Florida's 21st Congressional District

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search

Florida's 21st Congressional District
Incumbent
Assumed office: January 3, 2023

Florida's 21st Congressional District in the United States House of Representatives is represented by Brian Mast (R).

As of the 2020 Census, Florida representatives represented an average of 770,376 residents. After the 2010 Census, each member represented 700,029 residents.

Elections

2024

See also: Florida's 21st Congressional District election, 2024

Florida's 21st Congressional District election, 2024 (August 20 Republican primary)

Florida's 21st Congressional District election, 2024 (August 20 Democratic primary)

General election

General election for U.S. House Florida District 21

Incumbent Brian Mast defeated Thomas Witkop and Elizabeth Felton in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 21 on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Brian Mast
Brian Mast (R)
 
61.8
 
277,435
Image of Thomas Witkop
Thomas Witkop (D) Candidate Connection
 
38.2
 
171,312
Image of Elizabeth Felton
Elizabeth Felton (No Party Affiliation) (Write-in) Candidate Connection
 
0.0
 
19

Total votes: 448,766
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Thomas Witkop advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 21.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 21

Incumbent Brian Mast defeated Rick Wiles in the Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 21 on August 20, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Brian Mast
Brian Mast
 
85.8
 
60,395
Image of Rick Wiles
Rick Wiles Candidate Connection
 
14.2
 
9,957

Total votes: 70,352
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2022

See also: Florida's 21st Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House Florida District 21

Incumbent Brian Mast defeated Corinna Robinson in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 21 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Brian Mast
Brian Mast (R)
 
63.5
 
208,614
Image of Corinna Robinson
Corinna Robinson (D)
 
36.5
 
119,891

Total votes: 328,505
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Corinna Robinson advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 21.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 21

Incumbent Brian Mast defeated Jeffrey Buongiorno, Melissa Martz, and Ljubo Skrbic in the Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 21 on August 23, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Brian Mast
Brian Mast
 
78.1
 
56,535
Image of Jeffrey Buongiorno
Jeffrey Buongiorno Candidate Connection
 
12.2
 
8,850
Image of Melissa Martz
Melissa Martz Candidate Connection
 
8.5
 
6,186
Image of Ljubo Skrbic
Ljubo Skrbic Candidate Connection
 
1.2
 
853

Total votes: 72,424
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2020

See also: Florida's 21st Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Florida District 21

Incumbent Lois Frankel defeated Laura Loomer, Charleston Malkemus, Sylvia Caravetta, and Piotr Blass in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 21 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Lois Frankel
Lois Frankel (D)
 
59.0
 
237,925
Image of Laura Loomer
Laura Loomer (R)
 
39.1
 
157,612
Image of Charleston Malkemus
Charleston Malkemus (No Party Affiliation) Candidate Connection
 
1.9
 
7,544
Sylvia Caravetta (No Party Affiliation) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
8
Image of Piotr Blass
Piotr Blass (R) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
4

Total votes: 403,093
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 21

Incumbent Lois Frankel defeated Guido Weiss in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 21 on August 18, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Lois Frankel
Lois Frankel
 
86.0
 
75,504
Image of Guido Weiss
Guido Weiss Candidate Connection
 
14.0
 
12,308

Total votes: 87,812
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 21

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 21 on August 18, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Laura Loomer
Laura Loomer
 
42.5
 
14,526
Image of Christian Acosta
Christian Acosta
 
25.5
 
8,724
Image of Michael Vilardi
Michael Vilardi Candidate Connection
 
12.3
 
4,194
Aaron Scanlan
 
9.4
 
3,221
Image of Elizabeth Felton
Elizabeth Felton Candidate Connection
 
7.1
 
2,421
Image of Reba Sherrill
Reba Sherrill Candidate Connection
 
3.1
 
1,070

Total votes: 34,156
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2018

See also: Florida's 21st Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Florida District 21

Incumbent Lois Frankel won election in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 21 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
Image of Lois Frankel
Lois Frankel (D)

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 21

Incumbent Lois Frankel advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 21 on August 28, 2018.

