Georgia's 6th Congressional District election, 2018

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Georgia's 6th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 9, 2018
Primary: May 22, 2018
Primary runoff: July 24, 2018 (if needed)
General: November 6, 2018
General runoff: January 8, 2019 (if needed)
Pre-election incumbent:
Karen Handel (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Georgia
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2018): R+8
Cook Political Report: Lean Republican
Inside Elections: Lean Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
See also
Georgia's 6th Congressional District
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Georgia elections, 2018
U.S. Congress elections, 2018
U.S. Senate elections, 2018
U.S. House elections, 2018

Gun safety advocate Lucy McBath (D) defeated incumbent Rep. Karen Handel (R) and write-in candidate Jeremy Stubbs in the general election for Georgia's 6th Congressional District on November 6, 2018.

All 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives were up for election in 2018. The Democratic Party gained a net total of 40 seats, winning control of the chamber. This race was identified as a 2018 battleground that might have affected partisan control of the U.S. House in the 116th Congress. Heading into the election, the Republican Party was in the majority holding 235 seats to Democrats' 193 seats, with seven vacant seats. Democrats needed to win 23 GOP-held seats in 2018 to win control of the House. From 1918 to 2016, the president’s party lost an average of 29 seats in midterm elections.

Handel was first elected to Congress in a 2017 special election, defeating Jon Ossoff (D) by a margin of 4 percentage points. It was the most expensive U.S. House race in history. The two campaigns, along with outside organizations, spent more than $50 million on the election.[2]

National Democrats were still interested in the district—which includes the northern Atlanta suburbs—in 2018.[3] Georgia's 6th contains Cobb County, which is one of six reverse-pivot counties that voted for Hillary Clinton (D) in 2016 after voting for John McCain (R) in 2008 and Mitt Romney (R) in 2012.

Democratic Party For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
Republican Party For more information about the Republican primary, click here.

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Georgia District 6

Lucy McBath defeated incumbent Karen Handel in the general election for U.S. House Georgia District 6 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Lucy McBath
Lucy McBath (D)
 
50.5
 
160,139
Image of Karen Handel
Karen Handel (R)
 
49.5
 
156,875
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.0
 
18

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source 1 Source 2

Total votes: 317,032
(100.00% precincts reporting)
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Democratic primary runoff election

Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Georgia District 6

Lucy McBath defeated Kevin Abel in the Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Georgia District 6 on July 24, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Lucy McBath
Lucy McBath
 
53.7
 
14,285
Image of Kevin Abel
Kevin Abel
 
46.3
 
12,303

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 26,588
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Georgia District 6

Lucy McBath and Kevin Abel advanced to a runoff. They defeated Bobby Kaple and Steven Knight Griffin in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Georgia District 6 on May 22, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Lucy McBath
Lucy McBath
 
36.3
 
15,138
✔
Image of Kevin Abel
Kevin Abel
 
30.5
 
12,747
Image of Bobby Kaple
Bobby Kaple
 
26.2
 
10,956
Image of Steven Knight Griffin
Steven Knight Griffin
 
6.9
 
2,901

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 41,742
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Georgia District 6

Incumbent Karen Handel advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Georgia District 6 on May 22, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Karen Handel
Karen Handel
 
100.0
 
40,410

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 40,410
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Candidate profiles

See also: Editorial approach to writing about key campaign messages


Lucy McBath, gun safety advocate
Lucy McBath.png

Campaign website Facebook Twitter

Party: Democratic

Incumbent: No

Political office: None

Biography: McBath earned a B.A. in political science from Virginia State University in 1982. She worked for Delta Airlines In-Flight Service for three decades. After her son, Jordan Davis, was killed in 2012, McBath became a national spokesperson and faith and outreach leader for Everytown for Gun Safety and Moms Demand Action for Gun Sense in America.[4]

Key messages
  • McBath pointed to the model of her father, a former president of the Illinois branch of the NAACP, and her son's murder as the catalyst for her political engagement.[4][5]
  • McBath discussed the challenges of being a two-time breast cancer survivor to highlight her healthcare policy. She supported the Affordable Care Act (ACA). She also advocated adding a public option to increase competition in the ACA marketplace and lowering the Medicare eligibility age to 55.[6][7]
  • McBath characterized Handel as working against Georgians and unable to stand up to President Donald Trump (R) if in the best interest of her constituents.[4]



Karen Handel, U.S. representative
Handel.jpg

Campaign website Facebook Twitter

Party: Republican

Incumbent: Yes

Political office: U.S. House of Representatives, Georgia's 6th (assumed office: 2018); Georgia Secretary of State (2007-2010)

Biography: Handel worked as the chairman of the Fulton County Board of Commissioners and deputy chief of staff to Gov. Sonny Perdue (R). She also worked in the George H.W. Bush administration. In the private sector, Handel worked in executive management positions with CIBA Vision and accounting firm KPMG. She was president and CEO of the North Fulton Chamber of Commerce.[8][9]

