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Ohio gubernatorial election, 2010
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In the Ohio gubernatorial election of 2010, held on November 2, 2010, Republican John Kasich defeated Democrat Ted Strickland, the incumbent. While a primary was scheduled on May 4, 2010, both candidates advanced to the general election ballot without primary opposition.
November 2, 2010 general election results
On November 2, 2010, John Kasich/Mary Taylor won election to the office of Governor/Lt. Governor of Ohio. They defeated Ted Strickland/Yvette McGee Brown, Ken Matesz/Margaret Ann Leech and Dennis Spisak/Anita Rios in the general election.
| Governor/Lt. Governor of Ohio, 2010 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Republican |  John Kasich/Mary Taylor |
49% | 1,889,186 | |
| Democratic | Ted Strickland/Yvette McGee Brown Incumbent | 47% | 1,812,059 | |
| Libertarian | Ken Matesz/Margaret Ann Leech | 2.4% | 92,116 | |
| Green | Dennis Spisak/Anita Rios | 1.5% | 58,475 | |
| Write-In | David Sargent | 0% | 633 | |
| Total Votes | 3,852,469 | |||
| Election results via Ohio Secretary of State. | ||||
Inauguration and transition
Inaugural date
Governor-elect John Kasich was inaugurated on January 10, 2011. His inauguration was planned and paid for by the "New Day" transition fund.
Franklin County Republican Party Chairman Doug Preisse led the "New Day," which oversaw both the Inauguration and the transition.
Transition team
The Kasich-Taylor transition was online at Fix Ohio Now. The transition team was also available at:
340 East Gay St.
Columbus, OH 43215
Campaign spokesman Rob Nichols continued in the same post for the transition.
Legal structure of Kasich transition draws ire
Governor-elect Kasich had opened a new fund to cover the costs of his transition and inauguration. Set up as a nonprofit, the group soon drew the eye of the ACLU after it announced that resumes would not be made public until, and unless, they were forwarded to state agencies. Kasich's team argued only resumes sent on to government agencies are subject to open record laws, something some have claimed was a mis use of the transition team's legal status and a poor start to transparency.[1]
A Kasich spokesmen countered that the practice was about citizen privacy rather than a bid to thwart open government. "Ohio needs the best possible talent if we want to get the state back on track, and Ohio will lose out on that top-notch talent if applicants are fearful that their job searches won't remain confidential." Kasich's office received over 1,000 resumes within two hours of first publicly soliciting applications, a number that grew to 1,500 in less than a day.
The law allowing such set-ups for transition efforts took effort in September and was set to be ironed out and contested for some time, yet. The law also allowed Kasich, as the incoming governor, to spend up to $250,000 in tax payer funds on the transition.
The law came into being after a former Attorney General was found to have mis-spent transition funds. At the time, in 2006, donations to transtion funds were both unlimited and exempt from disclosure. Now, electees must file disclosure reports on the 15th of each month for as long as the committee is active and, while total donations are still unlimited, no one individual may donate more than $10,000 to a gubernatorial transition. All other state offices are capped at $3,000 per donor.[2]
Appointments in the Kasich Adminsitration
Administrator Marsha Ryan of the Ohio Bureau of Workers' Compensation resigned on Friday, November 19, 2010. Ryan was an appointee of out-going Governor Ted Strickland. In her place, Governor-elect Kasich announced Bob Blair.[3]
May 4, 2010 primary
| 2010 Race for Lieutenant Governor - Republican Primary[4] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidates | Percentage | |||
 John Kasich (R)
|
100.00% | |||
| Total votes | 746,691 | |||
| 2010 Race for Governor - Democrat Primary[5] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidates | Percentage | |||
| Ted S. Strickland (D)
|
100.00% | |||
| Total votes | 630,776 | |||
| 2010 Race for Lieutenant Governor - Libertarian Primary[6] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidates | Percentage | |||
| Ken Matesz (R)
|
100.00% | |||
| Total votes | 4,407 | |||
| 2010 Race for Lieutenant Governor - Green Primary[7] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidates | Percentage | |||
| Dennis Spisak (R)
|
100.00% | |||
| Total votes | 924 | |||
Race ratings
See also: Gubernatorial elections 2010, Race tracking
| 2010 Race Rankings Ohio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race Tracker | Race Rating | |||
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Toss-up | |||
| Congressional Quarterly Politics[9] | Toss-up | |||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Leans Republican | |||
