Presidential election in Rhode Island, 2016

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Rhode Island
2020
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General election in Rhode Island
  Date: November 8, 2016
2016 winner: Hillary Clinton
Electoral votes: Four
2012 winner: Barack Obama (D)
Democratic Primary
  Date: April 26, 2016
Winner: Bernie Sanders
Republican Primary
  Date: April 26, 2016
Winner: Donald Trump
Down ballot races in Rhode Island
  U.S. House
Rhode Island State Senate
Rhode Island House of Representatives
Rhode Island judicial elections
Rhode Island local judicial elections
State ballot measures
School boards
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Rhode Island held an election for the president of the United States on November 8, 2016. Democratic and Republican primaries took place in Rhode Island on April 26, 2016.

HIGHLIGHTS
  • Hillary Clinton won Rhode Island in the general election.
  • In 2016, Rhode Island had four electoral votes, which was 0.7 percent of the 538 electoral votes up for grabs and 1.5 percent of the 270 electoral votes needed to win the general election.
  • Between 1900 and 2016, Rhode Island cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 73.33 percent of the time. In that same time frame, Rhode Island supported Democratic candidates for president more often than Republican candidates, 66.67 to 33.33 percent. The state favored Democrats in every election between between 2000 and 2016.
  • Presidential primary elections in Rhode Island took place on April 26, 2016. Bernie Sanders won the Democratic primary with 54.7 percent of the vote. Donald Trump won the Republican primary with 63.7 percent.
  • General election candidates

    See also: Ballot access for presidential candidates

    The candidate list below is based on an email exchange between Ballotpedia and a representative from the Rhode Island secretary of state's office on September 19, 2016. The candidate names below appear in the order in which they were provided to Ballotpedia—not necessarily the order in which they appeared on the ballot in November.

    Presidential candidates on the ballot in Rhode Island

    Donald Trump/Mike Pence (Republican)
    CheckedBoxOffset.jpg Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (Democratic)
    Gary Johnson/Bill Weld (Libertarian)
    Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka (Green)
    Roque De La Fuente/Michael Steinberg (American Delta)

    Results

    U.S. presidential election, Rhode Island, 2016
    Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes
         Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngHillary Clinton/Tim Kaine 54.4% 252,525 4
         Republican Donald Trump/Mike Pence 38.9% 180,543 0
         Libertarian Gary Johnson/Bill Weld 3.2% 14,746 0
         Green Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka 1.3% 6,220 0
         American Delta Roque De La Fuente/Michael Steinberg 0.1% 671 0
         - Write-in votes 2% 9,439 0
    Total Votes 464,144 4
    Election results via: Rhode Island Board of Elections

    Pivot Counties

    See also: Pivot Counties: The counties that voted Obama-Obama-Trump from 2008-2016

    Ballotpedia identified 206 counties that voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016 after voting for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012, in 34 states.[1] Collectively, Trump won these Pivot Counties by more than 580,000 votes, and had an average margin of victory of 11.45 percent. The political shift in these counties could have a broad impact on elections at every level of government for the next four years.

    Historical election trends

    See also: Presidential election accuracy

    Below is an analysis of Rhode Island's voting record in presidential elections. The state's accuracy is based on the number of times a state has voted for a winning presidential candidate. The majority of statistical data is from the U.S. National Archives and Records Administration and was compiled, here, by Ballotpedia, unless otherwise noted.

    Presidential election voting record in Rhode Island, 1900-2016

    Between 1900 and 2016:

    • Rhode Island participated in 30 presidential elections.
    • Rhode Island voted for the winning presidential candidate 73.33 percent of the time. The average accuracy of voting for winning presidential candidates for all 50 states in this time frame was 72.31 percent.[2]
    • Rhode Island voted Democratic 66.67 percent of the time and Republican 33.33 percent of the time.

    Presidential election voting record in Rhode Island, 2000-2016

    *An asterisk indicates that that candidate also won the national electoral vote in that election.

