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Presidential election in Pennsylvania, 2024

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Pennsylvania
2024 presidential election
Voting in Pennsylvania

Democratic primary: April 23, 2024
Democratic winner: Joe Biden (D)

Republican primary: April 23, 2024
Republican winner: Donald Trump (R)

Electoral College: Nineteen votes
2024 winner: Donald Trump (R)
2020 winner: Joe Biden (D)
2016 winner: Donald Trump (R)
2012 winner: Barack Obama (D)

Use the dropdown menu below to read more about the presidential election in each state



Former President Donald Trump (R) won the presidential election in Alabama on November 5, 2024. Trump won the 2024 presidential election with 312 electoral votes to Vice President Kamala Harris' (D) 226.

The Democratic and Republican parties held primary elections on April 23, 2024. Joe Biden (D) won the Democratic primary, and Donald Trump (R) won the Republican presidential primary.

Alongside Illinois, Pennsylvania was one of two states with 19 electoral votes, making it tied for fifth-most. Between 1900 and 2020, Pennsylvania was carried by the Republican presidential candidate in 51.6% of elections and by the Democratic candidate in 45.2%.

In the 2020 election, Joe Biden (D) carried Pennsylvania with 50.0% of the vote to Donald Trump's (R) 48.8%.

This page includes the following sections:

Candidates and election results

General election


Presidential election in Pennsylvania, 2024
 
Candidate/Running mate
%
Popular votes
Electoral votes
✔
Image of
Image of
Donald Trump/J.D. Vance (R)
 
50.2
 
3,543,308 19
Image of
Image of
Kamala D. Harris/Tim Walz (D)
 
48.5
 
3,423,042 0
Image of
Image of
Jill Stein/Samson LeBeau Kpadenou (G)
 
0.5
 
34,538 0
Image of
Image of
Chase Oliver/Mike ter Maat (L)
 
0.5
 
33,318 0
  Other write-in votes
 
0.3
 
24,526 0

There were no incumbents in this race The results have been certified.

Total votes: 7,058,732


Primary election

Pennsylvania Democratic presidential primary on April 23, 2024
 
Candidate
%
Votes
Pledged delegates
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Official_portrait_of_Vice_President_Joe_Biden.jpg
Joe Biden
 
93.2
 
953,916 159
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/DEAN_PHILLIPS_RESIZE.jpg
Dean Phillips
 
6.8
 
69,765 0

 Source

Total votes: 1,023,681 • Total pledged delegates: 159


Pennsylvania Republican presidential primary on April 23, 2024
 
Candidate
%
Votes
Pledged delegates
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/473px-Official_Portrait_of_President_Donald_Trump.jpg
Donald Trump
 
83.3
 
794,048 64
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Nikki_Haley_official_Transition_portrait.jpg
Nikki Haley
 
16.7
 
158,672 0

 Source

Total votes: 952,720 • Total pledged delegates: 64


Voting information

See also: Voting in Pennsylvania

Election information in Pennsylvania: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 21, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Oct. 21, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 21, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

Yes

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 29, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Oct. 29, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 29, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Varies to Oct. 29, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

7:00 a.m. - 8:00 p.m. (EST)


Race ratings, polling, and prediction markets

Race ratings

The map below displays presidential race ratings in each state. These ratings are generated by averaging the ratings from The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean and Tilt ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[1][2][3]

Polling

The chart below displays polling averages in Pennsylvania for the 2024 presidential election from RealClearPolitics. The chart below displays national polling averages for the 2024 presidential election from RealClearPolitics.

Prediction markets

The section below displays national PredictIt share prices and RealClearPolitics prediction market averages for the 2024 presidential election.

What is a prediction market?

Prediction markets allow users to purchase shares relating to the outcome of events using real money. Each event, such as an election, has a number of contracts associated with it, each correlating to a different outcome. For instance, an election contested between four candidates would be represented by eight separate contracts, with each contract correlating to a particular candidate winning or losing the election.

The share price in each individual forecast rises and falls based on market demand. Once the event's outcome is decided, holders of shares that correlate with the correct outcome receive a payout for each share they held.