Key messages
  • Handel said her accomplishments in the public and private sector include the implementation of photo ID for voting and leading the North Fulton Chamber of Commerce from near-bankruptcy to solvency.[8]
  • Handel emphasized her efforts to combat human trafficking, including co-sponsoring HR 1865, which removed protections for websites that faciliate trafficking and prostitution.[10][11]
  • Handel said she had delivered on campaign promises to cut taxes and secure $181 million in new funds to add lanes to GA-400, among other results.[12]



Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Georgia's 6th Congressional District election, 2018
Poll Poll sponsor Democratic Party McBath Republican Party HandelUndecided/OtherMargin of errorSample size
New York Times/Siena College
October 28-November 4, 2018		N/A 46%44%9%+/-5.0421
Thirty-Ninth Street Strategies
October 20-22, 2018		McBath 47%48%5%+/-4.9400
JMC Analytics/Bold Blue Campaigns
October 13-18, 2018		N/A 45%49%6%+/-4.5500
Thirty-Ninth Street Strategies
August 22-27, 2018		McBath 47%49%4%+/-4.3600
AVERAGES 46.25% 47.5% 6% +/-4.68 480.25
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.



Campaign finance

The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Karen Handel Republican Party $8,772,987 $8,685,297 $87,689 As of December 31, 2018
Lucy McBath Democratic Party $2,704,006 $2,485,322 $218,684 As of December 31, 2018

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.


Satellite spending

Satellite spending, commonly referred to as outside spending, describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[13][14][15]

This section lists satellite spending in this race reported by news outlets in alphabetical order. If you are aware of spending that should be included, please email us.

  • Everytown for Gun Safety, which was primarily financed by Michael Bloomberg, announced that it planned to spend between $8 million and $10 million on races in Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, and New Mexico, including Georgia's 6th.[17] The group spent $1.8 million to support McBath in mid-October 2018. At the end of the October, Everytown spent an additional $315,000 on ads and $60,000 on mailers.[16][18]


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[19]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[20][21][22]

Race ratings: Georgia's 6th Congressional District election, 2018
Race trackerRace ratings
October 30, 2018October 23, 2018October 16, 2018October 9, 2018
The Cook Political ReportLean RepublicanLean RepublicanLean RepublicanLean Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesLean RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLean RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely Republican
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+8, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 8 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Georgia's 6th Congressional District the 163rd most Republican nationally.[23]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.05. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.05 points toward that party.[24]

Noteworthy endorsements

See also: Ballotpedia: Our approach to covering endorsements

This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.


Click the links below to see endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites, if available:

Campaign advertisements

Democratic Party Lucy McBath

Support

"Miracle," released October 4, 2018
"Georgia First," released May 16, 2018

Oppose

"Bad Movie," released October 30, 2018


Republican Party Karen Handel

Support

"Right to Try," released September 24, 2018
"Combat Human Trafficking," released August 22, 2018

Oppose

"Handel on Choice," released October 17, 2018

Campaign strategies and tactics

Responses to Trump administration's policy on tariffs

Karen Handel came out in opposition to President Donald Trump's steel and aluminum tariffs in May 2018.

She said, "The administration’s decision to levy tariffs on steel and aluminum from Mexico, Canada, and Europe threatens to dampen this recent progress." She said that while she "support[ed] President Trump’s goal to renegotiate agreements with our trading partners," she believed the tariffs would "hurt working Americans, negatively affect our economy, and do not further the goal of fostering more equitable trade."[25]

McBath also said she opposed the tariffs. She said she wanted to “bring stability to our foreign policy and support international trade that is free, fair to American workers, and protects environmental and labor standards.”[26]

Campaign themes

These were the policy positions listed on the candidates' websites.

Democratic Party Lucy McBath

“

Health Care

As a two-time breast cancer survivor and daughter of two medical professionals, I understand the importance of quality, affordable health care. I strongly believe that access to healthcare is a fundamental right, and as your Congresswoman, I will consistently vote for proposals that would allow more Georgians to get covered.

The Affordable Care Act (ACA) made it possible for millions of Americans with preexisting conditions to enroll in life saving insurance coverage.

The White House wants to allow insurers to again discriminate against people with preexisting conditions, and I believe this is unacceptable. I want to ensure that Georgia never sees another day where women can be denied coverage because they were survivors of sexual assault or simply have given birth. Being a mother and a two-time breast cancer survivor myself, I fully understand the potential devastating effects of a full ACA repeal.

In contrast to Karen Handel, I support the ACA but believe that the law could be made better: adding a robust public option to increase competition in the ACA marketplace; increasing funding for community health centers; lowering the Medicare eligibility age to 55; and implementing policies that would lower the cost of prescribed medication.

I am also a staunch advocate for expanding Medicaid here in Georgia. When elected to Congress, I will be a strong voice to call on lawmakers in Atlanta to accept the billions of dollars already allocated to our state from the federal government.