| Rasmussen Reports Gubernatorial Scorecard[11] | Leans GOP | |||
| The Rothenberg Political Report[12] | Toss-up Tilting Republican | |||
| Overall Call | Republican | |||
Changes
3. Larry J. Sabato moved race from "Toss-up" to "Leans Republican" on October 28th.
2. Rothenberg moved race from "Pure Toss-up" to "Toss-up Tilting Republican" in its October 1st ratings.
1. Rasmussen moved race from "Toss-up" to "Leans GOP" following August 18th poll.
Candidates
| The November Ballot – Who Made It? Ohio Governor[13] | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nominee | Affiliation | ||||
| Ted Strickland | Democrat | ||||
| John Kasich | Republican | ||||
| Dennis Spisak | Green | ||||
| Ken Matesz | Libertarian | ||||
| Sean Swain | write-in (Zapatista Party) | ||||
| This lists candidates who won their state's primary or convention, or who were unopposed, and who were officially certified for the November ballot by their state's election authority. | |||||
Ohio's Secretary of State maintained a list of certified candidates.[14]
Democratic
- Incumbent Ted Strickland ran unopposed within the Democratic party.
Green
- Dennis Spisak, long time Green Party activist, identifies as a 'Progressive Liberal' and listed single-payer healthcare as the top item on his platform.
Libertarian
- Ken Matesz is a business owners who identifies as an entrepreneur and stated in his platform that, if elected, he would not seek a second term.
Republican
Former Congressman from Ohio and Fox News host, Republican John Kasich ran unopposed in the Republican primary. Initially Kasich faced Ohio state senator Kevin Coughlin. Coughlin, however, withdrew from the race and endorsed Kasich.
Withdrawn
- Kevin Coughlin (Ohio State Senator)
Polling
Early polling
| Poll Source | Dates Administered |
Ted Strickland | John Kasich | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 10/14 - 1/12 | 44.3 | 40.3 | Kasich +4 |
| Rasmussen | 1/12 | 47 | 40 | Kasich +7 |
| Quinnipiac | 1/12 | 40 | 40 | Tied |
| Ohio Right to Life/Wenzel Strategies | 12/10 | 43 | 33 | Kasich +10 |
Quinnipiac
| 2010 Race for Ohio Governor - Quinnipiac | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date Reported | Kasich (R) | Strickland (D) | Other | Don't Know | |
| September 9-14, 2010[15] | 54% | 37% | 2% | 7% | |
| (Sample) | n=730 | MoE=+/- 3.6% | p=0.05 | ||
| June 22-27, 2010[16] | 38% | 43% | 4% | 15% | |
| (Sample) | n=1,107 | MoE=+/- 3.0% | p=0.05 | ||
Rasmussen Reports
| 2010 Race for Ohio Governor - Rasmussen Reports[17] | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date Reported | Kasich (R) | Strickland (D) | Other | Don't Know | |
| October 11, 2010[18] | 48% | 45% | 3% | 4% | |
| September 27, 2010[19] | 50% | 42% | 3% | 4% | |
| August 30, 2010[20] | 47% | 39% | 7% | 7% | |
| August 16, 2010[21] | 48% | 40% | 6% | 7% | |
| August 2, 2010[22] | 45% | 42% | 6% | 7% | |
| July 19, 2010[23] | 48% | 43% | 3% | 5% | |
| June 29, 2010[24] | 47% | 40% | 3% | 10% | |
| June 3, 2010[25] | 47% | 42% | 4% | 8% | |
| May 5, 2010[26] | 46% | 45% | 3% | 6% | |
| March 30, 2010[27] | 46% | 45% | 2% | 7% | |
| March 4, 2010[28] | 49% | 38% | 10% | 7% | |
| February 5-6, 2010[29] | 47% | 41% | 5% | 8% | |
| January 12, 2010[30] | 47% | 40% | 4% | 8% | |
| December 7, 2009[31] | 48% | 39% | 3% | 11% | |
| (Sample)[32] | n=500 | MoE=+/- 4.5% | p=0.05 | ||
Ipsos/Reuters
| 2010 Race for Ohio Governor - Ipsos/Reuters | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date Reported | Kasich (R) | Strickland (D) | Other | Don't Know | |
| September 23-27, 2010[33] | 53% | 37% | - | 13% | |
| (Sample) | n=440 | MoE=+/- 4.0% | p=0.05 | ||
CBS News/NY Times
| 2010 Race for Ohio Governor - CBS News/NY Times | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date Reported | Kasich (R) | Strickland (D) | Other | Don't Know | |
| September 23-27, 2010[34] | 43% | 42% | - | 11% | |
