United States Senate election in Iowa, 2020 (June 2 Democratic primary)
- Primary date: June 2
- Primary type: Open
- Registration deadline(s): May 22
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: Yes
- Early voting starts: April 23
- Absentee/mail voting deadline(s): June 1 (postmarked); June 8 (received)
- Voter ID: Photo ID
- Poll times: 7 a.m. to 9 p.m.
← 2014
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U.S. Senate, Iowa |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 13, 2020 |
Primary: June 2, 2020 General: November 3, 2020 Pre-election incumbent: Joni Ernst (Republican) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 9 p.m. Voting in Iowa |
Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Toss-up Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th Iowa elections, 2020 U.S. Congress elections, 2020 U.S. Senate elections, 2020 U.S. House elections, 2020 |
Theresa Greenfield defeated Michael Franken, Kimberly Graham, and Eddie Mauro to win the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate in Iowa on June 2, 2020. Greenfield won 47.8% of the vote to Franken's 25.0%, Graham's 15.0%, and Mauro's 11.0%. Had no candidate received more than 35% of the vote, the Democratic nominee would have been decided at a June 13 party convention.[1]
Greenfield was a real estate developer backed by the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, EMILY's List, and 21 unions including the Iowa AFL-CIO.[2] In a campaign ad, she said that her support from labor unions and Democratic Party leaders showed that "she has what it takes to defeat Joni Ernst and hold Trump accountable."[3]
Franken, a retired vice admiral in the U.S. Navy, said that his "rural upbringing, 37 years of military service, and proven track record of distinguished leadership make him the Democrat to beat Joni Ernst."[4] He received endorsements from The Des Moines Register and former U.S. Secretary of Defense Chuck Hagel (R).[5][6]
Graham, an advocate and attorney for children in juvenile court, said, "We need more people from working-class backgrounds serving in government, representing the majority of us and not mega-corporations."[7] She received endorsements from Brand New Congress and the National Organization for Women.[8]
Mauro owned an insurance company. He said he "built a progressive business that provides paid family leave, where 65% of leadership are women." He added that "during the Great Recession, [he] took a pay cut [and] didn't lay off any employees."[9] Mauro received endorsements from state Reps. Ruth Ann Gaines (D-32), Ako Abdul-Samad (D-35), Ras Smith (D-62), and Charlie McConkey (D-15).[10]
A fifth candidate, Cal Woods, appeared on the ballot. Woods unofficially withdrew from the primary on May 4, 2020, and endorsed Franken.[11]
The general election was expected to be competitive. Incumbent Sen. Joni Ernst (R) ran for re-election. Ernst was first elected in 2014 following the retirement of Sen. Tom Harkin (D). She defeated Bruce Braley in the general election 52-44%. Heading into the election, Iowa had 31 pivot counties, which were counties that voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016 after voting for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012. These counties accounted for 26% of the state's population.
During the 2018 midterm elections, Democratic candidates defeated Republican incumbents in two of Iowa's four Congressional Districts, switching the partisan control of U.S. House seats in the state from a Republican 3-1 majority to a Democratic 3-1 majority. In 2020, Democrats sought control of the U.S. Senate, where Republicans held a majority with 53 seats to Democrats' 45. Two independents caucused with Democrats. Click here to learn more about what's at stake in the general election.
Click on candidate names below to view their key messages:
Franken |
Graham |
Greenfield |
Mauro |
This page focuses on Iowa's United States Senate Democratic primary. For more in-depth information on the state's Republican primary and the general election, see the following pages:
United States Senate election in Iowa, 2020 (June 2 Republican primary)
United States Senate election in Iowa, 2020
Contents
- 1 Election procedure changes in 2020
- 2 Candidates and election results
- 3 Candidate profiles
- 4 Endorsements
- 5 Timeline
- 6 Campaign advertisements
- 7 Polls
- 8 Campaign finance
- 9 Satellite spending
- 10 Debates and forums
- 11 Primaries in Iowa
- 12 What's at stake in the general election?
- 13 General election race ratings
- 14 Pivot Counties
- 15 Election history
- 16 See also
- 17 External links
- 18 Footnotes
Election procedure changes in 2020
Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.
Iowa modified its primary election process as follows:
- Voting procedures: Absentee ballot application forms sent to all registered voters in the primary election. The absentee voting period was extended to open on April 23.
For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.
