Presidential election in Wisconsin, 2020

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search


2024
2016
Wisconsin
2020 presidential election

Democratic primary: April 7, 2020
Democratic winner: Joe Biden


Republican primary: April 7, 2020
Republican winner: Donald Trump


Electoral College: 10 votes
2020 winner: Joe Biden (D)
2016 winner: Donald Trump (R)
2012 winner: Barack Obama (D)


Presidential election by state, 2020

Former Vice President Joe Biden (D) won the presidential election in Wisconsin on November 3, 2020. Biden won the presidential election with 306 electoral votes to President Donald Trump's (R) 232 electoral votes.

Biden won the Democratic primary on April 7, 2020. Trump, who ran unopposed, won the Republican primary.

Wisconsin favored Democratic presidential candidates in the four elections between 2000 and 2012, then voted for Trump in 2016. Trump received 47.2 percent of the vote to Hillary Clinton's (D) 46.5 percent, Gary Johnson's (L) 3.6 percent, and Jill Stein's (G) 1 percent.

Between 1900 and 2016, Wisconsin supported Republicans candidates in 50 percent of presidential elections and Democratic candidates in 47 percent.

This page includes the following sections:

Lawsuits related to the presidential election in Wisconsin

See also: Ballotpedia's 2020 Election Help Desk: Presidential election results subject to lawsuits and recounts

Trump v. Biden

  • Case name: Trump v. Biden
  • Related election/s: Presidential election (Wisconsin)
  • Court: Supreme Court of the United States (lower courts: Milwaukee County Circuit Court, Wisconsin Supreme Court)
  • Issue: Whether certain absentee/mail-in ballots were accepted illegally and, if so, whether those ballots should be set aside and omitted from the final count.
  • Current status/outcome: Judge Stephen Simanek dismissed the lawsuit from the bench, saying, "There is no credible evidence of misconduct or wide-scale fraud." The Wisconsin Supreme Court affirmed the judgment. The Supreme Court of the United States declined to take up the appeal, allowing the lower court's decision to stand.

Trump v. Evers

  • Case name: Trump v. Evers
  • Related election/s: Presidential election (Wisconsin)
  • Court: Wisconsin Supreme Court
  • Issue: Whether more than 200,000 absentee/mail-in ballots are defective and should, therefore, be excluded from the final results.
  • Current status/outcome: The state supreme court voted 4-3 against taking up a the lawsuit. The court did not rule on the merits of the case, instead finding that the Trump campaign could not bypass the lower state courts and file its suit directly with the state supreme court.
  • Order/decision date: December 3, 2020
  • Order/opinion link: Pending

Trump v. Wisconsin Elections Commission

Recount in Wisconsin

See also: Ballotpedia's 2020 Election Help Desk: Presidential election results subject to lawsuits and recounts

On November 18, 2020, President Donald Trump (R) and Vice President Mike Pence (R) petitioned the Wisconsin Elections Commission for recounts in Dane and Milwaukee counties. In their petition, Trump and Pence alleged that "mistakes and fraud were committed throughout the state of Wisconsin, including particularly in the city of Madison, the city of Milwaukee, and throughout Dane County and Milwaukee County."[13]

The Trump campaign wired the state elections commission $3 million to pay for the costs of the recounts. Late in the evening on November 18, 2020, after deadlocking on a number of procedural points, the commission's three Democrats and three Republicans voted unanimously to approve the recount, which got underway on November 19, 2020.[14][15]

On November 27, 2020, Milwaukee County announced the results of its recount. On November 29, 2020, Dane County followed suit. The recounts in these two counties resulted in a net gain of 87 votes for Biden.[16]

Candidates and election results

General election


Presidential election in Wisconsin, 2020
 
Candidate/Running mate
%
Popular votes
Electoral votes
Image of
Image of
Joe Biden/Kamala D. Harris (D)
 
49.5
 
1,630,673 10
Image of
Image of
Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R)
 
48.8
 
1,610,065 0
Image of
Image of
Jo Jorgensen/Spike Cohen (L)
 
1.2
 
38,491 0
Image of
Image of
Brian T. Carroll/Amar Patel (American Solidarity Party)
 
0.2
 
5,258 0
Image of
Image of
Don Blankenship/William Mohr (Constitution Party)
 
0.2
 
5,144 0
  Other write-in votes
 
0.2
 
7,721 0

Total votes: 3,297,352



Primary election

Wisconsin Democratic presidential primary on April 7, 2020
 
Candidate
%
Votes
Pledged delegates
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Official_portrait_of_Vice_President_Joe_Biden.jpg
Joe Biden
 
