Presidential election in Maine, 2024

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Maine
2024 presidential election
Voting in Maine

Democratic primary: March 5, 2024
Democratic winner: Joe Biden (D)

Republican primary: March 5, 2024
Republican winner: Donald Trump (R)

Electoral College: Four votes
2024 winner: Kamala Harris (D) (statewide, ME-01)
Donald Trump (R) (ME-02)
2020 winner:
Joe Biden (D) (statewide, ME-01)
Donald Trump (R) (ME-02)
2016 winner: Hillary Clinton (D)
2012 winner: Barack Obama (D)

Use the dropdown menu below to read more about the presidential election in each state


Vice President Kamala Harris (D) won three electoral votes in Maine's presidential election on November 5, 2024, and former President Donald Trump (R) won one electoral vote. Harris won statewide and in Maine's 1st Congressional District, while Trump won Maine's 2nd Congressional District. Trump won the 2024 presidential election with 312 electoral votes to Harris' 226.

Maine is one of two states, along with Alaska, that used ranked-choice voting in the 2024 presidential election.

The Democratic and Republican Parties held primary elections on March 5, 2024.[1] Joe Biden (D) won the Democratic primary, and Donald Trump (R) won the Republican primary.

Maine was won by the Democratic candidate in each of the last eight presidential elections. The last Republican candidate to win the state was George H.W. Bush (R) in 1988.[2]

This page includes the following sections:

Candidates and election results

General election

Due to nationwide changes in election administration in 2020, Ballotpedia is exercising increased caution before projecting election winners. Click here to read our new election calling policy and vote total update schedule.
Presidential election results in Maine, 2024

The ranked-choice voting election was won by Kamala D. Harris in round 1 .

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 831,375
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.


Primary election

Maine Democratic presidential primary on March 5, 2024
 
Candidate
%
Votes
Pledged delegates
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Official_portrait_of_Vice_President_Joe_Biden.jpg
Joe Biden
 
92.2
 
60,018 24
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/DEAN_PHILLIPS_RESIZE.jpg
Dean Phillips
 
7.1
 
4,623 0
  Other
 
0.7
 
480 0

"Other" includes 480 votes for "Others." Source

Total votes: 65,121 • Total pledged delegates: 24


Maine Republican presidential primary on March 5, 2024
 
Candidate
%
Votes
Pledged delegates
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/473px-Official_Portrait_of_President_Donald_Trump.jpg
Donald Trump
 
72.6
 
79,034 20
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Nikki_Haley_official_Transition_portrait.jpg
Nikki Haley
 
25.6
 
27,912 0
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Ron_DeSantis__Official_Portrait__113th_Congress-7_fixed.jpg
Ron DeSantis
 
1.1
 
1,191 0
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/ramaswamy24.jpg
Vivek Ramaswamy
 
0.4
 
440 0
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/RyanBinkleySquare.jpg
Ryan Binkley
 
0.3
 
299 0

 Source

Total votes: 108,876 • Total pledged delegates: 20


Voting information

See also: Voting in Maine

Election information in Maine: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Oct. 15, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 15, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

Yes

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 31, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Oct. 31, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 31, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 6, 2024 to Oct. 31, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

6:00 a.m. - 8:00 p.m. (EST)


Race ratings, polling, and prediction markets

Race ratings

The map below displays presidential race ratings in each state. These ratings are generated by averaging the ratings from The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean and Tilt ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[3][4][5]

Polling

The chart below displays national polling averages for the 2024 presidential election from RealClearPolitics.

Prediction markets

The section below displays national PredictIt share prices and RealClearPolitics prediction market averages for the 2024 presidential election.

What is a prediction market?

Prediction markets allow users to purchase shares relating to the outcome of events using real money. Each event, such as an election, has a number of contracts associated with it, each correlating to a different outcome. For instance, an election contested between four candidates would be represented by eight separate contracts, with each contract correlating to a particular candidate winning or losing the election.

The share price in each individual forecast rises and falls based on market demand. Once the event's outcome is decided, holders of shares that correlate with the correct outcome receive a payout for each share they held.

