What Analyses of the 2024 Election Are Getting Wrong What Analyses of the 2024 Election Are Getting Wrong
Postelection autopsies are missing the forest for the trees.
Jun 11, 2025 / Steve Phillips
States Won’t Tell Us How to Win the Next Election. We Need to Look to the Counties. States Won’t Tell Us How to Win the Next Election. We Need to Look to the Counties.
An accurate understanding of the geography of our nation shows that our reach and power is more promising than we may feel at the moment.
Feb 27, 2025 / Steve Phillips
The United States Has Always Been a Divided Nation The United States Has Always Been a Divided Nation
Coming to terms with this reality will allow us to strengthen and maximize the full power and potential of "our" nation—the one dedicated to the proposition of equality.
Jan 30, 2025 / Steve Phillips
Enough With the Bad Election Takes! Enough With the Bad Election Takes!
To properly diagnose what went wrong, we need to look at the actual number of votes cast.
Dec 11, 2024 / Steve Phillips
Could Harris Take Florida and North Carolina? The Data Suggests She Can. Could Harris Take Florida and North Carolina? The Data Suggests She Can.
If Harris’s support among Black voters continues to consolidate as it has over the past two months, then she stands a very strong chance of winning both states.
Sep 20, 2024 / Steve Phillips
Democrats Must Change Their Whole Approach Toward White People Democrats Must Change Their Whole Approach Toward White People
Most of them are with Trump, and that’s not going to change. Instead, Democrats should target a far more winnable group of voters.
Jun 17, 2024 / Steve Phillips
Should Biden Drop Out? Should Biden Drop Out?
Two writers look at the evidence come to different conclusions about the president’s reelection prospects.
Apr 11, 2024 / The Debate / Joshua A. Cohen and Steve Phillips
Yes, Biden Can Still Win! Yes, Biden Can Still Win!
Let’s cut out the doom and gloom and look at the facts.
Mar 1, 2024 / Steve Phillips
Democrats Need to Have an Honest Talk About White People Democrats Need to Have an Honest Talk About White People
The party needs a sober, empirically grounded analysis of what we really know—and don’t know—about how best to expand support among white voters.
Sep 14, 2023 / Steve Phillips
The GOP Is Not Gaining Black Voters The GOP Is Not Gaining Black Voters
The mainstream media has been harping on the implications of Black Republican candidates, but their influence on voters is not as significant as "The New York Times" suggests.
Jun 7, 2023 / Steve Phillips