Candidates and election results
Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Iowa
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Theresa Greenfield | 47.7 | 132,001 | |
Michael Franken | 24.9 | 68,851 | ||
Kimberly Graham | 15.0 | 41,554 | ||
Eddie Mauro | 11.0 | 30,400 | ||
Cal Woods (Unofficially withdrew) | 1.2 | 3,372 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 0.2 | 514 |
There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source | Total votes: 276,692 | |||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles created in one of two ways. Either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey or Ballotpedia staff created a profile after identifying the candidate as noteworthy.[12] Ballotpedia staff compiled profiles based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I'm a retired vice admiral running for United States Senate to defeat Joni Ernst. I was born in rural Iowa. I spent the 80s and sea, the 90s in Washington D.C, and the 2000s fighting our wars on terror from the field and the capitol. I have a career of leading and succeeding around the world. In 2002, I was the only member of the Iraq War planning board to vote no on that war. That was a bad war then, and it remains one. If there had been courage in that room, perhaps our history would be different. When Donald Trump was elected, I retired because I did not want to work for Donald Trump. And in 2018, I knew I had to run for office because if he wins again, we had best own the Senate. I'm running to provide principled, experienced leadership for Iowans and Americans."
Key Messages
To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.
Ensure every American has the quality of healthcare than an admiral enjoys
Enlist Iowa's farmers to beat climate change in this generation
Roll back the special interests that captured Joni Ernst
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Iowa in 2020.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I'm a single mom with a 20-year son, Max. For 20 years I've also been an advocate and attorney for abused or neglected kids and parents in juvenile court. I'm running for office for Max, for all the kids I've represented, for all of us. Because it's time that one of us, represented us. My dad was one of 15 kids from a poor family. My mom was a teenager when she had me, dropped out of high school, then later got her GED. My parents lucked out, both found union jobs and retired from those jobs. My grandfather, my son's father and stepdad were or are all union workers. I was a union reorganized volunteer with the APFA, the American Airlines flight attendants' union. I've walked a picket line and fought for better wages and conditions for flight attends. We need more and stronger unions, too. Unions are one way we help balance power between workers and companies and it's hp we grow the middle class. I've been working non-stop since I was 14. I've waitressed, cleaned houses, worked in a dry cleaner, a retail store, and been a teacher and a teaching assistant. I worked 3 part-time jobs at times while in college until I became a flight attendant and then I worked all weekends and went to school during the week. I wanted to help people for a living, went to law school and took out student loans that I'm still paying on. I know what it's like to work hard in the wealthiest nation on earth and still not get ahead. America can do better and we will flip the Senate."
Key Messages
To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.
People over Profits.
Healthcare is a human right. In the wealthiest Nation on Earth, everyone should be able to live a life of health and dignity.
Until we get Big Money out of politics, things won't change. That is why I am not taking corporate PAC or corporate lobbyist money.
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Iowa in 2020.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Biography: Greenfield received a bachelor's degree from Minnesota State University, Mankato, in 1991. She worked as a regional and urban planner from 1992 to 2005. From 2005 to 2011, she worked as the director of real estate and division of Rottlund Homes of Iowa. Greenfield became president of Colby Interests, a Des Moines-area real estate and development company, in 2012.
Key Messages
The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.
Greenfield said she refused corporate PAC donations and highlighted her support from the Iowa AFL-CIO and elected officials like Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.). She said their support showed that "she has what it takes to defeat Joni Ernst and hold Trump accountable."
Greenfield referenced living and working on a family farm. She said she would end "these irresponsible tariffs, unfair ethanol policies, and ensure we stand with our agricultural communities."
Greenfield discussed the job-related death of her first husband, an electrician, when she was 24, saying, "It was Social Security and union benefits ... that gave me that hand up that I needed to get started." She said that she was "committed to protecting Social Security against partisan attacks."
Show sources
Sources: YouTube, "Commitment 2020 Senate Forum Pt. 1," May 19, 2020, YouTube, "Support," May 20, 2020, YouTube, "Knock," May 18, 2020, Greenfield's 2020 campaign website, "About Theresa," accessed May 22, 2020, Greenfield's 2020 campaign website, "Growing Opportunity in Rural Iowa," accessed May 22, 2020; LinkedIn, "Theresa Greenfield," accessed May 21, 2020
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Iowa in 2020.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Biography: Mauro received a bachelor's degree in education from Simpson College and a certificate of theology from Creighton University. He was a founding member of A Mid-Iowa Organizing Strategy (AMOS), a social justice advocacy group. Mauro worked as a teacher and baseball coach in the Des Moines area before founding Universal Insurance Group in 2000.
Key Messages
The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.
Mauro mentioned his business experience and criticized Theresa Greenfield's (D). He said he "built a progressive business that provides paid family leave, where 65% of leadership are women" and that "during the Great Recession, I took a pay cut [and] didn't lay off any employees." He said Greenfield laid-off employees during the same time period.
