Texas' 11th Congressional District election, 2020

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2022
2018
Texas' 11th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: December 9, 2019
Primary: March 3, 2020
Primary runoff: July 14, 2020
General: November 3, 2020

Pre-election incumbent:
Mike Conaway (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Texas
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Texas' 11th Congressional District
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Texas elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 11th Congressional District of Texas, held elections in 2020.

August Pfluger won election in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 11.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
December 9, 2019
March 3, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Republican Mike Conaway, who was first elected in 2004.

Texas' 11th Congressional District is located in the west-central portion of the state. The district is composed of all of Andrews, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Comanche, Concho, Dawson, Eastland, Ector, Glasscock, Hood, Irion, Kimble, Llano, Martin, Mason, McCulloch, Menard, Midland, Mills, Mitchell, Palo Pinto, Runnels, San Saba, Sterling and Tom Green counties and parts of Erath and Stephens counties.[1][2]

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, Texas' 11th Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 19.7 18.3
Republican candidate Republican Party 79.1 79.7
Difference 59.4 61.4

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

Texas modified its absentee/mail-in voting, candidate filing, and early voting procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Absentee/mail-in voting: Local election officials could not reject an absentee ballot due to a perceived signature mismatch unless the voter was given a pre-rejection notice of this finding and a "meaningful opportunity to cure his or her ballot's rejection." Return locations for absentee/mail-in ballots were limited to one per county.
  • Candidate filing procedures: The petition deadline for independent candidates for non-presidential office was extended to August 13, 2020.
  • Early voting: Early voting began on October 13, 2020.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Texas District 11

August Pfluger defeated Jon Mark Hogg and Wacey Alpha Cody in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 11 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of August Pfluger
August Pfluger (R)
 
79.7
 
232,568
Image of Jon Mark Hogg
Jon Mark Hogg (D) Candidate Connection
 
18.3
 
53,394
Image of Wacey Alpha Cody
Wacey Alpha Cody (L) Candidate Connection
 
2.0
 
5,811

Total votes: 291,773
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 11

Jon Mark Hogg advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 11 on March 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Jon Mark Hogg
Jon Mark Hogg Candidate Connection
 
100.0
 
16,644

Total votes: 16,644
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 11

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 11 on March 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of August Pfluger
August Pfluger
 
52.2
 
56,093
Image of Brandon Batch
Brandon Batch Candidate Connection
 
15.1
 
16,224
Image of Wesley Virdell
Wesley Virdell Candidate Connection
 
7.1
 
7,672
Image of Jamie Berryhill
Jamie Berryhill Candidate Connection
 
7.0
 
7,496
Image of J. Ross Lacy
J. Ross Lacy Candidate Connection
 
4.5
 
4,785
Image of J.D. Faircloth
J.D. Faircloth
 
4.0
 
4,257
Image of Casey Gray
Casey Gray
 
3.8
 
4,064
Image of Robert Tucker
Robert Tucker
 
2.9
 
3,137
Ned Luscombe
 
1.9
 
2,066
Gene Barber
 
1.5
 
1,641

Total votes: 107,435
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Libertarian convention

Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 11

Wacey Alpha Cody defeated Brian Holk in the Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 11 on March 21, 2020.

Candidate
Image of Wacey Alpha Cody
Wacey Alpha Cody (L) Candidate Connection
Image of Brian Holk
Brian Holk (L)

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

One of 254 Texas counties—0.4 percent—is a Pivot County. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Jefferson County, Texas 0.48% 1.61% 2.25%

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Texas with 52.2 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 43.2 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Texas cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 66.7 percent of the time. In that same time frame, Texas supported Democratic candidates slightly more often than Republicans, 53.3 to 46.7 percent. The state, however, favored Republicans in every presidential election between 2000 and 2016.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Texas. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[3][4]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 54 out of 150 state House districts in Texas with an average margin of victory of 37.4 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 65 out of 150 state House districts in Texas with an average margin of victory of 36.4 points. Clinton won 10 districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 96 out of 150 state House districts in Texas with an average margin of victory of 36.2 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 85 out of 150 state House districts in Texas with an average margin of victory of 34.5 points.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+32, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 32 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Texas' 11th Congressional District the second most Republican nationally.[5]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.03. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.03 points toward that party.[6]

Campaign finance

The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Jon Mark Hogg Democratic Party $138,322 $135,733 $2,589 As of December 31, 2020
August Pfluger Republican Party $2,598,806 $2,004,400 $594,406 As of December 31, 2020
Wacey Alpha Cody Libertarian Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[7]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[8][9][10]

Race ratings: Texas' 11th Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

Candidate ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for 11th Congressional District candidates in Texas in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Texas, click here.

Filing requirements, 2020
State Office Party Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
Texas 11th Congressional District Democratic or Republican N/A N/A $3,125.00 Fixed number 12/9/2019 Source
Texas 11th Congressional District Unaffiliated 500 5% of all votes cast for governor in the district in the last election; not to exceed 500 N/A N/A 12/9/2019 (declaration of intent); 8/13/2020 (final filing deadline) Source

District election history

2018

See also: Texas' 11th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Texas District 11

Incumbent Mike Conaway defeated Jennie Lou Leeder and Rhett Rosenquest Smith in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 11 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Mike Conaway
Mike Conaway (R)
 
80.1
 
176,603
Image of Jennie Lou Leeder
Jennie Lou Leeder (D)
 
18.4
 
40,631
Image of Rhett Rosenquest Smith
Rhett Rosenquest Smith (L)
 
1.4
 
3,143

Total votes: 220,377
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 11

Jennie Lou Leeder defeated Eric Pfalzgraf in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 11 on March 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Jennie Lou Leeder
Jennie Lou Leeder
 
82.7
 
7,246
Image of Eric Pfalzgraf
Eric Pfalzgraf
 
17.3
 
1,520

Total votes: 8,766
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 11

Incumbent Mike Conaway defeated Paul Myers in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 11 on March 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Mike Conaway
Mike Conaway
 
82.8
 
62,593
Paul Myers
 
17.2
 
12,960

Total votes: 75,553
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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2016

See also: Texas' 11th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Mike Conaway (R) defeated Nicholas Landholt (L) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Conaway ran unopposed in the Republican primary on March 1, 2016.[11][12]

U.S. House, Texas District 11 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngMike Conaway Incumbent 89.5% 201,871
     Libertarian Nicholas Landholt 10.5% 23,677
Total Votes 225,548
Source: Texas Secretary of State

2014

See also: Texas' 11th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 11th Congressional District of Texas held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Mike Conaway (Texas) (R) defeated Ryan Lange (L) in the general election.

U.S. House, Texas District 11 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngMike Conaway Incumbent 90.3% 107,939
     Libertarian Ryan Lange 9.7% 11,635
Total Votes 119,574
Source: Texas Secretary of State

See also

External links

Footnotes


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
Al Green (D)
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
District 14
District 15
District 16
District 17
District 18
Vacant
District 19
District 20
District 21
Chip Roy (R)
District 22
District 23
District 24
District 25
District 26
District 27
District 28
District 29
District 30
District 31
District 32
District 33
District 34
District 35
District 36
District 37
District 38
Republican Party (27)
Democratic Party (12)
Vacancies (1)