62.9
 
581,463 56
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Bernie_Sanders.jpg
Bernie Sanders
 
31.7
 
293,441 28
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Elizabeth_Warren--Official_113th_Congressional_Portrait--.jpg
Elizabeth Warren
 
1.5
 
14,060 0
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/400px-Mike_Bloomberg_Headshot.jpg
Michael Bloomberg
 
1.0
 
8,846 0
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Amy_Klobuchar.jpg
Amy Klobuchar
 
0.7
 
6,079 0
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/TulsiGabbardReplace.jpg
Tulsi Gabbard
 
0.6
 
5,565 0
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/150px-Pete_buttigieg.jpg
Pete Buttigieg
 
0.5
 
4,946 0
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Screen_Shot_2019-02-21_at_3.25.16_PM.png
Andrew Yang
 
0.4
 
3,349 0
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Tom_Steyer.jpg
Thomas Steyer
 
0.1
 
836 0
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/John_Delaney_113th_Congress_official_photo.jpg
John Delaney
 
0.1
 
529 0
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Michael_Bennet.jpg
Michael Bennet
 
0.1
 
475 0
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Deval_Patrick.jpg
Deval Patrick
 
0.0
 
311 0
  Other
 
0.6
 
5,165 0

Total votes: 925,065 • Total pledged delegates: 84


Wisconsin Republican presidential primary on April 7, 2020
 
Candidate
%
Votes
Pledged delegates
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/473px-Official_Portrait_of_President_Donald_Trump.jpg
Donald Trump
 
97.9
 
616,782 52
  Other
 
2.1
 
13,416 0

Total votes: 630,198 • Total pledged delegates: 52

Polls in Wisconsin

Pivot Counties in Wisconsin

See also: Election results, 2020: Pivot Counties' margins of victory analysis

Pivot Counties are the 206 counties nationwide Ballotpedia identified as having voted for Barack Obama (D) in the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections and Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Media and political observers sometimes refer to these counties as swing counties.

Ballotpedia defines Pivot Counties Trump won in 2020 as Retained Pivot Counties and those Joe Biden (D) won as Boomerang Pivot Counties.

Trump won 181 Retained Pivot Counties across 32 states to Biden's 25 Boomerang Pivot Counties across 16 states. Trump's median margin of victory was 13.2 percentage points in those 181 counties, while Biden's median margin of victory was 3.4 percentage points among the 25 he won.[17][18]

In 2020, Wisconsin had 21 Retained Pivot Counties, two Boomerang Pivot Counties, 12 Solid Democratic counties, and 37 Solid Republican counties.

Biden won Wisconsin by 0.6 percentage points. He saw a margin change of 1.4 percentage points compared to 2016, flipping the state which had previously voted for Trump.

Both Biden and Trump increased their respective vote shares in every county category. Biden increased the Democratic margin in all categories apart from Retained Pivot Counties. His largest margin change was 3.4 percentage points in Solid Democratic counties. Trump increased his margin in Retained Pivot Counties by 0.8 percentage points.

The table below compares margins in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. Percentages show the share of the vote received by a candidate. Margins and changes are shown as changes in percentage points. The overall winner of a given category can be found under the "2020" data. The "Percentage point change" section shows changes in vote share and in margins. Figures were calculated by combining the vote totals across all counties of a given category and may not equal 100% due to rounding.

Wisconsin presidential election results by county category, 2016-2020
Year # 2016 2020 Percentage point change
Clinton Trump Third party Margin Biden Trump Third party Margin Democratic Republican Third party Margin
Retained 21 42.8% 51.0% 6.1% R+8.2 44.7% 53.6% 1.7% R+8.9 +1.8 +2.6 -4.4 R+0.8
Boomerang 2 46.4% 47.8% 5.9% R+1.4 50.0% 48.4% 1.6% D+1.6 +3.6 +0.6 -4.2 D+3.0
Solid Dem. 12 62.6% 30.9% 6.5% D+31.7 66.6% 31.6% 1.8% D+35.1 +4.0 +0.7 -4.7 D+3.4
Solid Repub. 37 35.5% 58.2% 6.3% R+22.7 38.6% 59.7% 1.7% R+21.1 +3.1 +1.5 -4.6 D+1.7
All 58 46.5% 47.2% 6.3% R+0.8 49.4% 48.8% 1.7% D+0.6 +3.0 +1.6 -4.6 D+1.4



Both Biden and Trump received their largest shares of new votes from Solid Republican counties at 45.2% and 61.5%, respectively.

