Presidential election in New York, 2016

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General election in New York
  Date: November 8, 2016
2016 winner: Hillary Clinton
Electoral votes: 29
2012 winner: Barack Obama (D)
Democratic Primary
  Date: April 19, 2016
Winner: Hillary Clinton
Republican Primary
  Date: April 19, 2016
Winner: Donald Trump
Down ballot races in New York
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U.S. House
New York State Senate
New York judicial elections
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New York held an election for the president of the United States on November 8, 2016. Democratic and Republican primaries took place in New York on April 19, 2016.

HIGHLIGHTS
  • Hillary Clinton won New York in the general election. In 2016, New York had 29 electoral votes, which was 5.3 percent of the 538 electoral votes up for grabs and 10.7 percent of the 270 electoral votes needed to win the general election.
  • Between 1900 and 2016, New York cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 76.67 percent of the time. In that same time frame, New York supported Democratic candidates for president more often than Republican candidates, 56.67 to 43.33 percent. The state, however, favored Democrats in every election between between 2000 and 2016.
  • Presidential primary elections in New York took place on April 19, 2016. Hillary Clinton won the Democratic primary with 57.5 percent of the vote. Donald Trump won the Republican primary with 59.2 percent.

    • General election candidates and results

    Candidates

    See also: Ballot access for presidential candidates

    The candidate list below is based on an official list on the New York State Board of Elections website. The candidate names below appear in the order in which they were listed on the official list—not necessarily the order in which they appeared on the ballot in November.

    Presidential candidates on the ballot in New York

    ☑ Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (Democratic/Working Families/Women's Equality)
    ☐ Donald Trump/Mike Pence (Republican/Conservative)
    ☐ Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka (Green)
    ☐ Gary Johnson/Bill Weld (Independence/Libertarian)

    Results

    U.S. presidential election, New York, 2016
    Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes
         Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngHillary Clinton/Tim Kaine 59% 4,556,124 29
         Republican Donald Trump/Mike Pence 36.5% 2,819,534 0
         Green Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka 1.4% 107,934 0
         Libertarian Gary Johnson/Bill Weld 2.3% 176,598 0
         - Write-in votes/Other 0.8% 61,263 0
    Total Votes 7,721,453 29
    Election results via: Federal Election Commission

    Pivot Counties

    See also: Pivot Counties: The counties that voted Obama-Obama-Trump from 2008-2016

    Ballotpedia identified 206 counties that voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016 after voting for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012, in 34 states.[1] Collectively, Trump won these Pivot Counties by more than 580,000 votes, and had an average margin of victory of 11.45 percent. The political shift in these counties could have a broad impact on elections at every level of government for the next four years.

    Historical election trends

    See also: Presidential election accuracy

    Below is an analysis of New York's voting record in presidential elections. The state's accuracy is based on the number of times a state has voted for a winning presidential candidate. The majority of statistical data is from the U.S. National Archives and Records Administration and was compiled, here, by Ballotpedia, unless otherwise noted.

    Presidential election voting record in New York, 1900-2016

    Between 1900 and 2016:

    • New York participated in 30 presidential elections.
    • New York voted for the winning presidential candidate 76.67 percent of the time. The average accuracy of voting for winning presidential candidates for all 50 states in this time frame was 72.31 percent.[2]
    • New York voted Democratic 56.67 percent of the time and Republican 43.33 percent of the time.

    Presidential election voting record in New York, 2000-2016

    *An asterisk indicates that that candidate also won the national electoral vote in that election.

