Florida's 15th Congressional District election, 2020
- Election date: Nov. 3
- Registration deadline(s): Oct. 6
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: No
- Recount laws
- Early voting starts: Oct. 19
- Absentee/mail voting deadline(s): Nov. 3 (received)
- Processing, counting, and challenging absentee/mail-in ballots
- Voter ID: Photo ID
- Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
2022 →
← 2018
|
| Florida's 15th Congressional District |
|---|
 |
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: April 24, 2020 |
| Primary: August 18, 2020 General: November 3, 2020 Pre-election incumbent: Ross Spano (Republican) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Florida |
| Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Lean Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020 |
| See also |
1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th • 15th • 16th • 17th • 18th • 19th • 20th • 21st • 22nd • 23rd • 24th • 25th • 26th • 27th Florida elections, 2020 U.S. Congress elections, 2020 U.S. Senate elections, 2020 U.S. House elections, 2020 |
All U.S. congressional districts, including the 15th Congressional District of Florida, held elections in 2020.
Scott Franklin won election in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 15.
| Candidate filing deadline | Primary election | General election |
|---|---|---|
Incumbent Ross Spano (R) lost the Republican primary to Scott Franklin, garnering 48.7% of the vote to Franklin's 51.3%. Alan Cohn (D) emerged as the winner in the Democratic primary with 41.1% of the vote, followed by Adam Hattersley with 33%, and Jesse Philippe with 25.8%. Cohn and Franklin faced off in the November 3, 2020 general election.
Spano was first elected in 2018 following the retirement of Dennis Ross (R). Spano defeated Kristen Carlson (D) in the 2018 general election for the open seat, receiving 53 percent of the vote to Carlson's 47 percent, the district's narrowest margin of victory since its lines were redrawn following the 2010 census. Before the 2018 election, the Republican candidate won by 20.6 percentage points in 2014 and 14.9 in 2016.
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee listed the 15th District as one the group sought to flip from Republican to Democratic control in the 2020 election.
Florida's 15th Congressional District is located in central Florida and includes portions of Hillsborough and Polk counties.[1]
For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
For more information about the Republican primary, click here.
Post-election analysis
The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
| Presidential and congressional election results, Florida's 15th Congressional District, 2020 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Race | Presidential | U.S. House |
| Democratic candidate |
45.2 | 44.6 |
| Republican candidate |
53.7 | 55.4 |
| Difference | 8.5 | 10.8 |
Election procedure changes in 2020
Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.
Florida modified its voter registration procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:
- Voter registration: The voter registration deadline was extended to October 6, 2020.[2]
For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Florida District 15
Scott Franklin defeated Alan Cohn in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 15 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Scott Franklin (R) | 55.4 | 216,374 | |
| Alan Cohn (D) | 44.6 | 174,297 | ||
| Total votes: 390,671 | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Kevin Michael Levertt (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 15
Alan Cohn defeated Adam Hattersley, Jesse Philippe, and Kel Britvec in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 15 on August 18, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Alan Cohn | 41.0 | 21,079 | |
| Adam Hattersley | 33.0 | 16,978 | ||
| Jesse Philippe | 26.0 | 13,384 | ||
| Kel Britvec (Write-in) | 0.0 | 0 | ||
| Total votes: 51,441 | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Andrew Learned (D)
- Loretta Lax Miller (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 15
Scott Franklin defeated incumbent Ross Spano in the Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 15 on August 18, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Scott Franklin | 51.2 | 30,736 | |
| Ross Spano | 48.8 | 29,265 | ||
| Total votes: 60,001 | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
Four of 67 Florida counties—6 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
| Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
| Jefferson County, Florida | 5.06% | 1.75% | 3.66% | ||||
| Monroe County, Florida | 6.82% | 0.44% | 4.90% | ||||
| Pinellas County, Florida | 1.11% | 5.65% | 8.25% | ||||
| St. Lucie County, Florida | 2.40% | 7.86% | 12.12% | ||||
In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Florida with 49 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 47.8 percent. Florida was considered a key battleground state in the 2016 general election. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Florida voted Democratic 56.67 percent of the time and Republican 43.33 percent of the time. Florida went to the Republicans in 2000, 2004, and 2016, and it went to the Democrats in 2008 and 2012.