Mauro described himself as having progressive values. He said he supported "healthcare-for-all and a woman's right to choose." Mauro also said he opposed privatized social security and refused corporate PAC donations.
Mauro said he would "treat the climate crisis like the national security threat that it is," and that he supported the Green New Deal.
Show sources
Sources: YouTube, "Commitment 2020 Senate Forum Pt. 1," May 19, 2020, YouTube, "Theresa Greenfield is 'Not a Leader,'" May 19, 2020; The Des Moines Register, "Eddie Mauro, Democratic candidate for the 3rd District, influenced by a Catholic nun," May 28, 2018, LinkedIn, "Eddie Mauro," accessed May 21, 2020
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Iowa in 2020.
Endorsements
This section lists endorsements issued in this election. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please email us.
Michael Franken[5]
- For a full list of endorsements maintained by Franken's campaign, click here.
- Former U.S. Secretary of Defense Chuck Hagel (R)[6]
- U.S. Rep. Elaine Luria (D-Va.)
- U.S. Rep. Seth Moulton (D-Mass.)
- U.S. Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D-Mich.)
- State Rep. Mary Gaskill (D-93)
- State Rep. Chuck Isenhart (D-100)[13]
- State Rep. Andy McKean (D-58)
- State Sen. Rich Taylor (D-42)[14]
- State Rep. Ross Wilburn (D-46)[15]
- Former primary candidate Cal Woods (D)
- The Des Moines Register
- The Storm Lake Times[16]
- Serve America[17]
Kimberly Graham[8]
- For a full list of endorsements maintained by Graham's campaign, click here.
- State Rep. Liz Bennett (D-65)
- State Rep. Jeff Kurtz (D-83)
- Brand New Congress
- National Organization for Women
- Our Revolution Story County
- For a full list of endorsements maintained by Greenfield's campaign, click here.
- Fort Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D)
- U.S. Rep. Abby Finkenauer (D-Iowa)
- U.S. Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.)
- U.S. Rep. Dave Loebsack (D-Iowa)
- U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.)
- 22 state legislators
- Former U.S. Rep. Gabby Giffords (D-Ariz.)
- Former Iowa Lieutenant Governor Sally Pederson (D)
- American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees (AFSCME) Council 61
- BOLD Pac
- Democracy for America[18]
- Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC)
- EMILY's List
- End Citizens United
- Iowa International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers (IBEW)
- Iowa Federation of Labor, AFL-CIO
- League of Conservation Voters
- NARAL
- United Food and Commercial Workers Union (UFCW) Local 431
Eddie Mauro[10]
- For a full list of endorsements maintained by Mauro's campaign, click here.
- State Rep. Ruth Ann Gaines (D-32)
- State Rep. Ako Abdul-Samad (D-35)
- State Rep. Ras Smith (D-62)
- State Rep. Charlie McConkey (D-15)
Timeline
2020
- May 2020 (click to expand)
May
- May 28, 2020:
- Former U.S. Secretary of Defense Chuck Hagel (R) endorsed Franken.[6]
- In the form of ads and mailers, Women Vote! spent $19,615 opposing Franken, $44,982.23 opposing Mauro, and $59,946.69 supporting Greenfield.[20] Click here to see satellite spending totals.
- The group also released an ad opposing Mauro.[21]
- May 26, 2020: Greenfield released an ad titled, "Really."[22]
- May 23, 2020: State Rep. Chuck Isenhart (D-100) endorsed Franken.[13]
- May 22, 2020:
- Women Vote!, a branch of EMILY's List, released an ad opposing Franken.[23]
- The Storm Lake Times endorsed Franken.[16]
- May 20, 2020: Senate Majority PAC, a branch of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, released an ad supporting Greenfield.[24]
- May 28, 2020:
Campaign advertisements
This section shows advertisements released in this race. Ads released by campaigns and, if applicable, satellite groups are embedded or linked below. If you are aware of advertisements that should be included, please email us.
Michael Franken
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Kimberly Graham
A sample ad from the candidate's Facebook page is embedded below.[19] Click here to see the candidate's Facebook Video page.