| (Sample) | n=941 | MoE=+/- 3.0% | p=0.05 | ||
University of Cincinnati's Institute for Policy Research
| 2010 Race for Ohio Governor - U of C Institute for Policy Research | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date Reported | Kasich (R) | Strickland (D) | Other | Don't Know | |
| September 16-20, 2010[35] | 49% | 45% | - | - | |
| (Sample) | n=852 | MoE=+/- 3.4% | p=0.05 | ||
Campaign spots
Ted Strickland for Governor' 'Angry' ad. |
John Kasich for Governor' 'A New Day' ad. |
DMCA temporarily removes Strickland ad
An October spot by John Kasich featured a steelworker criticizing Strickland's tenure as governor. Or, rather, Kasich's ad featured actor Chip Redden, portraying a steelworker.
As soon as Strickland's campaign realized the unhappy Ohio worker was really a professional actor, they duy up a series of clips from Redden's past work and made an ad attacking Kasich for using a professional.
John Kasich for Governor' '400,000' ad. |
Ted Strickland for Governor' 'Are Your Kidding Me?' ad. |
The push-back came not from Kasic but from Arginate Studios, LLC. As the owners of one of the clips of Redden used in the Kasic ad, Arginate used the Digital Millennium Copyright Act to have YouTube pull the video. Under the DMCA, the video would have disappeared from YouTube for at least ten days, no small amount of time less than a month away from the election.
Ultimately, Arginate reversed its position and the ad was restored a day later. YouTube competitor Vimeo had never removed the clip.[36]
Endorsements
NRA
Ohio was among the few state where the National Rile Association has made a gubernatorial endorsement in favor of the Democrat, officially backing Ted Strickland.[37]
Race background
On January 20, 2010, President Obama traveled to Ohio to host a town hall on jobs and the economy. With an unemployment rate over 10% in Ohio, the notion of a jobless recovery adversely affected public opinion in the state.[38] Months later, Democratic attempts to hold on in Ohio, a state seen as having realigned itself reliably to the part just two years ago, began floundering.[39]
Quinnipiac released poll data on June 29, 2010 showing that Gov. Ted Strickland ledJohn Kasich, the Republican challenger. Strickland's 43% - 38% lead was unchanged from May and April polls, though Kasich's name recognition remained low across the state. Coupled with voter's dissatisfaction with the economy and Ohio's state budget, the race remained tight.[40]
Soon after, Rasmussen reported Kasich had taken the lead, with 47% of the vote to Strickland's 40%.[41]
The heightened competition for the governorship coincides with looming redistricting. Declining population was expected to cost Ohio two Congressional seats and the state's charter gives the governor significant power in redrawing district lines. Early July saw the Ohio chapter of the AFL-CIO announce heightened member education programs and a focus on the governor's race in response to concerns over what the Buckeye state will look like after the 2011 redistricting.[42]
With the autumn sprint well underway and Strickland making paltry gains against Kasich in the polls, national Democrats fell to spending heavily in Ohio, as they believe their ability to control the governorship in the swing state is crucial is Obama is to win a second term in 2012. However, the influx of cash and Strickland's polling numbers augered a desperate ploy more than a refined straegy for worried Democrats.[43]
2006 Election Results
In 2006 Ted Strickland won with a commanding 60% of the vote. Post-election analysis indicated Strickland benefited from some Republican support in the election. In 2010 there is some indication of Democratic support for John Kasich. Crossover and independent voting in the state contributes to its position as one of the most important battleground states in presidential contests.