For example, a user buys 10 shares at 20 cents each in a presidential primary saying Candidate A will win. If Candidate A wins the election, the user earns $10. If the candidate loses, the user earns no money and loses his original $2 investment.

Why do prediction markets matter?

Prediction markets can be used to gain insight into the outcome of elections. Microsoft Research economist David Rothschild argued that they are better suited to the task than polls: "I can create a poll that can mimic everything about a prediction market...except markets have a way of incentivizing you to come back at 2 a.m. and update your answer."[6][7][8]

PredictIt


The chart below shows 2024 presidential general election open share prices over time.[9]


Electoral vote allocation in Maine

See also: Electoral College

Article II, Section 1, of the United States Constitution provides that the President of the United States is elected by the Electoral College via majority vote in a single-winner contest. Of the 50 states, all but two award all of their presidential electors to the presidential candidate who wins the popular vote in the state. Maine and Nebraska each award two of their electors to the candidate who wins a plurality of the statewide vote, while the remaining electors are allocated to the winners of the plurality vote in the states' congressional districts.[10]

Maine implemented this method of electoral vote allocation in 1972. Heading into the 2024 presidential election, this allocation method had resulted in split votes twice. The first time was in 2016, when Donald Trump (R) won one electoral vote in Maine's 2nd Congressional District and Hillary Clinton (D) won the rest of the state's electoral votes. The second time was in 2020, when Donald Trump (R) again won one electoral vote in Maine's 2nd and Joe Biden (D) won the rest of the state's electoral votes.[11]

Previous presidential election results and analysis

See also: Presidential voting history by state and Presidential voting trends by state

Maine presidential election results (1900-2020)

Scroll to the right in the box below to view more recent presidential election results.

  • 11 Democratic wins
  • 20 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party R R R D R R R R R R R R R R R R D D R R R R R D D D D D D D D


Below is an analysis of Maine's voting record in presidential elections. The state's accuracy is based on the number of times a state has voted for a winning presidential candidate. The majority of statistical data is from the U.S. National Archives and Records Administration and was compiled, here, by Ballotpedia, unless otherwise noted.

Between 1900 and 2020:

  • Maine participated in 31 presidential elections.
  • Maine voted for the winning presidential candidate 61.3 percent of the time. The average accuracy of voting for winning presidential candidates for all 50 states in this time frame was 71.26 percent.[12]
  • Maine voted Democratic 35.5 percent of the time and Republican 64.5 percent of the time.

Recent statewide results

2020

General election

Presidential election results in Maine, 2020

The ranked-choice voting election was won by Joe Biden in round 1 .

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 819,461
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.


Primary election

Maine Democratic presidential primary on March 3, 2020
 
Candidate
%
Votes
Pledged delegates
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Official_portrait_of_Vice_President_Joe_Biden.jpg
Joe Biden
 
33.4
 
68,729 11
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Bernie_Sanders.jpg
Bernie Sanders
 
32.4
 
66,826 9
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Elizabeth_Warren--Official_113th_Congressional_Portrait--.jpg
Elizabeth Warren
 
15.6
 
32,055 4
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/400px-Mike_Bloomberg_Headshot.jpg
Michael Bloomberg
 
11.8
 
24,294 0
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/150px-Pete_buttigieg.jpg
Pete Buttigieg
 
2.1
 
4,364 0
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Amy_Klobuchar.jpg
Amy Klobuchar
 
1.4
 
2,826 0
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/TulsiGabbardReplace.jpg
Tulsi Gabbard
 
0.9
 
1,815 0
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Screen_Shot_2019-02-21_at_3.25.16_PM.png
Andrew Yang
 
0.3
 
696 0
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Tom_Steyer.jpg
Thomas Steyer
 
0.2
 
313 0
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Deval_Patrick.jpg
Deval Patrick
 
0.1
 
218 0
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/3HaJVw3AYyXBdF9iSRPp977CBFrGCMDhc1w2rHKAC1yEKppTQoGMxtNCjAfntRbE3vPfKMrXcV5x6tsZ7rfuCzeUq2zG7qQsmao4URt.jpeg
Marianne Williamson
 