Gun Safety

My son, Jordan Davis, was shot and killed at a gas station in Jacksonville, Florida in 2012 in a senseless act of gun violence. The bullet that killed my son also tore a hole in my heart. But while I grieve Jordan every day, his death also gave my life a new purpose: advocating for gun violence prevention.

Following this senseless tragedy, I spent five years as Faith and Outreach Leader at Moms Demand Action for Gun Sense in America, and as a leader in the Everytown for Gun Safety Survivor Network. I also addressed the 2016 Democratic National Convention as a Mother of the Movement; a group of seven women whose lives were permanently affected by the scourge of gun violence.

After the shooting in Parkland, Florida, I knew that I could no longer sit on the sidelines while the politicians in the pocket of the gun manufacturing lobby decide the future of our gun laws. While I support the 2nd Amendment rights of Georgians, we can still advocate for common sense gun violence prevention to make our communities safer.

As a Member of Congress, I will push for implementing background checks for all firearm purchases; raising the minimum age to purchase a gun to 21 years of age; working to defeat conceal carry reciprocity measures; and introducing legislation to keep guns out of the hands of domestic abusers and other criminals.

Jobs & The Economy

I understand what it takes to raise a family here in Metro Atlanta. I was a Delta flight attendant for three decades, and I was proud to raise my son Jordan here. I will apply common sense Georgia values and do everything I can to protect your pocketbook or wallet.

This is why I strongly oppose the Trump-Handel Tax Scam signed into law in December 2017. I am a staunch supporter of middle class and small business tax cuts, but I also believe that the Trump-Handel Tax Scam disproportionately benefits the ultra-wealthy and multinational corporations. Furthermore, I am concerned that the Trump-Handel Tax Scam will exacerbate wealth inequality in our country and burden our children with an insurmountable amount of debt.

Instead, I favor focusing on the middle class and working families. In addition to making middle class tax cuts permanent, I want to increase the minimum wage and making the federal earned income tax credit more generous. Growing up, I was taught that if you are able and willing to put in hard work in America, you should be able to earn a living wage. No one in Cobb, DeKalb, or Fulton Counties can comfortably live on $7.25 an hour.

When it comes to trade, I strongly disagree with the Trump Administration applying seemingly-random tariffs on imported goods. I fear that these tariffs will eventually lead to a trade war which will undoubtedly hurt Georgia families and businesses. Georgia’s exports have increased by 50% over the past decade, and we cannot afford these senseless policies if Metro Atlanta wants to compete well into the 21st century.

I support free and fair multilateral trade agreements with our allies. Atlanta is in many ways a gateway to the rest world, and I feel it would be a catastrophic mistake to further isolate the United States from our partners. But that being said, when we enter such agreements, the United States must insist on strong protections for the environment and our workers.

Education

Education is an issue near and dear to my heart. I am proud to have created the Champion in the Making Legacy Foundation for high schoolers wishing to attend traditional and vocational schools. I created this 501(c)(3) to honor my son Jordan’s legacy; a foundation which offers educational assistance to support students that might otherwise fall through the cracks.

In this vein, I understand that student debt too often holds our students and graduates back. This crippling burden hurts our economy, discourages innovation, and makes it harder for working people and families to feel comfortable in their fiscal situations. I will support legislation to ameliorate this problem.

When I am in Congress, I will work to fully fund K-12 public education, and to make community colleges, public universities, and vocational schools more affordable for working families. I strongly oppose Betsy DeVos’ agenda in Washington, and I believe that our public schools need to be strengthened in order to give all of our children a solid educational foundation.

Immigration & DACA

I stand with the DREAMers. Full stop. These brave folks have come to the United States through no fault of their own, and America is the only home they know. They serve in uniform, teach our students, help grow our local businesses, and are our neighbors.

I know firsthand what it is like to have part of your family ripped away from you. That is why I refuse to turn my back on DACA recipients and will co-sponsor a clean DREAM Act in one of my first actions in Congress. I will also make comprehensive immigration reform a top priority, working with Democrats and Republicans alike to enact a solution to this contentious issue.

I am also deeply troubled by the rhetoric coming out of the White House in general. As a woman of color, I understand what discrimination looks like. My father was a twenty-year leader in the Illinois NAACP, and he taught me that diversity is an American strength worth treasuring. I unforgivingly condemn demagoguery in all its forms and I am an unwavering opponent of Trump’s travel ban.

Women's Rights

I am a two-time breast cancer survivor, so I understand firsthand how essential healthcare options are for women all throughout the country. That is why I oppose the Trump-Handel plan to defund Planned Parenthood. 2.4 million individuals receive health care services from Planned Parenthood every year, and I will fight tooth and nail for the essential services that Planned Parenthood provides. In this vein, I fully support funding programs that help enable women to have the autonomy to make reproductive decisions. This includes greater access to contraception products and family planning services.

