Florida's 26th Congressional District election, 2018
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 9
- Early voting: Oct. 27 - Nov. 3[2]
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: No
- Voter ID: Photo ID required
- Poll times: 7:00 a.m. to 7:00 p.m.
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Florida's 26th Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: May 4, 2018 |
Primary: August 28, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Carlos Curbelo (Republican) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Florida |
Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Toss-up Inside Elections: Toss-up Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th • 15th • 16th • 17th • 18th • 19th • 20th • 21st • 22nd • 23rd • 24th • 25th • 26th • 27th Florida elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
Nonprofit director Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D) defeated incumbent U.S. Rep. Carlos Curbelo (R) in the general election for Florida's 26th Congressional District on November 6, 2018.
All 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives were up for election in 2018. The Democratic Party gained a net total of 40 seats, winning control of the chamber. This race was identified as a 2018 battleground that might have affected partisan control of the U.S. House in the 116th Congress. Heading into the election, the Republican Party was in the majority holding 235 seats to Democrats' 193 seats, with seven vacant seats. Democrats needed to win 23 GOP-held seats in 2018 to win control of the House. From 1918 to 2016, the president’s party lost an average of 29 seats in midterm elections.
Although Curbelo won re-election in 2016 by 12 points, the district had gone blue in previous presidential elections, backing Barack Obama (D) in 2012 by a margin of 8 points and Hillary Clinton (D) in 2016 by 16 points.[3]
Politico listed the 26th Congressional District election as one of the top 10 House races to watch in 2018.[4] Both the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee and the National Republican Congressional Committee included the district in their lists of targets for 2018.[5][6]
For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
For more information about the Republican primary, click here.
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Florida District 26
Debbie Mucarsel-Powell defeated incumbent Carlos Curbelo in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 26 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D) | 50.9 | 119,797 | |
Carlos Curbelo (R) | 49.1 | 115,678 |
Total votes: 235,475 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Edward Bonilla (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 26
Debbie Mucarsel-Powell defeated Demetries Grimes in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 26 on August 28, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Debbie Mucarsel-Powell | 63.5 | 21,002 | |
Demetries Grimes | 36.5 | 12,098 |
Total votes: 33,100 | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Ricky Junquera (D)
- Steven Machat (D)
- Steve Smith (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 26
Incumbent Carlos Curbelo defeated Souraya Faas in the Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 26 on August 28, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Carlos Curbelo | 84.0 | 29,508 | |
Souraya Faas | 16.0 | 5,629 |
Total votes: 35,137 | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Candidate profiles
Party: Democratic
Incumbent: No
Political office: None
Biography: Mucarsel-Powell received her bachelor's degree from Pitzer College and master's degree in international political economy from Claremont University. She worked for several nonprofit organizations, including Hope Center, Zoo Miami Foundation, and the Coral Restoration Foundation. Mucarsel-Powell also worked as the director of development for Florida International University.[7][8]
- Mucarsel-Powell shared her story as a first-generation American from Ecuador. She said she was committed to immigration legislation that protects immigrants.[9]
- Mucarsel-Powell emphasized her focus on affordable healthcare, Medicare, and opposition to the repeal of the Affordable Care Act.[10]
- She pointed to her time at the Florida International University College of Medicine, where she said she helped to build public-private partnerships to provide healthcare access to underserved communities, as evidence of her life's work to improve healthcare.[10]
Party: Republican
Incumbent: Yes
Political office: U.S. House of Representatives (assumed office: 2015); Miami Dade County School Board (2010-2015)
Biography: Curbelo earned his bachelor's degree and MPA from the University of Miami. After founding and operating a public and media relations company for 12 years, Curbelo co-founded the basketball nonprofit Centre Court Charities. He became state director for U.S. Sen. George LeMieux (R-Fla.) in 2009 and was elected to the Miami-Dade County School Board in 2010. In 2014, he was first elected to the U.S. House of Representatives.[11]
- Curbelo said he was in Washington, D.C., to represent his constituents rather than his party. He highlighted a Miami Herald article calling him one of the most bipartisan members of Congress.[12]
- Curbelo said he had a lifelong commitment to South Florida, pointing to his service on the Miami-Dade Metropolitan Planning Organization and the County School Board.[13]
- Curbelo, who founded the bipartisan Climate Solutions Caucus, said he was committed to combating climate change. He said Mucarsel-Powell had no specific environmental positions.[14]
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Florida's 26th Congressional District, Curbelo vs. Mucarsel-Powell | |||||||||||||||||||
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Poll | Poll sponsor | Undecided/Other | Margin of error | Sample size | |||||||||||||||
New York Times/Siena College October 19-24, 2018 | N/A | 44% | 45% | 11% | +/-4.9 | 499 | |||||||||||||
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy October 3-9, 2018 | N/A | 46% | 45% | 9% | +/-4.0 | 625 | |||||||||||||
GBA Strategies September 27-October 1, 2018 | N/A | 50% | 48% | 2% | +/-4.4 | 500 | |||||||||||||
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research September 23-27, 2018 | Mucarsel-Powell | 48% | 49% | 3% | +/-4.9 | 511 | |||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling September 17-19, 2018 | Protect Our Care | 44% | 45% | 11% | +/-4.3 | 511 | |||||||||||||
Siena College/New York Times September 13-16, 2018 | N/A | 47% | 45% | 8% | +/-5.0 | 385 | |||||||||||||
GBA Strategies July 16-22, 2018 | Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee | 41% | 48% | 11% | +/-4.4 | 500 | |||||||||||||
AVERAGES | 45.71% | 46.43% | 7.86% | +/-4.56 | 504.43 | ||||||||||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Campaign finance
The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Carlos Curbelo | Republican Party | $5,178,885 | $5,132,356 | $89,898 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Debbie Mucarsel-Powell | Democratic Party | $4,655,422 | $4,615,605 | $39,817 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Satellite spending
Satellite spending, commonly referred to as outside spending, describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[15][16][17]
This section lists satellite spending in this race reported by news outlets in alphabetical order. If you are aware of spending that should be included, please email us.