    Election results

    2012

    U.S. presidential election, New York, 2012
    Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes
         Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngBarack Obama/Joe Biden Incumbent 63.4% 4,485,877 29
         Republican Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan 35.2% 2,490,496 0
         Libertarian Gary Johnson/Jim Gray 0.7% 47,256 0
         Green Jill Stein/Cheri Honkala 0.6% 39,984 0
         N/A Write-ins 0.1% 9,270 0
    Total Votes 7,072,883 29
    Election results via: U.S. Election Atlas

    Other candidates that appeared on the ballot received less than 0.1% of the vote. Those candidates included Virgil Goode, Peta Lindsay, Ross Anderson, Thomas Hoefling, James Harris, Jerry White, Jill Ann Reed, and Merlin Miller.[4]

    2008

    U.S. presidential election, New York, 2008
    Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes
         Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngBarack Obama/Joe Biden 63% 4,804,945 31
         Republican John McCain/Sarah Palin 36.1% 2,752,771 0
         Populist Ralph Nader/Matt Gonzalez 0.5% 41,249 0
         Libertarian Bob Barr/Wayne Allyn Root 0.3% 19,596 0
         Green Cynthia McKinney/Rosa Clemente 0.2% 12,801 0
    Total Votes 7,631,362 31
    Election results via: U.S. Election Atlas

    Other candidates that appeared on the ballot received less than 0.1% of the vote. Those candidates included Roger Calero, various write-ins, Gloria LaRiva, Chuck Baldwin, Ron Paul, Alan Keyes, Brian Moore, and Jonathan Allen.[5]

    Electoral votes

    See also: Electoral College

    The president of the United States is not elected by popular vote but rather by electors in the Electoral College. In fact, when Americans vote for president, they are actually voting for a slate of electors selected by members of Democratic and Republican state parties or nominated in some other fashion. Under this system, which is laid out in Article 2, Section 1, of the Constitution, each state is allocated one electoral vote for every member of their congressional delegation, meaning one for each member of the U.S. House and one for each of their two Senators.

    New York electors

    In 2016, New York had 29 electoral votes. New York's share of electoral votes represented 5.3 percent of the 538 electoral votes up for grabs in the general election and 10.7 percent of the 270 votes needed to be elected president.

    "Faithless electors"

    The U.S. Constitution does not dictate how presidential electors are to cast their votes, but, in general, electors are expected to vote for the winner of the popular vote in their state or the candidates of the party that nominated them to serve as electors. Electors who choose not to vote for the winner of the popular vote or the candidates of the party that nominated them are known as "faithless electors." Faithless electors are rare. Between 1900 and 2012, there were only eight known instances of faithless electors.

    Several states have passed laws against faithless electors and require electors to vote for the winner of the popular vote in their state, for the candidate of the party that nominated them to serve as electors, or in accordance with any pledge they may have been required to make at the time of their nomination. In states with these types of laws, faithless electors can be fined or replaced, or their votes can be nullified.[6][7]

    New York was one of 20 states in 2016 without a law seeking to bind the votes of presidential electors.

    Down ballot races

    See also: New York elections, 2016

    Below is a list of down ballot races in New York covered by Ballotpedia in 2016.

    Primary election

    Quick facts

    Democrats: Republicans
    • 2016 Republican winner: Donald Trump
    • Poll leader: Donald Trump
    • 2012 Republican winner: Mitt Romney
    • Type: Closed Primary
    • Delegate allocation: Proportional
    • Pledged delegates at stake: 95

    Democrats

    Hillary Clinton won the New York Democratic primary election, beating Bernie Sanders by 16 points. She carried all five New York City boroughs and the city's surrounding counties as well as the counties of Erie, Monroe, and Onondaga. According to exit poll data, Clinton outperformed Sanders with women, older voters, and non-white voters. African Americans, who made up 22 percent of the New York electorate, supported her over Sanders 75 to 25 percent. Sanders, on the other hand, performed well with younger voters, particularly voters between the ages of 18 and 24, who supported him over Clinton 81 to 19 percent.[8]

    For the Democrats, the New York primary marked the third electoral contest of April 2016, following events in Wisconsin and Wyoming. With 247 pledged delegates up for grabs, New York was one of the largest primary events of the nominating cycle. Polling from late March and early April showed Clinton with a roughly 10-point lead over Sanders. Prior to New York, Sanders won the previous seven consecutive primary events against Clinton.

