Presidential election in Missouri, 2016
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| General election in Missouri |
| Date: November 8, 2016 2016 winner: Donald Trump Electoral votes: 10 2012 winner: Mitt Romney (R) |
| Democratic Primary |
| Date: March 15, 2016 Winner: Hillary Clinton |
| Republican Primary |
| Date: March 15, 2016 Winner: Donald Trump |
| Down ballot races in Missouri |
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Missouri held an election for the president of the United States on November 8, 2016. The Democratic and Republican parties held primary elections for president on March 15, 2016.
General election candidates and results
Candidates
The candidate list below is based on an email exchange between Ballotpedia and a representative from the Missouri secretary of state's office on September 20, 2016. The candidate names below appear in the order in which they were provided to Ballotpedia—not necessarily the order in which they appeared on the ballot in November.
Presidential candidates on the ballot in Missouri
- ☐ Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (Democratic)
- ☑ Donald Trump/Mike Pence (Republican)
- ☐ Gary Johnson/Bill Weld (Libertarian)
- ☐ Darrell Lane Castle/Scott Bradley (Constitution)
- ☐ Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka (Green)
Results
| U.S. presidential election, Missouri, 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | Electoral votes | |
| Democratic | Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine | 38.1% | 1,071,068 | 0 | |
| Republican |  Donald Trump/Mike Pence |
56.8% | 1,594,511 | 10 | |
| Libertarian | Gary Johnson/Bill Weld | 3.5% | 97,359 | 0 | |
| Green | Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka | 0.9% | 25,419 | 0 | |
| Constitution | Darrell Castle/Scott Bradley | 0.5% | 13,092 | 0 | |
| - | Write-in votes | 0.3% | 7,156 | 0 | |
| Total Votes | 2,808,605 | 10 | |||
| Election results via: Missouri Secretary of State | |||||
Historical election trends
- See also: Presidential election accuracy
Below is an analysis of Missouri's voting record in presidential elections. The state's accuracy is based on the number of times a state has voted for a winning presidential candidate. The majority of statistical data is from the U.S. National Archives and Records Administration and was compiled, here, by Ballotpedia, unless otherwise noted.
Presidential election voting record in Missouri, 1900-2016
Between 1900 and 2016:
- Missouri participated in 30 presidential elections.
- Missouri voted for the winning presidential candidate 86.67 percent of the time. The average accuracy of voting for winning presidential candidates for all 50 states in this time frame was 72.31 percent.[1]
- Missouri voted Democratic 46.67 percent of the time and Republican 53.33 percent of the time.
Most accurate states
- See also: Presidential election accuracy data
Below is the list of the most accurate states when it comes to voting for the winning presidential candidate.
| Most accurate states, 1900-2016 | |
|---|---|
| State | Percentage of accuracy |
| Ohio | 93.33% (28 out of 30 elections) |
| New Mexico | 88.89% (24 out of 27 elections) |
| Nevada | 86.67% (26 out of 30 elections) |
| Missouri | 86.67% (26 out of 30 elections) |
| Illinois | 83.33% (25 out of 30 elections) |
Presidential election voting record in Missouri, 2000-2016
- Accuracy: 60 percent[2]
- 2000 state winner: George W. Bush (R)*
- 2004 state winner: George W. Bush (R)*
- 2008 state winner: John McCain (R)
- 2012 state winner: Mitt Romney (R)
- 2016 state winner: Donald Trump (R)*
*An asterisk indicates that that candidate also won the national electoral vote in that election.