- The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee spent $405,000 on an ad campaign to oppose Curbelo and support Mucarsel-Powell.[18]
- The National Republican Congressional Committee released an ad accusing Mucarsel-Powell and her husband of receiving money from a Ukrainian syndicate.[19]
- No Labels spent $180,000 on direct mail campaigns for several candidates, including Curbelo.[20]
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[21]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[22][23][24]
Race ratings: Florida's 26th Congressional District election, 2018 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
October 30, 2018 | October 23, 2018 | October 16, 2018 | October 9, 2018 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Toss-up | Tilt Republican | Tilt Republican | Tilt Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season. |
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+6, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 6 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Florida's 26th Congressional District the 165th most Democratic nationally.[25]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.20. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.20 points toward that party.[26]
Noteworthy endorsements
This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.
Noteworthy general election endorsements | ||
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Endorsement | ||
Elected officials | ||
Former Vice President Joe Biden (D) | ✔ | |
Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R-Fla.) | ✔ |
Campaign advertisements
Debbie Mucarsel-Powell
Support
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Oppose
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Carlos Curbelo
Support
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Oppose
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Campaign themes
These were the policy positions listed on the top candidates' websites, if available.
Debbie Mucarsel-Powell
“ |
Healthcare Debbie has spent her career working to expand access to health care for families across South Florida. She believes all Americans, regardless of income or zip code, deserve quality care that can never be taken away – and will make improving health care her top priority in Congress. She has pledged to work with her colleagues to improve the Affordable Care Act and to protect Medicare from Republican efforts to raid it. Debbie has a record of working to improve health care access in her community. While at Florida International University College of Medicine, she helped to build public-private partnerships to establish and grow the NeighborhoodHELP program, which provided health care access to underserved communities in South Florida. Her life’s work has been about improving our health care system so no family needs to choose between putting food on the table and getting the care they need. She will bring that same passion and dedication with her to Washington. Economy Debbie’s mother and three sisters immigrated to the United States in search of opportunities to better their lives – and through hard work and the opportunities this country provided, they were able to achieve their American Dream. The opportunities that helped Debbie and her family get ahead are disappearing for too many families across the country. Debbie believes we need to boost the economy by bringing good-paying jobs to South Florida and making sure that Floridians can get the skills they need through job training programs. By investing in our workforce, our nation will be more prepared to compete in a global 21st century economy. Education As a first-generation American, Debbie was able to achieve the American Dream through education, and believes every child should have the same opportunity to reach their highest potential. Debbie believes in fully funding our public education system, ensuring every child has access to a quality K-12 education regardless of their zip code and access to early childhood education. Debbie knows we must make college more affordable by expanding financial aid programs, lowering interest rates for all federal student loans while working on a plan to provide free community college for families. Immigration As a Hispanic immigrant and first-generation American, Debbie knows firsthand the challenges immigrants face in this country. Just like millions of other families, Debbie’s family came to this country seeking opportunities to better their lives. It is with this compassion that Debbie believes we need to fix our broken immigration system, replacing it with an accountable system that includes an expedited path to citizenship for DREAMers and their families. Bringing eleven million hard-working immigrants out of the shadows and into our system will only strengthen our great nation. Environment South Florida is ground zero for climate change, and we must lead the way in combating it. We are already seeing its effect in stronger storms and increased flooding, and we cannot afford to wait for action. Through her work at the Coral Restoration Foundation, Debbie has worked to slow the impacts of climate change on our marine life, and knows there is no time to wait when it comes to our environment. Debbie believes we must move quickly to a low fossil fuel economy, invest in clean energy, minimize greenhouse gas emissions, and invest in innovative infrastructure to protect our communities from sea-level rise. Florida, the Sunshine State, should be leading the way in solar energy production and reducing our reliance on oil and gas. Gun Safety Debbie lost her father at the age of 24 to gun violence and understands firsthand the devastating impact gun violence has on our families and communities. Debbie will fight every day to prevent another mother or father, sister or brother, daughter or son from ever receiving the devastating news that a loved one has been taken too soon by gun violence. Gun violence is an epidemic in the United States, which is why Debbie will fight for common-sense gun safety legislation. We must close the gun show loophole by requiring universal background checks, prevent those with a history of domestic violence or terrorism from purchasing a gun, and prevent firearms from falling in the hands of the mentally ill. Women As a mother, sister, and aunt it is Debbie’s priority to ensure women are paid the same as men for the same work; and especially women of color who particularly get the short end of the stick when it comes to equal pay. Debbie is committed to ensuring real on-the-ground equality for all women. Debbie will fight to end gender discrimination in the areas of education, employment, health care, and all other spheres. She will work to achieve equal pay for women, ensure paid maternity leave, pass child care legislation, and protect reproductive freedom. She will also pledge to always stand with Planned Parenthood. Tax Reform Debbie believes we need real tax reform—but not at the expense of hard-working families. The Republican tax plan raises taxes on millions of middle-class families and eliminates critical deductions we depend on in order to give big corporations a handout. As Debbie talks with families in FL-26, she hears over and over again that the opportunities to achieve the American Dream are disappearing for too many. That should be our focus, not new tax breaks for millionaires or for companies that ship jobs overseas. Debbie knows we must make it easier for people to make ends meet, not harder.[27] |
” |
—Mucarsel-Powell for Congress[28] |
Carlos Curbelo
“ |