Furthermore, I fundamentally believe that everyone should earn equal pay for equal work. I support the Lilly Ledbetter Fair Pay Act, and I wish to build on that law to make workplaces more equitable for Georgia women.

One way to improve the lives of working women and their families is to ensure paid family leave. The United States is the only industrialized country in the world to not offer parental leave, and I will support legislation that would allow working mothers and fathers to care for their children appropriately. Studies suggest that paid maternal leave boosts employer productivity while also has tangible, positive health effects for parents and newborns alike. Paid maternity and paternity leave is just common sense.

Another common sense piece of legislation that I wholeheartedly support is the Violence Against Women Act (VAWA). VAWA has been an essential tool to protect women and to prosecute those who have committed violent crimes against them. Shamefully, every single Georgia Republican member of the House of Representatives voted against reauthorizing this important law only a few years ago; I will not only vote to reauthorize VAWA, but also advocate for strengthening the legislation.

Money in Politics

I strongly disagree with the Citizens United decision. Dark money has had a corrosive effect on our democracy, and I will support any legislation that would increase the role of public funding in our elections. Furthermore, the exorbitant amount of money in our elections process has contributed to the political polarization that has made Washington such a toxic place.

Our congress people’s votes should not and cannot be sold to the highest bidder. As your congresswoman, my vote will always come from a place of introspection and dialogue within the district. We may not always agree on every issue, but my vote will never come as dictated by a special interest.

Israel

Israel is the homeland and refuge for millions of Jewish people who have fled anti-Semitism worldwide. I recognize the tremendous friendship that our country and the State of Israel have enjoyed over the past seven decades; our intelligence, military, and diplomatic relationships are essential for American interests abroad. In Congress, I will be a strong voice in support of the State of Israel.

I also support a common sense two state solution. Israelis and Palestinians alike deserve the right to self-determination. But I am also deeply concerned that this administration does not have a comprehensive plan to move the peace process forward. The United States needs to act as an honest peace broker in Israel and the Middle East at-large, and the White House’s actions to move unilaterally on major foreign policy decisions hurts our reputation and efforts to act as an arbiter in this immensely complicated issue.

Environment

Climate change represents an existential threat to our environment. I agree with the Department of Defense: climate change is one of the most urgent national security issues of our time. The science of climate change is conclusive and indisputable: humans are the principal cause of it and our planet is warming at an extremely alarming rate. In Congress, I will fight for larger investments into alternative, clean sources of fuel, and I will support legislation that would increase subsidies for homeowners who wish to utilize solar and other forms of energy.

I also am unequivocally opposed to offshore drilling off our pristine Georgia coasts. While international oil interests stand to benefit, the Georgia economy and environment will suffer as a result.

That is why I am wholeheartedly against the Trump environmental agenda. I join the growing chorus of those calling for the resignation of EPA Administrator Scott Pruitt, who is the embodiment of the graft and corruption that we see all too frequently coming out of Washington, DC. Perhaps more importantly, Mr. Pruitt works every day to systematically destroy environmental safeguards that protect our water and air. He must be removed.

Infrastructure

Infrastructure gives our country a unique bipartisan issue to find common ground in this age of intense political polarization. Anyone who has driven through the 6th Congressional District, and the rest of Atlanta, has encountered some of the worst traffic in the country. Our crumbling infrastructure affects our quality of life, economy and businesses.

In America, we have severe problems with our aging roads, bridges, and communications infrastructure. I would support a plan that funds public projects to bring our roads, airports, and transit into the 21st century.

LGBTQ Rights

My father acted as the Illinois NAACP branch spokesman when I was a young girl. He taught me from an early age that equality is worth fighting for. Always. And I heed Reverend King’s words: “The arc of the moral universe is long, but it bends toward justice.”

We have a long way to go to ensure equality and justice for LGBTQ individuals. The Trump administration’s discriminatory acts against the LGBTQ community are unconscionable, and I worry that his executive orders are enabling discrimination.

Moreover, Karen Handel did not stand up to the administration’s proposed ban on transgender military service people. I will. If you are brave enough to put on our beloved country’s uniform, I say “Godspeed.” Transgender individuals deserve the same rights as anyone else.

In general, I am a staunch supporter of expanding protections for the community and will work to ensure that there are laws on the books to prevent any type of discrimination. I believe marriage equality was a very positive step in the right direction, but there is so much more work to be done.

That is why I support the Equality Act, which would proscribe discrimination of LGBTQ individuals in several areas including in the workplace, housing, and credit and financial assistance. I am also deeply concerned about the treatment of LGBTQ youth, which is why I also support the Student Non-Discrimination Act.[27]

”
—McBath for Congress[28]

Republican Party Karen Handel

“

Health Care

Obamacare is the single biggest intrusion into the lives of Americans in decades. Healthcare costs and insurance premiums have skyrocketed. Obamacare must be repealed and replaced with market-based, patient-centered reforms.

