Utah's 2nd Congressional District election, 2018
General election for U.S. House Utah District 2
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Chris Stewart (R) | 56.1 | 151,489 | |
Shireen Ghorbani (D) | 38.9 | 105,051 | ||
Jeffrey Whipple (L) | 5.0 | 13,504 |
Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source | Total votes: 270,044 | |||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Jan Garbett (Independent)
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 9 (mail), or Oct. 30 (online or in-person)
- Early voting: Oct. 23 - Nov. 2
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: Yes
- Voter ID: Non-photo ID required
- Poll times: 7:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m.
2020 →
← 2016
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Utah's 2nd Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 15, 2018 |
Primary: June 26, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Chris Stewart (Republican) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Utah |
Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th Utah elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
All U.S. congressional districts, including the 2nd Congressional District of Utah, held elections in 2018.
Heading into the election the incumbent was Chris Stewart (R), who was first elected in 2012.
Utah's 2nd Congressional District is located in the western portion of the state. It includes Beaver, Garfield, Iron, Kane, Millard, Piute, Sevier, Tooele, Washington, and Wayne counties and sections of Davis, Juab, Salt Lake, and Sanpete counties.[1]
Candidates and election results
General election
Incumbent Chris Stewart defeated Shireen Ghorbani and Jeffrey Whipple in the general election for U.S. House Utah District 2 on November 6, 2018.
General election for U.S. House Utah District 2
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Chris Stewart (R) | 56.1 | 151,489 | |
Shireen Ghorbani (D) | 38.9 | 105,051 | ||
Jeffrey Whipple (L) | 5.0 | 13,504 |
Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source | Total votes: 270,044 | |||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Jan Garbett (Independent)
Democratic primary election
The Utah Democratic Party held a nominating convention on April 28, 2018. Shireen Ghorbani was selected as the Democratic nominee for U.S. House Utah District 2.[2]
Republican primary election
The Utah Republican Party held a nominating convention on April 21, 2018. Incumbent Chris Stewart was selected as the Republican nominee for U.S. House Utah District 2.[3]
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+16, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 16 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Utah's 2nd Congressional District the 75th most Republican nationally.[4]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.16. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.16 points toward that party.[5]
Campaign contributions
The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chris Stewart | Republican Party | $987,510 | $938,944 | $142,018 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Shireen Ghorbani | Democratic Party | $460,609 | $442,739 | $17,870 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Jeffrey Whipple | Libertarian Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
District history
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Chris Stewart (R) defeated Charlene Albarran (D) and Paul McCollaum Jr. (Constitution Party) in the general election on November 8, 2016.[6]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | 61.6% | 170,524 | ||
Democratic | Charlene Albarran | 33.9% | 93,778 | |
Constitution | Paul McCollaum Jr. | 4.5% | 12,517 | |
Total Votes | 276,819 | |||
Source: Utah Secretary of State |
2014
Incumbent Chris Stewart won re-election to the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. He defeated Luz Robles, Wayne Hill, Shaun McCausland and Bill Barron in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | 60.9% | 88,915 | ||
Democratic | Luz Robles | 32.6% | 47,585 | |
Independent American | Wayne Hill | 2.3% | 3,328 | |
Constitution | Shaun McCausland | 3.1% | 4,509 | |
Independent | Bill Barron | 1.2% | 1,734 | |
Total Votes | 146,071 | |||
Source: Utah Lieutenant Governor, "Elections," |
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
There are no Pivot Counties in Utah. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Utah with 45.5 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 27.5 percent. Independent candidate and Utah native Evan McMullin received 21.5 percent of the vote, his strongest showing in a state. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Utah cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 76.7 percent of the time. In that same timeframe, Utah supported Republican candidates more often than Democrats, 73.3 to 23.3 percent. The state favored Republicans in every presidential election between 2000 and 2016.