Candidate
Image of Lois Frankel
Lois Frankel

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

No Republican candidates ran in the primary.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2016

See also: Florida's 21st Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. District 22 incumbent Lois Frankel (D) defeated Paul Spain (R) and Michael Trout (I) in the general election on November 8, 2016. No candidate faced a primary opponent in August.[1][2]

U.S. House, Florida District 21 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngLois Frankel Incumbent 62.7% 210,606
     Republican Paul Spain 35.1% 118,038
     Independent Michael Trout 2.1% 7,217
Total Votes 335,861
Source: Florida Division of Elections

2014

See also: Florida's 21st Congressional District elections, 2014

The 21st Congressional District of Florida held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Ted Deutch (D) ran unopposed in the general election.

U.S. House, Florida District 21 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngTed Deutch Incumbent 99.6% 153,395
     Write-in W. Michael Trout 0.4% 575
Total Votes 153,970
Source: Florida Division of Elections

2012

See also: Florida's 21st Congressional District elections, 2012

The 21st District of Florida held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Incumbent from the 19th District, Theodore E. Deutch won election in the district.[3]

U.S. House, Florida District 21 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngTheodore E. Deutch Incumbent 77.8% 221,263
     Independent Cesear Henao 8.9% 25,361
     Independent W. Michael Trout 13.3% 37,776
Total Votes 284,400
Source: Florida Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

2010
In 2010, Mario Diaz-Balart decided to run for the 21st District his brother, Lincoln Diaz-Balart, was vacating. He ran unopposed.[4]

2008
On November 4, 2008, Lincoln Diaz-Balart won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Raul L. Martinez (D) in the general election.[5]

U.S. House, Florida District 21 General Election, 2008
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngLincoln Diaz-Balart incumbent 57.9% 137,226
     Democratic Raul L. Martinez 42.1% 99,776
Total Votes 237,002


2006
On November 7, 2006, Lincoln Diaz-Balart won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Frank J. Gonzalez (D) in the general election.[6]

U.S. House, Florida District 21 General Election, 2006
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngLincoln Diaz-Balart incumbent 59.5% 66,784
     Democratic Frank J. Gonzalez 40.5% 45,522
Total Votes 112,306


2004
On November 2, 2004, Lincoln Diaz-Balart won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Frank J. Gonzalez (D) in the general election.[7]

U.S. House, Florida District 21 General Election, 2004
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngLincoln Diaz-Balart incumbent 72.8% 146,507
     Democratic Frank J. Gonzalez 27.2% 54,736
Total Votes 201,243


2002
Lincoln Diaz-Balart (R) ran unopposed for re-election in 2002.

2000
On November 7, 2000, Lincoln Diaz-Balart won re-election to the United States House. He ran unopposed in the general election.[8]

U.S. House, Florida District 21 General Election, 2000
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngLincoln Diaz-Balart incumbent 100% 132,317
     N/A Write-in 0% 25
Total Votes 132,342


District map

Redistricting

2020-2024

See also: Redistricting in Florida after the 2020 census

On March 27, 2024, the U.S. District Court for Northern Florida upheld the state's congressional map after it was struck down by a lower court on Sep. 2, 2023. As a result, this map was used for Florida's 2024 congressional elections. According to the U.S. District Court for Northern Florida's order:

This case involves constitutional challenges to the congressional districting map proposed by Governor Ron DeSantis and enacted by the Florida Legislature in 2022 ... Plaintiffs had to prove both discriminatory effects and a discriminatory purpose. They proved neither. Thus, [we] concur in the decision to grant judgment in the Secretary’s favor.[9][10]

On December 1, 2023, the Florida First District Court of Appeal ruled 8-2 that the redistricting plan did not unconstitutionally limit Black voting power.[11] The plaintiffs appealed to the Florida Supreme Court, which heard arguments on September 12, 2024.[12]