    Election results

    2012

    U.S. presidential election, Rhode Island, 2012
    Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes
         Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngBarack Obama/Joe Biden Incumbent 62.8% 279,677 4
         Republican Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan 35.3% 157,204 0
         Libertarian Gary Johnson/Jim Gray 1% 4,388 0
         Green Jill Stein/Cheri Honkala 0.5% 2,421 0
         N/A Write-ins 0.3% 1,381 0
         Constitution Virgil Goode/James Clymer 0.1% 430 0
    Total Votes 445,501 4
    Election results via: U.S. Election Atlas

    Other candidates that appeared on the ballot received less than 0.1% of the vote. Those candidates included: Ross Anderson and Peta Lindsay.[4]

    2008

    U.S. presidential election, Rhode Island, 2008
    Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes
         Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngBarack Obama/Joe Biden 62.9% 296,571 4
         Republican John McCain/Sarah Palin 35.1% 165,391 0
         Independent Ralph Nader/Matt Gonzalez 1% 4,829 0
         N/A Write-ins 0.3% 1,511 0
         Libertarian Bob Barr/Wayne Allyn Root 0.3% 1,382 0
         Green Cynthia McKinney/Rosa Clemente 0.2% 797 0
         Constitution Chuck Baldwin/Darrell Castle 0.1% 675 0
         N/A Ron Paul 0.1% 472 0
    Total Votes 471,628 4
    Election results via: U.S. Election Atlas

    Other candidates that appeared on the ballot received less than 0.1% of the vote. Those candidates included: Gloria LaRiva and Alan Keyes.[5]

    Electoral votes

    See also: Electoral College

    The president of the United States is not elected by popular vote but rather by electors in the Electoral College. In fact, when Americans vote for president, they are actually voting for a slate of electors selected by members of Democratic and Republican state parties or nominated in some other fashion. Under this system, which is laid out in Article 2, Section 1, of the Constitution, each state is allocated one electoral vote for every member of their congressional delegation, meaning one for each member of the U.S. House and one for each of their two Senators.

    Rhode Island electors

    In 2016, Rhode Island had four electoral votes. Rhode Island's share of electoral votes represented 0.7 percent of the 538 electoral votes up for grabs in the general election and 1.5 percent of the 270 votes needed to be elected president.

    "Faithless electors"

    The U.S. Constitution does not dictate how presidential electors are to cast their votes, but, in general, electors are expected to vote for the winner of the popular vote in their state or the candidates of the party that nominated them to serve as electors. Electors who choose not to vote for the winner of the popular vote or the candidates of the party that nominated them are known as "faithless electors." Faithless electors are rare. Between 1900 and 2012, there were only eight known instances of faithless electors.

    Several states have passed laws against faithless electors and require electors to vote for the winner of the popular vote in their state, for the candidate of the party that nominated them to serve as electors, or in accordance with any pledge they may have been required to make at the time of their nomination. In states with these types of laws, faithless electors can be fined or replaced, or their votes can be nullified.[6][7]

    Rhode Island was one of 20 states in 2016 without a law seeking to bind the votes of presidential electors.

    Down ballot races

    See also: Rhode Island elections, 2016

    Below is a list of down ballot races in Rhode Island covered by Ballotpedia in 2016.

    Primary election

    Quick facts

    Democrats:
    • 2016 Democratic winner: Bernie Sanders
    • 2008 Democratic winner: Hillary Clinton
    • Type: Mixed Primary
    • Delegate allocation: Proportional
    • Pledged delegates at stake: 24
    Republicans
    • 2016 Republican winner: Donald Trump
    • 2012 Republican winner: Mitt Romney
    • Type: Mixed Primary
    • Delegate allocation: Proportional
    • Pledged delegates at stake: 19

    Democrats

    Bernie Sanders won the Rhode Island Democratic primary. He beat Hillary Clinton by roughly 12 points.