Military A strong military that can protect the interests of our nation at home and abroad relies heavily on our unparalleled strength and innovation. The United States military has always been and should remain a force of good in an increasingly dangerous world. Our men and women in uniform must continue to have the best tools at their disposal as they fight and train to defend our freedoms. In Congress, I’ve worked to raise troop pay and streamline our military programs and equipment, while also ensuring veterans have access to quality healthcare and services after they’ve returned from the battlefield. In addition, I have made it a priority to advocate on behalf of undocumented individuals who want to serve our country in the military. If an individual possess critical language, medical, or technical skills needed by our military to accomplish their mission, they should not be disqualified from serving. We should honor ALL who are willing to risk their lives to defend our safety and freedoms. I am proud to report I was successful in leading the charge in defeating an amendment that would have eliminated these opportunities for young men and women in the DACA program. Agriculture Florida farmers and ranchers put food on our tables, feed our families, and grow our local and national economies. The role farmers play in our community and daily lives is invaluable, and I have made the priorities of the South Dade agriculture community a major focus of my work in Congress. In the House, I have led the charge in working towards relief for local farmers aggrieved by the Oriental Fruit Fly quarantine and heavy rains of 2015. As Chairman of the Small Business Subcommittee on Agriculture, Energy, and Trade, I have focused my efforts on holding hearings on issues of importance to South Florida farmers, such as the classification of farm sizes as small businesses to make them eligible for additional loans. If reelected, I will continue working towards reforming our inadequate H2A temporary guest work visa program. It is imperative that both farm owners and agriculture workers have a reliable, safe, and transparent visa program to ensure our crops can be planted and harvested in accordance with reasonable laws. Small Business American small businesses are at the heart of the American economy and free-market system. With their dedication to innovation and success, small business owners have led to the development of emergent technologies, sparked competition, and provided livelihoods for millions of Americans. They also employ low and middle income Americans trying to het ahead. As a former small business owner, I know what bureaucratic red tape can do to a small business, its owners, and its employees. That’s why I’ve fought unnecessary regulations in Congress and proposed bipartisan solutions to help small business owners and those they employ. I’ve led efforts to raise the Obamacare workweek requirement to allow 40 hours of work a week instead of 30, and I fought for our local farmers to be recognized as the small businesses they are and be eligible for support from the Small Business Administration. As Chairman of the Small Business Subcommittee on Agriculture, Energy, and Trade, I’ve brought issues of importance in South Florida to Congress. The Small Business Committee has held hearings on Citrus greening, the devastating disease hurting orange growers and others in Florida, and on what restricted access to Biscayne National Park means for fishermen and small businesses. I have also had a bill that supports small business contractors signed into law as part of the 2016 National Defense Authorization Act. I will never stop fighting for the small businesses in our community because when small business succeeds, American families benefit. Transportation South Florida’s Highway Transportation Priorities Traffic and congestion has plagued South Florida for years, but as the cost of housing continues to rise, workers and families often have to move to more affordable areas even further from their jobs and schools. This has resulted in dauntingly long commutes due to overcrowded roadways and an underutilized public transportation system. It is the responsibility of elected officials at all levels of government to address the needs of transportation projects, and by working together, I believe we can accomplish the goal of making our roadways safer and reducing traffic and congestion. In Congress, I have been committed to providing local officials with the flexibility and funding they need to address the long-term transportation projects of our community. I was a firm supporter of the surface transportation bill signed into law last year that provides states and localities with the funds they need to advance projects that will most benefit them. The law includes several South Florida priorities, such as funding for water infrastructure projects, advancing creative bridge solutions at Florida International University, and larger sidewalks to protect pedestrians. It is imperative the federal government work with state and local municipalities in areas like South Florida to promote economically efficient public transportation options that save citizens time and make their commutes easier and less reliant on their own cars. This will not only reduce congestion, but also benefit the environment. Marine Transportation and our Nation An efficient marine transportation system is crucial to both our local and national economies. Without properly dredged channels and harbors and the funding necessary for further expansion of our port facilities for handling imports and U.S. goods exported to foreign markets, the U.S. and South Florida will be left behind. Our inland tug and barge operation transportation systems, as well as our cruise line operations, must have the resources available to maintain global competitiveness. This will result in the higher effectiveness in moving goods and passengers on open waterways and allowing cruise lines and deep draft vessels to enter and depart U.S. port facilities. South Florida and our nation must remain competitive globally, and advocating for our marine industries is one of my top priorities. Environment South Florida is home to some of the most beautiful natural treasures in America. From the Everglades all the way to Key West, enjoying nature and the outdoors is at the center of our way of life. Protecting these natural habitats is critical, and the promotion of sensible environmental protections has been at the forefront of my work in Congress. I have been a steadfast leader in the discussion of viable solutions that mitigate the effects of climate change without threatening economic productivity and growth. For the first time in Congressional history, I formed a bipartisan caucus to address the issues of rising sea levels, clean air, and alternative forms of energy with thought leaders from conservation groups and businesses. We must remain committed to finding common sense solutions to protect beautiful parks, like the Everglades and reduce our carbon footprint. Water quality is also critical to South Florida and specifically, to the Florida Keys. I have worked to ensure the federal government’s support for efforts to update sewer and water treatment systems in Monroe County and to increase fresh water flows into Florida Bay. I am dedicated to being a positive voice on the issues of climate change and new energy solutions in Congress, even when I have to break from my party to do so. Our environment is too important to ignore and we must leave future generations with clean air and water. Veterans The men and women who bravely protected our nation from threats both at home and abroad deserve our utmost respect. When members of our armed forces retire, they should do so knowing they will be afforded everything the Department of Veterans Affairs and a grateful nation has promised them. Unfortunately, we hear too many heartbreaking stories of veterans who have unjustly been ignored and neglected. The bureaucracy at Veterans Affairs hospitals across the country has resulted in delayed care for our service men and women, sometimes resulting in premature and avoidable deaths. The current Administration has shown a culture of disrespect and disregard for America’s heroes, and Congress must step in to rectify this inexcusable behavior. I have been and will remain a steadfast supporter in cutting the red tape and allowing our veterans better access to the healthcare and other services they need. In Congress, I have led efforts to ensure veterans have proper identification cards and to make it easier to fire VA employees who are not doing their jobs. We have a responsibility to protect those who protected us, and I never stop making veterans’ issues a major priority. Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid We must keep the promise of Social Security to current beneficiaries and those nearing retirement while reforming the program, so it can effectively serve younger generations of Americans. Beginning in 2021, program costs are projected to exceed income, shrinking the trust fund, and threatening the future of Social Security and quality of life for future retirees. As more Baby Boomers enroll in Medicare, it too is facing serious challenges. The program’s hospital insurance trust fund will be insolvent in 2026 — ten years from now — leaving younger Americans uncertain about their future. These programs require bold decisions and innovative reforms that will guarantee their existence for rising generations of Americans. Education Ensuring every student has access to a high quality education is one of my top priorities and passions. I believe it is a civil rights issue, and that every child in America, regardless of their background or zip code, deserves access to a quality school that provides proper attention and resources to all its students. That is why I support an accountability system that sheds light on student learning, while treating them and their teachers fairly. I believe the federal government has an important role to play by:
Education will never again be one-size fits all. There is more than one path to a successful and rewarding career, and every young person should be encouraged to pursue their passions and goals without being stigmatized for their choices in education. I want to preserve access to a traditional university or college education, while also urging students to choose what is right for them by reducing the barriers many students face as a result of current policies that protect institutions instead of empowering students. Immigration Our nation, like any other, has the right and responsibility to secure its borders. We must be able to know who is coming in and out of our country, and we must insist all border traffic be legal. To do this effectively, our immigration system must be modernized. We need the capability to track visa holders who overstay, making-up nearly half of the undocumented population in America. Our nation is in need of an expanded guest worker program that will help fill the jobs Americans are not seeking, especially in agriculture. And while we must demand accountability from those who enter our country illegally, we should establish an earned path to legalization for those who have abided by our laws and contributed to our economy, especially those who were brought to the country as minors by their parents. These young people have gown up in this, the country they love, and should be granted an opportunity to become Americans. Foreign Policy and National Security Every day the world becomes more and more unstable. The Middle East is in chaos with Iran using billions in sanctions relief and direct transfer payments from the Obama Administration to threaten Israel and other American allies. ISIS continues wreaking havoc in Iraq and Syria while the Assad regime presses forward with chemical attacks against civilians (including children) more than three years after President Obama drew a red line. Meanwhile, Vladimir Putin seems intent on rebuilding the Soviet Empire and challenging American power in the Middle East and Eastern Europe. Closer to home, the Cuban regime recently hosted the Iranian foreign minister and continues actively opposing American interests despite the Obama Administration’s long list of unilateral concessions.. In Venezuela Nicolas Maduro, with the support of the Castro government, is viciously repressing dissent as he desperately attempts to maintain power in an all but failed state. When the United States shows weakness, bad actors become emboldened and make the world a more dangerous place. While we cannot afford to serve as the world’s police, America must lead with a clear voice, support our allies, and oppose our enemies. The Obama Administration has failed in this regard, and the President, more focused on legacy than policy, appears uninterested and disengaged. We need Members of Congress who will embrace the concept of smart power, and who understand that peace is only achieved through strength. Taxes We must reform our tax system. We need fewer and lower marginal tax rates for all Americans that will lead to more job creation and a stronger economic recovery. We should close all special interest loopholes, increase the child tax credit for working families raising dependent children, and expand the successful earned income tax credit for those earning low wages. We also need to reduce the corporate tax rate so we can remain the greatest country in the world to do business. In recent years we have seen an increased number of American companies attempting to “invert,” which means they leave the U.S. to incorporate in a foreign country with a more favorable tax code. This concerning trend can be attributed to the fact that our country has one of the highest corporate tax rates in the developed world, and it is costing our nation tax revenue, jobs, and potential economic growth. Congress must address tax reform to make our code more competitive. This will not only entice American companies to maintain their domestic headquarters, but it will also attract new businesses from overseas and encourage foreign companies to incorporate in the United States. Healthcare Like my neighbors in District 26, I want a quality healthcare system at an affordable cost. Unfortunately, the President’s Affordable Care Act, better known as Obamacare, hasn’t fulfilled its promise to be that. Instead, it has increased the cost of healthcare for millions of Americans and is threatening our economic recovery. A law that gives the IRS an outsized role in our healthcare system, considers 30 hours a full workweek, and cuts funding for Medicare is, at best, deeply flawed. After being sworn in to the 114th Congress, I voted to change the 30-hour workweek under Obamacare to a 40-hour workweek, so workers in need of more hours to support their families would not be limited. Unfortunately, Democrats in the Senate refuse to work in a bipartisan manner to pass this legislation so it could reach the President’s desk and become law. Our community and our country deserve a world-class, consumer-driven healthcare system. By empowering patients to make rational choices in their health care, we will reduce the cost of care for all Americans and preserve the best healthcare system in the world. A new healthcare law should include reforms that are centered around consumers, demand more transparency in the healthcare market, facilitate high risk pools for those with pre-existing conditions, treat women fairly, and keep the promise of Medicare for our seniors. Economy We live in a new, fast-paced economy that is leaving too many people behind: young people cannot find work after college, millions of Americans are employed part-time despite needing full-time work to sustain their families, and wages are stagnant across the board. Unfortunately, our economy is the victim of self-inflicted wounds, like the 30-hour workweek under Obamacare, increased regulation, and an unsustainable fiscal policy that relies on deficit spending to fund the government. Every day it seems like there is less incentive for people to get ahead or grow their business. This must change. If we want to get America growing again we must:
|
” |
—Curbelo for Congress[29] |
Social media
Twitter accounts
Tweets by debbieforfl Tweets by carloslcurbelo
Facebook accounts
Click the icons below to visit the candidates' Facebook pages.
