Oregon's 5th Congressional District election, 2020

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Oregon's 5th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 10, 2020
Primary: May 19, 2020
General: November 3, 2020
Pre-election incumbent:
Kurt Schrader (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: No polling hours (vote-by-mail)
Voting in Oregon
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Oregon's 5th Congressional District
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th
Oregon elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 5th Congressional District of Oregon, held elections in 2020.

Incumbent Kurt Schrader won election in the general election for U.S. House Oregon District 5.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
March 10, 2020
May 19, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Democrat Kurt Schrader, who was first elected in 2008.

Oregon's 5th Congressional District is located in the northwestern portion of the state. The district includes Lincoln, Marion, Polk, and Tillamook counties. Areas of Benton, Clackamas, and Multnomah counties also lie within the district.[2]

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, Oregon's 5th Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 53.6 51.9
Republican candidate Republican Party 43.9 45.2
Difference 9.7 6.7

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

Oregon did not modify any procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

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Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Oregon District 5

Incumbent Kurt Schrader defeated Amy Ryan Courser and Matthew Rix in the general election for U.S. House Oregon District 5 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Kurt Schrader
Kurt Schrader (D)
 
51.9
 
234,683
Image of Amy Ryan Courser
Amy Ryan Courser (R) Candidate Connection
 
45.2
 
204,372
Image of Matthew Rix
Matthew Rix (L)
 
2.8
 
12,640
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.2
 
771

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 452,466
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Oregon District 5

Incumbent Kurt Schrader defeated Mark Gamba and Blair Reynolds in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Oregon District 5 on May 19, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Kurt Schrader
Kurt Schrader
 
68.8
 
73,060
Image of Mark Gamba
Mark Gamba Candidate Connection
 
22.9
 
24,327
Image of Blair Reynolds
Blair Reynolds Candidate Connection
 
7.5
 
7,910
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.8
 
841

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 106,138
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Watch the Candidate Conversation for this race!

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Oregon District 5

Amy Ryan Courser defeated G. Shane Dinkel, Joey Nations, and Angela Roman in the Republican primary for U.S. House Oregon District 5 on May 19, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Amy Ryan Courser
Amy Ryan Courser Candidate Connection
 
53.3
 
41,417
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
G. Shane Dinkel Candidate Connection
 
20.1
 
15,626
Image of Joey Nations
Joey Nations Candidate Connection
 
17.4
 
13,534
Image of Angela Roman
Angela Roman Candidate Connection
 
7.9
 
6,155
 Other/Write-in votes
 
1.3
 
1,003

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 77,735
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Libertarian convention

Libertarian convention for U.S. House Oregon District 5

Matthew Rix advanced from the Libertarian convention for U.S. House Oregon District 5 on July 6, 2020.

Candidate
✔
Image of Matthew Rix
Matthew Rix (L)

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Two of 36 Oregon counties—5.6 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Columbia County, Oregon 11.46% 5.16% 12.02%
Tillamook County, Oregon 5.58% 4.86% 9.89%

In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won Oregon with 50.1 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 39.1 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Oregon cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 73.3 percent of the time. In that same time frame, Oregon supported Republican candidates for president more often than Democratic candidates, 56.7 to 43.3 percent. The state, however, favored Democrats in every election between between 2000 and 2016.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Oregon. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[3][4]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 39 out of 60 state House districts in Oregon with an average margin of victory of 26.9 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 36 out of 60 state House districts in Oregon with an average margin of victory of 31.6 points. Clinton won four districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 21 out of 60 state House districts in Oregon with an average margin of victory of 20.3 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 24 out of 60 state House districts in Oregon with an average margin of victory of 24 points. Trump won three districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was EVEN, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were within 1 percentage point of the national average. This made Oregon's 5th Congressional District the 195th most Democratic nationally.[5]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.01. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.01 points toward that party.[6]

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[7] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[8] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Kurt Schrader Democratic Party $2,034,595 $1,937,977 $2,516,499 As of December 31, 2020
Amy Ryan Courser Republican Party $232,125 $221,542 $10,471 As of December 31, 2020
Matthew Rix Libertarian Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[9]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[10][11][12]

Race ratings: Oregon's 5th Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

Candidate ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for 5th Congressional District candidates in Oregon in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Oregon, click here.