    Republicans

    Donald Trump won the Rhode Island Republican primary with 64 percent of the vote. John Kasich came in second, followed by Ted Cruz in third.

    April 26 primaries

    Four other states in the northeastern U.S. also held primary elections on April 26: Connecticut, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and Delaware.

    2016 primary results

    Democrats

    Rhode Island Democratic Primary, 2016
    Candidate Vote % Votes Delegates
    Green check mark transparent.pngBernie Sanders 54.7% 66,993 13
    Hillary Clinton 43.1% 52,749 11
    Mark Steward 0.2% 236 0
    Roque De La Fuente 0.1% 145 0
    Other 1.9% 2,335 0
    Totals 122,458 24
    Source: The New York Times and Rhode Island Board of Elections

    Republicans

    Rhode Island Republican Primary, 2016
    Candidate Vote % Votes Delegates
    Green check mark transparent.pngDonald Trump 63.7% 39,221 12
    Ted Cruz 10.4% 6,416 2
    John Kasich 24.3% 14,963 5
    Marco Rubio 0.6% 382 0
    Other 1% 632 0
    Totals 61,614 19
    Source: The New York Times and Rhode Island Board of Elections

    Primary candidates

    Democrats[8]

    Hillary Clinton
    Roque De La Fuente


    Lloyd Kelso
    Martin O'Malley


    Bernie Sanders
    Mark Stewart

    Republicans[8]

    Paij Boring
    Jeb Bush
    Ben Carson
    Chris Christie
    Ted Cruz


    Carly Fiorina
    Jim Gilmore
    Mike Huckabee
    John Kasich


    Rand Paul
    Marco Rubio
    Rick Santorum
    Donald Trump

    Polls

    Democratic primary

    Democratic Party Democratic Party presidential primary polling (Rhode Island)
    Poll Hillary Clinton Bernie SandersUnsure or OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
    Public Policy Polling
    April 22-24, 2016
    45%49%6%+/-3.8668
    Brown University
    April 19-21, 2016
    43%34%23%+/-4600
    Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Republican primary

    Republican Party Republican Party presidential primary polling (Rhode Island)
    Poll Donald Trump John KasichTed CruzUnsure or OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
    Gravis
    April 23-24, 2016
    58%21%10%11%+/-4566
    Public Policy Polling
    April 22-24, 2016
    61%23%13%3%+/-4.3511
    Brown University
    April 19-21, 2016
    38%25%14%23%+/-4600
    Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


    Delegates

    Delegate selection

    See also: 2016 presidential nominations: calendar and delegate rules

    Democratic Party

    Democratic Party Logo.png

    Rhode Island had 33 delegates at the 2016 Democratic National Convention. Of this total, 24 were pledged delegates. National party rules stipulated how Democratic delegates in all states were allocated. Pledged delegates were allocated to a candidate in proportion to the votes he or she received in a state's primary or caucus. A candidate was eligible to receive a share of the state's pledged delegates if he or she won at least 15 percent of the votes cast in the primary or caucus. There were three types of pledged Democratic delegates: congressional district delegates, at-large delegates, and party leaders and elected officials (PLEOs). Congressional district delegates were allocated proportionally based on the primary or caucus results in a given district. At-large and PLEO delegates were allocated proportionally based on statewide primary results.[9][10]

    Nine party leaders and elected officials served as unpledged delegates. These delegates were not required to adhere to the results of a state's primary or caucus.[9][11]

    Rhode Island superdelegates

    See also: Superdelegates from Rhode Island, 2016 and Superdelegates and the 2016 Democratic National Convention

    Republican Party

    Logo-GOP.png

    Rhode Island had 19 delegates at the 2016 Republican National Convention. Of this total, six were district-level delegates (three for each of the state's two congressional districts). Rhode Island's district delegates were allocated proportionally; a candidate had to win at least 10 percent of the vote in a given district in order to be eligible to receive any of that district's delegates. If three candidates each won at least 10 percent of the vote in a district, each candidate received one of that district's delegates. If a single candidate won more than 67 percent of the vote in a district, he or she received at least two of that district's delegates.[12][13]