0.1
 
201 0
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/CoryBooker.jpg
Cory Booker
 
0.1
 
183 0
  Other
 
1.7
 
3,417 0

 Source

Total votes: 205,937 • Total pledged delegates: 24


Maine Republican presidential primary on March 3, 2020
 
Candidate
%
Votes
Pledged delegates
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/473px-Official_Portrait_of_President_Donald_Trump.jpg
Donald Trump
 
83.8
 
95,360 22
  Other
 
16.2
 
18,368 0

 Source

Total votes: 113,728 • Total pledged delegates: 22

Recent county-level results

How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:


Following the 2020 presidential election, 53.0% of Mainers lived in one of the state's seven Solid Democratic counties, which voted for the Democratic presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020, and 36.6% lived in one of seven Trending Republican counties. Overall, Maine was Solid Democratic, having voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2012, Hillary Clinton (D) in 2016, and Joe Biden (D) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Maine following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.

Presidential elections by state decided by 5 percentage points or less

See also: Presidential statewide margins of victory of 5 percentage points or fewer, 1948-2020

The following map shows the number of times, in presidential elections held between 1948 and 2020, that the margin of victory was 5 percentage points or fewer in each state.

  • Wisconsin was the state with the most frequently narrow margins during this time period, appearing on the list in 11 presidential elections.
  • Three states appeared nine times: Florida, Nevada, and Pennsylvania.
  • The state with the narrowest margin of victory was Florida in 2000 at 537 votes or one-hundredth of a percentage point.

Effect of the 2020 census on electoral votes

Every ten years, the United States conducts the census, a complete count of the U.S. population. The data gleaned from the census process is used to determine several things, including legislative district lines, a state's number of U.S. House representatives, and the number of votes a state has in the Electoral College.

The 2024 presidential election was the first presidential election to take place using the electoral vote counts produced by the 2020 census. Six states gained votes in the Electoral College, while seven states lost votes. See the table below for exact figures.

Electoral votes gained and lost after the 2020 census
State Votes gained (new total) State Votes lost (new total)
Texas +2 (40) California -1 (54)
Colorado +1 (10) Illinois -1 (19)
Florida +1 (30) Michigan -1 (15)
Montana +1 (4) New York -1 (28)
North Carolina +1 (16) Ohio -1 (17)
Oregon +1 (8) Pennsylvania -1 (19)
West Virginia -1 (4)


Noteworthy events

U.S. Supreme Court rules Trump cannot be barred from Maine's presidential primary ballot under the 14th Amendment (2023-2024)

On March 4, 2024, the United States Supreme Court ruled unanimously that Maine could not remove Donald Trump (R) from its presidential primary ballot. The Court wrote, "responsibility for enforcing Section 3 [of the 14th Amendment] against federal officeholders and candidates rests with Congress and not the States." The opinion said that 14th Amendment enforcement in federal elections was not specifically delegated to the states and that "an evolving electoral map could dramatically change the behavior of voters, parties, and States across the country, in different ways and at different times. The disruption would be all the more acute—and could nullify the votes of millions and change the election result—if Section 3 enforcement were attempted after the Nation has voted. Nothing in the Constitution requires that we endure such chaos—arriving at any time or different times, up to and perhaps beyond the Inauguration."[13]

On December 28, 2023, Maine Secretary of State Shenna Bellows ruled that Trump did not qualify for the state's primary ballot. Bellows said that Trump did not qualify for the state's ballot based on Section 3 of the 14th Amendment, which "prohibits people who have taken an oath 'to support' the U.S. Constitution from holding office if they have 'engaged in insurrection or rebellion against the same,' or have 'given aid or comfort to the enemies thereof.'"[14] Bellows wrote: "'I am mindful that no secretary of state has ever deprived a presidential candidate of ballot access based on Section 3 of the 14th Amendment. I am also mindful, however, that no presidential candidate has ever before engaged in insurrection.'"[14] Lawyers for Trump argued that Maine's secretary of state "lacked the authority to exclude him from the ballot."[14] On January 17, 2024, Judge Michaela Murphy of the Kennebec County Superior Court ruled that Bellows' decision should remain on hold until the U.S. Supreme Court issues a ruling on whether Trump could be removed from the Colorado presidential ballot.[15]