The current GOP proposal working its way through the House of Representatives remains a work in progress, but it is on the right track. It eliminates the individual mandate and related fines and repeals most of the taxes, including the medical device tax, and the so-called "HIT" tax.

The final version needs to treat Georgia and other states that did not expand Medicaid in an equitable way. Further, the current proposal includes an "age tax" that should be eliminated.

Immigration

True national security means securing our borders. The current immigration system is broken, and we MUST fix it. We need to build a wall along our southern border, demand immigration laws be enforced, improve the reliability of temporary visa programs, and create a viable guest worker program. While I understand and appreciate that we are a nation of immigrants, and believe we should be welcoming of those wish to migrate to our great country, we are also a nation of laws, and our laws must be respected. Israel

The United States and Israel share a remarkable friendship. Our shared objectives to defeat terrorism, prevent nuclear build-up in the region, and achieve sustainable peace in the region are foundational to our bond. At the same time, the US and Israel also have deep economic ties, with Israel being one of the top 20 direct investors in the US and more than 200 U.S. companies active in Israel.

The U.S.-Israel alliance remains critical as threats to both nations and our people continue to grow. From a nuclear-armed Iran, ISIS, and expanding military capabilities of Hamas, Hezbollah, and Iran, the U.S. – Israel military partnership is integral to maintaining a stabilizing and protective force in the region.

Jobs and the Economy

After 8 years of the Obama Administration's growth stifling policies, our economy -- and American families -- has suffered. Certainly, the economy has rebounded but it has been more of an economic reset -- with lower growth and stagnated wages -- than a real recovery. Onerous, punitive regulations, costly red tape, and a complex tax structure with rates that are too high are limiting business expansion and job growth. And, wages have not yet fully recovered with many continuing to earn less than they did prior to the so-called Great Recession and still others who have given up on finding work altogether.

As a former business executive and CEO of the North Fulton Chamber of Commerce, I know first hand how to create jobs and enact aggressive economic development policies. I believe that the only way we can grow our economy at a more robust pace is through lower taxes and fewer regulations.

As a member of Congress, I will fight for a fairer simpler tax structure with lower rates for families and businesses. I will also work aggressively to achieve passage of legislation to implement a complete, rolling audit of all regulations -- agency by agency -- along with a 10 year sunset rule for regulations.

Medicare

I believe that we need to preserve and protect Medicare for current seniors and protect Medicare for future generations. It is unacceptable that Democrats raided the Medicare program with $716 billion in cuts to pay for Obamacare.

National Defense / Veterans

According to the United States Constitution, one of the central purposes of the federal government is to provide for the common defense of our nation and its people. No country is safe, nor any economy sound, without the backing of an extraordinarily strong military. I support President Trump's budget proposal to increase national defense spending, and I will continue to fight to ensure that our military has the tools and resources it needs to keep us safe.

As we work to ensure that today's men and women in the military have the resources they need to do their jobs and keep us safe, we also have an obligation to our veterans. I will be an advocate for these heroes and their families.

Pro-Life

I am Pro-life and believe that life begins at conception. We have made significant strides in fostering a Pro-life culture. Still, more must be done. I am proud to be the only candidate in this race to be endorsed by Susan B. Anthony List, and I am also certified by the Georgia Life Alliance.

Taxes

Our tax code is way too complex and even punitive. According to the National Taxpayers Union, compliance with the existing tax code costs Americans $234 billion in economic lost every year. This is simply unacceptable. I support a simpler, fairer, tax code that promotes economic growth, as well as reforms that promote the repatriation of overseas profits.[27]

”
—Handel for Congress[29]


Social media

Twitter accounts

Facebook accounts

Click the icons below to visit the candidates' Facebook pages.

Democratic Party Lucy McBath Facebook

Republican Party Karen Handel Facebook

Timeline

  • November 4, 2018: In a New York Times/Siena College poll of 421 voters, McBath led Handel by 2 percentage points, 46 percent to 44 percent.
  • November 2, 2018: Former President Barack Obama (D) campaigned for McBath and three other Democrats at a rally in Atlanta.[30]
  • November 1, 2018: The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee made a $134,000 ad buy for McBath. Everytown for Gun Safety also spent an additional $315,000 on ads and $60,000 on mailers to support McBath.[16]
  • October 23, 2018: In a Thirty-Ninth Street Strategies poll of 400 voters, Handel led McBath by 1 percentage point, 48 percent to 47 percent. The margin of error was 4.9 percent.
  • October 18, 2018: In a JMC Analytics/Bold Blue Campaigns poll of 500 voters, Handel led McBath by 4 percentage points, 49 percent to 45 percent. The margin of error was 4.5 percent.
  • October 16, 2018: Michael Bloomberg's Everytown for Gun Safety announced in September that it planned to spend between $8 million and $10 million on races in Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, and New Mexico, including Georgia's 6th.[17] The group spent $1.8 million to support McBath in October 2018.[18]
  • August 22, 2018: Handel released an ad highlighting her legislative efforts to combat human trafficking.[31]