Retained Pivot Counties made up 14.4% of Biden's statewide vote total and 17.5% of Trump's. Boomerang Pivot Counties accounted for 1.7% of both Biden's and Trump's vote total.

The table below shows how much of a candidate's vote total came from a particular county category. Data under "New votes, 2020" shows the percentage of a candidate's new votes by county category compared to 2016 vote totals.

Percentage of votes by county category in Wisconsin's 2016 and 2020 presidential elections
Year # 2016 2020 New votes, 2020
Clinton Trump Biden Trump Democratic
votes
Republican
votes
Total votes 72 1,382,536 1,405,284 1,630,866 1,610,184 +248,330 +204,900
Retained 21 14.6% 17.1% 14.4% 17.5% 13.6% 20.6%
Boomerang 2 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 2.2% 1.9%
Solid Dem. 12 47.8% 23.2% 46.5% 22.3% 39.0% 16.0%
Solid Repub. 37 35.9% 58.0% 37.3% 58.4% 45.2% 61.5%

PredictIt market in Wisconsin

See also: PredictIt markets in the 2020 presidential election

What is a PredictIt market?

PredictIt is an online political futures market in which users purchase shares relating to the outcome of political events using real money. Each event, such as an election, has a number of contracts associated with it, each correlating to a different outcome. For instance, an election contested between four candidates would be represented by eight separate contracts, with each contract correlating to a particular candidate winning or losing the election.

The price of a share in each individual contract rises and falls based on market demand. Once the event's outcome is decided, holders of shares that correlate with the correct outcome receive a $1 payout for each share they held.

For example, a user buys 10 shares at 20 cents each in a presidential primary saying Candidate A will win. If Candidate A wins the election, the user earns $10. If the candidate loses, the user earns no money and loses his original $2 investment.

Why do PredictIt markets matter?

Services such as PredictIt are being used to gain insight into the likely outcome of elections. Microsoft Research economist David Rothschild argues that they are better suited to the task than polls: "I can create a poll that can mimic everything about a prediction market...except markets have a way of incentivizing you to come back at 2 a.m. and update your answer."[19][20][21]

Campaign events in Wisconsin

This section features clips of Biden and Trump at presidential campaign events in Wisconsin during the 2020 general election.

Biden in Wisconsin

Biden in Milwaukee, October 30, 2020
Biden in Manitowoc, September 21, 2020
Biden in Kenosha, September 3, 2020

Trump in Wisconsin

Trump in Kenosha, November 2, 2020
Trump in Green Bay, October 30, 2020
Trump in West Salem, October 27, 2020
Trump in Waukesha, October 24, 2020
Trump in Janesville, October 17, 2020
Trump in Mosinee, September 17, 2020
Trump in Oshkosh, August 17, 2020

Government response to coronavirus pandemic in Wisconsin

Summary of changes to election dates and procedures

Wisconsin modified its absentee/mail-in voting procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Absentee/mail-in voting: Absentee and mail-in ballot applications were sent to most registered voters in the general election.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

Frequently asked questions

See also: Ballotpedia's 2020 Election Help Desk: Presidential election

The 2020 election took place against a backdrop of uncertainty. Our readers had questions about what to expect in elections at all levels of government, from the casting of ballots to the certification of final results. Ballotpedia's 2020 Election Help Desk was designed to answer those questions. Ballotpedia is in the process of compiling and answering frequently asked questions related to the 2020 elections. Questions related to this election will be available soon.


Additional resources

Democratic primary

See also: Democratic presidential nomination, 2020
HIGHLIGHTS
  • Wisconsin held a Democratic primary on April 7, 2020.
  • Wisconsin had an estimated 97 delegates comprised of 84 pledged delegates and 13 superdelegates. Delegate allocation was proportional.
  • The Democratic primary was open, meaning registered voters did not have to be members of the party to vote in its primary.

  • Former Vice President Joe Biden (D) was formally nominated as the Democratic presidential nominee at the 2020 Democratic National Convention on August 18, 2020.[22] The convention was originally scheduled to take place July 13-16, 2020.[23] Organizers postponed the event in response to the coronavirus pandemic.

    Prior to the national convention, individual state caucuses and primaries were held to allocate convention delegates. These delegates vote at the convention to select the nominee. In 2020, a Democratic presidential candidate needed support from 1,991 delegates to secure the nomination.