    Clinton and Sanders both have unique ties to the state. Clinton served as a U.S. senator from New York from 2001 to 2009, while Sanders was born in New York in 1941. The two candidates faced off in a debate in Brooklyn on April 14. A survey of Democratic political insiders by Ballotpedia found Clinton to have been the winner of the debate.

    Republicans

    Donald Trump won the New York Republican primary election with 60 percent of the vote. John Kasich and Ted Cruz came in second and third place. Ninety-five pledged delegates were up for grabs. Because Trump received a majority of the statewide vote, he received all 14 at-large delegates (including the three automatic RNC delegates). Also, because he won majorities in most of the state's congressional districts, he received nearly all of New York's 81 district-level delegates.

    Trump's only loss of the night came in Manhattan, which Kasich carried by roughly three points. Exit poll data shows that Trump outperformed his rivals with nearly every major demographic in the state, including voters who identified as "very conservative." This group often leaned towards Cruz in other states' 2016 primary contests.[8]

    Polling from throughout March 2016 showed Trump with a commanding lead over Cruz and Kasich. A CBS News/YouGov Poll conducted between March 29 and April 1 showed him leading Cruz and Kasich by more than 30 points.

    To learn about delegate allocation rules for both parties in New York, click here. For polling information, click here.

    2016 primary results

    Democrats

    New York Democratic Primary, 2016
    Candidate Vote % Votes Delegates
    Green check mark transparent.pngHillary Clinton 57.5% 1,133,980 139
    Bernie Sanders 41.6% 820,256 108
    Blank or void 0.8% 16,664 0
    Totals 1,970,900 247
    Source: The New York Times and New York State Board of Elections

    Republicans

    New York Republican Primary, 2016
    Candidate Vote % Votes Delegates
    Green check mark transparent.pngDonald Trump 59.2% 554,522 89
    John Kasich 24.7% 231,166 6
    Ted Cruz 14.5% 136,083 0
    Blank or void 1.6% 14,756 0
    Totals 936,527 95
    Source: The New York Times and New York State Board of Elections

    Primary candidates

    Democrats[9]

    Hillary Clinton
    Roque De La Fuente


    Christin Griskie


    Bernie Sanders

    Republicans[10]

    Jeb Bush
    Ben Carson


    Ted Cruz
    John Kasich


    Marco Rubio
    Donald Trump

    Polls

    Democratic primary

    Democratic Party Democratic Party presidential primary polling (New York)
    Poll Hillary Clinton Bernie SandersUnsure or OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
    Emerson
    April 15-17, 2016    		55%40%5%+/-4.6438
    CBS News/YouGov
    April 13-15, 2016    		53%43%4%+/-4.41,033
    Gravis
    April 13, 2016    		53%47%0%+/-4.5481
    NBC4/WSJ/Marist
    April 10-13, 2016    		57%40%3%+/-4591
    Siena
    April 6-11, 2016    		52%42%6%+/-4.5538
    Quinnipiac
    April 6-11, 2016    		53%40%7%+/-3.3860
    Monmouth
    April 8-10, 2016    		51%39%10%+/-5.6302
    Public Policy Polling
    April 7-10, 2016    		51%40%9%+/-3.8663
    NBC/WSJ/Marist
    April 6-10, 2016    		55%41%4%+/-4.2557
    NY1/Baruch
    April 5-10, 2016    		50%37%13%+/-4.2632
    Emerson
    April 6-7, 2016    		56%38%6%+/-5.4325
    Fox News
    April 4-7, 2016    		53%37%10%+/-3.5801
    CBS News/YouGov
    March 29-April 1, 2016    		53%43%4%+/-5718
    Quinnipiac
    March 22-29, 2016    		54%42%4%+/-3.7693
    Emerson
    March 14-16, 2016    		71%23%6%+/-5.6298
    Siena Research Institute
    February 28-March 3, 2016    		55%34%11%+/-6.2368
    Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