Timeline
- October 24, 2018: Mucarsel-Powell led Curbelo by one percentage point, 45 percent to 44 percent, in a New York Times/Siena College poll of 499 likely voters. The margin of error was 4.9 percentage points.
- October 16, 2018: Curbelo led Mucarsel-Powell by one percentage point, 46 percent to 45 percent, in a Mason-Dixon poll of 425 likely voters. The margin of error was 4 percentage points.
- October 9, 2018: Everytown for Gun Safety endorsed Carlos Curbelo.[30]
- October 5, 2018: GBA Strategies released a poll of 500 likely voters finding Mucarsel-Powell leading Curbelo by 2 percentage points, 50 percent to 48 percent. The margin of error was 4.4 percent.
- September 21, 2018: Public Policy Polling released a poll of 511 voters commissioned by Protect Our Care finding Mucarsel-Powell leading Curbelo by one point, 45 percent to 44 percent. The margin of error was 4.3 percent.[31]
- September 13, 2018: The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee spent $405,000 on an ad campaign.[18]
- September 12, 2018:
- The National Republican Congressional Committee released an ad accusing Mucarsel-Powell and her husband of receiving money from a Ukrainian syndicate.[19]
- No Labels spent $180,000 on direct mail campaigns for several candidates, including Curbelo.[20]
Republican district won by Hillary Clinton
This district was one of 25 Republican-held U.S. House districts that Hillary Clinton (D) won in the 2016 presidential election.[32] Nearly all were expected to be among the House's most competitive elections in 2018.
Click on the table below to see the full list of districts.
Click here to see the 13 Democratic-held U.S. House districts that Donald Trump (R) won.
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
Four of 67 Florida counties—6 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
Jefferson County, Florida | 5.06% | 1.75% | 3.66% | ||||
Monroe County, Florida | 6.82% | 0.44% | 4.90% | ||||
Pinellas County, Florida | 1.11% | 5.65% | 8.25% | ||||
St. Lucie County, Florida | 2.40% | 7.86% | 12.12% |
In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Florida with 49 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 47.8 percent. Florida was considered a key battleground state in the 2016 general election. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Florida voted Democratic 56.67 percent of the time and Republican 43.33 percent of the time. Florida went to the Republicans in 2000, 2004, and 2016, and it went to the Democrats in 2008 and 2012.
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Florida. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[37][38]
In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 55 out of 120 state House districts in Florida with an average margin of victory of 29.1 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 54 out of 120 state House districts in Florida with an average margin of victory of 30.3 points. Clinton won 14 districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 65 out of 120 state House districts in Florida with an average margin of victory of 17.7 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 66 out of 120 state House districts in Florida with an average margin of victory of 21.1 points. Trump won two districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
1 | 36.20% | 62.79% | R+26.6 | 34.08% | 62.44% | R+28.4 | R |
2 | 40.60% | 58.27% | R+17.7 | 39.85% | 55.53% | R+15.7 | R |
3 | 22.07% | 76.75% | R+54.7 | 19.63% | 76.01% | R+56.4 | R |
4 | 25.64% | 73.07% | R+47.4 | 24.90% | 69.68% | R+44.8 | R |
5 | 25.87% | 73.02% | R+47.2 | 21.51% | 76.01% | R+54.5 | R |
6 | 28.12% | 70.72% | R+42.6 | 25.59% | 70.40% | R+44.8 | R |
7 | 35.78% | 63.03% | R+27.3 | 29.54% | 67.81% | R+38.3 | R |
8 | 76.69% | 22.32% | D+54.4 | 74.29% | 22.33% | D+52 | D |
9 | 52.23% | 46.70% | D+5.5 | 52.98% | 42.92% | D+10.1 | D |
10 | 29.54% | 69.49% | R+40 | 24.47% | 73.15% | R+48.7 | R |
11 | 29.10% | 69.98% | R+40.9 | 28.75% | 67.52% | R+38.8 | R |
12 | 38.82% | 60.18% | R+21.4 | 39.91% | 55.90% | R+16 | R |
13 | 66.27% | 33.01% | D+33.3 | 64.06% | 33.01% | D+31.1 | D |
14 | 67.05% | 32.34% | D+34.7 | 64.74% | 32.99% | D+31.8 | D |