On September 2, 2023, Leon County Circuit Court Judge J. Lee Marsh struck down enacted North Florida congressional districts and ordered the Legislature to redraw district boundaries.[13] On June 2, 2022, the Florida Supreme Court had declined to block Florida's enacted congressional map, which Governor Ron DeSantis (R) signed into law on April 22.[14]

The Florida First District Court of Appeal had reinstated the congressional district boundaries on May 20, overruling Leon County Circuit Court Judge Layne Smith's temporary hold on the map.[15][16] On May 11, Smith issued an order declaring Florida's enacted congressional map unconstitutional, saying, "The enacted map is unconstitutional under the Fair District amendment. It diminishes African-Americans’ ability to elect the representative of their choice." Smith also said a map drawn by a court-appointed special master should be substituted for the enacted map in the 2022 elections.[17] The plaintiffs in the case filed an emergency appeal with the Florida Supreme Court on May 23, 2022, seeking a hold on the enacted congressional map.[18]

DeSantis signed the original congressional map into law on April 22, 2022.[19] The map bill was proposed and approved by the Florida State Legislature during a special session called for the purposes of redistricting. The Florida State Senate voted 24-15 to approve the map on April 20, and the Florida House of Representatives voted 68-34 to approve the map on April 21.[20][21]

This was the second congressional map bill approved by the state legislature. DeSantis vetoed the first on March 29. Republican leaders in the legislature said on April 11 that they would wait to receive a map from DeSantis to support.[22] DeSantis submitted a map to the legislature on April 13, which became the enacted map.[23]

How does redistricting in Florida work? In Florida, both congressional and state legislative district lines are drawn by the state legislature. Congressional lines are adopted as regular legislation and are subject to gubernatorial veto. State legislative lines are passed via joint resolution and are not subject to gubernatorial veto. State legislative district maps are automatically submitted to the Florida Supreme Court for approval. In the event that the court rejects the lines, the legislature is given a second chance to draft a plan. If the legislature cannot approve a state legislative redistricting plan, the state attorney general must ask the state supreme court to draft a plan. There are no similar procedures in place for congressional districts.[24]

The Florida Constitution requires that all districts, whether congressional or state legislative, be contiguous. Also, "where doing so does not conflict with minority rights, [districts] must be compact and utilize existing political and geographical boundaries where feasible." Districts cannot be drawn in such a way as to "favor or disfavor a political party or incumbent."[24][25]

Florida District 21
until January 2, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Florida District 21
starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

2015

On July 9, 2015, the Florida Supreme Court ruled that the state's congressional district map was unconstitutional. The suit was brought to the court by the League of Women Voters and a coalition of other voter groups. David King, lead attorney for the League of Women Voters, said of the ruling, "This is a complete victory for the people of Florida who passed the Fair District amendment and sought fair representation where the Legislature didn't pick their voters. The Supreme Court accepted every challenge we made and ordered the Legislature to do it over."[26]

As a result of the ruling, eight congressional districts were ordered to be redrawn: FL-05, FL-13, FL-14, FL-21, FL-22, FL-25, FL-26 and FL-27. However, the redrawing of these districts had an effect on most of the state's other congressional districts as well. The court gave the legislature until August 25, 2015, to complete the redrawn map.[26]

The House and Senate could not reach an agreement on a new map in late August. Each chamber presented its own map, but they did not agree on which map to use. As a result, Judge Terry Lewis scheduled a trial in order to pick a map. The trial began on September 24, 2015, and lasted for three days. Following the trial, Judge Lewis recommended a map to the Florida Supreme Court, which had the ultimate decision as to which map to use.[27][28][29]

On December 2, 2015, the Florida Supreme Court upheld the map that was recommended by the voters' coalition.

In total, 24 of Florida's 27 congressional districts saw some change with the new map. The most drastic changes were made to the 5th and 10th Congressional Districts. The new 5th and 10th are each composed of less than 40 percent of their old seats. The redrawn map is displayed below.

