Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District
Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District in the United States House of Representatives is represented by Morgan McGarvey (D).
As of the 2020 Census, Kentucky representatives represented an average of 751,557 residents. After the 2010 Census, each member represented 725,101 residents.
Elections
2024
See also: Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024
Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024 (May 21 Republican primary)
Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024 (May 21 Democratic primary)
General election
General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 3
Incumbent Morgan McGarvey defeated Mike Craven, Daniel Cobble, and Jared Randall in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 3 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Morgan McGarvey (D) | 61.9 | 203,100 | |
Mike Craven (R) | 38.0 | 124,713 | ||
Daniel Cobble (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 27 | ||
Jared Randall (D) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 24 |
Total votes: 327,864 | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 3
Incumbent Morgan McGarvey defeated Geoff M. Young and Jared Randall in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 3 on May 21, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Morgan McGarvey | 84.1 | 44,275 | |
Geoff M. Young | 11.2 | 5,875 | ||
Jared Randall | 4.7 | 2,491 |
Total votes: 52,641 | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 3
Mike Craven defeated Denny Ormerod in the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 3 on May 21, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Mike Craven | 75.2 | 15,397 | |
Denny Ormerod | 24.8 | 5,074 |
Total votes: 20,471 | ||||
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2022
General election
General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 3
Morgan McGarvey defeated Stuart Ray and Daniel Cobble in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 3 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Morgan McGarvey (D) | 62.0 | 160,920 | |
Stuart Ray (R) | 38.0 | 98,637 | ||
Daniel Cobble (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 30 |
Total votes: 259,587 | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 3
Morgan McGarvey defeated Attica Scott in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 3 on May 17, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Morgan McGarvey | 63.3 | 52,157 | |
Attica Scott | 36.7 | 30,183 |
Total votes: 82,340 | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 3
The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 3 on May 17, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Stuart Ray | 29.5 | 9,703 | |
Rhonda Palazzo | 29.4 | 9,645 | ||
Mike Craven | 19.7 | 6,488 | ||
Gregory Puccetti | 9.1 | 2,980 | ||
Daniel Cobble | 4.7 | 1,539 | ||
Justin Gregory | 3.9 | 1,293 | ||
Darien Barrios Moreno | 3.7 | 1,212 |
Total votes: 32,860 | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
2020
General election
General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 3
Incumbent John A. Yarmuth defeated Rhonda Palazzo in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 3 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | John A. Yarmuth (D) | 62.7 | 230,672 | |
Rhonda Palazzo (R) | 37.3 | 137,425 |
Total votes: 368,097 | ||||
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Democratic primary election
The Democratic primary election was canceled. Incumbent John A. Yarmuth advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 3.
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 3
Rhonda Palazzo defeated Mike Craven and Waymen Eddings in the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 3 on June 23, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Rhonda Palazzo | 42.4 | 19,806 | |
Mike Craven | 42.1 | 19,676 | ||
Waymen Eddings | 15.6 | 7,275 |
Total votes: 46,757 | ||||
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2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 3
Incumbent John A. Yarmuth defeated Vickie Yates Glisson and Gregory Boles in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 3 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | John A. Yarmuth (D) | 62.1 | 173,002 | |
Vickie Yates Glisson (R) | 36.6 | 101,930 | ||
Gregory Boles (L) | 1.4 | 3,788 |
Total votes: 278,720 | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 3
Incumbent John A. Yarmuth advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 3 on May 22, 2018.
Candidate | ||
✔ | John A. Yarmuth |
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 3
Vickie Yates Glisson defeated Mike Craven and Rhonda Palazzo in the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 3 on May 22, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Vickie Yates Glisson | 49.1 | 11,240 | |
Mike Craven | 26.9 | 6,163 | ||
Rhonda Palazzo | 24.0 | 5,510 |
Total votes: 22,913 | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Waymen Eddings (R)
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent John Yarmuth (D), the only Democratic candidate to file in the race, won re-election to his sixth term in 2016. He faced Harold Bratcher (R) and Everett Corley (Forefathers Party) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Yarmuth was unopposed in the Democratic primary, while Bratcher defeated Everett Corley and Robert DeVore Jr. to win the Republican nomination. The primary elections took place on May 17, 2016.[1][2][3]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | 63.5% | 212,401 | ||
Republican | Harold Bratcher | 36.5% | 122,093 | |
Total Votes | 334,494 | |||
Source: Kentucky Secretary of State |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
|
44.5% | 9,578 | ||
Everett Corley | 36.5% | 7,857 | ||
Robert DeVore | 18.9% | 4,075 | ||
Total Votes | 21,510 | |||
Source: Kentucky State Board of Elections |
2014
The 3rd Congressional District of Kentucky held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent John Yarmuth (D) defeated challengers Michael Mcfarlane (R) and Greg Puccetti (I) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | 63.5% | 157,056 | ||
Republican | Michael Macfarlane | 35.6% | 87,981 | |
Independent | Gregory Peter Puccetti | 0.9% | 2,318 | |
Total Votes | 247,355 | |||
Source: Kentucky Secretary of State |
General election candidates
Michael Macfarlane
John Yarmuth - Incumbent
Greg Puccetti
May 20, 2014, primary results
|
2012
The 3rd Congressional District of Kentucky held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Incumbent John Yarmuth won re-election in the district.[7]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | 64% | 206,385 | ||