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Florida. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[3][4]
| In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 55 out of 120 state House districts in Florida with an average margin of victory of 29.1 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 54 out of 120 state House districts in Florida with an average margin of victory of 30.3 points. Clinton won 14 districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
| In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 65 out of 120 state House districts in Florida with an average margin of victory of 17.7 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 66 out of 120 state House districts in Florida with an average margin of victory of 21.1 points. Trump won two districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
| 2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
| 1 | 36.20% | 62.79% | R+26.6 | 34.08% | 62.44% | R+28.4 | R |
| 2 | 40.60% | 58.27% | R+17.7 | 39.85% | 55.53% | R+15.7 | R |
| 3 | 22.07% | 76.75% | R+54.7 | 19.63% | 76.01% | R+56.4 | R |
| 4 | 25.64% | 73.07% | R+47.4 | 24.90% | 69.68% | R+44.8 | R |
| 5 | 25.87% | 73.02% | R+47.2 | 21.51% | 76.01% | R+54.5 | R |
| 6 | 28.12% | 70.72% | R+42.6 | 25.59% | 70.40% | R+44.8 | R |
| 7 | 35.78% | 63.03% | R+27.3 | 29.54% | 67.81% | R+38.3 | R |
| 8 | 76.69% | 22.32% | D+54.4 | 74.29% | 22.33% | D+52 | D |
| 9 | 52.23% | 46.70% | D+5.5 | 52.98% | 42.92% | D+10.1 | D |
| 10 | 29.54% | 69.49% | R+40 | 24.47% | 73.15% | R+48.7 | R |
| 11 | 29.10% | 69.98% | R+40.9 | 28.75% | 67.52% | R+38.8 | R |
| 12 | 38.82% | 60.18% | R+21.4 | 39.91% | 55.90% | R+16 | R |
| 13 | 66.27% | 33.01% | D+33.3 | 64.06% | 33.01% | D+31.1 | D |
| 14 | 67.05% | 32.34% | D+34.7 | 64.74% | 32.99% | D+31.8 | D |
| 15 | 43.22% | 55.85% | R+12.6 | 43.85% | 52.54% | R+8.7 | R |
| 16 | 36.02% | 63.09% | R+27.1 | 38.53% | 57.46% | R+18.9 | R |
| 17 | 29.91% | 69.15% | R+39.2 | 31.55% | 64.91% | R+33.4 | R |
| 18 | 27.33% | 71.82% | R+44.5 | 27.27% | 69.17% | R+41.9 | R |
| 19 | 31.02% | 68.02% | R+37 | 25.79% | 71.54% | R+45.8 | R |
| 20 | 65.02% | 33.40% | D+31.6 | 63.38% | 32.58% | D+30.8 | D |
| 21 | 47.01% | 51.55% | R+4.5 | 47.92% | 47.87% | D+0.1 | R |
| 22 | 40.28% | 58.79% | R+18.5 | 35.09% | 62.28% | R+27.2 | R |
| 23 | 38.65% | 60.23% | R+21.6 | 31.70% | 65.06% | R+33.4 | R |
| 24 | 41.79% | 57.34% | R+15.6 | 35.96% | 61.17% | R+25.2 | R |
| 25 | 43.38% | 55.73% | R+12.4 | 37.23% | 59.47% | R+22.2 | R |
| 26 | 57.57% | 41.40% | D+16.2 | 49.01% | 47.49% | D+1.5 | D |
| 27 | 50.25% | 48.70% | D+1.6 | 42.51% | 54.04% | R+11.5 | R |
| 28 | 46.01% | 52.86% | R+6.9 | 46.02% | 49.59% | R+3.6 | R |
| 29 | 44.35% | 54.70% | R+10.4 | 45.97% | 50.16% | R+4.2 | R |
| 30 | 50.06% | 48.88% | D+1.2 | 51.93% | 43.61% | D+8.3 | R |
| 31 | 40.55% | 58.49% | R+17.9 | 37.12% | 59.50% | R+22.4 | R |
| 32 | 43.05% | 56.11% | R+13.1 | 40.66% | 56.10% | R+15.4 | R |
| 33 | 33.03% | 66.40% | R+33.4 | 29.41% | 68.70% | R+39.3 | R |
| 34 | 38.74% | 60.18% | R+21.4 | 28.67% | 68.26% | R+39.6 | R |
| 35 | 45.66% | 53.25% | R+7.6 | 34.40% | 62.35% | R+28 | R |
| 36 | 51.81% | 46.55% | D+5.3 | 37.97% | 58.18% | R+20.2 | R |
| 37 | 42.35% | 56.41% | R+14.1 | 34.77% | 61.75% | R+27 | R |
| 38 | 44.80% | 54.00% | R+9.2 | 39.90% | 56.32% | R+16.4 | R |