For example, a user buys 10 shares at 20 cents each in a presidential primary saying Candidate A will win. If Candidate A wins the election, the user earns $10. If the candidate loses, the user earns no money and loses his original $2 investment.

Why do prediction markets matter?

Prediction markets can be used to gain insight into the outcome of elections. Microsoft Research economist David Rothschild argued that they are better suited to the task than polls: "I can create a poll that can mimic everything about a prediction market...except markets have a way of incentivizing you to come back at 2 a.m. and update your answer."[4][5][6]

PredictIt


The chart below shows 2024 presidential general election open share prices over time.[7]


Campaign events in Pennsylvania

This section features links to videos of Harris and Trump at presidential campaign events in Pennsylvania during the 2024 general election.

Harris in Pennsylvania

November 4, 2024 - Harris in Pittsburgh and Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Trump in Pennsylvania

November 4, 2024 - Trump in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

Previous presidential election results and analysis

See also: Presidential voting history by state and Presidential voting trends by state

Pennsylvania presidential election results (1900-2020)

Scroll to the right in the box below to view more recent presidential election results.

  • 14 Democratic wins
  • 16 Republican wins
  • 1 other win
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party R R R P[8] R R R R R D D D R R R D D D R D R R R D D D D D D R D


Below is an analysis of Pennsylvania's voting record in presidential elections. The state's accuracy is based on the number of times a state has voted for a winning presidential candidate. The majority of statistical data is from the U.S. National Archives and Records Administration and was compiled, here, by Ballotpedia, unless otherwise noted.

Between 1900 and 2020:

  • Pennsylvania participated in 31 presidential elections.
  • Pennsylvania voted for the winning presidential candidate 77.4 percent of the time. The average accuracy of voting for winning presidential candidates for all 50 states in this time frame was 71.26 percent.[9]
  • Pennsylvania voted Democratic 45.2 percent of the time and Republican 51.6 percent of the time.

Recent statewide results

2020

General election


Presidential election in Pennsylvania, 2020
 
Candidate/Running mate
%
Popular votes
Electoral votes
✔
Image of
Image of
Joe Biden/Kamala D. Harris (D)
 
50.0
 
3,458,229 20
Image of
Image of
Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R)
 
48.8
 
3,377,674 0
Image of
Image of
Jo Jorgensen/Spike Cohen (L)
 
1.1
 
79,380 0

Incumbents are bolded and underlined The results have been certified.

Total votes: 6,915,283


Primary election

Pennsylvania Democratic presidential primary on June 2, 2020
 
Candidate
%
Votes
Pledged delegates
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Official_portrait_of_Vice_President_Joe_Biden.jpg
Joe Biden
 
79.3
 
1,264,624 151
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Bernie_Sanders.jpg
Bernie Sanders
 
18.0
 
287,834 35
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/TulsiGabbardReplace.jpg
Tulsi Gabbard
 
2.7
 
43,050 0

 Source

Total votes: 1,595,508 • Total pledged delegates: 186


Pennsylvania Republican presidential primary on June 2, 2020
 
Candidate
%
Votes
Pledged delegates
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/473px-Official_Portrait_of_President_Donald_Trump.jpg
Donald Trump
 
92.1
 
1,053,616 34
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Bill_Weld_campaign_portrait.jpg
Bill Weld
 
6.1
 
69,427 0
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/RoqueDeLaFuente.jpg
Roque De La Fuente
 
1.8
 
20,456 0

 Source

Total votes: 1,143,499 • Total pledged delegates: 34


Recent county-level results

How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:


Following the 2020 presidential election, 47.2% of Pennsylvanians lived in one of the state's 10 Solid Democratic counties, which voted for the Democratic presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020, and 41.7% lived in one of 53 Solid Republican counties. Overall, Pennsylvania was Battleground Democratic, having voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2012, Donald Trump (R) in 2016, and Joe Biden (D) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Pennsylvania following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.

Presidential elections by state decided by 5 percentage points or less

See also: Presidential statewide margins of victory of 5 percentage points or fewer, 1948-2020

The following map shows the number of times, in presidential elections held between 1948 and 2020, that the margin of victory was 5 percentage points or fewer in each state.