Theresa Greenfield
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Eddie Mauro
Supporting Mauro
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Opposing Greenfield
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Satellite group ads
- See also: Satellite spending
Click "show" to the right to see satellite group ads. | ||||||||||||
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Future ProgressSupporting Mauro Senate Majority PACSupporting Greenfield
Women Vote!Opposing Franken
Opposing Mauro
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Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
U.S. Senate election in Iowa, 2020: Democratic primary election polls | |||||||||
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Poll | Date | Franken | Graham | Greenfield | Mauro | Other | Margin of error | Sample size | Sponsor |
Public Policy Polling | May 5-6 | 12% | 4% | 43% | 4% | 36% | 3.4%[32] | 849 | Gerald Huff for Humanity Fund |
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[33] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[34] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Michael Franken | Democratic Party | $982,352 | $982,352 | $0 | As of September 8, 2020 |
Kimberly Graham | Democratic Party | $294,725 | $296,302 | $0 | As of December 31, 2020 |
Theresa Greenfield | Democratic Party | $56,358,302 | $56,328,076 | $30,236 | As of December 31, 2020 |
Eddie Mauro | Democratic Party | $5,067,233 | $5,063,938 | $3,295 | As of December 31, 2020 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Satellite spending
- See also: Satellite spending
Satellite spending, commonly referred to as outside spending, describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[35][36][37]
This section lists satellite spending in this race reported by news outlets in alphabetical order. If you are aware of spending that should be included, please email us.
The following information was gathered from FEC reports and was accurate as of May 30, 2020:
- Future Progress spent $82,000 on a digital ad supporting Mauro.[20]
- Senate Majority PAC, the action arm of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, spent $6,862,848 on campaign ads supporting Greenfield.[20]
- Women Vote!, a branch of EMILY's List, spent $1,165,440.11 supporting and opposing various candidates:[20]
- $919,202 opposing Franken in the form of a television ad.
- $186,291.42 opposing Mauro with ads and mailers.
- $59,946.69 supporting Greenfield with mailers.
Debates and forums
May 18 debate
On May 18, 2020, Franken, Graham, Greenfield, and Mauro participated in a debate broadcasted live on Iowa PBS.[9]
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Click the links below for summaries of the debate from:
May 16 candidate forum
On May 16, Franken, Graham, Greenfield, and Mauro participated in a candidate forum hosted by KCCI over the Zoom meeting application.[38]
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April 26 candidate forum
On April 26, Franken, Graham, Greenfield, Mauro, and Woods participated in a candidate forum regarding rural issues hosted by the Southwest Iowa Democrats over the Zoom meeting application.[39]
Click the links below for a summary of the debate from:
April 19 candidate forum
On April 19, Franken, Graham, Greenfield, Mauro, and Woods participated in a candidate forum hosted by the Johnson County Democrats over the Zoom meeting application.[40]
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Click the links below for a summary of the forum from:
Primaries in Iowa
A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. In Iowa, a voter must be affiliated with a party in order to participate in its primary. However, a voter can change his or her political party affiliation on Election Day, creating what is effectively an open primary.[41]
For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.
What's at stake in the general election?
U.S. Senate elections were held on November 3, 2020, and coincide with the 2020 presidential election. Thirty-three of the Senate's 100 seats were up for regular election in November. There were also two special elections in 2020. The results determined control of the U.S. Senate in the 117th Congress.
At the time of the election, the Republican Party had a 53-seat Senate majority, while Democrats had 45 seats. There were also two independents who caucus with the Democratic Party. Republicans faced greater partisan risk than Democrats in 2020 because they were defending 23 seats compared to 12 for the Democrats. Both parties had two incumbents representing states the opposite party's presidential nominee won in 2016.
In 2018, Democrats and Democratic-caucusing independents defended 26 of the 35 seats up for election, while Republicans defended the other nine. Republicans won 11 seats to the Democrats' 24, for a GOP net gain of two.
In the 24 previous Senate elections that coincided with a presidential election, the president's party had gained Senate seats in 16 elections and lost seats in nine. In years where the president's party gained seats, the average gain was three seats. In years where the president's party lost seats, the average loss was five seats. Click here for more information on presidential partisanship and down-ballot outcomes.