| 39 | 43.29% | 55.62% | R+12.3 | 38.74% | 57.77% | R+19 | R |
| 40 | 46.30% | 52.68% | R+6.4 | 41.48% | 54.62% | R+13.1 | R |
| 41 | 48.78% | 50.29% | R+1.5 | 45.76% | 51.24% | R+5.5 | R |
| 42 | 49.88% | 49.23% | D+0.7 | 46.82% | 49.98% | R+3.2 | R |
| 43 | 74.04% | 25.31% | D+48.7 | 73.13% | 24.03% | D+49.1 | D |
| 44 | 45.77% | 53.48% | R+7.7 | 51.21% | 45.05% | D+6.2 | R |
| 45 | 68.39% | 30.95% | D+37.4 | 67.75% | 29.32% | D+38.4 | D |
| 46 | 85.10% | 14.40% | D+70.7 | 82.72% | 14.71% | D+68 | D |
| 47 | 49.79% | 49.04% | D+0.8 | 53.85% | 41.40% | D+12.5 | R |
| 48 | 71.31% | 27.89% | D+43.4 | 71.71% | 25.05% | D+46.7 | D |
| 49 | 59.87% | 38.85% | D+21 | 61.07% | 33.94% | D+27.1 | D |
| 50 | 46.33% | 52.71% | R+6.4 | 46.10% | 49.78% | R+3.7 | R |
| 51 | 43.21% | 55.60% | R+12.4 | 37.31% | 58.51% | R+21.2 | R |
| 52 | 39.39% | 59.51% | R+20.1 | 36.49% | 59.05% | R+22.6 | R |
| 53 | 48.93% | 49.90% | R+1 | 42.52% | 53.45% | R+10.9 | R |
| 54 | 39.76% | 59.51% | R+19.8 | 37.01% | 60.11% | R+23.1 | R |
| 55 | 38.22% | 60.83% | R+22.6 | 31.47% | 66.00% | R+34.5 | R |
| 56 | 41.15% | 57.81% | R+16.7 | 35.36% | 61.69% | R+26.3 | R |
| 57 | 42.15% | 56.94% | R+14.8 | 42.01% | 54.38% | R+12.4 | R |
| 58 | 46.77% | 52.09% | R+5.3 | 43.06% | 53.20% | R+10.1 | R |
| 59 | 49.52% | 49.33% | D+0.2 | 47.68% | 48.08% | R+0.4 | R |
| 60 | 45.69% | 53.23% | R+7.5 | 47.16% | 48.50% | R+1.3 | R |
| 61 | 84.25% | 14.95% | D+69.3 | 80.00% | 16.79% | D+63.2 | D |
| 62 | 64.91% | 34.12% | D+30.8 | 63.03% | 33.28% | D+29.8 | D |
| 63 | 52.82% | 46.09% | D+6.7 | 53.22% | 42.91% | D+10.3 | R |
| 64 | 43.41% | 55.66% | R+12.3 | 43.51% | 52.80% | R+9.3 | R |
| 65 | 45.20% | 53.72% | R+8.5 | 41.15% | 55.05% | R+13.9 | R |
| 66 | 47.12% | 51.78% | R+4.7 | 41.07% | 55.29% | R+14.2 | R |
| 67 | 52.12% | 46.53% | D+5.6 | 45.78% | 49.98% | R+4.2 | R |
| 68 | 54.01% | 44.56% | D+9.5 | 50.98% | 44.15% | D+6.8 | D |
| 69 | 51.25% | 47.57% | D+3.7 | 46.57% | 49.53% | R+3 | R |
| 70 | 79.17% | 20.00% | D+59.2 | 73.65% | 23.39% | D+50.3 | D |
| 71 | 45.45% | 53.64% | R+8.2 | 42.72% | 53.89% | R+11.2 | R |
| 72 | 47.80% | 51.26% | R+3.5 | 46.03% | 50.71% | R+4.7 | D |
| 73 | 37.59% | 61.60% | R+24 | 35.82% | 61.14% | R+25.3 | R |
| 74 | 42.64% | 56.48% | R+13.8 | 37.10% | 60.20% | R+23.1 | R |
| 75 | 42.40% | 56.68% | R+14.3 | 34.70% | 62.49% | R+27.8 | R |
| 76 | 35.45% | 64.01% | R+28.6 | 35.24% | 61.90% | R+26.7 | R |
| 77 | 41.60% | 57.61% | R+16 | 36.05% | 60.86% | R+24.8 | R |
| 78 | 44.44% | 54.88% | R+10.4 | 42.96% | 53.85% | R+10.9 | R |
| 79 | 45.93% | 53.26% | R+7.3 | 39.89% | 57.01% | R+17.1 | R |
| 80 | 38.79% | 60.51% | R+21.7 | 36.96% | 60.49% | R+23.5 | R |
| 81 | 60.36% | 39.13% | D+21.2 | 59.06% | 39.12% | D+19.9 | D |
| 82 | 38.70% | 60.58% | R+21.9 | 36.91% | 60.22% | R+23.3 | R |
| 83 | 48.78% | 50.42% | R+1.6 | 43.71% | 53.43% | R+9.7 | R |
| 84 | 53.34% | 45.89% | D+7.5 | 47.96% | 49.59% | R+1.6 | D |
| 85 | 47.28% | 52.04% | R+4.8 | 44.74% | 52.71% | R+8 | R |
| 86 | 58.97% | 40.46% | D+18.5 | 56.40% | 41.24% | D+15.2 | D |
| 87 | 68.41% | 30.79% | D+37.6 | 65.09% | 32.03% | D+33.1 | D |
| 88 | 82.26% | 17.18% | D+65.1 | 78.19% | 19.67% | D+58.5 | D |
| 89 | 47.47% | 51.83% | R+4.4 | 48.96% | 48.44% | D+0.5 | R |
| 90 | 62.95% | 36.37% | D+26.6 | 59.38% | 38.20% | D+21.2 | D |
| 91 | 58.67% | 40.92% | D+17.8 | 59.17% | 39.23% | D+19.9 | D |