  • Wisconsin was the state with the most frequently narrow margins during this time period, appearing on the list in 11 presidential elections.
  • Three states appeared nine times: Florida, Nevada, and Pennsylvania.
  • The state with the narrowest margin of victory was Florida in 2000 at 537 votes or one-hundredth of a percentage point.

Effect of the 2020 census on electoral votes

Every ten years, the United States conducts the census, a complete count of the U.S. population. The data gleaned from the census process is used to determine several things, including legislative district lines, a state's number of U.S. House representatives, and the number of votes a state has in the Electoral College.

The 2024 presidential election was the first presidential election to take place using the electoral vote counts produced by the 2020 census. Six states gained votes in the Electoral College, while seven states lost votes. See the table below for exact figures.

Electoral votes gained and lost after the 2020 census
State Votes gained (new total) State Votes lost (new total)
Texas +2 (40) California -1 (54)
Colorado +1 (10) Illinois -1 (19)
Florida +1 (30) Michigan -1 (15)
Montana +1 (4) New York -1 (28)
North Carolina +1 (16) Ohio -1 (17)
Oregon +1 (8) Pennsylvania -1 (19)
West Virginia -1 (4)


Presidential election endorsements in Pennsylvania

See also: Presidential election endorsements, 2024

The section below displays current and former party leaders, governors and other state executives, members of Congress, mayors of large cities, and state legislative majority and minority leaders in Pennsylvania who issued an endorsement in the 2024 presidential election. See something we missed? Email us.

Presidential endorsements by Pennsylvania elected officials and party leaders, 2024
Name State Party Candidate Date
John Fetterman PA Democratic Party Joe Biden December 28, 2023 source
John Fetterman PA Democratic Party Kamala D. Harris July 22, 2024 source
Brendan Boyle PA Democratic Party Joe Biden May 10, 2023 source
Brendan Boyle PA Democratic Party Kamala D. Harris July 21, 2024 source
Matt Cartwright PA Democratic Party Kamala D. Harris July 22, 2024 source
Madeleine Dean PA Democratic Party Kamala D. Harris July 21, 2024 source
Chris Deluzio PA Democratic Party Kamala D. Harris July 22, 2024 source
Dwight Evans PA Democratic Party Kamala D. Harris July 21, 2024 source
Chrissy Houlahan PA Democratic Party Joe Biden May 10, 2023 source
Chrissy Houlahan PA Democratic Party Kamala D. Harris July 21, 2024 source
John Joyce PA Republican Party Donald Trump June 23, 2023 source
Mike Kelly PA Republican Party Donald Trump June 23, 2023 source
Dan Meuser PA Republican Party Donald Trump June 23, 2023 source
Scott Perry PA Republican Party Donald Trump June 23, 2023 source
Guy Reschenthaler PA Republican Party Donald Trump June 17, 2023 source
Lloyd Smucker PA Republican Party Donald Trump January 5, 2024 source
Glenn Thompson PA Republican Party Donald Trump February 6, 2024 source
Susan Wild PA Democratic Party Kamala D. Harris July 21, 2024 source
Josh Shapiro PA Democratic Party Joe Biden May 10, 2023 source
Bryan Cutler PA Republican Party Nikki Haley September 19, 2023 source
Michelle Henry PA Democratic Party Kamala D. Harris July 23, 2024 source
Stacy Garrity PA Republican Party Donald Trump January 12, 2024 source
Megyn Kelly PA Republican Party Donald Trump November 5, 2024 source


Democratic primary

See also: Democratic presidential nomination, 2024
HIGHLIGHTS
  • Joe Biden (D) won the PennsylvaniaDemocratic primary on April 23, 2024.
  • Pennsylvania had an estimated 187 delegates comprised of 159 pledged delegates and 28 superdelegates. Delegate allocation was proportional.
  • The Democratic primary was closed, meaning only registered Democrats were able to vote in the election.