    Republican primary

    Republican Party Republican Party presidential primary polling (New York)
    Poll Donald Trump John KasichTed CruzMarco RubioJeb BushChris ChristieUnsure or OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
    Emerson
    April 15-17, 2016    		55%21%18%0%0%0%6%+/-5.1361
    CBS News/YouGov
    April 13-15, 2016    		54%19%21%0%0%0%6%+/-5.9705
    Gravis
    April 13, 2016    		57%22%20%0%0%0%1%+/-4.5481
    Optimus
    April 11-14, 2016    		49%23%14%0%0%0%14%+/-114,201
    NBC4 NY/WSJ/Marist
    April 10-13, 2016    		54%25%16%0%0%0%5%+/-5.5313
    Siena
    April 6-11, 2016    		50%27%17%0%0%0%6%+/-5469
    Quinnipiac
    April 6-11, 2016    		55%20%19%0%0%0%6%+/-4.2550
    Public Policy Polling
    April 7-10, 2016    		51%25%20%0%0%0%4%+/-4.5483
    NBC/WSJ/Marist
    April 6-10, 2016    		54%21%18%0%0%0%7%+/-6.1259
    NY1/Baruch
    April 5-10, 2016    		60%17%14%0%0%0%9%+/-5.8324
    Emerson
    April 6-7, 2016    		56%17%22%0%0%0%5%+/-5.4321
    Liberty Research
    April 6-7, 2016    		52%23%19%0%0%0%6%+/-36,041
    Fox News
    April 4-7, 2016    		54%22%15%0%0%0%9%+/-4602
    Monmouth
    April 3-5, 2016    		52%17%25%0%0%0%6%+/-5.6302
    CBS News/YouGov
    March 29-April 1, 2016    		52%20%21%0%0%0%7%+/-5.6657
    Quinnipiac
    March 22-29, 2016    		56%19%20%0%0%0%5%+/-4.6457
    Optimus
    March 22-24, 2016    		50%24%16%0%0%0%10%+/-114,234
    Emerson
    March 14-16, 2016    		64%1%12%0%0%0%23%+/-5.6298
    Siena Research Institute
    February 28-March 3, 2016    		45%18%11%18%0%0%8%+/-6.7229
    Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


    Delegates

    Delegate selection

    See also: 2016 presidential nominations: calendar and delegate rules

    Democratic Party

    Democratic Party Logo.png

    New York had 291 delegates at the 2016 Democratic National Convention. Of this total, 247 were pledged delegates. National party rules stipulated how Democratic delegates in all states were allocated. Pledged delegates were allocated to a candidate in proportion to the votes he or she received in a state's primary or caucus. A candidate was eligible to receive a share of the state's pledged delegates if he or she won at least 15 percent of the votes cast in the primary or caucus. There were three types of pledged Democratic delegates: congressional district delegates, at-large delegates, and party leaders and elected officials (PLEOs). Congressional district delegates were allocated proportionally based on the primary or caucus results in a given district. At-large and PLEO delegates were allocated proportionally based on statewide primary results.[11][12]

    Forty-four party leaders and elected officials served as unpledged delegates. These delegates were not required to adhere to the results of a state's primary or caucus.[11][13]

    New York superdelegates

    See also: Superdelegates from New York, 2016 and Superdelegates and the 2016 Democratic National Convention

    Republican Party

    Logo-GOP.png

    New York had 95 delegates at the 2016 Republican National Convention. Of this total, 81 were district-level delegates (three for each of the state's 27 congressional districts). New York's district delegates were allocated on a proportional basis; a candidate had to win at least 20 percent of the vote in a district in order to be eligible to receive a share of that district's delegates. The first place finisher in a district received two of that district's delegates and the second place finisher received one delegate. If a candidate won more than 50 percent of the vote in a district, he or she received all of that district's delegates.[14][15]

    Of the remaining 14 delegates, 11 served at large. At-large delegates were allocated on a proportional basis; a candidate had to win at least 20 percent of the statewide vote in order to be eligible to receive a share of the state's at-large delegates. If a candidate won more than 50 percent of the statewide vote, he or she received all of the state's at-large delegates. In addition, three national party leaders (identified on the chart below as RNC delegates) served as bound delegates to the Republican National Convention.[14][15]