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Five of 159 Georgia counties—3.14 percent—are pivot counties. These are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 pivot counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Baker County, Georgia 8.68% 0.57% 1.07%
Dooly County, Georgia 2.05% 6.98% 3.53%
Peach County, Georgia 2.91% 7.48% 6.75%
Quitman County, Georgia 10.92% 9.04% 7.90%
Twiggs County, Georgia 1.58% 8.64% 6.97%

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Georgia with 50.8 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 45.6 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Georgia voted Democratic 63.33 percent of the time and Republican 36.67 percent of the time. Georgia voted Republican in every presidential election from 2000 to 2016.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Georgia. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[32][33]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 64 out of 180 state House districts in Georgia with an average margin of victory of 45.5 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 74 out of 180 state House districts in Georgia with an average margin of victory of 42.3 points. Clinton won 14 districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 116 out of 180 state House districts in Georgia with an average margin of victory of 36.6 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 106 out of 180 state House districts in Georgia with an average margin of victory of 36.8 points. Trump won four districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.


District history

2017

See also: Georgia's 6th Congressional District special election, 2017
U.S. House, Georgia District 6 Special Election Runoff, 2017
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngKaren Handel 51.8% 134,799
     Democratic Jon Ossoff 48.2% 125,517
Total Votes 260,316
Source: Georgia Secretary of State

Republican Karen Handel defeated Democrat Jon Ossoff in the June 20, 2017, special election runoff to represent the 6th Congressional District of Georgia.

It was the most expensive U.S. House race in history. The two campaigns, along with outside organizations, spent more than $50 million on the election.[34] Although Handel held the advantage with outside groups spending money on the race, the Democratic effort to flip this congressional seat, which has been held by a Republican since 1979, began early. Ossoff raised $8.3 million in the first quarter of 2017, where recent Democratic candidates raised no more than $45,000 in the general election. In April and May, Ossoff raised an additional $15 million.[35] Handel raised $4 million, relying on national political figures like President Donald Trump in May and Vice President Mike Pence in June to helm fundraisers.[36] Although Handel's fundraising paled in comparison to Ossoff's, she outraised recent Republican candidates by more than $2 million.

Tom Perez, the chair of the Democratic National Committee, said that his party's investment in the race was part of a larger effort to improve party infrastructure across the country. "We're investing heavily here in the Georgia six race, but I'm traveling across the country. We're building strong parties everywhere. That's what we have to do because that's where we fell short in the past. We allowed our basic infrastructure to, you know, to atrophy and we have to build strong parties," he said.[37] This spending was driven primarily by out-of-state contributions, which Handel and conservative outside organizations highlighted in critical campaign ads.

This special election was one of the first chances since 2016 for the Democratic Party to reduce the Republican House majority. When asked about the importance of the race, former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich (R), who represented the district for two decades, told Ballotpedia, "I do think Republicans have to pay attention, and I think it would be a big mistake to allow this district to go to Ossoff, partly because of the psychology nationally, and partly because once a relatively talented person gets in office, it’s really hard to get rid of them."

The Democratic Party had not held Georgia's 6th District since before Gingrich's first election in 1978. However, Trump's victory margin of 1.5 percent over Hillary Clinton in the district in the 2016 presidential race signified that the district could be competitive. Comparatively, Mitt Romney (R) won the district by a margin of 23.3 percent in 2012, and John McCain (R) defeated Barack Obama (D) by 18 percent in 2008.[38][39] Republicans suggested that Ossoff's failure to win in the district, despite an infusion of cash, was evidence that Democrats would not have electoral success in 2018.

Ossoff was a first-time candidate who previously worked in D.C. as a legislative aide to Rep. Hank Johnson (D-Ga.) for five years and as a documentary producer. Ossoff campaigned against Trump's policies and emphasized small business growth, affordable healthcare, preserving Medicare and Medicaid, and national security. He was characterized as more of a centrist than a progressive by New York Magazine, The Washington Post, National Review, and The New York Times.[40] Handel, who served as the Georgia Secretary of State from 2007 to 2010, supported the Trump administration's position on healthcare and the withdrawal from the Paris Climate Agreement, although she rarely mentioned the president by name while campaigning.[41] She instead focused on promoting conservative principles and economic issues such as improving the tax code for small businesses.

This was the fourth congressional special election of the year and the third won by a Republican.