    Of the remaining 13 delegates, 10 served at large. Rhode Island's at-large delegates were allocated proportionally; a candidate had to win at least 10 percent of the statewide vote in order to be eligible to receive any of the state's at-large delegates. In addition, three national party leaders (identified on the chart below as RNC delegates) served as bound delegates to the Republican National Convention.[12][13]

    Presidential voting history

    Rhode Island presidential election results (1900-2024)

    • 22 Democratic wins
    • 10 Republican wins
    Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024
    Winning Party R R R D R R R D D D D D D R R D D D R D D R D D D D D D D D D D

    State profile

    Demographic data for Rhode Island
     Rhode IslandU.S.
    Total population:1,055,607316,515,021
    Land area (sq mi):1,0343,531,905
    Race and ethnicity**
    White:81.1%73.6%
    Black/African American:6.5%12.6%
    Asian:3.2%5.1%
    Native American:0.5%0.8%
    Pacific Islander:0%0.2%
    Two or more:2.8%3%
    Hispanic/Latino:13.6%17.1%
    Education
    High school graduation rate:86.2%86.7%
    College graduation rate:31.9%29.8%
    Income
    Median household income:$56,852$53,889
    Persons below poverty level:17.3%11.3%
    Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
    Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Rhode Island.
    **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

    Presidential voting pattern

    See also: Presidential voting trends in Rhode Island

    Rhode Island voted for the Democratic candidate in all seven presidential elections between 2000 and 2024.

    Pivot Counties (2016)

    Ballotpedia identified 206 counties that voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016 after voting for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012. Collectively, Trump won these Pivot Counties by more than 580,000 votes. Of these 206 counties, one is located in Rhode Island, accounting for 0.5 percent of the total pivot counties.[14]

    Pivot Counties (2020)

    In 2020, Ballotpedia re-examined the 206 Pivot Counties to view their voting patterns following that year's presidential election. Ballotpedia defined those won by Trump won as Retained Pivot Counties and those won by Joe Biden (D) as Boomerang Pivot Counties. Nationwide, there were 181 Retained Pivot Counties and 25 Boomerang Pivot Counties. Rhode Island had one Boomerang Pivot County, 4.00 percent of all Boomerang Pivot Counties.

    More Rhode Island coverage on Ballotpedia

    See also

    Footnotes

    1. The raw data for this study was provided by Dave Leip of Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.
    2. This average includes states like Arizona, New Mexico, and Oklahoma, which did not participate in all 30 presidential elections between 1900 and 2016. It does not include Washington, D.C., which cast votes for president for the first time in 1964, or Alaska and Hawaii, which cast votes for president for the first time in 1960.
    3. This number refers to the number of times that the state voted for the winning presidential candidate between 2000 and 2016.
    4. U.S. Election Atlas, "2012 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
    5. U.S. Election Atlas, "2008 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
    6. Archives.gov, "About the Electors," accessed July 28, 2016
    7. Congressional Research Service, "The Electoral College: How it works in contemporary presidential elections," April 13, 2016
    8. 8.0 8.1 Rhode Island Department of State, "Candidates for President Of The United States," accessed January 26, 2016
    9. 9.0 9.1 Democratic National Committee, "2016 Democratic National Convention Delegate/Alternate Allocation," updated February 19, 2016
    10. The Green Papers, "2016 Democratic Convention," accessed May 7, 2021
    11. Democratic National Committee's Office of Party Affairs and Delegate Selection, "Unpledged Delegates -- By State," May 27, 2016
    12. 12.0 12.1 Republican National Committee, "2016 Presidential Nominating Process," accessed October 6, 2015
    13. 13.0 13.1 CNN.com, "Republican National Convention roll call vote," accessed July 20, 2016
    14. The raw data for this study was provided by Dave Leip of Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.