | U.S. | |
Total population: | 1,055,607 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 1,034 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 81.1% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 6.5% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 3.2% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 0.5% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 2.8% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 13.6% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 86.2% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 31.9% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $56,852 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 17.3% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Rhode Island. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
As of July 2016, Rhode Island's three largest cities were Providence (pop. est. 180,000), Cranston (pop. est. 81,000), and Warwick (pop. est. 81,000).[9]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Rhode Island from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Rhode Island State Board of Elections.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Rhode Island every year from 2000 to 2016.
Election results (President of the United States), Rhode Island 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | 54.4% | 38.9% | 15.5% | ||
2012 | 62.7% | 35.2% | 27.5% | ||
2008 | 62.9% | 35.1% | 27.8% | ||
2004 | 59.4% | 38.7% | 20.7% | ||
2000 | 61.0% | 31.9% | 29.1% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Rhode Island from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
Election results (U.S. Senator), Rhode Island 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014 | 70.6% | 29.3% | 41.3% | ||
2012 | 64.8% | 35.0% | 29.8% | ||
2008 | 73.1% | 26.5% | 46.6% | ||
2006 | 53.4% | 46.3% | 7.1% | ||
2002 | 78.4% | 21.6% | 56.8% | ||
2000 | 56.9% | 41.2% | 15.7% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Rhode Island.
Election results (Governor), Rhode Island 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014 | 40.7% | 36.2% | 4.5% | ||
2010 | 36.1% | 33.6% | 2.5% | ||
2006 | 51.0% | 48.9% | 2.1% | ||
2002 | 54.8% | 45.2% | 9.6% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Rhode Island in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Rhode Island Party Control: 1992-2025
Sixteen years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | I | I | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
See also
- Rhode Island's 1st Congressional District election (September 12, 2018 Democratic primary)
- Rhode Island's 1st Congressional District election (September 12, 2018 Republican primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections in Rhode Island, 2018
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ United States Census Bureau, "Counties by Congressional Districts," accessed June 8, 2016
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Rhode Island Secretary of State, "Candidates for Representative," accessed June 30, 2016
- ↑ Politico, "Rhode Island House Primary Results," September 13, 2016
- ↑ CNN, "Election Results," accessed November 8, 2016
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ Rhode Island Demographics, "Rhode Island Cities by Population," accessed September 8, 2018
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