Election results
2012
| U.S. presidential election, Missouri, 2012 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | Electoral votes | |
| Democratic | Barack Obama/Joe Biden Incumbent | 44.4% | 1,223,796 | 0 | |
| Republican | Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan |
53.8% | 1,482,440 | 10 | |
| Libertarian | Gary Johnson/James Gray | 1.6% | 43,151 | 0 | |
| Constitution | Virgil Goode/Jim Clymer | 0.3% | 7,936 | 0 | |
| Total Votes | 2,757,323 | 10 | |||
| Election results via: Missouri Secretary of State | |||||
2008
| U.S. presidential election, Missouri, 2008 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | Electoral votes | |
| Democratic | Barack Obama/Joe Biden | 49.3% | 1,441,911 | 0 | |
| Republican | John McCain/Sarah Palin |
49.4% | 1,445,814 | 11 | |
| Independent | Ralph Nader/Matt Gonzalez | 0.6% | 17,813 | 0 | |
| Libertarian | Bob Barr/Wayne Allyn Root | 0.4% | 11,386 | 0 | |
| Constitution | Chuck Baldwin/Darrell Castle | 0.3% | 8,201 | 0 | |
| Write-in | Cynthia McKinney/Rosa Clemente (write-in) | 0% | 80 | 0 | |
| Total Votes | 2,925,205 | 11 | |||
| Election results via: Missouri Secretary of State | |||||
Electoral votes
- See also: Electoral College
The president of the United States is not elected by popular vote but rather by electors in the Electoral College. In fact, when Americans vote for president, they are actually voting for a slate of electors selected by members of Democratic and Republican state parties or nominated in some other fashion. Under this system, which is laid out in Article 2, Section 1, of the Constitution, each state is allocated one electoral vote for every member of their congressional delegation, meaning one for each member of the U.S. House and one for each of their two Senators.
Missouri electors
In 2016, Missouri had 10 electoral votes. Missouri's share of electoral votes represented 1.8 percent of the 538 electoral votes up for grabs in the general election and 3.7 percent of the 270 votes needed to be elected president.
"Faithless electors"
The U.S. Constitution does not dictate how presidential electors are to cast their votes, but, in general, electors are expected to vote for the winner of the popular vote in their state or the candidates of the party that nominated them to serve as electors. Electors who choose not to vote for the winner of the popular vote or the candidates of the party that nominated them are known as "faithless electors." Faithless electors are rare. Between 1900 and 2012, there were only eight known instances of faithless electors.
Several states have passed laws against faithless electors and require electors to vote for the winner of the popular vote in their state, for the candidate of the party that nominated them to serve as electors, or in accordance with any pledge they may have been required to make at the time of their nomination. In states with these types of laws, faithless electors can be fined or replaced, or their votes can be nullified.[3][4]
Missouri was one of 20 states in 2016 without a law seeking to bind the votes of presidential electors.
Down ballot races
- See also: Missouri elections, 2016
Below is a list of down ballot races in Missouri covered by Ballotpedia in 2016.
- U.S. Senate - Incumbent: Roy Blunt (R)
- U.S. House
- Governor
- State executives
- Missouri State Senate
- Missouri House of Representatives
- Missouri judicial elections
- Missouri local judicial elections
- Ballot measures
- School boards
Primary election
Quick facts
Democrats:
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Republicans
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Democrats
Hillary Clinton won the Missouri Democratic primary election, defeating Bernie Sanders 49.6 to 49.4 percent. With less than 2,000 votes separating Clinton and Sanders, the race remained uncalled until March 18, 2016.[5] Clinton received only more of Missouri's pledged delegates than Sanders, 36 to 35. Clinton carried Missouri's two most populous cities: St. Louis and Kansas City. In St. Louis, she beat Sanders by 11 points. According to exit polls, she won non-white voters 61 to 38 percent over Sanders. Non-white voters made up 28 percent of the Democratic electorate in Missouri on March 15, 2016.[6]
Republicans
Donald Trump won the Missouri Republican primary election, narrowly defeating Ted Cruz 40.9 to 40.7. The race remained uncalled until April 12, 2016, when Missouri Secretary of State Jason Kander tweeted that the results had been certified and Trump was winner.[7] Less than 2,000 votes separated Trump from Cruz. Fifty-two delegates were at stake in Missouri. According to the Missouri state GOP, 37 delegates were awarded to Trump, while 15 were awarded to Cruz.[8] The allocation rules for Republican delegates from Missouri can be read about below.
March 15 primaries
Missouri was one of five states that held presidential primary elections on March 15, 2016.