Republican | Brooks Wicker | 34.5% | 111,452 | |
Independent | Robert DeVore Jr. | 1.5% | 4,819 | |
Total Votes | 322,656 | |||
Source: Kentucky Board of Elections "2012 General Election Official Vote Totals" |
2010
On November 2, 2010, John Yarmuth won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Todd Lally (R), Edward A. Martin (Libertarian) and Michael D. Hansen (Independent) in the general election.[8]
2008
On November 4, 2008, John Yarmuth won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Anne M. Northup (R) in the general election.[9]
U.S. House, Kentucky District 3 General Election, 2008 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Democratic | 59.4% | 203,843 | ||
Republican | Anne M. Northup | 40.6% | 139,527 | |
Total Votes | 343,370 |
2006
On November 7, 2006, John Yarmuth won election to the United States House. He defeated Anne M. Northup (R), Donna Walker Mancini (L) and W. Ed Parker (Constitution) in the general election.[10]
2004
On November 2, 2004, Anne M. Northrup won re-election to the United States House. She defeated Tony Miller (D), George C. Dick (L) and Corley Everett (Write-in) in the general election.[11]
2002
On November 5, 2002, Anne M. Northrup won re-election to the United States House. She defeated Jack Conway (D) in the general election.[12]
U.S. House, Kentucky District 3 General Election, 2002 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Republican | 51.6% | 118,228 | ||
Democratic | Jack Conway | 48.4% | 110,846 | |
Total Votes | 229,074 |
2000
On November 7, 2000, Anne M. Northrup won re-election to the United States House. She defeated Eleanor Jordan (D) and Donna Walker Mancini (L) in the general election.[13]
District map
Redistricting
2020-2021
Kentucky adopted new congressional district boundaries on January 20, 2022, after the general assembly overrode Gov. Andy Beshear’s (D) veto of legislation establishing the state’ new congressional map. Beshear vetoed Senate Bill 3 —the congressional redistricting legislation —on January 19, 2022. The vote to override the governor’s veto was 26-8 in the state Senate with 23 Republicans and three Democrats in favor and five Democrats and three Republicans opposed. The override vote was 64-24 in the state House, with all votes in favor by Republicans and 21 Democrats and three Republicans voting to sustain Beshear’s veto.[14][15][16]
Senate Bill 3 was introduced in the Kentucky State Senate on January 4, 2022. The Senate voted 28-4 in favor of the map on January 6 followed by the House voting 65-25 in favor on January 8.[17]
Greg Giroux of Bloomberg Government wrote that the "congressional map [is] designed to preserve a 5–1 Republican advantage in Kentucky’s U.S. House delegation." Giroux added, "The map most notably boosts Rep. Andy Barr (R), whose central 6th District in and around Lexington will become more Republican-friendly in part by transferring the state capital of Frankfort to the western 1st District of Rep. James Comer (R)."[18]
How does redistricting in Kentucky work? In Kentucky, both congressional and state legislative district boundaries are drawn by the state legislature. District maps may be vetoed by the governor.[19]
Guidelines adopted in 1991 stipulate that congressional districts ought to be contiguous. In addition, county lines and communities of interest should be maintained if possible. These guidelines are not statutory; consequently, they may be amended by the legislature at its discretion.[19]
The Kentucky Constitution requires that state legislative districts "be contiguous ... and preserve whole counties where possible."[19]
Kentucky District 3
until January 2, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Kentucky District 3
starting January 3, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
2010-2011
In 2011, the Kentucky State Legislature re-drew the congressional districts based on updated population information from the 2010 census.
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
2024
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+9. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 9 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Kentucky's 3rd the 136th most Democratic district nationally.[20]
Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have defeated Donald Trump (R) 60.2%-37.9%.[21]
2022
Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+9. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 9 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Kentucky's 3rd the 136th most Democratic district nationally.[22]
Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 60.2% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 37.9%.[23]
2018
Heading into the 2018 elections, based on results from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+6. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 6 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District the 163rd most Democratic nationally.[24]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.89. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.89 points toward that party.[25]
See also
- Redistricting in Kentucky
- Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024
- Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022
- Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District election, 2020
- Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District election, 2018
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Kentucky Secretary of State, "Candidate Filings with the Office of the Secretary of State," accessed January 27, 2016
- ↑ The New York Times, "Kentucky Results," May 17, 2016
- ↑ Kentucky Secretary of State, "Candidate Filings with the Office of the Secretary of State," accessed September 6, 2016
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Michael Macfarlane," accessed October 30, 2013
- ↑ Kentucky Secretary of State Election, "Candidate Filings," accessed January 28, 2014
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Mark Gatton," accessed November 4, 2013
- ↑ Politico, "2012 Election Map, Kentucky"
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ Louisville Courier Journal, "Kentucky Democratic Party suing over Republicans' state and Congress redistricting maps," January 21, 2022
- ↑ Kentucky General Assembly, "Senate Bill 3," accessed January 21, 2022
- ↑ Louisville Courier Journal, "Claiming 'unconstitutional gerrymandering,' Beshear vetoes Kentucky redistricting plans," January 20, 2022
- ↑ Kentucky General Assembly, "Senate Bill 3," accessed January 21, 2022
- ↑ Bloomberg Government, "Kentucky Congressional Map Enacted After GOP Overrides Governor," January 20, 2022
- ↑ 19.0 19.1 19.2 All About Redistricting, "Kentucky," accessed April 29, 2015
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018