15 | 43.22% | 55.85% | R+12.6 | 43.85% | 52.54% | R+8.7 | R |
16 | 36.02% | 63.09% | R+27.1 | 38.53% | 57.46% | R+18.9 | R |
17 | 29.91% | 69.15% | R+39.2 | 31.55% | 64.91% | R+33.4 | R |
18 | 27.33% | 71.82% | R+44.5 | 27.27% | 69.17% | R+41.9 | R |
19 | 31.02% | 68.02% | R+37 | 25.79% | 71.54% | R+45.8 | R |
20 | 65.02% | 33.40% | D+31.6 | 63.38% | 32.58% | D+30.8 | D |
21 | 47.01% | 51.55% | R+4.5 | 47.92% | 47.87% | D+0.1 | R |
22 | 40.28% | 58.79% | R+18.5 | 35.09% | 62.28% | R+27.2 | R |
23 | 38.65% | 60.23% | R+21.6 | 31.70% | 65.06% | R+33.4 | R |
24 | 41.79% | 57.34% | R+15.6 | 35.96% | 61.17% | R+25.2 | R |
25 | 43.38% | 55.73% | R+12.4 | 37.23% | 59.47% | R+22.2 | R |
26 | 57.57% | 41.40% | D+16.2 | 49.01% | 47.49% | D+1.5 | D |
27 | 50.25% | 48.70% | D+1.6 | 42.51% | 54.04% | R+11.5 | R |
28 | 46.01% | 52.86% | R+6.9 | 46.02% | 49.59% | R+3.6 | R |
29 | 44.35% | 54.70% | R+10.4 | 45.97% | 50.16% | R+4.2 | R |
30 | 50.06% | 48.88% | D+1.2 | 51.93% | 43.61% | D+8.3 | R |
31 | 40.55% | 58.49% | R+17.9 | 37.12% | 59.50% | R+22.4 | R |
32 | 43.05% | 56.11% | R+13.1 | 40.66% | 56.10% | R+15.4 | R |
33 | 33.03% | 66.40% | R+33.4 | 29.41% | 68.70% | R+39.3 | R |
34 | 38.74% | 60.18% | R+21.4 | 28.67% | 68.26% | R+39.6 | R |
35 | 45.66% | 53.25% | R+7.6 | 34.40% | 62.35% | R+28 | R |
36 | 51.81% | 46.55% | D+5.3 | 37.97% | 58.18% | R+20.2 | R |
37 | 42.35% | 56.41% | R+14.1 | 34.77% | 61.75% | R+27 | R |
38 | 44.80% | 54.00% | R+9.2 | 39.90% | 56.32% | R+16.4 | R |
39 | 43.29% | 55.62% | R+12.3 | 38.74% | 57.77% | R+19 | R |
40 | 46.30% | 52.68% | R+6.4 | 41.48% | 54.62% | R+13.1 | R |
41 | 48.78% | 50.29% | R+1.5 | 45.76% | 51.24% | R+5.5 | R |
42 | 49.88% | 49.23% | D+0.7 | 46.82% | 49.98% | R+3.2 | R |
43 | 74.04% | 25.31% | D+48.7 | 73.13% | 24.03% | D+49.1 | D |
44 | 45.77% | 53.48% | R+7.7 | 51.21% | 45.05% | D+6.2 | R |
45 | 68.39% | 30.95% | D+37.4 | 67.75% | 29.32% | D+38.4 | D |
46 | 85.10% | 14.40% | D+70.7 | 82.72% | 14.71% | D+68 | D |
47 | 49.79% | 49.04% | D+0.8 | 53.85% | 41.40% | D+12.5 | R |
48 | 71.31% | 27.89% | D+43.4 | 71.71% | 25.05% | D+46.7 | D |
49 | 59.87% | 38.85% | D+21 | 61.07% | 33.94% | D+27.1 | D |
50 | 46.33% | 52.71% | R+6.4 | 46.10% | 49.78% | R+3.7 | R |
51 | 43.21% | 55.60% | R+12.4 | 37.31% | 58.51% | R+21.2 | R |
52 | 39.39% | 59.51% | R+20.1 | 36.49% | 59.05% | R+22.6 | R |
53 | 48.93% | 49.90% | R+1 | 42.52% | 53.45% | R+10.9 | R |
54 | 39.76% | 59.51% | R+19.8 | 37.01% | 60.11% | R+23.1 | R |
55 | 38.22% | 60.83% | R+22.6 | 31.47% | 66.00% | R+34.5 | R |
56 | 41.15% | 57.81% | R+16.7 | 35.36% | 61.69% | R+26.3 | R |
57 | 42.15% | 56.94% | R+14.8 | 42.01% | 54.38% | R+12.4 | R |
58 | 46.77% | 52.09% | R+5.3 | 43.06% | 53.20% | R+10.1 | R |
59 | 49.52% | 49.33% | D+0.2 | 47.68% | 48.08% | R+0.4 | R |
60 | 45.69% | 53.23% | R+7.5 | 47.16% | 48.50% | R+1.3 | R |
61 | 84.25% | 14.95% | D+69.3 | 80.00% | 16.79% | D+63.2 | D |
62 | 64.91% | 34.12% | D+30.8 | 63.03% | 33.28% | D+29.8 | D |
63 | 52.82% | 46.09% | D+6.7 | 53.22% | 42.91% | D+10.3 | R |
64 | 43.41% | 55.66% | R+12.3 | 43.51% | 52.80% | R+9.3 | R |
65 | 45.20% | 53.72% | R+8.5 | 41.15% | 55.05% | R+13.9 | R |
66 | 47.12% | 51.78% | R+4.7 | 41.07% | 55.29% | R+14.2 | R |
67 | 52.12% | 46.53% | D+5.6 | 45.78% | 49.98% | R+4.2 | R |
68 | 54.01% | 44.56% | D+9.5 | 50.98% | 44.15% | D+6.8 | D |
69 | 51.25% | 47.57% | D+3.7 | 46.57% | 49.53% | R+3 | R |
70 | 79.17% | 20.00% | D+59.2 | 73.65% | 23.39% | D+50.3 | D |
71 | 45.45% | 53.64% | R+8.2 | 42.72% | 53.89% | R+11.2 | R |
72 | 47.80% | 51.26% | R+3.5 | 46.03% | 50.71% | R+4.7 | D |
73 | 37.59% | 61.60% | R+24 | 35.82% | 61.14% | R+25.3 | R |
74 | 42.64% | 56.48% | R+13.8 | 37.10% | 60.20% | R+23.1 | R |
75 | 42.40% | 56.68% | R+14.3 | 34.70% | 62.49% | R+27.8 | R |
76 | 35.45% | 64.01% | R+28.6 | 35.24% | 61.90% | R+26.7 | R |
77 | 41.60% | 57.61% | R+16 | 36.05% | 60.86% | R+24.8 | R |
78 | 44.44% | 54.88% | R+10.4 | 42.96% | 53.85% | R+10.9 | R |
79 | 45.93% | 53.26% | R+7.3 | 39.89% | 57.01% | R+17.1 | R |
80 | 38.79% | 60.51% | R+21.7 | 36.96% | 60.49% | R+23.5 | R |
81 | 60.36% | 39.13% | D+21.2 | 59.06% | 39.12% | D+19.9 | D |
82 | 38.70% | 60.58% | R+21.9 | 36.91% | 60.22% | R+23.3 | R |