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Utah. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[7][8]
In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won seven out of 75 state House districts in Utah with an average margin of victory of 20.8 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 19 out of 75 state House districts in Utah with an average margin of victory of 21.9 points. Clinton won six districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 68 out of 75 state House districts in Utah with an average margin of victory of 54.4 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 56 out of 75 state House districts in Utah with an average margin of victory of 30.7 points. |
2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
1 | 9.42% | 89.03% | R+79.6 | 10.81% | 62.88% | R+52.1 | R |
2 | 9.49% | 88.76% | R+79.3 | 11.45% | 51.57% | R+40.1 | R |
3 | 12.34% | 85.57% | R+73.2 | 15.18% | 48.43% | R+33.2 | R |
4 | 22.96% | 73.62% | R+50.7 | 30.29% | 33.77% | R+3.5 | R |
5 | 10.92% | 87.18% | R+76.3 | 13.60% | 51.67% | R+38.1 | R |
6 | 10.18% | 87.91% | R+77.7 | 13.94% | 48.70% | R+34.8 | R |
7 | 22.58% | 75.17% | R+52.6 | 24.95% | 47.41% | R+22.5 | R |
8 | 32.39% | 64.89% | R+32.5 | 33.89% | 42.27% | R+8.4 | R |
9 | 30.35% | 67.18% | R+36.8 | 29.16% | 46.44% | R+17.3 | R |
10 | 34.81% | 62.01% | R+27.2 | 37.00% | 38.57% | R+1.6 | R |
11 | 24.47% | 73.17% | R+48.7 | 25.28% | 48.10% | R+22.8 | R |
12 | 20.44% | 77.27% | R+56.8 | 20.63% | 52.90% | R+32.3 | R |
13 | 19.95% | 77.67% | R+57.7 | 20.41% | 47.72% | R+27.3 | R |
14 | 21.75% | 75.91% | R+54.2 | 21.48% | 44.83% | R+23.4 | R |
15 | 13.20% | 85.22% | R+72 | 15.05% | 49.86% | R+34.8 | R |
16 | 22.55% | 75.36% | R+52.8 | 24.02% | 47.62% | R+23.6 | R |
17 | 15.44% | 82.73% | R+67.3 | 18.65% | 44.09% | R+25.4 | R |
18 | 14.51% | 83.99% | R+69.5 | 18.83% | 43.66% | R+24.8 | R |
19 | 19.24% | 78.78% | R+59.5 | 23.75% | 40.60% | R+16.8 | R |
20 | 21.05% | 77.07% | R+56 | 25.91% | 40.61% | R+14.7 | R |
21 | 27.07% | 70.44% | R+43.4 | 24.26% | 47.55% | R+23.3 | R |
22 | 37.41% | 59.20% | R+21.8 | 35.79% | 35.31% | D+0.5 | D |
23 | 56.84% | 39.68% | D+17.2 | 59.42% | 21.08% | D+38.3 | D |
24 | 61.48% | 33.07% | D+28.4 | 68.79% | 16.04% | D+52.8 | D |
25 | 69.65% | 23.70% | D+45.9 | 74.08% | 11.49% | D+62.6 | D |
26 | 60.94% | 32.81% | D+28.1 | 64.98% | 19.07% | D+45.9 | D |
27 | 6.44% | 92.24% | R+85.8 | 11.91% | 56.88% | R+45 | R |
28 | 54.60% | 41.73% | D+12.9 | 64.09% | 18.31% | D+45.8 | D |
29 | 13.06% | 85.33% | R+72.3 | 14.40% | 58.81% | R+44.4 | R |
30 | 36.99% | 60.36% | R+23.4 | 38.48% | 33.65% | D+4.8 | R |
31 | 43.06% | 54.05% | R+11 | 43.41% | 31.30% | D+12.1 | D |
32 | 27.09% | 70.42% | R+43.3 | 31.20% | 42.83% | R+11.6 | R |
33 | 44.21% | 52.69% | R+8.5 | 44.63% | 31.45% | D+13.2 | R |