Bellows' decision followed the Colorado Supreme Court's ruling that Trump was ineligible to appear on that state's primary ballot on December 19, 2023.[16] The Colorado Supreme Court was the first court in the country to determine that the 14th Amendment's disqualification clause applied to Trump. After Maine's ruling, Illinois also issued a ruling barring Trump from the state's ballot under the 14th Amendment.

Presidential election endorsements in Maine

See also: Presidential election endorsements, 2024

The section below displays current and former party leaders, governors and other state executives, members of Congress, mayors of large cities, and state legislative majority and minority leaders in Maine who issued an endorsement in the 2024 presidential election. See something we missed? Email us.

Presidential endorsements by Maine elected officials and party leaders, 2024
Name State Party Candidate Date
Susan Collins ME Republican Party Nikki Haley March 1, 2024 source
Angus King ME Democratic Party Kamala D. Harris September 26, 2024 source
Chellie Pingree ME Democratic Party Kamala D. Harris July 22, 2024 source
Aaron Frey ME Democratic Party Kamala D. Harris July 23, 2024 source
Shenna Bellows ME Democratic Party Kamala D. Harris July 21, 2024 source


Democratic primary

See also: Democratic presidential nomination, 2024
HIGHLIGHTS
  • Joe Biden (D) won the Maine Democratic primary on March 5, 2024.[17]
  • Maine had an estimated 32 delegates comprised of 24 pledged delegates and eight superdelegates. Delegate allocation was proportional.[18]
  • The Democratic primary was semi-closed, meaning only registered Democrats and independents were able to vote in the election.[19]

    • The Democratic Party selected Vice President Kamala Harris (D) as its nominee during a virtual roll call vote on August 2, 2024, ahead of the in-person 2024 Democratic National Convention, which took place from August 19-22, 2024, in Chicago, Illinois.[20][21][22][23][24]

    Joe Biden (D) withdrew from the presidential race on July 21, 2024.[25] Biden crossed the majority delegate threshold necessary to win the Democratic nomination on March 12, 2024, which made him the presumptive Democratic nominee.

    Before the national convention, individual state caucuses and primaries were held to allocate convention delegates. To read more about the 2024 primary schedule click here. These delegates, along with superdelegates who come from the party leadership, voted at the virtual roll call to select the nominee.

    Republican primary

    See also: Republican presidential nomination, 2024
    HIGHLIGHTS
  • Donald Trump (R) won the Maine Republican primary on March 5, 2024.
  • Maine had an estimated 20 delegates. Delegate allocation was a hybrid system.[26]
  • The Republican primary was semi-closed, meaning only registered Republicans and independents were able to vote in the election.[27]

    • The Republican Party selected former President Donald Trump (R) as its 2024 presidential nominee at the 2024 Republican National Convention, which was held from July 15-18, 2024, in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

    Before the convention, each state, Washington, D.C., and five U.S. territories held a primary, caucus, or convention to decide how to allocate delegates at the national convention. These nominating events began in January and ended in June. Trump crossed the delegate threshold necessary to win the nomination—1,215—on March 12, 2024.

    Republican presidential candidates participated in five primary debates, with the first being held held in August 2023 and the last in January 2024.[28] Trump did not participate in any of the debates.

    Trump was the sixth U.S. president to run for re-election to non-consecutive terms.[29] Grover Cleveland (D), the 22nd and 24th president of the United States, is the only president who has been elected to non-consecutive terms. Before Trump's 2024 campaign, the most recent former president to run for non-consecutive terms was Theodore Roosevelt (R), who sought re-election in 1912 as a Progressive Party candidate after leaving office in 1909.

    Candidate filing requirements

    See also: Ballot access requirements for presidential candidates in Maine

    The tables below detail filing requirements for presidential candidates in Maine in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Maine, click here.