2006 Results: Ted Strickland (D) - 2,435,384 - 60.5% J. Kenneth Blackwell (R) - 1,474,285 - 36.6%
Gubernatorial electoral history
| 1998 Gubernatorial Results[44] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidates | Percentage | |||
| Bob Taft (R) | 50.05% | |||
| Lee Fisher (D) | 44.69% | |||
| John R. Mitchel (REF) | 3.32% | |||
| Zanna Feitler (NL) | 1.94% | |||
| Total votes | 3,354,213 | |||
| 2002 Gubernatorial Results[45] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidates | Percentage | |||
| Bob Taft (R) | 57.76% | |||
| Tim Hagan (D) | 38.31% | |||
| John Eastman (I) | 3.92% | |||
| James Whitman (I) | 0.01% | |||
| Eva Braiman (I) | 0.0% | |||
| Total votes | 3,228,992 | |||
| 2006 Gubernatorial Results[46] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidates | Percentage | |||
| Ted Strickland (D) | 60.54% | |||
| J. Kenneth Blackwell (R) | 36.65% | |||
| William Peirce (NP) | 1.78% | |||
| Robert Fitrakis (NP) | 1.02% | |||
| Total votes | 4,022,754 | |||
Presidential electoral history
| 2000 Presidential Results | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidates | Percentage | |||
| George W. Bush (R) | 49.97% | |||
| Al Gore (D) | 46.46% | |||
| 2004 Presidential Results | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidates | Percentage | |||
| George W. Bush (R) | 50.81% | |||
| John Kerry (D) | 48.71% | |||
| 2008 Presidential Results[47] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidates | Percentage | |||
| John McCain (R) | 46.80% | |||
| Barack Obama (D) | 51.38% | |||
| 1992 Presidential Results | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidates | Percentage | |||
| George H.W. Bush (R) | 38.35% | |||
| Bill Clinton (D) | 40.18% | |||
| 1996 Presidential Results | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidates | Percentage | |||
| Bob Dole (R) | 41.02% | |||
| Bill Clinton (D) | 47.38% | |||
See also
External links
- Ohio Secretary of State, Elections and Ballot Issues
- Ohio Gubernatorial Overview at RealClearPolitics
- Ohio Gubernatorial Overview at CQ Politics
Candidate pages
Footnotes
- ↑ Cincinnati.com, "Kasich using new fund for transition," November 19, 2010
- ↑ The Columbus Dispatch', "Kasich sets inaugural panel: New rules govern fundraising and spending for transition ," November 10, 2010
- ↑ WHIO-TV.com, "Ohio Transitions Continue Amid Governor Shift," November 19, 2010
- ↑ Ohio Secretary of State, “Governor And Lieutenant Governor - Republican: May 4, 2010: Official Results”
- ↑ Ohio Secretary of State, “Governor And Lieutenant Governor - Democratic: May 4, 2010: Official Results”
- ↑ Ohio Secretary of State, “Governor And Lieutenant Governor - Libertarian: May 4, 2010: Official Results”
- ↑ Ohio Secretary of State, “Governor And Lieutenant Governor - Green: May 4, 2010: Official Results”
- ↑ The Cook Political, “Governors: Race Ratings”
- ↑ CQ Politics, “2010 Race Ratings: Governors”
- ↑ Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball', “2010 Governor Ratings”
- ↑ Rasmussen Reports', “Election 2010: Scorecard Ratings”
- ↑ Rothenberg Political Report, “Governor Ratings”
- ↑ Ohio Secretary of State, “2010 Elections Results”, accessed September 14, 2010
