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International Evidence on Sectoral Interfuel Substitution

Author

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  • Apostolos Serletis
  • Govinda R. Timilsina
  • Olexandr Vasetsky
Abstract
This paper estimates interfuel substitution elasticities in selected developing and industrialized economies at the sector level. In doing so, it employs state-of-the-art techniques in microeconometrics, particularly the locally flexible normalized quadratic functional form, and provides evidence consistent with neoclassical microeconomic theory. The results indicate that the interfuel substitution elasticities are consistently below unity, revealing the limited ability to substitute between major energy commodities (i.e., coal, oil, gas, and electricity). We find that on average, industrial and residential sectors tend to exhibit higher potential for substitution between energy inputs as compared to the electricity generation and transportation sectors in all countries, with the United States being the only exception. In addition, we find that developed countries demonstrate higher potential for interfuel substitution in their industrial and transportation sectors as compared to the developing economies. The implication is that interfuel substitution depends on the structure of the economy, not the level of economic development. Moreover, higher changes in relative prices are needed than what we have already experienced to induce switching toward a lower carbon economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Apostolos Serletis & Govinda R. Timilsina & Olexandr Vasetsky, 2010. "International Evidence on Sectoral Interfuel Substitution," The Energy Journal, , vol. 31(4), pages 1-30, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:enejou:v:31:y:2010:i:4:p:1-30
    DOI: 10.5547/ISSN0195-6574-EJ-Vol31-No4-1
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Wang, Qunwei & Zhang, Cheng & Cai, Wanhuan, 2017. "Factor substitution and energy productivity fluctuation in China: A parametric decomposition analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 181-190.
    3. Ron Alquist & Olivier Gervais, 2013. "The Role of Financial Speculation in Driving the Price of Crude Oil," The Energy Journal, , vol. 34(3), pages 35-54, July.
    4. Christiane Baumeister & Gert Peersman, 2013. "The Role Of Time‐Varying Price Elasticities In Accounting For Volatility Changes In The Crude Oil Market," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(7), pages 1087-1109, November.
    5. Lutz Kilian, 2017. "The Impact of the Fracking Boom on Arab Oil Producers," The Energy Journal, , vol. 38(6), pages 137-160, November.
    6. Ali Jadidzadeh & Apostolos Serletis, 2016. "Sectoral Interfuel Substitution in Canada: An Application of NQ Flexible Functional Forms," The Energy Journal, , vol. 37(2), pages 181-200, April.
    7. Ravago, Majah-Leah V. & Fabella, Raul V. & Jandoc, Karl Robert L. & Frias, Renzi G. & Magadia, J. Kathleen P., 2021. "Gauging the market potential for natural gas among Philippine manufacturing firms," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    8. Zachlod-Jelec, Magdalena & Boratynski, Jakub, 2016. "How large and uncertain are costs of 2030 GHG emissions reduction target for the European countries? Sensitivity analysis in a global CGE model," MF Working Papers 26, Ministry of Finance in Poland.
    9. Eskeland, Gunnar S. & Rive, Nathan A. & Mideksa, Torben K., 2012. "Europe’s climate goals and the electricity sector," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 200-211.
    10. Ling-Yun He & Sheng Yang & Dongfeng Chang, 2017. "Oil Price Uncertainty, Transport Fuel Demand and Public Health," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-19, March.
    11. Serletis, Apostolos & Xu, Libo, 2022. "Interfuel substitution: A copula approach," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    12. Kilian, Lutz, 2022. "Understanding the estimation of oil demand and oil supply elasticities," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    13. Apostolos Serletis, 2012. "Interfuel Substitution in the United States," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Interfuel Substitution, chapter 2, pages 11-35, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    14. Shenghao Feng & Keyu Zhang & Xiujian Peng, 2021. "Elasticity of Substitution Between Electricity and Non-Electric Energy in the Context of Carbon Neutrality in China," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-323, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    15. Chang, Yoosoon & Kim, Chang Sik & Miller, J. Isaac & Park, Joon Y. & Park, Sungkeun, 2014. "Time-varying Long-run Income and Output Elasticities of Electricity Demand with an Application to Korea," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 334-347.
    16. Nurul Hossain, A.K.M. & Serletis, Apostolos, 2017. "A century of interfuel substitution," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 8(C), pages 28-42.
    17. Frank Vöhringer & Jean-Marie Grether & Nicole A. Mathys, 2013. "Trade and Climate Policies: Do Emissions from International Transport Matter?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(3), pages 280-302, March.
    18. Kostakis, Ioannis & Lolos, Sarantis & Sardianou, Eleni, 2021. "Residential natural gas demand: Assessing the evidence from Greece using pseudo-panels, 2012–2019," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    19. Hossain, A. K. M. Nurul & Serletis, Apostolos, 2020. "Biofuel substitution in the U.S. transportation sector," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    20. Serletis, Apostolos & Timilsina, Govinda & Vasetsky, Olexandr, 2011. "International evidence on aggregate short-run and long-run interfuel substitution," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 209-216, March.
    21. Steinbuks, Jevgenijs & Narayanan, Badri G., 2015. "Fossil fuel producing economies have greater potential for industrial interfuel substitution," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 168-177.
    22. Djoni Hartono & Nurkholis & Aldi Hutagalung, 2014. "The Economy-Wide Impact of Increasing Natural Gas Production and Utilization on the Indonesian Economy," EcoMod2014 7346, EcoMod.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Interfuel substitution; Flexible functional forms; Normalized quadratic (NQ) cost function; Theoretical regularity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F0 - International Economics - - General

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