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[42]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[43][44][45]
Race ratings: U.S. Senate election in Iowa, 2020 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 3, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | October 20, 2020 | October 13, 2020 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Republican | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Toss-up | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season. |
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
Thirty-one of 99 Iowa counties—31 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
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County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
Allamakee County, Iowa | 24.15% | 4.17% | 14.25% | ||||
Boone County, Iowa | 13.69% | 6.64% | 7.63% | ||||
Bremer County, Iowa | 13.68% | 2.68% | 9.31% | ||||
Buchanan County, Iowa | 15.02% | 13.87% | 18.48% | ||||
Cedar County, Iowa | 17.78% | 4.59% | 9.64% | ||||
Cerro Gordo County, Iowa | 7.66% | 13.38% | 20.83% | ||||
Chickasaw County, Iowa | 22.94% | 11.07% | 20.74% | ||||
Clarke County, Iowa | 28.02% | 1.47% | 2.25% | ||||
Clayton County, Iowa | 22.78% | 7.03% | 17.17% | ||||
Clinton County, Iowa | 5.12% | 22.84% | 23.03% | ||||
Des Moines County, Iowa | 6.89% | 18.41% | 23.04% | ||||
Dubuque County, Iowa | 1.23% | 14.71% | 20.77% | ||||
Fayette County, Iowa | 19.36% | 11.96% | 16.60% | ||||
Floyd County, Iowa | 14.84% | 14.63% | 21.88% | ||||
Howard County, Iowa | 20.49% | 20.95% | 25.78% | ||||
Jackson County, Iowa | 19.27% | 16.89% | 24.39% | ||||
Jasper County, Iowa | 18.13% | 7.07% | 7.50% | ||||
Jefferson County, Iowa | 0.47% | 15.97% | 20.23% | ||||
Jones County, Iowa | 19.08% | 7.78% | 10.40% | ||||
Lee County, Iowa | 16.02% | 15.49% | 16.01% | ||||
Louisa County, Iowa | 28.37% | 0.64% | 4.25% | ||||
Marshall County, Iowa | 8.31% | 9.36% | 9.35% | ||||
Mitchell County, Iowa | 24.04% | 3.37% | 12.31% | ||||
Muscatine County, Iowa | 6.26% | 15.88% | 15.64% | ||||
Poweshiek County, Iowa | 6.53% | 9.35% | 11.75% | ||||
Tama County, Iowa | 20.28% | 7.43% | 12.19% | ||||
Union County, Iowa | 27.49% | 3.86% | 3.70% | ||||
Wapello County, Iowa | 20.60% | 11.88% | 13.53% | ||||
Webster County, Iowa | 21.52% | 5.84% | 8.51% | ||||
Winneshiek County, Iowa | 0.79% | 14.74% | 22.65% | ||||
Worth County, Iowa | 21.68% | 14.53% | 22.42% |
In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Iowa with 51.1 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 41.7 percent. In presidential elections between 1848 and 2016, Iowa voted Republican 69.76 percent of the time and Democratic 30.23 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Iowa voted Democratic three times and Republican the other two times.[46]
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Iowa. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[47][48]
In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 61 out of 100 state House districts in Iowa with an average margin of victory of 19.1 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 35 out of 100 state House districts in Iowa with an average margin of victory of 18.8 points. Clinton won four districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 39 out of 100 state House districts in Iowa with an average margin of victory of 13.3 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 65 out of 100 state House districts in Iowa with an average margin of victory of 24.5 points. Trump won 10 districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