| 92 | 74.08% | 25.42% | D+48.7 | 71.50% | 26.66% | D+44.8 | D |
| 93 | 47.43% | 51.88% | R+4.5 | 48.32% | 49.43% | R+1.1 | R |
| 94 | 83.50% | 16.05% | D+67.5 | 81.01% | 17.21% | D+63.8 | D |
| 95 | 86.68% | 12.99% | D+73.7 | 85.09% | 13.47% | D+71.6 | D |
| 96 | 61.11% | 38.32% | D+22.8 | 60.59% | 37.30% | D+23.3 | D |
| 97 | 65.66% | 33.79% | D+31.9 | 65.26% | 32.41% | D+32.9 | D |
| 98 | 60.99% | 38.39% | D+22.6 | 61.02% | 36.58% | D+24.4 | D |
| 99 | 61.62% | 37.75% | D+23.9 | 59.47% | 38.07% | D+21.4 | D |
| 100 | 57.57% | 41.85% | D+15.7 | 58.15% | 39.86% | D+18.3 | D |
| 101 | 79.29% | 20.19% | D+59.1 | 76.54% | 21.27% | D+55.3 | D |
| 102 | 85.86% | 13.86% | D+72 | 83.21% | 15.08% | D+68.1 | D |
| 103 | 54.82% | 44.76% | D+10.1 | 58.71% | 39.21% | D+19.5 | R |
| 104 | 58.34% | 41.21% | D+17.1 | 62.33% | 35.40% | D+26.9 | D |
| 105 | 53.14% | 46.37% | D+6.8 | 56.16% | 41.22% | D+14.9 | R |
| 106 | 31.21% | 68.26% | R+37.1 | 33.84% | 63.71% | R+29.9 | R |
| 107 | 86.16% | 13.52% | D+72.6 | 83.68% | 14.67% | D+69 | D |
| 108 | 89.58% | 10.12% | D+79.5 | 87.11% | 11.24% | D+75.9 | D |
| 109 | 90.13% | 9.58% | D+80.6 | 86.38% | 12.14% | D+74.2 | D |
| 110 | 50.15% | 49.43% | D+0.7 | 52.71% | 45.14% | D+7.6 | R |
| 111 | 47.97% | 51.64% | R+3.7 | 52.16% | 45.66% | D+6.5 | R |
| 112 | 53.53% | 45.94% | D+7.6 | 61.62% | 35.70% | D+25.9 | D |
| 113 | 63.42% | 35.97% | D+27.5 | 67.40% | 30.24% | D+37.2 | D |
| 114 | 50.14% | 49.27% | D+0.9 | 55.75% | 41.60% | D+14.2 | D |
| 115 | 49.45% | 50.03% | R+0.6 | 54.08% | 43.37% | D+10.7 | R |
| 116 | 44.48% | 55.04% | R+10.6 | 50.91% | 46.43% | D+4.5 | R |
| 117 | 82.64% | 17.02% | D+65.6 | 78.36% | 19.57% | D+58.8 | D |
| 118 | 51.39% | 48.14% | D+3.3 | 54.87% | 42.54% | D+12.3 | D |
| 119 | 50.32% | 49.20% | D+1.1 | 55.15% | 42.23% | D+12.9 | R |
| 120 | 52.28% | 46.85% | D+5.4 | 49.21% | 47.52% | D+1.7 | R |
| Total | 50.01% | 49.13% | D+0.9 | 47.82% | 49.02% | R+1.2 | - |
| Source: Daily Kos | |||||||
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+6, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 6 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Florida's 15th Congressional District the 187th most Republican nationally.[5]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.97. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.97 points toward that party.[6]
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[7] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[8] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Cohn | Democratic Party | $2,353,501 | $2,320,645 | $32,856 | As of December 31, 2020 |
| Scott Franklin | Republican Party | $1,665,298 | $1,639,817 | $25,481 | As of December 31, 2020 |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
|||||
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[9]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[10][11][12]
| Race ratings: Florida's 15th Congressional District election, 2020 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| November 3, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | October 20, 2020 | October 13, 2020 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season. | |||||||||
Candidate ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for 15th Congressional District candidates in Florida in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Florida, click here.
