Georgia's 14th Congressional District election, 2020

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Georgia's 14th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
Republican primary runoff
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 6, 2020
Primary: June 9, 2020
Primary runoff: August 11, 2020
General: November 3, 2020
General runoff: January 5, 2021
Pre-election incumbent:
Vacant
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Georgia
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Georgia's 14th Congressional District
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th
Georgia elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 14th Congressional District of Georgia, held elections in 2020.

Marjorie Taylor Greene won election in the general election for U.S. House Georgia District 14.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
March 6, 2020
June 9, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election, Georgia's 14th Congressional District seat was vacant. The most recent incumbent was Tom Graves (R). On September 11, 2020, he announced that he would resign, effective October 4 of the same year.[1][2] According to News Channel 9, Graves said, "Congress is going into a long recess and my committee work will be complete. In short, my work will be done."[1]


Marjorie Taylor Greene won the Republican primary runoff election on August 11. She received 57% of the vote to John Cowan's 43%. Kevin Van Ausdal was unopposed in the Democratic primary.

Georgia's 14th Congressional District includes almost all of northwestern Georgia. Catoosa, Chattooga, Dade, Floyd, Gordon, Haralson, Murray, Paulding, Polk, Walker, Whitfield, and a portion of Pickens counties are included in the district.[3]

Democratic Party For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
Republican Party For more information about the Republican primary, click here.
Republican Party For more information about the Republican primary runoff, click here.

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, Georgia's 14th Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 25.3 25.3
Republican candidate Republican Party 73.4 74.7
Difference 48.1 49.4

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

Georgia modified its absentee/mail-in voting and candidate filing procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Candidate filing procedures: The petitioning deadline for minor-party and unaffiliated candidates was extended to August 14, 2020. The petition signature requirement for independent and minor-party candidates was reduced to 70 percent of their original numbers.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

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Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Georgia District 14

Marjorie Taylor Greene defeated Kevin Van Ausdal (Unofficially withdrew) in the general election for U.S. House Georgia District 14 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Marjorie Taylor Greene
Marjorie Taylor Greene (R)
 
74.7
 
229,827
Image of Kevin Van Ausdal
Kevin Van Ausdal (D) (Unofficially withdrew)
 
25.3
 
77,798

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 307,625
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Republican primary runoff election

Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Georgia District 14

Marjorie Taylor Greene defeated John Cowan in the Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Georgia District 14 on August 11, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Marjorie Taylor Greene
Marjorie Taylor Greene
 
57.1
 
43,813
Image of John Cowan
John Cowan
 
42.9
 
32,982

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 76,795
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Georgia District 14

Kevin Van Ausdal advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Georgia District 14 on June 9, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Kevin Van Ausdal
Kevin Van Ausdal
 
100.0
 
26,615

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 26,615
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Georgia District 14

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Georgia District 14 on June 9, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Marjorie Taylor Greene
Marjorie Taylor Greene
 
40.3
 
43,892
✔
Image of John Cowan
John Cowan
 
21.0
 
22,862
Image of John Barge
John Barge
 
8.8
 
9,619
Image of Clayton Fuller
Clayton Fuller Candidate Connection
 
6.8
 
7,433
Image of Bill Hembree
Bill Hembree
 
6.4
 
6,988
Image of Kevin Cooke
Kevin Cooke
 
6.2
 
6,699
Image of Matt Laughridge
Matt Laughridge
 
5.7
 
6,220
Image of Ben Bullock
Ben Bullock
 
3.6
 
3,883
Image of Andy Gunther
Andy Gunther Candidate Connection
 
1.1
 
1,220

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 108,816
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Five of 159 Georgia counties—3.14 percent—are pivot counties. These are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 pivot counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Baker County, Georgia 8.68% 0.57% 1.07%
Dooly County, Georgia 2.05% 6.98% 3.53%
Peach County, Georgia 2.91% 7.48% 6.75%
Quitman County, Georgia 10.92% 9.04% 7.90%
Twiggs County, Georgia 1.58% 8.64% 6.97%

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Georgia with 50.8 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 45.6 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Georgia voted Democratic 63.33 percent of the time and Republican 36.67 percent of the time. Georgia voted Republican in every presidential election from 2000 to 2016.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Georgia. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[4][5]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 64 out of 180 state House districts in Georgia with an average margin of victory of 45.5 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 74 out of 180 state House districts in Georgia with an average margin of victory of 42.3 points. Clinton won 14 districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 116 out of 180 state House districts in Georgia with an average margin of victory of 36.6 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 106 out of 180 state House districts in Georgia with an average margin of victory of 36.8 points. Trump won four districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.


District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+27, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 27 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Georgia's 14th Congressional District the 10th most Republican nationally.[6]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.90. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.90 points toward that party.[7]

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[8] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[9] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Kevin Van Ausdal Democratic Party $150,458 $126,712 $23,745 As of December 31, 2020
Marjorie Taylor Greene Republican Party $2,631,427 $2,259,896 $371,531 As of December 31, 2020

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[10]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[11][12][13]

Race ratings: Georgia's 14th Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

District election history

2018

See also: Georgia's 14th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Georgia District 14

Incumbent Tom Graves defeated Steven Foster in the general election for U.S. House Georgia District 14 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Tom Graves
Tom Graves (R)
 
76.5
 
175,743
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Steven Foster (D)
 
23.5
 
53,981

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 229,724
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Georgia District 14

Steven Foster advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Georgia District 14 on May 22, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Steven Foster
 
100.0
 
10,627

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 10,627
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Georgia District 14

Incumbent Tom Graves advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Georgia District 14 on May 22, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Tom Graves
Tom Graves
 
100.0
 
38,270

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 38,270
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2016

See also: Georgia's 14th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Tom Graves (R) defeated Patrick Boggs (Write-in) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Graves defeated Allan Levene and Mickey Tuck in the Republican primary on May 24, 2016.[14][15]

U.S. House, Georgia District 14 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngTom Graves Incumbent 100% 216,743
Total Votes 216,743
Source: Georgia Secretary of State


U.S. House, Georgia District 14 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngTom Graves Incumbent 75.6% 44,260
Mickey Tuck 12.8% 7,493
Allan Levene 11.5% 6,755
Total Votes 58,508
Source: Georgia Secretary of State

2014

See also: Georgia's 14th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 14th Congressional District of Georgia held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Tom Graves (R) won an uncontested general election.

U.S. House, Georgia District 14 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngTom Graves Incumbent 100% 118,782
Total Votes 118,782
Source: Georgia Secretary of State

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. ↑ 1.0 1.1 NEWS CHANNEL 9, "Rep. Tom Graves stepping down in October, as Marjorie Taylor Greene eyes House seat," September 11, 2020
  2. ↑ Twitter, "Tweet via Paul Kane," October 2, 2020
  3. ↑ United States Census Bureau, "Counties by Congressional Districts," accessed June 8, 2016
  4. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  5. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  6. ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  7. ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  8. ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  9. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  10. ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  11. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  12. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  13. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  14. ↑ Georgia Secretary of State, "Qualifying Candidate Information," accessed March 12, 2016
  15. ↑ The New York Times, "Georgia Primary Results," May 24, 2016


Georgia's current delegation to the United States Congress
Senators
Jon Ossoff (D)
Raphael Warnock (D)
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
District 14
Republican Party (9)
Democratic Party (7)


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