34 | 39.64% | 57.37% | R+17.7 | 41.60% | 31.42% | D+10.2 | D |
35 | 51.49% | 44.22% | D+7.3 | 55.00% | 24.81% | D+30.2 | D |
36 | 42.19% | 54.94% | R+12.7 | 49.52% | 26.90% | D+22.6 | D |
37 | 40.42% | 56.67% | R+16.3 | 45.86% | 31.84% | D+14 | D |
38 | 37.19% | 59.58% | R+22.4 | 37.41% | 33.31% | D+4.1 | R |
39 | 35.46% | 61.95% | R+26.5 | 36.62% | 35.54% | D+1.1 | R |
40 | 50.87% | 45.38% | D+5.5 | 56.43% | 22.35% | D+34.1 | D |
41 | 16.24% | 81.72% | R+65.5 | 18.41% | 49.31% | R+30.9 | R |
42 | 23.97% | 73.84% | R+49.9 | 27.04% | 39.88% | R+12.8 | R |
43 | 30.88% | 66.58% | R+35.7 | 32.50% | 37.41% | R+4.9 | R |
44 | 37.44% | 59.36% | R+21.9 | 40.71% | 33.05% | D+7.7 | R |
45 | 34.33% | 62.63% | R+28.3 | 37.99% | 35.99% | D+2 | R |
46 | 41.80% | 55.26% | R+13.5 | 47.04% | 32.01% | D+15 | D |
47 | 29.03% | 68.70% | R+39.7 | 30.89% | 39.06% | R+8.2 | R |
48 | 8.85% | 89.34% | R+80.5 | 15.28% | 49.21% | R+33.9 | R |
49 | 33.11% | 64.55% | R+31.4 | 37.68% | 38.47% | R+0.8 | R |
50 | 18.79% | 79.57% | R+60.8 | 23.63% | 43.95% | R+20.3 | R |
51 | 22.76% | 75.35% | R+52.6 | 27.60% | 46.79% | R+19.2 | R |
52 | 18.13% | 79.66% | R+61.5 | 20.72% | 46.22% | R+25.5 | R |
53 | 24.78% | 72.98% | R+48.2 | 28.04% | 53.13% | R+25.1 | R |
54 | 36.66% | 60.93% | R+24.3 | 39.86% | 41.21% | R+1.3 | R |
55 | 8.36% | 90.17% | R+81.8 | 7.51% | 77.30% | R+69.8 | R |
56 | 8.26% | 89.97% | R+81.7 | 12.12% | 51.01% | R+38.9 | R |
57 | 8.06% | 90.22% | R+82.2 | 12.76% | 53.20% | R+40.4 | R |
58 | 9.98% | 88.32% | R+78.3 | 10.13% | 66.35% | R+56.2 | R |
59 | 10.79% | 87.00% | R+76.2 | 15.98% | 48.16% | R+32.2 | R |
60 | 10.30% | 87.22% | R+76.9 | 16.52% | 47.59% | R+31.1 | R |
61 | 13.38% | 84.32% | R+70.9 | 18.52% | 43.41% | R+24.9 | R |
62 | 13.30% | 85.02% | R+71.7 | 13.61% | 71.08% | R+57.5 | R |
63 | 11.11% | 86.48% | R+75.4 | 18.77% | 31.71% | R+12.9 | R |
64 | 14.96% | 81.98% | R+67 | 21.07% | 38.70% | R+17.6 | R |
65 | 9.38% | 88.79% | R+79.4 | 13.36% | 54.10% | R+40.7 | R |
66 | 8.98% | 89.30% | R+80.3 | 11.64% | 58.71% | R+47.1 | R |
67 | 9.57% | 88.60% | R+79 | 10.46% | 62.32% | R+51.9 | R |
68 | 15.24% | 82.39% | R+67.2 | 14.03% | 62.30% | R+48.3 | R |
69 | 26.06% | 71.16% | R+45.1 | 20.44% | 66.97% | R+46.5 | R |
70 | 15.90% | 81.72% | R+65.8 | 14.64% | 71.90% | R+57.3 | R |
71 | 14.57% | 83.10% | R+68.5 | 14.76% | 69.24% | R+54.5 | R |
72 | 13.87% | 83.89% | R+70 | 15.11% | 63.65% | R+48.5 | R |
73 | 24.42% | 73.56% | R+49.1 | 23.16% | 62.62% | R+39.5 | R |
74 | 17.87% | 80.76% | R+62.9 | 20.14% | 66.98% | R+46.8 | R |
75 | 13.77% | 84.32% | R+70.6 | 15.58% | 68.95% | R+53.4 | R |
Total | 24.75% | 72.79% | R+48 | 27.46% | 45.54% | R+18.1 | - |
Source: Daily Kos |
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Utah heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Republicans held both U.S. Senate seats in Utah.