    With the plurality of pledged delegates, Biden became the presumptive Democratic nominee on April 8, 2020, after Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) suspended his presidential campaign.[24] Biden crossed the delegate threshold necessary to win the nomination on June 5, 2020.[25]

    Biden announced U.S. Sen. Kamala Harris (D) as his running mate on August 11, 2020. Harris is the first Black woman to appear on a major party's ticket in the United States.[26]

    Democratic National Convention in Milwaukee

    Milwaukee, Wisconsin, was the host of the 2020 Democratic convention. DNC Chairman Tom Perez (D) said of the city, "The Democratic Party is the party of working people, and Milwaukee is a city of working people. We saw in this last election what we can accomplish when we come together, invest, and fight for working people, and that was proven right here in Wisconsin."[27] It was Milwaukee's first national major-party convention, the first Democratic convention in the Midwest since 1996, and the first Democratic convention in a Midwestern city other than Chicago since 1916.[28]

    The choice signalled a Democratic focus on Wisconsin and nearby states and a repudiation of the Hillary Clinton campaign's decision not to emphasize the region in 2016, according to National Public Radio analyst Don Gonyea.[29] In 2016, Donald Trump (R) carried Wisconsin by a margin of 0.7 percentage points. He was the first Republican presidential candidate to carry the state since Ronald Reagan (R) in 1984.


    Republican primary

    See also: Republican presidential nomination, 2020
    HIGHLIGHTS
  • Wisconsin held its Republican primary on April 7, 2019.
  • Wisconsin had an estimated 52 delegates. Delegate allocation was hybrid, with at-large delegates going to the statewide plurality winner and congressional district delegates allocated to winners of each district.
  • The primary was open, meaning registered voters did not have to be members of the party to vote in its primary.

  • The Republican Party selected President Donald Trump as its presidential nominee at the 2020 Republican National Convention, which was held from August 24-27, 2020.[30]

    Prior to the national convention, individual state caucuses and primaries were held to allocate convention delegates. These delegates vote at the convention to select the nominee. Trump crossed the delegate threshold necessary to win the nomination—1,276 delegates—on March 17, 2020.

    George H.W. Bush (R) was the last incumbent to face a serious primary challenge, defeating political commentator Pat Buchanan in 1992. He was also the last president to lose his re-election campaign. Franklin Pierce (D) was the first and only elected president to lose his party's nomination in 1856.[31]

    Sixteen U.S. presidents—approximately one-third—have won two consecutive elections.


    Candidate filing requirements

    See also: Ballot access requirements for presidential candidates in Wisconsin

    The tables below detail filing requirements for presidential candidates in Wisconsin in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Wisconsin, click here.

    Presidential primary candidates

    Filing requirements for presidential primary candidates in Wisconsin, 2020[32]
    State Party Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
    Wisconsin Qualified political parties 8,000 1,000 signatures from each congressional district N/A N/A 1/28/2020 Source

    Independent presidential candidates

    Filing requirements for independent candidates in Wisconsin, 2020
    State Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
    Wisconsin 2,000 Fixed by statute N/A N/A 8/4/2020 Source

    Historical election results

    2016

    General election

    U.S. presidential election, Wisconsin, 2016
    Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes
         Democratic Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine 46.5% 1,382,536 0
         Republican Green check mark transparent.pngDonald Trump/Mike Pence 47.2% 1,405,284 10
         Libertarian Gary Johnson/Bill Weld 3.6% 106,674 0
         Green Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka 1% 31,072 0
         Constitution Darrell Lane Castle/Scott Bradley 0.4% 12,162 0
         Workers Party Monica Moorehead/Lamont Lilly 0.1% 1,770 0
         American Delta Rocky De La Fuente/Michael Steinberg 0.1% 1,502 0
         - Write-in votes 1.2% 35,150 0
    Total Votes 2,976,150 10
    Election results via: Wisconsin Elections Commission

    Note: The vote totals above are from the recount.