83 | 48.78% | 50.42% | R+1.6 | 43.71% | 53.43% | R+9.7 | R |
84 | 53.34% | 45.89% | D+7.5 | 47.96% | 49.59% | R+1.6 | D |
85 | 47.28% | 52.04% | R+4.8 | 44.74% | 52.71% | R+8 | R |
86 | 58.97% | 40.46% | D+18.5 | 56.40% | 41.24% | D+15.2 | D |
87 | 68.41% | 30.79% | D+37.6 | 65.09% | 32.03% | D+33.1 | D |
88 | 82.26% | 17.18% | D+65.1 | 78.19% | 19.67% | D+58.5 | D |
89 | 47.47% | 51.83% | R+4.4 | 48.96% | 48.44% | D+0.5 | R |
90 | 62.95% | 36.37% | D+26.6 | 59.38% | 38.20% | D+21.2 | D |
91 | 58.67% | 40.92% | D+17.8 | 59.17% | 39.23% | D+19.9 | D |
92 | 74.08% | 25.42% | D+48.7 | 71.50% | 26.66% | D+44.8 | D |
93 | 47.43% | 51.88% | R+4.5 | 48.32% | 49.43% | R+1.1 | R |
94 | 83.50% | 16.05% | D+67.5 | 81.01% | 17.21% | D+63.8 | D |
95 | 86.68% | 12.99% | D+73.7 | 85.09% | 13.47% | D+71.6 | D |
96 | 61.11% | 38.32% | D+22.8 | 60.59% | 37.30% | D+23.3 | D |
97 | 65.66% | 33.79% | D+31.9 | 65.26% | 32.41% | D+32.9 | D |
98 | 60.99% | 38.39% | D+22.6 | 61.02% | 36.58% | D+24.4 | D |
99 | 61.62% | 37.75% | D+23.9 | 59.47% | 38.07% | D+21.4 | D |
100 | 57.57% | 41.85% | D+15.7 | 58.15% | 39.86% | D+18.3 | D |
101 | 79.29% | 20.19% | D+59.1 | 76.54% | 21.27% | D+55.3 | D |
102 | 85.86% | 13.86% | D+72 | 83.21% | 15.08% | D+68.1 | D |
103 | 54.82% | 44.76% | D+10.1 | 58.71% | 39.21% | D+19.5 | R |
104 | 58.34% | 41.21% | D+17.1 | 62.33% | 35.40% | D+26.9 | D |
105 | 53.14% | 46.37% | D+6.8 | 56.16% | 41.22% | D+14.9 | R |
106 | 31.21% | 68.26% | R+37.1 | 33.84% | 63.71% | R+29.9 | R |
107 | 86.16% | 13.52% | D+72.6 | 83.68% | 14.67% | D+69 | D |
108 | 89.58% | 10.12% | D+79.5 | 87.11% | 11.24% | D+75.9 | D |
109 | 90.13% | 9.58% | D+80.6 | 86.38% | 12.14% | D+74.2 | D |
110 | 50.15% | 49.43% | D+0.7 | 52.71% | 45.14% | D+7.6 | R |
111 | 47.97% | 51.64% | R+3.7 | 52.16% | 45.66% | D+6.5 | R |
112 | 53.53% | 45.94% | D+7.6 | 61.62% | 35.70% | D+25.9 | D |
113 | 63.42% | 35.97% | D+27.5 | 67.40% | 30.24% | D+37.2 | D |
114 | 50.14% | 49.27% | D+0.9 | 55.75% | 41.60% | D+14.2 | D |
115 | 49.45% | 50.03% | R+0.6 | 54.08% | 43.37% | D+10.7 | R |
116 | 44.48% | 55.04% | R+10.6 | 50.91% | 46.43% | D+4.5 | R |
117 | 82.64% | 17.02% | D+65.6 | 78.36% | 19.57% | D+58.8 | D |
118 | 51.39% | 48.14% | D+3.3 | 54.87% | 42.54% | D+12.3 | D |
119 | 50.32% | 49.20% | D+1.1 | 55.15% | 42.23% | D+12.9 | R |
120 | 52.28% | 46.85% | D+5.4 | 49.21% | 47.52% | D+1.7 | R |
Total | 50.01% | 49.13% | D+0.9 | 47.82% | 49.02% | R+1.2 | - |
Source: Daily Kos |
District history
2016
Florida's 26th Congressional District was a battleground district in 2016. Incumbent Carlos Curbelo (R) won re-election to his second term in 2016. He defeated Joe Garcia (D) and Jose Peixoto (I) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Garcia defeated Annette Taddeo to win the Democratic primary on August 30, 2016.[39][40][41]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | 53% | 148,547 | ||
Democratic | Joe Garcia | 41.2% | 115,493 | |
Independent | Jose Peixoto | 5.9% | 16,502 | |
Total Votes | 280,542 | |||
Source: Florida Division of Elections |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
|
51.3% | 14,834 | ||
Annette Taddeo | 48.7% | 14,108 | ||
Total Votes | 28,942 | |||
Source: Florida Division of Elections |
2014
Florida's 26th Congressional District was a battleground district in 2014. Incumbent Joe Garcia faced no challenger in the Democratic primary. In the Republican primary, Carlos Curbelo defeated Ed MacDougall, Joe Martinez, Lorenzo Palomares Starbuck and former U.S. Rep. David Rivera. Curbelo then beat incumbent Garcia in the general election on November 4, 2014.[42][43]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | 51.5% | 83,031 | ||
Democratic | Joe Garcia Incumbent | 48.5% | 78,306 | |
Total Votes | 161,337 | |||
Source: Florida Division of Elections |
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Florida heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Democrats and Republicans each held one U.S. Senate seat in Florida.
- Republicans held 16 of 27 U.S. House seats in Florida.
State executives
- As of September 2018, Republicans held six out of nine state executive positions. The other three positions were held by nonpartisan officials.