2016 primary results
Democrats
| Missouri Democratic Primary, 2016 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes | Delegates | |
|
Hillary Clinton |
49.6% | 312,285 | 36 | |
| Bernie Sanders | 49.4% | 310,711 | 35 | |
| Henry Hewes | 0.1% | 650 | 0 | |
| Roque De La Fuente | 0.1% | 345 | 0 | |
| Keith Judd | 0% | 288 | 0 | |
| Willie Wilson | 0% | 307 | 0 | |
| Martin O'Malley | 0.1% | 442 | 0 | |
| John Wolfe | 0% | 247 | 0 | |
| Jon Adams | 0.1% | 433 | 0 | |
| Other | 0.6% | 3,717 | 0 | |
| Totals | 629,425 | 71 | ||
| Source: The New York Times and Missouri Secretary of State | ||||
Republicans
| Missouri Republican Primary, 2016 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes | Delegates | |
| Chris Christie | 0.2% | 1,681 | 0 | |
| Jeb Bush | 0.4% | 3,361 | 0 | |
| Ben Carson | 0.9% | 8,233 | 0 | |
| Donald Trump |
40.8% | 383,631 | 37 | |
| Marco Rubio | 6.1% | 57,244 | 0 | |
| Ted Cruz | 40.6% | 381,666 | 15 | |
| Rick Santorum | 0.1% | 732 | 0 | |
| Carly Fiorina | 0.1% | 615 | 0 | |
| John Kasich | 10.1% | 94,857 | 0 | |
| Rand Paul | 0.2% | 1,777 | 0 | |
| Jim Lynch | 0% | 100 | 0 | |
| Mike Huckabee | 0.2% | 2,148 | 0 | |
| Other | 0.3% | 3,225 | 0 | |
| Totals | 939,270 | 52 | ||
| Source: The New York Times and Missouri Secretary of State | ||||
Primary candidates
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Polls
Democratic primary
| Poll | Hillary Clinton | Bernie Sanders | Unsure or Other | Margin of Error | Sample Size | ||||||||||||||
| Public Policy Polling March 11-12, 2016 | 46% | 47% | 10% | +/-3.4 | 839 | ||||||||||||||
| Fort Hays State University March 3-10, 2016 | 47% | 40% | 100% | +/-8 | 145 | ||||||||||||||
| Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. | |||||||||||||||||||
Republican primary
| Poll | Donald Trump | Ted Cruz | Marco Rubio | John Kasich | Ben Carson | Unsure or Other | Margin of Error | Sample Size | |||||||||||
| Fort Hays State University March 3-10, 2016 | 36% | 29% | 9% | 8% | 1% | 17% | +/-7 | 208 | |||||||||||
| Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. | |||||||||||||||||||
Delegates
Delegate selection
Democratic Party
Missouri had 84 delegates at the 2016 Democratic National Convention. Of this total, 71 were pledged delegates. National party rules stipulated how Democratic delegates in all states were allocated. Pledged delegates were allocated to a candidate in proportion to the votes he or she received in a state's primary or caucus. A candidate was eligible to receive a share of the state's pledged delegates if he or she won at least 15 percent of the votes cast in the primary or caucus. There were three types of pledged Democratic delegates: congressional district delegates, at-large delegates, and party leaders and elected officials (PLEOs). Congressional district delegates were allocated proportionally based on the primary or caucus results in a given district. At-large and PLEO delegates were allocated proportionally based on statewide primary results.[10][11]
Thirteen party leaders and elected officials served as unpledged delegates. These delegates were not required to adhere to the results of a state's primary or caucus.[10][12]
Missouri superdelegates
- Brian Wahby
- Claire McCaskill
- Emanuel Cleaver
- Jay Nixon
- Darlene Green
- Dick Gephardt
- Doug Brooks
- Melba J. Curls
- Sandra A. Querry
- Sly James
- Matthew Robinson (Missouri)
- Roy Temple
- William Lacy Clay
Republican Party
Missouri had 52 delegates at the 2016 Republican National Convention. Of this total, 24 were district-level delegates (three for each of the state's eight congressional districts). Of the remaining 28 delegates, 25 served at large. The state's district-level and at-large delegates were both allocated on a proportional basis. The plurality winner in each congressional district received all three of the district's delegates, as well as two at-large delegates. The remaining nine at-large delegates were allocated to the plurality winner of the statewide primary vote. If a candidate won more than 50 percent of the statewide vote, he or she received all of the state's district-level and at-large delegates.[13][14] In addition, three national party leaders (identified on the chart below as RNC delegates) served as bound delegates to the Republican National Convention.[13][14]
Republican delegates
- John Hancock (Missouri)
- David Baker (Missouri)
- Paul Curtman
- Stanley Cox
- Robyn Hamlin
- Lance Beshore
- Hardy Billington
- Jim Cooper (Missouri)
- Jason Crowell
- Susie Eckelkamp
- George Engelbach
- Sam Graves
- Brad Lager
- Brian Munzlinger
- Jerry Nolte
- Charles Williams (Missouri)
- Harvey Tettlebaum
- Pat Thomas
- Holly Rehder
- Ronald Richard (Missouri)
- Todd Richardson (Missouri)
- Jason Smith (Missouri congressional representative)
- Dave Spence
- Jack Spooner
- Carl Bearden
- Kim Benz
- Jennifer Bukowsky
- Madeleine Castle
- John Combest
- David Courtway
- Bev Ehlen
- Jennifer Finch
- Valinda Freed
- Derrick Good
- Kay Hoflander
- Chris Howard
- Mark Anthony Jones
- Gordon Kinne
- Nick Myers (Missouri)
- Robert Onder, Jr.