    Primary election

    Wisconsin Democratic Primary, 2016
    Candidate Vote % Votes Delegates
    Green check mark transparent.pngBernie Sanders 56.6% 567,936 48
    Hillary Clinton 43.1% 432,767 38
    Martin O'Malley 0.2% 1,765 0
    Other 0.1% 1,436 0
    Totals 1,003,904 86
    Source: The New York Times and Wisconsin Vote


    Wisconsin Republican Primary, 2016
    Candidate Vote % Votes Delegates
    Green check mark transparent.pngTed Cruz 48.2% 531,129 36
    Donald Trump 35.1% 386,290 6
    John Kasich 14.1% 155,200 0
    Jeb Bush 0.3% 3,156 0
    Ben Carson 0.5% 5,608 0
    Chris Christie 0.1% 1,310 0
    Carly Fiorina 0.1% 825 0
    Jim Gilmore 0% 242 0
    Mike Huckabee 0.1% 1,428 0
    Rand Paul 0.2% 2,491 0
    Marco Rubio 1% 10,569 0
    Rick Santorum 0% 510 0
    Other 0.2% 2,288 0
    Totals 1,101,046 42
    Source: The New York Times and Wisconsin Vote

    2012

    Other candidates that appeared on the ballot received less than 0.1% of the vote. Those candidates included: Jerry White, Peta Lindsay, Ross Anderson, and Roseanne Barr.[33]

    2008

    Other candidates that appeared on the ballot received less than 0.1% of the vote. Those candidates included: Jeffrey Wamboldt, Brian Moore, and Gloria LaRiva.[34]

    Presidential statewide margins of victory of 5 percentage points or fewer, 1948-2016

    See also: Presidential statewide margins of victory of 5 percentage points or fewer, 1948-2016

    The following map shows the number of times, in presidential elections held between 1948 and 2016, that the margin of victory was 5 percentage points or fewer in each state.

    • Wisconsin was the state with the most frequently narrow margins during this time period, appearing on the list in 10 presidential elections.
    • Five states appeared eight times: Florida, Missouri, Nevada, Ohio, and Pennsylvania.
    • The state with the narrowest margin of victory was Florida in 2000 at 537 votes or one-hundredth of a percentage point.

    Historical election trends

    See also: Presidential voting history by state

    Wisconsin presidential election results (1900-2020)

    • 15 Democratic wins
    • 16 Republican wins
    • 1 other win
    Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024
    Winning Party R R R D R R P[35] R D D D R D R R R D R R D R R D D D D D D D R D R


    See also: Presidential election accuracy

    Below is an analysis of Wisconsin's voting record in presidential elections. The state's accuracy is based on the number of times a state has voted for a winning presidential candidate. The majority of statistical data is from the U.S. National Archives and Records Administration and was compiled, here, by Ballotpedia, unless otherwise noted.

    Presidential election voting record in Wisconsin, 1900-2016

    Between 1900 and 2016:

    • Wisconsin participated in 30 presidential elections.
    • Wisconsin voted for the winning presidential candidate 76.67 percent of the time. The average accuracy of voting for winning presidential candidates for all 50 states in this time frame was 72.31 percent.[36]
    • Wisconsin voted Democratic 46.67 percent of the time and Republican 50 percent of the time.

    Third-party candidate races

    In 1924, Calvin Coolidge ran as a Republican, John W. Davis ran as a Democrat, and Robert M. La Follette Sr. ran as a Progressive; La Follette only won Wisconsin, his home state.[37]

    Presidential election voting record in Wisconsin, 2000-2016

    *An asterisk indicates that that candidate also won the national electoral vote in that election.

    State profile

    See also: Wisconsin and Wisconsin elections, 2019
    USA Wisconsin location map.svg

    Partisan data

    The information in this section was current as of May 7, 2019

    Presidential voting pattern

    Congressional delegation

    State executives

    State legislature

    Wisconsin Party Control: 1992-2025
    Two years of Democratic trifectas  •  Ten years of Republican trifectas
    Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

    Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
    Governor R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D
    Senate D R R R D D R D D D D R R R R D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
    House D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R

    Wisconsin quick stats

    More Wisconsin coverage on Ballotpedia:


    Demographic data for Wisconsin
     WisconsinU.S.
    Total population:5,767,891316,515,021
    Land area (sq mi):54,1583,531,905
    Race and ethnicity**
    White:86.5%73.6%
    Black/African American:6.3%12.6%
    Asian:2.5%5.1%
    Native American:0.9%0.8%
    Pacific Islander:0%0.2%
    Two or more:2.1%3%
    Hispanic/Latino:6.3%17.1%
    Education
    High school graduation rate:91%86.7%
    College graduation rate:27.8%29.8%
    Income
    Median household income:$53,357$53,889
    Persons below poverty level:15%11.3%
    Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
    Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Wisconsin.
    **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


    Presidential election by state

    See also: Presidential election by state, 2020

    Click on a state below to navigate to information about the presidential election in that jurisdiction.