- The governor of Florida was Republican Rick Scott. The state held elections for governor and lieutenant governor on November 6, 2018.
State legislature
- Republicans controlled both chambers of the Florida State Legislature. They had a 22-16 majority in the state Senate and a 75-41 majority in the state House.
Trifecta status
- Florida was under Republican trifecta control since the governor was a Republican and both chambers of the Florida State Legislature were under Republican control.
2018 elections
- See also: Florida elections, 2018
Florida held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- One U.S. Senate seat
- 27 U.S. House seats
- Governor and lieutenant governor
- Three other state executive offices
- 20 out of 40 state Senate seats
- 120 state House seats
- Four of seven state Supreme Court seats
- Municipal elections in Hillsborough, Miami-Dade, Orange, and Pinellas counties and the city of Jacksonville
Demographics
Demographic data for Florida | ||
---|---|---|
Florida | U.S. | |
Total population: | 20,244,914 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 53,625 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 76% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 16.1% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 2.6% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 0.3% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 2.4% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 23.7% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 86.9% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 27.3% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $47,507 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 19.8% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Florida. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
As of July 2017, Florida's three largest cities were Jacksonville (pop. est. 860,000), Miami (pop. est. 430,000), and Tampa (pop. est. 360,000).[44][45]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Florida from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Florida Department of State.
Historical elections
Presidential elections
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Florida every year from 2000 to 2016.
Election results (President of the United States), Florida 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | 49.0% | 47.8% | 1.2% | ||
2012 | 50.0% | 49.1% | 0.9% | ||
2008 | 51.0% | 48.2% | 2.8% | ||
2004 | 52.10% | 47.09% | 5.01% | ||
2000 | 48.847% | 48.838% | 0.009% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Florida from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
Election results (U.S. Senator), Florida 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | 52.0% | 44.3% | 7.7% | ||
2012 | 55.2% | 42.2% | 13.0% | ||
2010 | 48.9% | 29.7% | 19.2% | ||
2006 | 60.3% | 38.1% | 22.2% | ||
2004 | 49.4% | 48.3% | 1.1% | ||
2000 | 51.0% | 46.2% | 4.8% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Florida.
Election results (Governor/Lt. Governor), Florida 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014 | 48.1% | 47.1% | 1% | ||
2010 | 48.9% | 47.7% | 1.2% | ||
2006 | 52.2% | 45.1% | 7.1% | ||
2002 | 56.0% | 43.2% | 12.8% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Florida in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Florida Party Control: 1992-2024
One year of a Democratic trifecta • Twenty-six years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | I | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Senate | D | S | S | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
See also
- Florida's 26th Congressional District election (August 28, 2018 Democratic primary)
- Florida's 26th Congressional District election (August 28, 2018 Republican primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections in Florida, 2018
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ Counties could add additional early voting days from October 22 through October 26 and/or November 4.
- ↑ Counties could add additional early voting days from October 22 through October 26 and/or November 4.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for the 2016 and 2012 elections," accessed November 10, 2017
- ↑ Politico, "The Top 10 House Races to Watch in 2018," December 25, 2017
- ↑ DCCC, "House Democrats Playing Offense," January 30, 2017
- ↑ Elect GOP Patriots, "Home," accessed October 5, 2018
- ↑ Mucarsel-Powell for Congress, "Meet Debbie," accessed September 17, 2018
- ↑ GKollaborative, "Debbie Murcarsel-Powell," accessed September 17, 2018
- ↑ YouTube, "Debbie Mucarsel-Powell – Immigration Reform," June 15, 2018
- ↑ 10.0 10.1 Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, "Issues," accessed September 17, 2018
- ↑ Curbelo for Congress, "About Carlos," accessed September 17, 2018
- ↑ YouTube, "Carlos Curbelo – Refereeing Washington," August 18, 2018
- ↑ Carlos Curbelo, "Home," accessed September 17, 2018
- ↑ Washington Examiner, "Carlos Curbelo, the Republican who's all in on climate change," September 18, 2018
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed September 22, 2015
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed September 22, 2015
- ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," November 6, 2015
- ↑ 18.0 18.1 Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 9/13," September 13, 2018
- ↑ 19.0 19.1 YouTube, "Connection," September 12, 2018
- ↑ 20.0 20.1 Twitter, "David Wright," September 12, 2018
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ 27.0 27.1 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
- ↑ Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, "Priorities," accessed September 17, 2018
- ↑ Curbelo for Congress, "Issues," accessed September 17, 2018
- ↑ New York Times, "In a Crucial Pennsylvania District, Gun Policy Reigns Supreme," October 10, 2018
- ↑ Protect Our Care, "Republicans in Trouble on ACA, Pre-Existing Conditions; Florida Voters, Say They’re Less Likely to Support them Due to Health Care Stance," September 21, 2018
- ↑ This figure includes Pennsylvania districts that were redrawn by the state Supreme Court in early 2018 and districts that flipped in special elections.
- ↑ The new 1st district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 8th District held by Fitzpatrick. Click here to read more.
- ↑ The new 5th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 7th District held by Meehan. Click here to read more.
- ↑ The new 6th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 6th District held by Costello. Click here to read more.
- ↑ The new 7th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 15th District held by Dent. Click here to read more.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ Daily KOS, "Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: National Democrats look to retake Florida swing seat," January 15, 2015
- ↑ Florida Department of State, "Candidate Listing for 2016 General Election," accessed June 25, 2016
- ↑ Politico, " Florida House Races Results," August 30, 2016
- ↑ Associated Press, "Primary Results 2014," accessed August 26, 2014
- ↑ The Huffington Post, "Election 2014," November 4, 2014
- ↑ United States Census Bureau, "QuickFacts - Florida," accessed May 9, 2018
- ↑ Florida Demographics, "Florida Cities by Population," accessed May 9, 2018
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