- ↑ Ohio Secretary of State, Candidate Information, accessed July 19, 2010
- ↑ Quinnipiac, “Kasich Has Double-Digit Lead In Ohio Gov Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Independent Voters Back Republican 2-1”, September 16, 2010
- ↑ Quinnipiac, “Strickland Holds Off Kasich In Tight Ohio Gov Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Voters Want Arizona-Type Immigration Law”, June 29, 2010
- ↑ Rasmussen Reports, “State Profiles: Ohio”, accessed August 30, 2010
- ↑ Rasmussen Reports, “Ohio Governor: Strickland (D) Gains Ground on Kasich (R)”, October 13, 2010
- ↑ Rasmussen Reports, “Ohio Governor: Kasich (R) Keeps Lead Over Strickland (D)”, September 29, 2010
- ↑ Rasmussen Reports, “Election 2010: Ohio Governor: Ohio Governor: Kasich (R) 47%, Strickland (D) 39%”, September 1, 2010
- ↑ Rasmussen Reports, “Election 2010: Ohio Governor: Ohio Governor: Kasich (R) 48%, Strickland (D) 40%”, August 18, 2010
- ↑ Rasmussen Reports, “Ohio Governor: Kasich (R) 45%, Strickland (D) 42%”, August 5, 2010
- ↑ Rasmussen Reports, “Ohio Governor: Kasich (R) 48%, Strickland (D) 43%”, July 21, 2010
- ↑ Rasmussen Reports, “Ohio Governor: Kasich (R) 47%, Strickland (D) 40%”, July 5, 2010
- ↑ Rasmussen Reports, “Ohio Governor: Kasich 47%, Strickland 42%”, June 7, 2010
- ↑ Rasmussen Reports, “Ohio Governor: Kasich 46%, Strickland 45%”, May 7, 2010
- ↑ Rasmussen Reports, “Ohio Governor: Kasich 46% Strickland 45%”, April 1, 2010
- ↑ Rasmussen Reports, “Ohio Governor: Kasich 49%, Strickland 38%”, March 8, 2010
- ↑ Rasmussen Reports, “Ohio Governor: Kasich 47%, Strickland 41%”, February 9, 2010
- ↑ Rasmussen Reports, “2010 Ohio Governor: GOP’s Kasich Remains Ahead of Incumbent Strickland”, January 14, 2010
- ↑ Rasmussen Reports, “In 2010 Ohio Governor Match-up, Strickland Trails Kasich”, December 9, 2009
- ↑ [More complete methodology and sampling tabs are available at www.RasmussenReports.com]
- ↑ Ipsos/Reuters, “Poll gives former Bush official big lead in Ohio”, September 28, 2010
- ↑ CBS News/NY Times, “Poll: Dogfight in Ohio Governor's Race”, September 28, 2010
- ↑ Dayton Daily News, “Ohio newspaper poll says governor's race tightens”, September 26, 2010
- ↑ Electronic Freedom Foundation, "Copyright Abuse in Ohio Governor Election," October 7, 2010
- ↑ Washington Post, "NRA backs Democrats in key races, frustrating GOP," October 6, 2010
- ↑ Obama to Ohio to Talk Jobs & Hear Some Anger
- ↑ The Washington Post, "Blue strongholds are becoming Democratic graveyards," September 21, 2010
- ↑ Quinnipiac, "Strickland Holds Off Kasich In Tight Ohio Gov Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Voters Want Arizona-Type Immigration Law ," June 29, 2010
- ↑ Rasmussen Reports, "Ohio Governor: Kasich (R) 47%, Strickland (D) 40%," July 5, 2010
- ↑ The Hill, "Ohio labor groups focused on governor’s race ," July 6, 2010
- ↑ Real Clear Politics, "Strickland Pushes Ohio's 2012 Firewall Strategy," September 29, 2010
- ↑ Ohio Secretary of State, “1998 General Election Results“
- ↑ Ohio Secretary of State, “2002 General Election Results“
- ↑ Ohio Secretary of State, “2006 General Election Results“
- ↑ Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections', accessed July 28, 2010
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