U.S. House, Georgia District 6 Special Election, 2017
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJon Ossoff 48.1% 92,673
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngKaren Handel 19.8% 38,071
     Republican Bob Gray 10.8% 20,802
     Republican Dan Moody 8.8% 17,028
     Republican Judson Hill 8.8% 16,870
     Republican Kurt Wilson 0.9% 1,820
     Republican David Abroms 0.9% 1,639
     Democratic Ragin Edwards 0.3% 504
     Democratic Ron Slotin 0.3% 491
     Republican Bruce LeVell 0.2% 455
     Republican Mohammad Ali Bhuiyan 0.2% 415
     Republican Keith Grawert 0.2% 415
     Republican Amy Kremer 0.2% 351
     Republican William Llop 0.2% 326
     Democratic Rebecca Quigg 0.2% 304
     Democratic Richard Keatley 0.1% 229
     Independent Alexander Hernandez 0.1% 121
     Independent Andre Pollard 0% 55
Total Votes 192,569
Source: Georgia Secretary of State

2016

See also: Georgia's 6th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Tom Price (R) defeated Rodney Stooksbury (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Neither candidate faced a primary opponent on May 24, 2016.[42][43]

U.S. House, Georgia District 6 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngTom Price Incumbent 61.7% 201,088
     Democratic Rodney Stooksbury 38.3% 124,917
Total Votes 326,005
Source: Georgia Secretary of State

2014

See also: Georgia's 6th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 6th Congressional District of Georgia held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Tom Price (D) defeated challenger Robert Montigel (D) in the general election.

U.S. House, Georgia District 6 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngTom Price Incumbent 66.04% 139,018
     Democratic Robert Montigel 33.96% 71,486
Total Votes 210,504
Source: Georgia Secretary of State

State overview

Partisan control

This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Georgia heading into the 2018 elections.

Congressional delegation

State executives

State legislature

  • Republicans controlled both chambers of the Georgia General Assembly. They had a 114-64 majority in the state House and a 37-19 majority in the state Senate.

Trifecta status

2018 elections

See also: Georgia elections, 2018

Georgia held elections for the following positions in 2018:

Demographics

Demographic data for Georgia
 GeorgiaU.S.
Total population:10,199,398316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):57,5133,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:60.2%73.6%
Black/African American:30.9%12.6%
Asian:3.6%5.1%
Native American:0.3%0.8%
Pacific Islander:0%0.2%
Two or more:2.1%3%
Hispanic/Latino:9.1%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:85.4%86.7%
College graduation rate:28.8%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$49,620$53,889
Persons below poverty level:21.1%11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Georgia.
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

As of July 2017, Georgia's three largest cities were Atlanta (pop. est. 470,000), Columbus (pop. est. 200,000), and Augusta (pop. est. 200,000).[44][45]

State election history

This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Georgia from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Georgia Secretary of State.

Historical elections

Presidential elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Georgia every year from 2000 to 2016.

Election results (President of the United States), Georgia 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Republican Party Donald Trump 51.1% Democratic Party Hillary Clinton 45.9% 5.2%
2012 Republican Party Mitt Romney 53.3% Democratic Party Barack Obama 45.5% 7.8%
2008 Republican Party John McCain 52.2% Democratic Party Barack Obama 47.0% 5.2%
2004 Republican Party George Bush 58.0% Democratic Party John Kerry 41.4% 16.6%
2000 Republican Party George Bush 55.0% Democratic Party Al Gore 43.2% 11.8%

U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Georgia from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

Election results (U.S. Senator), Georgia 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Republican Party Johnny Isakson 54.8% Democratic Party Jim Barksdale 41.0% 13.8%
2014 Republican Party David Perdue 52.9% Democratic Party Michelle Nunn 45.2% 7.7%
2010 Republican Party Johnny Isakson 58.3% Democratic Party Mike Thurmond 39.0% 19.3%
2008 Republican Party Saxby Chambliss 49.8% Democratic Party Jim Martin 46.8% 3.0%
2004 Republican Party Johnny Isakson 57.9% Democratic Party Denise Majette 40.0% 17.9%
2002 Republican Party Saxby Chambliss 52.8% Democratic Party Max Cleland 45.9% 6.9%

Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Georgia.

Election results (Governor), Georgia 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2014 Republican Party Nathan Deal 52.8% Democratic Party Jason Carter 44.9% 7.9%
2010 Republican Party Nathan Deal 53.0% Democratic Party Roy Barnes 43.0% 10.0%
2006 Republican Party Sonny Perdue 57.9% Democratic Party Mark Taylor 38.2% 19.7%
2002 Republican Party Sonny Perdue 51.4% Democratic Party Roy Barnes 46.3% 5.1%

Congressional delegation, 2000-2016

This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Georgia in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

Congressional delegation, Georgia 2000-2016
Year Republicans Republicans (%) Democrats Democrats (%) Balance of power
2016 Republican Party 10 71.4% Democratic Party 4 28.6% R+6
2014 Republican Party 10 71.4% Democratic Party 4 28.6% R+6
2012 Republican Party 9 64.3% Democratic Party 5 35.7% R+4
2010 Republican Party 8 61.5% Democratic Party 5 38.5% R+3
2008 Republican Party 7 53.8% Democratic Party 6 46.2% R+1
2006 Republican Party 7 53.8% Democratic Party 6 46.2% R+1
2004 Republican Party 7 53.8% Democratic Party 6 46.2% R+1
2002 Republican Party 8 61.5% Democratic Party 5 38.5% R+3
2000 Republican Party 8 72.7% Democratic Party 3 27.3% R+5