    • The Democratic Party selected Vice President Kamala Harris (D) as its nominee during a virtual roll call vote on August 2, 2024, ahead of the in-person 2024 Democratic National Convention, which took place from August 19-22, 2024, in Chicago, Illinois.[12][13][14][15][16]

    Joe Biden (D) withdrew from the presidential race on July 21, 2024.[17] Biden crossed the majority delegate threshold necessary to win the Democratic nomination on March 12, 2024, which made him the presumptive Democratic nominee.

    Before the national convention, individual state caucuses and primaries were held to allocate convention delegates. To read more about the 2024 primary schedule click here. These delegates, along with superdelegates who come from the party leadership, voted at the virtual roll call to select the nominee.

    Republican primary

    See also: Republican presidential nomination, 2024
    HIGHLIGHTS
  • Donald Trump (R) won the Pennsylvania Republican primary on April 23, 2024.
  • Pennsylvania had an estimated 67 delegates. Delegate allocation was a hybrid system.
  • The Republican primary was closed, meaning only registered Republicans were able to vote in the election.

    • The Republican Party selected former President Donald Trump (R) as its 2024 presidential nominee at the 2024 Republican National Convention, which was held from July 15-18, 2024, in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

    Before the convention, each state, Washington, D.C., and five U.S. territories held a primary, caucus, or convention to decide how to allocate delegates at the national convention. These nominating events began in January and ended in June. Trump crossed the delegate threshold necessary to win the nomination—1,215—on March 12, 2024.

    Republican presidential candidates participated in five primary debates, with the first being held held in August 2023 and the last in January 2024.[18] Trump did not participate in any of the debates.

    Trump was the sixth U.S. president to run for re-election to non-consecutive terms.[19] Grover Cleveland (D), the 22nd and 24th president of the United States, is the only president who has been elected to non-consecutive terms. Before Trump's 2024 campaign, the most recent former president to run for non-consecutive terms was Theodore Roosevelt (R), who sought re-election in 1912 as a Progressive Party candidate after leaving office in 1909.

    Candidate filing requirements

    See also: Ballot access requirements for presidential candidates in Pennsylvania

    The tables below detail filing requirements for presidential candidates in Pennsylvania in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Pennsylvania, click here.

    Presidential primary candidates

    Filing requirements for presidential primary candidates in Pennsylvania, 2024
    State Party Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
    Pennsylvania Democratic 2,000 Fixed $200 Fixed 1/8/2024[20] Source
    Pennsylvania Other qualified parties 2,000 Fixed $200 Fixed 2/13/2024 Source

    Independent presidential candidates

    Filing requirements for independent candidates in Pennsylvania, 2024
    State Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
    Pennsylvania 5,000 Fixed $200 Fixed 8/1/2024 Source, Source

    About the state

    Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.

    • Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
    • State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
    • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.


    This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.

    U.S. Senate elections

    See also: List of United States Senators from Pennsylvania

    The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Pennsylvania.

    U.S. Senate election results in Pennsylvania
    Race Winner Runner up
    2022 51.2%Democratic Party 46.3%Republican Party
    2018 55.7%Democratic Party 42.6%Republican Party
    2016 48.9%Republican Party 47.2%Democratic Party
    2012 53.7%Democratic Party 44.6%Republican Party
    2010 51.0%Republican Party 49.0%Democratic Party
    Average 53.6 44.9

    Gubernatorial elections

    See also: Governor of Pennsylvania

    The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Pennsylvania.

    Gubernatorial election results in Pennsylvania
    Race Winner Runner up
    2022 56.5%Democratic Party 41.7%Republican Party
    2018 57.8%Democratic Party 40.7%Republican Party
    2014 54.9%Democratic Party 45.1%Republican Party
    2010 54.5%Republican Party 45.5%Democratic Party
    2006 60.3%Democratic Party 39.6%Republican Party
    Average 56.2 43.1
    See also: Party control of Pennsylvania state government

    Congressional delegation

    The table below displays the partisan composition of Pennsylvania's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

    Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Pennsylvania
    Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
    Democratic 1 7 8
    Republican 1 10 11
    Independent 0 0 0
    Vacancies 0 0 0
    Total 2 17 19

    State executive

    The table below displays the officeholders in Pennsylvania's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.