    https://ballotpedia.org/Presidential_election_in_STATE,_2020

    See also

    Footnotes

    1. Law & Crime, "Outgoing Trump White House Sues Incoming Biden White House to Disenfranchise Wisconsin’s Most Diverse Counties," December 7, 2020
    2. Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, "Trump lawsuit in Wisconsin is thrown out in a fifth adverse ruling for the president in a little over a week," December 11, 2020
    3. Wisconsin Supreme Court, "Trump v. Biden," December 14, 2020
    4. Supreme Court of the United States, "Trump v. Biden: Petition for a Writ of Certiorari," December 29, 2020
    5. Supreme Court of the United States, "Order List: Monday, February 22, 2021," February 22, 2021
    6. 6.0 6.1 Supreme Court of Wisconsin, "Trump v. Evers: Petition for Original Action Pursuant to Wis. Stat. Section 809.70," December 1, 2020
    7. Associated Press, "Wisconsin high court declines to hear Trump election lawsuit," December 3, 2020
    8. 8.0 8.1 United States District Court for the Eastern District of Wisconsin, "Trump v. Wisconsin Elections Commission: Complaint," December 2, 2020
    9. United States District Court for the Eastern District of Wisconsin, "Trump v. Wisconsin Elections Commission: Decision and Order," December 12, 2020
    10. 'United States Court of Appeals for the Seventh Circuit, "Trump v. Wisconsin Elections Commission: Decision," December 24, 2020
    11. Supreme Court of the United States, "Trump v. Wisconsin Elections Commission: Docket," accessed January 11, 2021
    12. Supreme Court of the United States, "Order List," March 8, 2021
    13. Wisconsin Elections Commission, "In re: the 2020 election for President of the United States, Verified Petition for Recount," November 18, 2020
    14. Wisconsin Elections Commission, "WEC Receives Petition for Partial Recount; Recount to be Ordered Thursday," November 18, 2020
    15. Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, "Wisconsin recount gets off to a rough start as Elections Commission repeatedly clashes," November 19, 2020
    16. Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, "Biden gains 87 votes in Trump's $3 million Wisconsin recount as Dane County wraps up review. President plans lawsuit." November 29, 2020
    17. This analysis does not include counties in Alaska and certain independent cities due to variations in vote total reporting.
    18. The raw data for this study was provided by Dave Leip of Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.
    19. Nature, "The power of prediction markets," October 18, 2016
    20. Politico, "Meet the 'stock market' for politics," October 31, 2014
    21. U.S. Presidential General Election Results, "2008 Electoral Map Based on the Intrade Prediction Market," accessed January 25, 2018
    22. Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, "2020 DNC in Milwaukee pushed back to week of August 17 in response to coronavirus pandemic," April 2, 2020
    23. The New York Times, "Milwaukee Picked as Site of 2020 Democratic National Convention," March 11, 2019
    24. Talking Points Memo, "Bernie Sanders Ends 2020 Bid, Making Biden Presumptive Dem Nominee," April 8, 2020
    25. AP, "Biden formally clinches Democratic presidential nomination," June 5, 2020
    26. CNBC, "Joe Biden picks Sen. Kamala Harris to be his vice presidential running mate, making her the first black woman on a major ticket," August 11, 2020
    27. CNN, "Democrats pick Milwaukee for 2020 national convention site," March 11, 2019
    28. Politico, "Milwaukee to host Democrats' 2020 convention," March 11, 2019
    29. National Public Radio, "Milwaukee's The One For Democrats," March 11, 2019
    30. Charlotte Observer, "Here’s when the 2020 Republican National Convention will be in Charlotte," October 1, 2018
    31. NPR, "When Has A President Been Denied His Party's Nomination?" July 22, 2009
    32. A candidate must only submit a petition if the Presidential Preference Selection Committee does not select the candidate to appear on the primary ballot.
    33. U.S. Election Atlas, "2012 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
    34. U.S. Election Atlas, "2008 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
    35. Progressive Party
    36. This average includes states like Arizona, New Mexico, and Oklahoma, which did not participate in all 30 presidential elections between 1900 and 2016. It does not include Washington, D.C., which cast votes for president for the first time in 1964, or Alaska and Hawaii, which cast votes for president for the first time in 1960.
    37. U.S. National Archives and Records Administration, "Electoral Votes, 1917-1929," accessed June 21, 2016
    38. This number refers to the number of times that the state voted for the winning presidential candidate between 2000 and 2016.