Trifectas, 1992-2017

A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

Georgia Party Control: 1992-2025
Eleven years of Democratic trifectas  •  Twenty-one years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Governor D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
Senate D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R


See also

Footnotes

  1. ↑ 1.0 1.1 The registration deadline was extended to October 16, 2018, in Clay, Grady, Randolph, and Turner counties by executive order of Gov. Nathan Deal in response to Hurricane Michael.
  2. ↑ Atlanta Journal-Constitution, "Spending in Georgia Sixth race pushes past $50 million," June 19, 2017
  3. ↑ The Nation, "Stacey Abrams and Lucy McBath Are Leading the Charge to Turn Georgia Blue," July 17, 2018
  4. ↑ 4.0 4.1 4.2 Lucy for Congress, "About," accessed September 20, 2018
  5. ↑ YouTube, "Jordan," September 11, 2018
  6. ↑ Lucy for Congress, "Healthcare," accessed September 20, 2018
  7. ↑ YouTube, "Georgia First," May 16, 2018
  8. ↑ 8.0 8.1 Karen Handel, "About Karen," accessed September 20, 2018
  9. ↑ Biographic Director of U.S. Congress, Karen Handel," accessed September 2018
  10. ↑ Karen Handel, "I am determined to end human trafficking," accessed September 20, 2018
  11. ↑ YouTube, "Combat Human Trafficking," August 22, 2018
  12. ↑ Karen Handel, "Results," accessed September 20, 2018
  13. ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed September 22, 2015
  14. ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed September 22, 2015
  15. ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," November 6, 2015
  16. ↑ 16.0 16.1 16.2 Daily Kos, "Morning Digest: Libertarian drops out of Montana Senate race in a boost to Republicans," November 1, 2018
  17. ↑ 17.0 17.1 Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 9/18," September 18, 2018
  18. ↑ 18.0 18.1 Daily Kos, "Morning Digest: Here's what happens when campaigns try to knock misleading third-party ads off of TV," October 16, 2018
  19. ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  20. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  21. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  22. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  23. ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  24. ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  25. ↑ East Cobb News, "U.S. Rep Karen Handel opposes new Trump tariffs on steel and aluminum," May 31, 2018
  26. ↑ Atlanta Journal-Constitution, "Why tariffs and a trade war could loom large in Georgia elections," August 3, 2018
  27. ↑ 27.0 27.1 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
  28. ↑ McBath for Congress, "Issues," accessed September 18, 2018
  29. ↑ Handel for Congress, "Issues," accessed September 18, 2018
  30. ↑ Gwinnette Daily Post, "Former President Barack Obama visiting Atlanta to campaign for Georgia Democrats this week," October 29, 2018
  31. ↑ YouTube, "Karen Handel – Combat Human Trafficking," August 22, 2018
  32. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  33. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  34. ↑ Atlanta Journal-Constitution, "Spending in Georgia Sixth race pushes past $50 million," June 19, 2017
  35. ↑ Atlanta Journal-Constitution, "Ossoff raises another $15M in Georgia 6th, setting new fundraising record," June 8, 2017
  36. ↑ The New York Times, "Ossoff Raises $23 Million in Most Expensive House Race in History," June 9, 2017
  37. ↑ CNN, "Democrat Narrowly Loses in Georgia; Interview with DNC Chair Tom Perez; Republican Wake-Up Call in Georgia; Hernandez Commits Suicide in Prison; Boxer Finds New Fight; Georgia Special Election," April 19, 2017
  38. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections presents the 2016 presidential election results by congressional district," January 30, 2017
  39. ↑ Vox, "Georgia Dems normally raise $10,000 for this House seat. This April they’ll have $3 million." March 27, 2017
  40. ↑ New Republic, "The Enduring Mystery of Jon Ossoff," June 12, 2017
  41. ↑ Atlanta Journal-Constitution, "Enthusiastic or wary, Georgia Republicans come to terms with Trump," June 3, 2017
  42. ↑ Georgia Secretary of State, "Qualifying Candidate Information," accessed March 12, 2016
  43. ↑ The New York Times, "Georgia Primary Results," May 24, 2016
  44. ↑ United States Census Bureau, "Quick Facts - Georgia," accessed January 3, 2018
  45. ↑ Georgia Demographics, "Georgia Cities by Population," accessed January 3, 2018
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Georgia's current delegation to the United States Congress
Senators
Jon Ossoff (D)
Raphael Warnock (D)
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
District 14
Republican Party (9)
Democratic Party (7)

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