    State executive officials in Pennsylvania, May 2024
    Office Officeholder
    Governor Democratic Party Josh Shapiro
    Lieutenant Governor Democratic Party Austin Davis
    Secretary of State Republican Party Al Schmidt
    Attorney General Democratic Party Michelle Henry

    State legislature

    Pennsylvania State Senate

    Party As of February 2024
         Democratic Party 22
         Republican Party 28
         Independent 0
         Other 0
         Vacancies 0
    Total 50

    Pennsylvania House of Representatives

    Party As of February 2024
         Democratic Party 101
         Republican Party 100
         Other 0
         Vacancies 2
    Total 203

    Trifecta control

    The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

    Pennsylvania Party Control: 1992-2024
    One year of a Democratic trifecta  •  Twelve years of Republican trifectas
    Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

    Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
    Governor D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D D D D D D D D
    Senate R D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
    House D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R D D

    The table below details demographic data in Pennsylvania and compares it to the broader United States as of 2022.

    Demographic Data for Pennsylvania
    Pennsylvania United States
    Population 13,002,700 331,449,281
    Land area (sq mi) 44,741 3,531,905
    Race and ethnicity**
    White 77.1% 65.9%
    Black/African American 10.8% 12.5%
    Asian 3.6% 5.8%
    Native American 0.2% 0.8%
    Pacific Islander 0% 0.2%
    Other (single race) 3.1% 6%
    Multiple 5.1% 8.8%
    Hispanic/Latino 8.1% 18.7%
    Education
    High school graduation rate 91.7% 89.1%
    College graduation rate 33.8% 34.3%
    Income
    Median household income $73,170 $75,149
    Persons below poverty level 8% 8.8%
    Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2017-2022).
    **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

    Presidential election by state

    See also: Presidential election by state, 2024

    Click on a state below to navigate to information about the presidential election in that jurisdiction.

    https://ballotpedia.org/Presidential_election_in_STATE,_2024

    See also

    Presidential election by state, 2016-2024
    Use the dropdown menu below to navigate Ballotpedia's historical coverage of the presidential election in each state.
    Additional reading




    Footnotes

    1. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
    2. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
    3. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
    4. ↑ Nature, "The power of prediction markets," October 18, 2016
    5. ↑ Politico, "Meet the 'stock market' for politics," October 31, 2014
    6. ↑ U.S. Presidential General Election Results, "2008 Electoral Map Based on the Intrade Prediction Market," accessed January 25, 2018
    7. ↑ PredictIt, "Who will win the 2024 US presidential election?" accessed December 16, 2022
    8. ↑ Progressive Party
    9. ↑ This average includes states like Arizona, New Mexico, and Oklahoma, which did not participate in all 30 presidential elections between 1900 and 2020. It does not include Washington, D.C., which cast votes for president for the first time in 1964, or Alaska and Hawaii, which cast votes for president for the first time in 1960.
    10. ↑ U.S. Election Atlas, "2012 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
    11. ↑ U.S. Election Atlas, "2008 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
    12. ↑ USA Today, "Harris makes history as first Black woman, Asian American presidential nominee," August 2, 2024
    13. ↑ ABC News, "DNC to nominate Biden and Harris to bypass Ohio ballot issues," May 28, 2024
    14. ↑ The New York Times, "Democrats Set Aug. 1 for Harris Nomination Vote," July 24, 2024
    15. ↑ CBS News, "Kamala Harris closer to being nominee as DNC approves early virtual roll call vote," July 24, 2024
    16. ↑ DNC, "DNC and DNCC Chairs Announce Results of Presidential Nominating Petition Process and Opening of Virtual Roll Call on August 1," July 30, 2024
    17. ↑ X, "Biden on July 21, 2024," accessed July 21, 2024
    18. ↑ The Hill, "RNC votes to hold first presidential debate in Milwaukee," February 23, 2023
    19. ↑ Pew Research Center, "Few former presidents have run for their old jobs – or anything else – after leaving office,' November 16, 2022
    20. ↑ Democratic candidates must submit a declaration of intent by 1/8/24. Petitions are due 2/13/24..
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