| Filing requirements, 2020 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Signature formula | Filing fee | Filing fee formula | Filing deadline | Source |
| Florida | 15th Congressional District | Qualified party | 4,795 | 1% of registered voters in the district | $10,440.00 | 6% of annual salary | 4/24/2020 | Source |
| Florida | 15th Congressional District | Unaffiliated | 4,795 | 1% of registered voters in the district | $6,960.00 | 4% of annual salary | 4/24/2020 | Source |
District election history
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Florida District 15
Ross Spano defeated Kristen Carlson in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 15 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Ross Spano (R) | 53.0 | 151,380 | |
| Kristen Carlson (D) | 47.0 | 134,132 | ||
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.0 | 20 | ||
| Total votes: 285,532 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 15
Kristen Carlson defeated Andrew Learned and Raymond Pena Jr. in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 15 on August 28, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Kristen Carlson | 53.4 | 24,498 | |
| Andrew Learned | 31.6 | 14,509 | ||
| Raymond Pena Jr. | 15.1 | 6,912 | ||
| Total votes: 45,919 | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- James Gregory Pilkington (D)
- Jeffrey Rabinowitz (D)
- Greg Williams (D)
- Cameron Magnuson (D)
- Phil Hornback (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 15
Ross Spano defeated Neil Combee, Sean Harper, Danny Kushmer, and Ed Shoemaker in the Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 15 on August 28, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Ross Spano | 44.1 | 26,904 | |
| Neil Combee | 33.8 | 20,590 | ||
| Sean Harper | 9.9 | 6,018 | ||
| Danny Kushmer | 6.7 | 4,067 | ||
| Ed Shoemaker | 5.5 | 3,379 | ||
| Total votes: 60,958 | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Curt Rogers (R)
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Dennis Ross (R) defeated Jim Lange (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Neither candidate faced a primary opponent in August.[13][14]
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican |  Dennis Ross Incumbent |
57.5% | 182,999 | |
| Democratic | Jim Lange | 42.5% | 135,475 | |
| Total Votes | 318,474 | |||
| Source: Florida Division of Elections | ||||
2014
The 15th Congressional District of Florida held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Dennis Ross (R) defeated Alan Cohn (D) in the general election.
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dennis Ross Incumbent |
60.3% | 128,750 | |
| Democratic | Alan Cohn | 39.7% | 84,832 | |
| Total Votes | 213,582 | |||
| Source: Florida Division of Elections | ||||
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Florida, 2020
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2020
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ United States Census Bureau, "Counties by Congressional Districts," accessed June 8, 2016
- ↑ This change was not due to COVID-19. This deadline was extended after the state's voter registration website crashed.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Florida Department of State, "Candidate Listing for 2016 General Election," accessed June 25, 2016
- ↑ Politico, " Florida House Races Results," August 30, 2016
| |||||||||||