Florida congressional districts.png

2010-2011

This is the 21st Congressional District of Florida after the 2001 redistricting process.
See also: Redistricting in Florida after the 2010 census

In 2011, the Florida State Legislature re-drew the congressional districts based on updated population information from the 2010 census. Prior to redistricting, the 21st District was located in Miami-Dade County. The district included many of the western suburbs of Miami such as Hialeah, Olympia Heights, and Cutler.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

2024

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+7. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 7 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Florida's 21st the 179th most Republican district nationally.[30]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 54.4%-45.0%.[31]

2022

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+7. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 7 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Florida's 21st the 177th most Republican district nationally.[32]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 45.0% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 54.4%.[33]

2018

Heading into the 2018 elections, based on results from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+9. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 9 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Florida's 21st Congressional District the 129th most Democratic nationally.[34]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.06. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.06 points toward that party.[35]

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. Florida Department of State, "Candidate Listing for 2016 General Election," accessed June 25, 2016
  2. Politico, " Florida House Races Results," August 30, 2016
  3. Politico, "2012 Election Map, Florida," November 6, 2012
  4. Florida Division of Elections--Department of State, "Candidate Listing for 2010 General Election," accessed October 20, 2011
  5. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
  6. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
  7. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
  8. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
  9. United States District Court for the Northern District of Florida, "Common Cause Florida v. Byrd," March 27, 2024
  10. Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
  11. CBS News, "Florida appeals court upholds congressional redistricting plan backed by Gov. Ron DeSantis," December 1, 2023
  12. Politico, "Florida’s high court poised to protect DeSantis’ congressional map that helps GOP," September 12, 2024
  13. Tampa Bay Times, "Judge rules against DeSantis in challenge to congressional map," September 2, 2023
  14. Florida Politics, "Florida Supreme Court declines to hear challenge to congressional map ahead of Midterms," June 2, 2022
  15. Orlando Sentinel, "Florida appeals court reinstates DeSantis’ congressional map," May 20, 2022
  16. Florida District Court of Appeal, First District, "Secretary of State Laurel Lee v. Black Voters Matter, et al.," May 20, 2022
  17. NBC News, "Florida judge says he’ll block DeSantis' congressional redistricting map," May 11, 2022
  18. Florida Supreme Court, "Black Voters Matter, et al. v. Cord Byrd, Florida Secretary of State," May 23, 2022
  19. Florida Politics, "Gov. DeSantis signs his congressional map into law," April 22, 2022
  20. Florida Politics, "Florida Senate passes Gov. DeSantis’ congressional map," April 20, 2022
  21. Florida Politics, "Legislature approves Gov. DeSantis’ controversial congressional redistricting map," April 21, 2022
  22. Tampa Bay Times, "Florida Legislature won’t draft new redistricting map, deferring to DeSantis," April 11, 2022
  23. Florida Politics, "Gov. DeSantis submits congressional redistristing plan critics contend is ‘partisan gerrymandering’," April 14, 2022
  24. 24.0 24.1 All About Redistricting, "Florida," accessed April 22, 2015
  25. Florida Constitution, "Article III, Sections 20-21," accessed April 22, 2015
  26. 26.0 26.1 Tampa Bay Times, "Florida Supreme Court orders new congressional map with eight districts to be redrawn," July 9, 2015
  27. Sun Sentinel, "Redistricting session collapses amid acrimony," August 21, 2015
  28. Bradenton Herald, "Trial will be held on new Florida congressional districts," September 12, 2015
  29. Politico, "Final day of map trial highlights Miami-Dade race politics," September 29, 2015
  30. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  31. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  32. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  33. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  34. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  35. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018


Senators
Representatives
District 1
Vacant
District 2
Neal Dunn (R)
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
Vacant
District 7
District 8
District 9
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
Anna Luna (R)
District 14
District 15
District 16
District 17
District 18
District 19
District 20
District 21
District 22
District 23
District 24
District 25
District 26
District 27
District 28
Republican Party (20)
Democratic Party (8)
Vacancies (2)