California's 19th Congressional District elections, 2012
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November 6, 2012 |
June 5, 2012 |
Zoe Lofgren |
Jeff Denham |
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The 19th Congressional District of California held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
Former 16th District incumbent Zoe Lofgren (D) won the election.[1]
| Candidate Filing Deadline | Primary Election | General Election |
|---|---|---|
Primary: California has a top-two primary system, in which the top two vote-getters, regardless of party, go on to the general election.
Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary by May 21. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 22.[2]
- See also: California elections, 2012
Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Jeff Denham (R), who was first elected in 2010.
This was the first election which used new district maps based on 2010 Census data. California's 19th Congressional District is located in the western portion of the state and includes much of Santa Clara County.[3]
Blanket primary
This was the first election year in which California's Top Two Candidates Open Primary Act was in effect. Because of this, all candidates for a seat competed in one blanket primary. The two candidates who received the most votes then advanced to the general election on November 6.
The proposition's intent was to encourage primary competition, which backers of the act said would lead to more moderate legislators being elected. The primary results did reflect an increase in competition, with California's percentage of contested primaries being much higher than the nationwide average.[4]
However, the increase in competition also led to an increase in campaign spending, due to the fact that competition within political parties lasted for the entire year rather than ending after the primary. Raphael J. Sonenshein, executive director of the Edmund G. "Pat" Brown Institute of Public Affairs at Cal State L.A., said the following, "It's hard to argue it's a better system where the incumbent congressman has a huge war chest and nobody else has any money... At least now we can make him spend it."[4]
As a result of the blanket primary, nine congressional districts had same-party candidates battling in the November 6 general election. Of those, seven were between Democrats.[5]
There were also over a dozen same-party races in the state legislature in November.[5]
Candidates
General election candidates
June 5, 2012, primary results
Zoe Lofgren
District 16 Incumbent[6]
Robert Murray
Jay Blas Jacob Cabrera
Election results
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic |  Zoe Lofgren Incumbent |
73.2% | 162,300 | |
| Republican | Robert Murray | 26.8% | 59,313 | |
| Total Votes | 221,613 | |||
| Source: California Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election" | ||||
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes |
|---|---|---|
|
Zoe Lofgren (D) Incumbent |
65.2% | 60,726 |
| Robert Murray (R) |
23% | 21,421 |
| Phat Nguyen (R) | 7.7% | 7,192 |
| Jay Blas Jacob Cabrera (NPP) | 4.1% | 3,829 |
| Total Votes | 93,168 | |
Impact of redistricting
- See also: Redistricting in California
The 19th District was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district is composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[7][8]
- 8 percent from the 11th Congressional District
- 11 percent from the 15th Congressional District
- 81 percent from the 16th Congressional District
Registration statistics
As of October 23, 2012, District 19 had the following partisan registration breakdown according to the California Secretary of State:
| California Congressional District 19[9] | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Congressional District | District Total | Democrats | Republicans | Other & Unaffiliated | Advantage | Party Advantage | Change in Advantage from 2010 |
| District 19 | 282,067 | 133,441 | 63,818 | 84,808 | Democratic | 109.10% | 124.58% |
| "Party advantage" is the percentage gap between the two major parties in registered voters. "Change in advantage" is the spread in difference of party advantage between 2010 and 2012 based on the congressional district number only. | |||||||
District partisanship
FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study
- See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012
In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. California's 19th District became more Republican because of redistricting.[10]
- 2012: 66D / 34R
- 2010: 67D / 33R
Cook Political Report's PVI
In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. California's 19th Congressional District has a PVI of D+16, which is the 67th most Democratic district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by Barack Obama (D), 70-30 percent over John McCain (R). In 2004, John Kerry (D) won the district 63-37 percent over George W. Bush (R).[11]
Campaign contributions
Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2012 elections season. Below are candidate reports.
Zoe Lofgren
| Zoe Lofgren (2012) Campaign Finance Reports | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Report | Date Filed | Beginning Balance | Total Contributions for Reporting Period | Expenditures | Cash on Hand | ||||
| April Quarterly[12] | April 14, 2012 | $525,842.09 | $86,009.06 | $(77,320.52) | $534,530.63 | ||||
| Pre-Primary[13] | May 23, 2012 | $534,530.63 | $27,800 | $(26,320.55) | $536,010.08 | ||||
| Running totals | |||||||||
| $113,809.06 | $(103,641.07) | ||||||||
District history
| Candidate ballot access |
|---|
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| Find detailed information on ballot access requirements in all 50 states and Washington, D.C. |
2010
On November 2, 2010, Jeff Denham won election to the United States House. He defeated Loraine Goodwin in the general election.[14]
| U.S. House, California District 19 General Election, 2010 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Republican | Jeff Denham Incumbent |
64.7% | 128,394 | |
| Democratic | Loraine Goodwin | 35.3% | 69,912 | |
| Total Votes | 198,306 | |||
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in California, 2012
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2012
Footnotes
- ↑ CNN, "California Districts Race - 2012 Election Center," accessed December 1, 2012
- ↑ California Secretary of State, "Elections FAQ," accessed July 20, 2012
- ↑ California Redistricting Map, "Map" accessed September 25, 2012
- ↑ 4.0 4.1 Los Angeles Times, "Few centrists advance in California's new primary system," June 7, 2012
- ↑ 5.0 5.1 Reuters, "Democrats face Democrats in new California election system," June 6, 2012
- ↑ California Democratic Party "Official California Democratic Party Endorsements," accessed March 3, 2012
- ↑ Moonshadow Mobile's CensusViewer, "California's congressional districts 2001-2011 comparison"
- ↑ Labels & Lists, "VoterMapping software voter counts"
- ↑ California Secretary of State, "Congressional Voter Registration Statistics," May 21, 2012
- ↑ "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in California," September 2012
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" accessed October 2012
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Zoe Lofgren April Quarterly," accessed July 10, 2012
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Zoe Lofgren Pre-Primary," accessed July 10, 2012
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