Filing requirements, 2020
State Office Party Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
Oregon 5th Congressional District Major party 0 N/A $100.00 Fixed number 3/10/2020 Source
Oregon 5th Congressional District Unaffiliated 4,000 1% of votes cast in the district for president N/A N/A 8/25/2020 Source

District election history

2018

See also: Oregon's 5th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Oregon District 5

Incumbent Kurt Schrader defeated Mark Callahan, Dan Souza, and Marvin Sandnes in the general election for U.S. House Oregon District 5 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Kurt Schrader
Kurt Schrader (D)
 
55.0
 
197,187
Image of Mark Callahan
Mark Callahan (R)
 
41.8
 
149,887
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Dan Souza (L)
 
1.7
 
6,054
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Marvin Sandnes (Pacific Green Party)
 
1.3
 
4,802
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.2
 
539

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 358,469
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Oregon District 5

Incumbent Kurt Schrader defeated Peter Wright in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Oregon District 5 on May 15, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Kurt Schrader
Kurt Schrader
 
86.8
 
59,196
Image of Peter Wright
Peter Wright Candidate Connection
 
13.2
 
9,002

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 68,198
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Oregon District 5

Mark Callahan defeated Joey Nations and Robert Reynolds in the Republican primary for U.S. House Oregon District 5 on May 15, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Mark Callahan
Mark Callahan
 
62.4
 
33,933
Image of Joey Nations
Joey Nations
 
20.8
 
11,300
Image of Robert Reynolds
Robert Reynolds
 
16.8
 
9,120

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 54,353
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2016

See also: Oregon's 5th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Kurt Schrader (D) defeated Colm Willis (R) and Marvin Sandnes (Pacific Green) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Schrader defeated Dave McTeague in the Democratic primary, while Willis defeated Seth Allan, Earl Rainey, and Ben West to win the Republican nomination. The primary elections took place on May 17, 2016.[13][14]

U.S. House, Oregon District 5 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngKurt Schrader Incumbent 53.5% 199,505
     Republican Colm Willis 43% 160,443
     Pacific Green Marvin Sandnes 3.4% 12,542
     N/A Misc. 0.2% 618
Total Votes 373,108
Source: Oregon Secretary of State


U.S. House, Oregon District 5 Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngKurt Schrader Incumbent 72% 72,634
Dave McTeague 28% 28,184
Total Votes 100,818
Source: Oregon Secretary of State
U.S. House, Oregon District 5 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngColm Willis 58.1% 40,568
Ben West 21% 14,696
Seth Allan 15.4% 10,779
Earl Rainey 5.4% 3,783
Total Votes 69,826
Source: Oregon Secretary of State

2014

See also: Oregon's 5th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 5th Congressional District of Oregon held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Kurt Schrader (D) defeated Tootie Smith (R), Raymond Baldwin (Constitution Party), Daniel Souza (L) and Marvin Sannes (I) in the general election.

U.S. House, Oregon District 5 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngKurt Schrader Incumbent 53.7% 150,944
     Republican Tootie Smith 39.3% 110,332
     Constitution Raymond Baldwin 2.2% 6,208
     Libertarian Daniel Souza 1.8% 5,198
     Independent Marvin Sannes 2.7% 7,674
     Write-in Write-in candidates 0.3% 732
Total Votes 281,088
Source: Oregon Secretary of State

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. ↑ 1.0 1.1 Oregon is a vote-by-mail state. Polling hours apply to vote centers where individuals can instead vote in person.
  2. ↑ Oregon Redistricting Map, "Map," accessed August 9, 2012
  3. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  4. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  5. ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  6. ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  7. ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  8. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  9. ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  10. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  11. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  12. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  13. ↑ Oregon Secretary of State, "Candidate filings search results," accessed March 9, 2016
  14. ↑ The New York Times, "Oregon Primary Results," May 17, 2016


Oregon's current delegation to the United States Congress
Senators
Jeff Merkley (D)
Ron Wyden (D)
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
Val Hoyle (D)
District 5
District 6
Democratic Party (7)
Republican Party (1)


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