    Presidential primary candidates

    Filing requirements for presidential primary candidates in Maine, 2024
    State Party Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
    Maine Qualified political parties 2,000 Fixed N/A N/A 12/1/2023 Source

    Independent presidential candidates

    Filing requirements for independent candidates in Maine, 2024
    State Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
    Maine 4,000 Fixed N/A N/A 8/1/2024[30] Source

    About the state

    Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.

    • Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
    • State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
    • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.


    This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.

    U.S. Senate elections

    See also: List of United States Senators from Maine

    The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Maine.

    U.S. Senate election results in Maine
    Race Winner Runner up
    2020 51.0%Republican Party 42.4%Democratic Party
    2018 54.3%Grey.png (Independent) 35.2%Republican Party
    2014 68.5%Republican Party 31,5%Democratic Party
    2012 52.9%Grey.png (Independent) 30.7%Republican Party
    2008 61.3%Republican Party 38.6%Democratic Party
    Average 57.6 36.7

    Gubernatorial elections

    See also: Governor of Maine

    The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Maine.

    Gubernatorial election results in Maine
    Race Winner Runner up
    2022 55.7%Democratic Party 42.4%Republican Party
    2018 50.9%Democratic Party 43.2%Republican Party
    2014 48.2%Republican Party 43.4%Democratic Party
    2010 37.6%Republican Party 35.9%Grey.png (Independent)
    2006 38.1%Republican Party 30.2%Democratic Party
    Average 44.4 38.8
    See also: Party control of Maine state government

    Congressional delegation

    The table below displays the partisan composition of Maine's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

    Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Maine
    Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
    Democratic 0 2 2
    Republican 1 0 1
    Independent 1 0 1
    Vacancies 0 0 0
    Total 2 2 4

    State executive

    The table below displays the officeholders in Maine's top three state executive offices as of May 2024.

    State executive officials in Maine, May 2024
    Office Officeholder
    Governor Democratic Party Janet T. Mills
    Secretary of State Democratic Party Shenna Bellows
    Attorney General Democratic Party Aaron Frey

    State legislature

    Maine State Senate

    Party As of February 2024
         Democratic Party 22
         Republican Party 13
         Other 0
         Vacancies 0
    Total 35

    Maine House of Representatives

    Party As of February 2024
         Democratic Party 80
         Republican Party 68
         Independent 1
         Independent for Maine Party 1
         Libertarian Party 0
         Other 0
         Vacancies 1
    Total 151

    Trifecta control

    The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

    Maine Party Control: 1992-2024
    Fourteen years of Democratic trifectas  •  Two years of Republican trifectas
    Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

    Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
    Governor R R R I I I I I I I I D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D
    Senate D D D R R D D D D S S D D D D D D D D R R D D R R R R D D D D D D
    House D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R D D D D D D D D D D D D

    The table below details demographic data in Maine and compares it to the broader United States as of 2022.

    Demographic Data for Maine
    Maine United States
    Population 1,362,359 331,449,281
    Land area (sq mi) 30,844 3,531,905
    Race and ethnicity**
    White 92.3% 65.9%
    Black/African American 1.6% 12.5%
    Asian 1.1% 5.8%
    Native American 0.5% 0.8%
    Pacific Islander 0% 0.2%
    Two or more 3.9% 8.8%
    Hispanic/Latino 1.9% 18.7%
    Education
    High school graduation rate 94.1% 89.1%
    College graduation rate 34.1% 34.3%
    Income
    Median household income $68,251 $75,149
    Persons below poverty level 6.4% 8.8%
    Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2017-2022).
    **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

    Presidential election by state

    See also: Presidential election by state, 2024

    Click on a state below to navigate to information about the presidential election in that jurisdiction.

    https://ballotpedia.org/Presidential_election_in_STATE,_2024

    See also

    White House Logo.png
    Ballotpedia's 2024 presidential election coverage
    Presidential election by state, 2016-2024
    Use the dropdown menu below to navigate Ballotpedia's historical coverage of the presidential election in each state.
    Additional reading