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District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
1 | 30.96% | 67.78% | R+36.8 | 22.23% | 73.81% | R+51.6 | R |
2 | 41.86% | 56.83% | R+15 | 27.53% | 67.70% | R+40.2 | R |
3 | 31.57% | 67.31% | R+35.7 | 20.73% | 74.78% | R+54.1 | R |
4 | 15.63% | 83.55% | R+67.9 | 12.95% | 81.67% | R+68.7 | R |
5 | 33.00% | 65.90% | R+32.9 | 22.28% | 73.69% | R+51.4 | R |
6 | 44.39% | 54.40% | R+10 | 32.54% | 62.36% | R+29.8 | R |
7 | 46.87% | 51.82% | R+5 | 31.96% | 62.86% | R+30.9 | R |
8 | 43.04% | 55.84% | R+12.8 | 28.52% | 67.11% | R+38.6 | R |
9 | 54.26% | 44.65% | D+9.6 | 39.33% | 55.29% | R+16 | D |
10 | 40.15% | 58.39% | R+18.2 | 25.64% | 69.78% | R+44.1 | R |
11 | 42.76% | 56.17% | R+13.4 | 30.87% | 64.40% | R+33.5 | R |
12 | 46.14% | 52.95% | R+6.8 | 30.92% | 64.32% | R+33.4 | R |
13 | 54.28% | 44.37% | D+9.9 | 42.30% | 52.03% | R+9.7 | D |
14 | 59.33% | 39.34% | D+20 | 47.69% | 47.27% | D+0.4 | D |
15 | 57.12% | 41.17% | D+16 | 41.89% | 51.48% | R+9.6 | D |
16 | 52.01% | 46.46% | D+5.5 | 41.84% | 51.76% | R+9.9 | R |
17 | 41.10% | 57.71% | R+16.6 | 25.76% | 70.01% | R+44.3 | R |
18 | 41.98% | 56.88% | R+14.9 | 28.11% | 67.52% | R+39.4 | R |
19 | 40.80% | 57.87% | R+17.1 | 36.54% | 56.73% | R+20.2 | R |
20 | 48.77% | 49.62% | R+0.9 | 35.39% | 59.04% | R+23.6 | R |
21 | 45.01% | 53.64% | R+8.6 | 29.35% | 65.17% | R+35.8 | R |
22 | 36.78% | 62.08% | R+25.3 | 29.64% | 65.50% | R+35.9 | R |
23 | 40.72% | 57.80% | R+17.1 | 27.37% | 66.81% | R+39.4 | R |
24 | 39.86% | 58.79% | R+18.9 | 25.77% | 69.86% | R+44.1 | R |
25 | 44.34% | 54.14% | R+9.8 | 34.15% | 59.72% | R+25.6 | R |
26 | 50.18% | 48.59% | D+1.6 | 39.62% | 53.52% | R+13.9 | D |
27 | 47.15% | 51.07% | R+3.9 | 30.50% | 64.42% | R+33.9 | R |
28 | 47.30% | 51.30% | R+4 | 31.76% | 62.81% | R+31.1 | R |
29 | 56.05% | 42.50% | D+13.6 | 40.78% | 53.23% | R+12.5 | D |
30 | 47.66% | 50.85% | R+3.2 | 38.47% | 54.84% | R+16.4 | R |
31 | 61.55% | 36.86% | D+24.7 | 49.75% | 43.99% | D+5.8 | D |
32 | 72.88% | 25.37% | D+47.5 | 63.69% | 30.28% | D+33.4 | D |
33 | 67.30% | 31.37% | D+35.9 | 59.50% | 34.55% | D+25 | D |
34 | 68.16% | 30.10% | D+38.1 | 60.44% | 33.19% | D+27.2 | D |
35 | 77.01% | 21.48% | D+55.5 | 70.40% | 23.46% | D+46.9 | D |
36 | 65.21% | 33.12% | D+32.1 | 63.13% | 29.46% | D+33.7 | D |
37 | 43.30% | 55.35% | R+12 | 42.10% | 50.50% | R+8.4 | R |
38 | 49.33% | 49.21% | D+0.1 | 42.85% | 49.84% | R+7 | R |
39 | 43.02% | 55.76% | R+12.7 | 43.93% | 48.99% | R+5.1 | R |
40 | 49.31% | 49.53% | R+0.2 | 50.25% | 43.32% | D+6.9 | D |
41 | 67.93% | 30.50% | D+37.4 | 69.25% | 24.10% | D+45.2 | D |
42 | 49.85% | 48.83% | D+1 | 51.15% | 42.19% | D+9 | R |
43 | 50.58% | 48.29% | D+2.3 | 52.50% | 41.03% | D+11.5 | R |
44 | 42.52% | 56.60% | R+14.1 | 44.97% | 47.76% | R+2.8 | R |
45 | 60.66% | 36.80% | D+23.9 | 57.79% | 31.85% | D+25.9 | D |
46 | 59.66% | 37.96% | D+21.7 | 57.22% | 33.12% | D+24.1 | D |
47 | 52.11% | 46.29% | D+5.8 | 38.31% | 54.96% | R+16.6 | R |
48 | 47.95% | 50.46% | R+2.5 | 36.50% | 56.98% | R+20.5 | R |
49 | 46.50% | 51.88% | R+5.4 | 36.62% | 55.49% | R+18.9 | R |
50 | 42.94% | 55.95% | R+13 | 30.36% | 64.36% | R+34 | R |
51 | 55.19% | 43.48% | D+11.7 | 35.67% | 58.91% | R+23.2 | R |
52 | 56.04% | 42.88% | D+13.2 | 37.76% | 56.73% | R+19 | D |
53 | 60.98% | 37.92% | D+23.1 | 47.69% | 46.65% | D+1 | D |
54 | 44.96% | 53.94% | R+9 | 32.11% | 62.71% | R+30.6 | R |
55 | 55.19% | 43.44% | D+11.8 | 43.51% | 50.62% | R+7.1 | R |
56 | 52.01% | 46.73% | D+5.3 | 34.91% | 59.80% | R+24.9 | R |