- Rickey Perry
- Danette Proctor
- Phyllis Schlafly
- Steve Solomon (Missouri)
- Sara Walsh
- Gary Wiegert
- Jeremy Wiggins
- Bev Worth
- Margaret Yaudas
- Mike Kehoe
- Eric Burlison
Presidential voting history
Missouri presidential election results (1900-2024)
- 14 Democratic wins
- 18 Republican wins
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | D | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | D | D | D | R | R | D | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
State profile
| Demographic data for Missouri | ||
|---|---|---|
| Missouri | U.S. | |
| Total population: | 6,076,204 | 316,515,021 |
| Land area (sq mi): | 68,742 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White: | 82.6% | 73.6% |
| Black/African American: | 11.5% | 12.6% |
| Asian: | 1.8% | 5.1% |
| Native American: | 0.4% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander: | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Two or more: | 2.4% | 3% |
| Hispanic/Latino: | 3.9% | 17.1% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate: | 88.4% | 86.7% |
| College graduation rate: | 27.1% | 29.8% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income: | $48,173 | $53,889 |
| Persons below poverty level: | 18.2% | 11.3% |
| Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Missouri. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
Presidential voting pattern
- See also: Presidential voting trends in Missouri
Missouri voted Republican in all seven presidential elections between 2000 and 2024.
More Missouri coverage on Ballotpedia
- Elections in Missouri
- United States congressional delegations from Missouri
- Public policy in Missouri
- Endorsers in Missouri
- Missouri fact checks
- More...
See also
- March 15 presidential primary elections and caucuses, 2016
- Presidential election, 2016
- Presidential candidates, 2016
Footnotes
- ↑ This average includes states like Arizona, New Mexico, and Oklahoma, which did not participate in all 30 presidential elections between 1900 and 2016. It does not include Washington, D.C., which cast votes for president for the first time in 1964, or Alaska and Hawaii, which cast votes for president for the first time in 1960.
- ↑ This number refers to the number of times that the state voted for the winning presidential candidate between 2000 and 2016.
- ↑ Archives.gov, "About the Electors," accessed July 28, 2016
- ↑ Congressional Research Service, "The Electoral College: How it works in contemporary presidential elections," April 13, 2016
- ↑ CNN, "Clinton wins Missouri Democratic primary as Sanders concedes," March 18, 2016
- ↑ CNN, "Missouri exit polls," accessed March 24, 2016
- ↑ Politico, "Trump, Clinton officially win Missouri," April 12, 2016
- ↑ Missouri Republican Party, "Caucus 2016," accessed March 29, 2016
- ↑ 9.0 9.1 9.2 Missouri Secretary of State, "March 2016 Presidential Preference Primary," accessed January 5, 2016
- ↑ 10.0 10.1 Democratic National Committee, "2016 Democratic National Convention Delegate/Alternate Allocation," updated February 19, 2016
- ↑ The Green Papers, "2016 Democratic Convention," accessed May 7, 2021
- ↑ Democratic National Committee's Office of Party Affairs and Delegate Selection, "Unpledged Delegates -- By State," May 27, 2016
- ↑ 13.0 13.1 Republican National Committee, "2016 Presidential Nominating Process," accessed October 6, 2015
- ↑ 14.0 14.1 CNN.com, "Republican National Convention roll call vote," accessed July 20, 2016
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