    Footnotes

    1. ↑ Maine Secretary of State, "Upcoming Elections," accessed May 15, 2023
    2. ↑ 270 to Win, "Maine," accessed June 17, 2019
    3. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
    4. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
    5. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
    6. ↑ Nature, "The power of prediction markets," October 18, 2016
    7. ↑ Politico, "Meet the 'stock market' for politics," October 31, 2014
    8. ↑ U.S. Presidential General Election Results, "2008 Electoral Map Based on the Intrade Prediction Market," accessed January 25, 2018
    9. ↑ PredictIt, "Who will win the 2024 US presidential election?" accessed December 16, 2022
    10. ↑ United States Constitution, "Article II, Section 1," accessed July 7, 2017
    11. ↑ National Archives, "Distribution of Electoral Votes," accessed October 1, 2024
    12. ↑ This average includes states like Arizona, New Mexico, and Oklahoma, which did not participate in all 30 presidential elections between 1900 and 2020. It does not include Washington, D.C., which cast votes for president for the first time in 1964, or Alaska and Hawaii, which cast votes for president for the first time in 1960.
    13. ↑ Supreme Court, "Trump v. Anderson," accessed March 4, 2024
    14. ↑ 14.0 14.1 14.2 The New York Times, "Maine Joins Colorado in Finding Trump Ineligible for Primary Ballot," December 28, 2023
    15. ↑ CBS News, "Maine court pauses order that excluded Trump from primary ballot, pending Supreme Court ruling," January 17, 2024
    16. ↑ The New York Times, "Trump Is Disqualified From 2024 Ballot, Colorado Court Says in Explosive Ruling," December 19, 2023
    17. ↑ Maine Secretary of State, "Upcoming Elections," accessed May 15, 2023
    18. ↑ The Green Papers, "Maine Democrat," accessed May 15, 2023
    19. ↑ The Green Papers, "Maine Democrat," accessed May 15, 2023
    20. ↑ USA Today, "Harris makes history as first Black woman, Asian American presidential nominee," August 2, 2024
    21. ↑ ABC News, "DNC to nominate Biden and Harris to bypass Ohio ballot issues," May 28, 2024
    22. ↑ The New York Times, "Democrats Set Aug. 1 for Harris Nomination Vote," July 24, 2024
    23. ↑ CBS News, "Kamala Harris closer to being nominee as DNC approves early virtual roll call vote," July 24, 2024
    24. ↑ DNC, "DNC and DNCC Chairs Announce Results of Presidential Nominating Petition Process and Opening of Virtual Roll Call on August 1," July 30, 2024
    25. ↑ X, "Biden on July 21, 2024," accessed July 21, 2024
    26. ↑ The Green Papers, "Maine Republican," accessed May 15, 2023
    27. ↑ The Green Papers, "Maine Republican," accessed May 15, 2023
    28. ↑ The Hill, "RNC votes to hold first presidential debate in Milwaukee," February 23, 2023
    29. ↑ Pew Research Center, "Few former presidents have run for their old jobs – or anything else – after leaving office,' November 16, 2022
    30. ↑ Petitions must be submittied to municipal registrars by 7/25/24, and submitted to the secretary of state by 8/1/24.
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    Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (I) • Kennedy's campaign staff • Joe Biden (D) • Biden campaign staff • Dean Phillips (D) • Phillips campaign staff • Marianne Williamson (D) • Williamson campaign staff • Ryan Binkley (R) • Binkley campaign staff • Doug Burgum (R) • Burgum campaign staff • Chris Christie (R) • Christie campaign staff • Ron DeSantis (R) • DeSantis campaign staff • Larry Elder (R) • Elder campaign staff • Nikki Haley (R) • Haley campaign staff • Will Hurd (R) • Hurd campaign staff • Asa Hutchinson (R) • Hutchinson campaign staff • Perry Johnson (R) • Johnson campaign staff • Mike Pence (R) • Pence campaign staff • Vivek Ramaswamy (R) • Ramaswamy campaign staff • Tim Scott (R) • Scott campaign staff • Corey Stapleton (R) • Stapleton campaign staff • Francis Suarez (R) • Suarez campaign staff
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