    Republican delegates

    See also: Republican delegates from New York, 2016 and RNC delegate guidelines from New York, 2016

    Presidential voting history

    New York presidential election results (1900-2024)

    • 19 Democratic wins
    • 13 Republican wins
    Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024
    Winning Party R R R D R R R R D D D D R R R D D D R D R R D D D D D D D D D D

    State profile

    Demographic data for New York
     New YorkU.S.
    Total population:19,747,183316,515,021
    Land area (sq mi):47,1263,531,905
    Race and ethnicity**
    White:64.6%73.6%
    Black/African American:15.6%12.6%
    Asian:8%5.1%
    Native American:0.4%0.8%
    Pacific Islander:0%0.2%
    Two or more:2.9%3%
    Hispanic/Latino:18.4%17.1%
    Education
    High school graduation rate:85.6%86.7%
    College graduation rate:34.2%29.8%
    Income
    Median household income:$59,269$53,889
    Persons below poverty level:18.5%11.3%
    Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
    Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in New York.
    **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

    Presidential voting pattern

    See also: Presidential voting trends in New York

    New York voted for the Democratic candidate in all seven presidential elections between 2000 and 2024.

    Pivot Counties (2016)

    Ballotpedia identified 206 counties that voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016 after voting for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012. Collectively, Trump won these Pivot Counties by more than 580,000 votes. Of these 206 counties, 18 are located in New York, accounting for 8.74 percent of the total pivot counties.[16]

    Pivot Counties (2020)

    In 2020, Ballotpedia re-examined the 206 Pivot Counties to view their voting patterns following that year's presidential election. Ballotpedia defined those won by Trump won as Retained Pivot Counties and those won by Joe Biden (D) as Boomerang Pivot Counties. Nationwide, there were 181 Retained Pivot Counties and 25 Boomerang Pivot Counties. New York had 14 Retained Pivot Counties and four Boomerang Pivot Counties, accounting for 7.73 and 16.00 percent of all Retained and Boomerang Pivot Counties, respectively.

    More New York coverage on Ballotpedia

    See also

    Footnotes

    1. ↑ The raw data for this study was provided by Dave Leip of Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.
    2. ↑ This average includes states like Arizona, New Mexico, and Oklahoma, which did not participate in all 30 presidential elections between 1900 and 2016. It does not include Washington, D.C., which cast votes for president for the first time in 1964, or Alaska and Hawaii, which cast votes for president for the first time in 1960.
    3. ↑ This number refers to the number of times that the state voted for the winning presidential candidate between 2000 and 2016.
    4. ↑ U.S. Election Atlas, "2012 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
    5. ↑ U.S. Election Atlas, "2008 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
    6. ↑ Archives.gov, "About the Electors," accessed July 28, 2016
    7. ↑ Congressional Research Service, "The Electoral College: How it works in contemporary presidential elections," April 13, 2016
    8. ↑ 8.0 8.1 CNN, "New York Exit Poll," accessed April 19, 2016
    9. ↑ New York State Board of Elections, "Candidate Petition List," accessed February 9, 2016
    10. ↑ New York State Board of Elections, "Certification for the April 19, 2016, Presidential Primary Election," accessed February 27, 2016
    11. ↑ 11.0 11.1 Democratic National Committee, "2016 Democratic National Convention Delegate/Alternate Allocation," updated February 19, 2016
    12. ↑ The Green Papers, "2016 Democratic Convention," accessed May 7, 2021
    13. ↑ Democratic National Committee's Office of Party Affairs and Delegate Selection, "Unpledged Delegates -- By State," May 27, 2016
    14. ↑ 14.0 14.1 Republican National Committee, "2016 Presidential Nominating Process," accessed October 6, 2015
    15. ↑ 15.0 15.1 CNN.com, "Republican National Convention roll call vote," accessed July 20, 2016
    16. ↑ The raw data for this study was provided by Dave Leip of Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.
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