57 | 49.00% | 49.98% | R+1 | 37.25% | 57.49% | R+20.2 | R |
58 | 55.60% | 43.22% | D+12.4 | 37.06% | 57.82% | R+20.8 | R |
59 | 56.29% | 42.22% | D+14.1 | 51.94% | 40.87% | D+11.1 | D |
60 | 50.15% | 48.91% | D+1.2 | 45.19% | 48.75% | R+3.6 | R |
61 | 63.73% | 35.14% | D+28.6 | 52.34% | 42.07% | D+10.3 | D |
62 | 76.37% | 22.58% | D+53.8 | 62.14% | 32.64% | D+29.5 | D |
63 | 49.95% | 48.93% | D+1 | 39.04% | 55.06% | R+16 | R |
64 | 57.83% | 41.00% | D+16.8 | 40.27% | 53.42% | R+13.1 | D |
65 | 66.77% | 31.71% | D+35.1 | 61.58% | 31.29% | D+30.3 | D |
66 | 57.43% | 41.04% | D+16.4 | 53.11% | 39.91% | D+13.2 | D |
67 | 49.18% | 49.50% | R+0.3 | 47.22% | 45.74% | D+1.5 | R |
68 | 54.45% | 44.08% | D+10.4 | 48.20% | 44.50% | D+3.7 | R |
69 | 65.87% | 32.63% | D+33.2 | 52.73% | 40.24% | D+12.5 | D |
70 | 63.00% | 35.67% | D+27.3 | 53.85% | 39.20% | D+14.7 | D |
71 | 56.62% | 42.23% | D+14.4 | 48.02% | 46.57% | D+1.5 | D |
72 | 50.86% | 47.88% | D+3 | 34.92% | 59.56% | R+24.6 | R |
73 | 54.19% | 44.65% | D+9.5 | 43.25% | 51.15% | R+7.9 | R |
74 | 67.17% | 31.21% | D+36 | 69.14% | 24.89% | D+44.3 | D |
75 | 49.36% | 49.39% | R+0 | 34.09% | 60.12% | R+26 | R |
76 | 50.61% | 47.97% | D+2.6 | 40.64% | 53.90% | R+13.3 | R |
77 | 58.46% | 40.34% | D+18.1 | 53.49% | 39.62% | D+13.9 | D |
78 | 46.21% | 51.69% | R+5.5 | 34.06% | 60.08% | R+26 | R |
79 | 35.86% | 62.79% | R+26.9 | 25.96% | 67.84% | R+41.9 | R |
80 | 45.03% | 53.56% | R+8.5 | 27.04% | 68.71% | R+41.7 | R |
81 | 56.57% | 41.86% | D+14.7 | 39.52% | 55.89% | R+16.4 | D |
82 | 49.74% | 47.90% | D+1.8 | 36.54% | 57.76% | R+21.2 | D |
83 | 58.67% | 39.72% | D+19 | 40.42% | 53.35% | R+12.9 | D |
84 | 46.37% | 52.04% | R+5.7 | 30.59% | 63.23% | R+32.6 | R |
85 | 71.79% | 26.07% | D+45.7 | 74.26% | 19.90% | D+54.4 | D |
86 | 72.99% | 24.97% | D+48 | 72.34% | 21.06% | D+51.3 | D |
87 | 62.60% | 36.08% | D+26.5 | 48.53% | 45.49% | D+3 | D |
88 | 50.88% | 47.86% | D+3 | 35.94% | 58.76% | R+22.8 | R |
89 | 63.19% | 35.77% | D+27.4 | 52.47% | 40.86% | D+11.6 | D |
90 | 73.49% | 24.97% | D+48.5 | 57.98% | 34.93% | D+23.1 | D |
91 | 57.61% | 40.97% | D+16.6 | 43.65% | 49.75% | R+6.1 | R |
92 | 53.94% | 45.00% | D+8.9 | 42.25% | 51.61% | R+9.4 | R |
93 | 56.63% | 42.22% | D+14.4 | 50.96% | 42.21% | D+8.7 | D |
94 | 45.18% | 53.87% | R+8.7 | 43.91% | 50.10% | R+6.2 | R |
95 | 52.01% | 46.69% | D+5.3 | 41.86% | 51.59% | R+9.7 | R |
96 | 51.83% | 47.01% | D+4.8 | 35.42% | 58.91% | R+23.5 | R |
97 | 50.63% | 47.95% | D+2.7 | 37.14% | 56.46% | R+19.3 | R |
98 | 65.29% | 33.50% | D+31.8 | 48.47% | 45.38% | D+3.1 | D |
99 | 59.37% | 39.28% | D+20.1 | 52.61% | 41.12% | D+11.5 | D |
100 | 62.95% | 35.58% | D+27.4 | 51.37% | 42.25% | D+9.1 | D |
Total | 52.23% | 46.40% | D+5.8 | 42.23% | 51.72% | R+9.5 | - |
Source: Daily Kos |
Election history
2016
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | 60.1% | 926,007 | ||
Democratic | Patty Judge | 35.7% | 549,460 | |
Libertarian | Charles Aldrich | 2.7% | 41,794 | |
New Independent Party Iowa | Jim Hennager | 1.1% | 17,649 | |
Independent | Michael Luick-Thrams | 0.3% | 4,441 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0.1% | 1,685 | |
Total Votes | 1,541,036 | |||
Source: Iowa Secretary of State |
2014
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | 52.1% | 588,575 | ||
Democratic | Bruce Braley | 43.8% | 494,370 | |
Independent | Rick Stewart | 2.4% | 26,815 | |
Libertarian | Douglas Butzier | 0.7% | 8,232 | |
Independent | Ruth Smith | 0.5% | 5,873 | |
Independent | Bob Quast | 0.4% | 4,724 | |
Write-in | Other | 0.1% | 1,111 | |
Total Votes | 1,129,700 | |||