- Republicans held all four U.S. House seats in Utah.
State executives
- As of May 2018, Republicans held five of eight state executive positions, while three positions were held by nonpartisan officials.
- The governor of Utah was Republican Gary Herbert.
State legislature
- Republicans controlled both chambers of the Utah State Legislature. They had a 61-13 majority in the state House and a 24-5 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- Utah was a Republican trifecta, meaning that the Republican Party controlled the state government. Gary Herbert (R) served as governor and Republicans controlled the state legislature.
2018 elections
- See also: Utah elections, 2018
Utah held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- One U.S. Senate seat
- All four U.S. House seats
- 14 out of 29 state Senate seats
- All 75 state House seats
Demographics
Demographic data for Utah | ||
---|---|---|
Utah | U.S. | |
Total population: | 2,990,632 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 82,170 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 87.6% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 1.1% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 2.2% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 1.1% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 2.6% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 13.4% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 91.2% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 31.1% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $60,727 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 12.7% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Utah. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
As of July 2017, Utah had a population of approximately 3,100,000 people, with its three largest cities being Salt Lake City (pop. est. 190,000), West Valley City (pop. est. 140,000), and Provo (pop. est. 120,000).[9][10]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Utah from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Lieutenant Governor of Utah.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Utah every four years from 2000 to 2016.
Election results (President of the United States), Utah 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | 45.5% | 27.5% | 18.0% | ||
2012 | 72.6% | 24.7% | 47.9% | ||
2008 | 62.2% | 34.2% | 28.0% | ||
2004 | 71.5% | 26.0% | 45.5% | ||
2000 | 66.8% | 26.3% | 40.5% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Utah from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered.
Election results (U.S. Senator), Utah 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | 68.2% | 27.1% | 41.1% | ||
2012 | 65.2% | 30.2% | 35.0% | ||
2010 | 61.6% | 32.8% | 28.8% | ||
2006 | 62.5% | 31.1% | 31.4% | ||
2004 | 68.7% | 28.4% | 40.3% | ||
2000 | 65.6% | 31.5% | 34.1% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the six gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Utah. Included in the table are the results of the 2010 special election called to fill the seat of former Gov. Jon Huntsman (R), who had resigned to serve as U.S. Ambassador to China.
Election results (Governor), Utah 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | 66.7% | 28.7% | 38.0% | ||
2012 | 68.4% | 27.7% | 40.7% | ||
2010 | 64.1% | 31.9% | 32.2% | ||
2008 | 77.6% | 19.7% | 57.9% | ||
2004 | 57.7% | 41.4% | 16.3% | ||
2000 | 55.8% | 42.7% | 13.1% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Utah in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Utah Party Control: 1992-2024
No Democratic trifectas • Thirty-three years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Senate | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
See also
- Utah's 2nd Congressional District election (2018 Democratic primary)
- Utah's 2nd Congressional District election (2018 Republican primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections in Utah, 2018
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ United States Census Bureau, "Counties by Congressional Districts," accessed June 8, 2016
- ↑ The Salt Lake Tribune, "Utah Democratic front-runners Ben McAdams and Jenny Wilson defeat challengers to avoid primary elections," April 28, 2018
- ↑ The Salt Lake Tribune, "Utah Republican delegates force Mitt Romney into a primary election with state lawmaker Mike Kennedy in the race for the U.S. Senate," April 24, 2018
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Utah Secretary of State, "2016 Candidate Filings," accessed March 19, 2016
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ United States Census Bureau, "Quick Facts - Utah," accessed January 15, 2018
- ↑ Utah Demographics, "Utah Cities by Population," accessed January 15, 2018
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