Source: Iowa Secretary of State Official Results |
2010
See also
- United States Senate election in Iowa, 2020 (June 2 Republican primary)
- United States Senate election in Iowa, 2020
- United States Senate Democratic Party primaries, 2020
- United States Senate Republican Party primaries, 2020
- United States Senate elections, 2020
- U.S. Senate battlegrounds, 2020
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Wall Street Journal, "Iowa Is Back in Limelight With Closely Watched Political Primaries," May 30, 2020
- ↑ 2.0 2.1 Greenfield's 2020 campaign website, "Endorsements," accessed May 21, 2020
- ↑ 3.0 3.1 3.2 YouTube, "Support," May 20, 2020
- ↑ Franken's 2020 campaign website, "Home," accessed May 22, 2020
- ↑ 5.0 5.1 Franken's 2020 campaign website, "Endorsements," accessed May 21, 2020
- ↑ 6.0 6.1 6.2 Omaha World-Herald, "The Public Pulse: Davis essay rang true; Hagel supports Franken; Trump is the real threat," May 28, 2020
- ↑ Graham's 2020 campaign website, "Meet Kim," accessed May 22, 2020
- ↑ 8.0 8.1 Graham's 2020 campaign website, "Endorsements," accessed May 21, 2020
- ↑ 9.0 9.1 YouTube, "Iowa Press Debates: U.S. Senate Democratic Primary," May 18, 2020
- ↑ 10.0 10.1 Mauro's 2020 campaign website, "Endorsements," accessed May 21, 2020
- ↑ Radio Iowa, "Cal Woods ends U.S. Senate campaign, endorses Franken," May 4, 2020
- ↑ Candidate Connection surveys completed before September 26, 2019, were not used to generate candidate profiles. In battleground primaries, Ballotpedia based its selection of noteworthy candidates on polling, fundraising, and noteworthy endorsements. In battleground general elections, all major party candidates and any other candidates with the potential to impact the outcome of the race were included.
- ↑ 13.0 13.1 Facebook, "Chuck Isenhart," May 23, 2020
- ↑ Facebook, "Mike Franken," May 28, 2020
- ↑ Facebook, "Mike Franken," May 28, 2020
- ↑ 16.0 16.1 The Storm Lake Times, "Franken for Senate," May 22, 2020
- ↑ Email communication with Serve America PAC dated June 25, 2020.
- ↑ The Hill, "Progressive group backs Senate candidates in Georgia, Iowa," February 12, 2020
- ↑ 19.0 19.1 Facebook, "Outside Spending," June 1, 2020
- ↑ 20.0 20.1 20.2 20.3 Federal Election Commission, "Independent expenditures," accessed May 30, 2020
- ↑ 21.0 21.1 YouTube, "Critical," May 28, 2020
- ↑ 22.0 22.1 YouTube, "Really," May 26, 2020
- ↑ 23.0 23.1 YouTube, "Ask," May 22, 2020
- ↑ 24.0 24.1 YouTube, "Stuggled," May 20, 2020
- ↑ YouTube, "Ready," May 11, 2020
- ↑ YouTube, "Knock," May 18, 2020
- ↑ YouTube, "Tomorrow," May 19, 2020
- ↑ YouTube, "Breaking Free," May 5, 2020
- ↑ YouTube, "Cool Under Fire," December 5, 2019
- ↑ YouTube, "Theresa Greenfield is 'Not a Leader,'" May 19, 2020
- ↑ YouTube, "Choose Wisely," May 5, 2020
- ↑ Doug Kronaizl, "Email correspondence with Tom Jensen," May 21, 2020
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed September 22, 2015
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed September 22, 2015
- ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," November 6, 2015
- ↑ YouTube, "Commitment 2020 Senate Forum Pt. 1," May 19, 2020
- ↑ Facebook, "Iowa US Senate Democrat Candidates Rural Forum," April 26, 2020
- ↑ YouTube, "Potluck Insurgency Forum April 19, 2020," April 20, 2020
- ↑ Iowa Secretary of State Website, "Voter Registration FAQ," accessed August 9, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ 270towin.com, "Iowa," accessed June 1, 2017
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
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